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The basic reproduction number, R0, in structured populations.
Neal, Peter; Theparod, Thitiya.
Afiliação
  • Neal P; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Fylde College, Lancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 4YF, United Kingdom. Electronic address: p.neal@lancaster.ac.uk.
  • Theparod T; Statistics and Applied Statistics Research Unit, the Department of Mathematics, Mahasarakham University, Khamriang Sub-District, Kantarawichai District, Maha Sarakham 44150, Thailand.
Math Biosci ; 315: 108224, 2019 09.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31276681
In this paper, we provide a straightforward approach to defining and deriving the key epidemiological quantity, the basic reproduction number, R0, for Markovian epidemics in structured populations. The methodology derived is applicable to, and demonstrated on, both SIR and SIS epidemics and allows for population as well as epidemic dynamics. The approach taken is to consider the epidemic process as a multitype process by identifying and classifying the different types of infectious units along with the infections from, and the transitions between, infectious units. For the household model, we show that our expression for R0 agrees with earlier work despite the alternative nature of the construction of the mean reproductive matrix, and hence, the basic reproduction number.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis / Número Básico de Reprodução / Epidemias / Modelos Biológicos Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Infecções Sexualmente Transmissíveis / Número Básico de Reprodução / Epidemias / Modelos Biológicos Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2019 Tipo de documento: Article