Access flow volume (Qa) and survival in a haemodialysis population: an analysis of 5208 Qa measurements over a 9-year period.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine associations between characteristics of arteriovenous access (AVA) flow volume (Qa; mL/min) and 4-year freedom from cardiovascular mortality (CVM) in haemodialysis (HD) patients. METHODS: HD patients who received a primary AVA between January 2010 and December 2017 in one centre were analysed. Initial Qa was defined as the first Qa value obtained in a well-functioning AVA by a two-needle dilution technique. Actual Qa was defined as access flow at a random point in time. Changes in actual Qa were expressed per 3-month period. CVM was assessed according to the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association classification. The optimal cut-off point for initial Qa was identified by a receiver operating characteristics curve. A joint modelling statistical technique determined longitudinal associations between Qa characteristics and 4-year CVM. RESULTS: A total of 5208 Qa measurements (165 patients; 103 male, age 70 ± 12 years, autologous AVA n = 146, graft n = 19) were analysed. During follow-up (December 2010-January 2018, median 36 months), 79 patients (48%) died. An initial Qa <900 mL/min was associated with an increased 4-y CVM risk {hazard ratio [HR] 4.05 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.94-8.43], P < 0.001}. After 4 years, freedom from CVM was 34% lower in patients with a Qa <900 mL/min (53 ± 7%) versus a Qa ≥900 mL/min (87 ± 4%; P < 0.001). An association between increases in actual Qa per 3-month period and mortality was found [HR 4.48/100 mL/min (95% CI 1.44-13.97), P = 0.010], indicating that patients demonstrating increasing Qa were more likely to die. In contrast, actual Qa per se was not related to survival. CONCLUSIONS: Studying novel AVA Qa characteristics may contribute to understanding excess CVM in HD patients.