Valve replacement surgery complicated by acute renal failure--predictors of early mortality.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Acute renal failure (ARF) is a serious complication of valve replacement surgery. The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of early mortality and if causative factors are preventable. METHODS: In the 25-year period between 1977 and 2002, 255 (2.6%) of 9721 patients (11,007 operations), who had valve replacement surgery, were managed for ARF with dialysis. The mean age of the patient population was 67.1 +/- 11.6 years (range 24 to 87 years, median 70.3 years). Fifty preoperative, operative, and postoperative risk factors were assessed as predictors of early mortality by univariate and multivariate modeling. RESULTS: The early mortality was 25.1% (64 patients). The predictors by univariate analysis were New York Heart Association class (p = 0.001); ASA within 5 days (p = 0.030); cardiogenic shock (p = 0.010); infection--perioperative sepsis and preoperative endocarditis (p = 0.000); intraoperative stroke (p = 0.003); status--emergent (p = 0.000); mitral valve replacement (p = 0.040); ischemic (X-clamp) time >120 minutes (p = 0.020); cardiopulmonary bypass time >180 minutes (p = 0.000); surgical time >360 minutes (p = 0.000); surgical hemorrhage (p = 0.020); acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (p = 0.040). Multivariate predictors were urgent status of operation, odds ratio (OR) 0.3 (p = 0.029); emergent status of operation, OR 5.8 (p = 0.034); ischemic (X-clamp) time >120 minutes, OR 4.4 (p = 0.030); surgical time >360 minutes, OR 6.3 (p = 0.019); surgical hemorrhage, OR 5.1 (p = 0.003); perioperative nosocomial sepsis, OR 3.8 (p = 0.006); and preoperative endocarditis, OR 4.4 (p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Early mortality from ARF in valve replacement surgery is related to emergent status, ischemic and surgical times, surgical hemorrhage, and nosocomial infection/preoperative endocarditis. Among the variables assessed, preoperative renal insufficiency, unstable angina/recent myocardial infarction <6 weeks, and concomitant coronary artery bypass were not predictive. The evaluation of predictors of ARF requires further extensive assessment.