Network-based prediction of the disclosure of ideation about self-harm and suicide in online counseling sessions.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In psychological services, the transition to the disclosure of ideation about self-harm and suicide (ISS) is a critical point warranting attention. This study developed and tested a succinct descriptor to predict such transitions in an online synchronous text-based counseling service. METHOD: We analyzed two years' worth of counseling sessions (N = 49,770) from Open Up, a 24/7 service in Hong Kong. Sessions from Year 1 (N = 20,618) were used to construct a word affinity network (WAN), which depicts the semantic relationships between words. Sessions from Year 2 (N = 29,152), including 1168 with explicit ISS, were used to train and test the downstream ISS prediction model. We divided and classified these sessions into ISS blocks (ISSBs), blocks prior to ISSBs (PISSBs), and non-ISS blocks (NISSBs). To detect PISSB, we adopted complex network approaches to examine the distance among different types of blocks in WAN. RESULTS: Our analyses find that words within a block tend to form a module in WAN and that network-based distance between modules is a reliable indicator of PISSB. The proposed model yields a c-statistic of 0.79 in identifying PISSB. CONCLUSIONS: This simple yet robust network-based model could accurately predict the transition point of suicidal ideation prior to its explicit disclosure. It can potentially improve the preparedness and efficiency of help-providers in text-based counseling services for mitigating self-harm and suicide.

In online counseling, the help-provider can often be engaging with several service users simultaneously. Therefore, new tools that could help to alert and assist the help-provider and increase their preparedness for getting further help for service users could be useful. In this study, we developed and tested a new tool that is designed to alert help-providers to the disclosure of self-harm and suicidal thoughts, based on the words that the service user has been typing. The tool is developed on the basis that word usage may have a specific pattern when suicidal thoughts are more likely to occur. We tested our tool using two years' worth of online counseling conversations and we show that our approach can help to predict the confession of suicidal thoughts. As such, we are taking a step forward in helping to improve these counseling services.