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Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J.
Afiliação
  • Russell TW; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Hellewell J; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Jarvis CI; These authors contributed equally to this work.
  • van Zandvoort K; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Abbott S; These authors contributed equally to this work.
  • Ratnayake R; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Flasche S; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Eggo RM; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Edmunds WJ; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Kucharski AJ; The members of the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CMMID) COVID-19 working group are listed at the end of the article.
Euro Surveill ; 25(12)2020 03.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32234121
Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Pneumonia Viral / Navios / Viagem / Surtos de Doenças / Infecções por Coronavirus / Coronavirus / Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico Tipo de estudo: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Pneumonia Viral / Navios / Viagem / Surtos de Doenças / Infecções por Coronavirus / Coronavirus / Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico Tipo de estudo: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article