A fast algorithm for calculating an expected outbreak size on dynamic contagion networks.
Epidemics
; 16: 56-62, 2016 09.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-27379615
ABSTRACT
Calculation of expected outbreak size of a simple contagion on a known contact network is a common and important epidemiological task, and is typically carried out by computationally intensive simulation. We describe an efficient exact method to calculate the expected outbreak size of a contagion on an outbreak-invariant network that is a directed and acyclic, allowing us to model all dynamically changing networks when contagion can only travel forward in time. We describe our algorithm and its use in pseudocode, as well as showing examples of its use on disease relevant, data-derived networks.
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Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Algoritmos
/
Surtos de Doenças
Tipo de estudo:
Prognostic_studies
Limite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2016
Tipo de documento:
Article