Age at diagnosis modifies associations of type 2 diabetes with cancer incidence and mortality: a retrospective matched-cohort study.

ABSTRACT

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The age-specific associations between type 2 diabetes and cancer risk are not fully understood. The aim of this study was to assess how age at diagnosis modifies the associations between type 2 diabetes and cancer risk. METHODS: We used data from the Yinzhou Health Information System, and included 42,279 individuals who were newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between 2010 and 2014, as well as 166,010 age- and sex-matched control individuals without diabetes who were selected randomly from the electronic health records of the entire population. Patients were divided into four age groups according to age at diagnosis <50, 50-59, 60-69 and ≥70 years. Stratified Cox proportional hazards regression models, with age as the time scale, were used to estimate the HRs and 95% CIs for the associations of type 2 diabetes with the risks of overall and site-specific cancers. Population-attributable fractions were also calculated for outcomes associated with type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: During median follow-up periods of 9.20 and 9.32 years, we identified 15,729 incident cancer cases and 5383 cancer deaths, respectively. Patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes before 50 years of age had the highest relative risks of cancer incidence and mortality, with HRs (95% CI) of 1.35 (1.20, 1.52) for overall cancer incidence, 1.39 (1.11, 1.73) for gastrointestinal cancer incidence, 2.02 (1.50, 2.71) for overall cancer mortality, and 2.82 (1.91, 4.18) for gastrointestinal cancer mortality. Risk estimates decreased gradually with each decade increase in diagnostic age. The population-attributable fractions for overall cancer and gastrointestinal cancer mortality also decreased with increasing age. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The associations of type 2 diabetes with cancer incidence and mortality varied by age at diagnosis, with a higher relative risk among patients who were diagnosed at a younger age.