Pre-treatment double- or triple-positive tumor markers are predictive of a poor outcome for patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSES: We evaluated the therapeutic effect of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) according to the number of positive tumor markers. METHODS: The subjects of this study were 160 patients who underwent percutaneous and surgical RFA for HCC. Patients were divided into negative (n = 51), single- (n = 69), double- (n = 31), and triple-positive (n = 9) tumor marker groups according to the pre-treatment expression of these markers. We looked for any relationships among clinical parameters, outcomes, and tumor markers. RESULTS: The 3-year recurrence-free and overall survival rates of the negative, single-, double-, and triple-positive groups were 30, 19, 16, and 11 % (P = 0.02), and 94, 88, 67, and 37 % (P < 0.001), respectively. The 2-year local recurrence rates were 6.5, 0, 41.2, and 61.9 %, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that a double- or triple-positive pre-treatment tumor marker profile was independently associated with local recurrence [hazard ratio (HR) 5.48, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 2.44-12.33, P < 0.001] and overall survival (HR 4.21, 95 % CI 1.89-9.37, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: RFA may not be suitable for patients with HCC who have pre-treatment expression of ≥two of these tumor markers.