The costs of "blue sky": environmental regulation and employee income in China.

ABSTRACT

Strict environmental regulations may change the behavioral decisions of firms. Based on the exogenous impact of the Chinese Central Government's inclusion of environmental performance in the assessment targets of municipal officials in 2007, this study uses the difference-in-difference method to explore the impact of environmental regulations on employee income. We find that (1) environmental regulations will significantly reduce the average wage level of employees in polluting industries and have no significant impact in nonpolluting industries. (2) This effect is more pronounced in eastern China, where environmental regulations are more stringent, and in areas where political promotion incentives are stronger. (3) Mechanistic analysis finds that environmental regulations will affect employee income by increasing costs and constraining financing. (4) More importantly, we find that the decline in the average wage level of firms is mainly due to the decline in the average wage level of ordinary employees, and the average wage level of management has not decreased significantly, which means that environmental regulations have expanded the functional income distribution. Our findings contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness of environmental regulatory policy implementation and associated economic cost issues.