Validity of two-dimensional ultrasound for determining extreme foetal weights to term.

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to assess the validity of ultrasound carried out within seven days prior to birth at term for the calculation of full term estimated foetal weight (EFW) in order to diagnose extreme foetal weight, performed using a single-center retrospective cohort study of 2500 pregnant women. Ultrasound calculations of EFW with a standard error of less than 10% showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar for appropriate for gestational age (78.6%) and normal foetal weights (77.5%) but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights. The simple error increased in both the high and low EFWs, taking on positive values for the low weights and negative values for the high weights. As for the percentage error values, there was a tendency for positive errors for low weights and negative errors for high weights; this led to a tendency to overestimate low foetal weights and underestimate high foetal weights.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Two-dimensional ultrasound is currently the principal tool used in obstetrics to evaluate foetal growth, mainly through the calculation of EFW. Foetal weight represents an important prognostic factor in perinatal results, with a greater risk of adverse effects in cases of extreme foetal weights. In this sense, there are few studies that assess the validity of EFW calculations focussing on extreme foetal weights to term.What do the results of this study add? The ultrasound estimates of EFW with an error lower than 10% in the seven days prior to birth showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar to appropriate for gestational age weights (78.6%) and of normal weights (77.5%), but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights small for gestational age (52.1%), large for gestational age (68.2%), microsomia (49.1%), and macrosomia (61%). Likewise, we found high specificity and low sensitivity for ultrasound diagnosis of extreme foetal weights.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or future research? The validity of ultrasound EFW is influenced by extreme foetal weights, with a tendency to overestimate low weights and underestimate high weights, which represents a clinically important finding.