[Assessment of Emission Reduction Potential of CO2 Capture, Geological Utilization, and Storage in Cement Industry of China].

ABSTRACT

The cement industry faces great pressure from the targets of carbon peak and carbon neutrality. CO2capture, geological utilization, and storage(CCUS) technology is crucial for CO2 mitigation in large-scale fossil-based industries. An integrated techno-economic assessment model of CCUS was improved here to assess the potential of CCUS retrofits in the cement industry in China, and the cost curve or supply curve of CCUS in the cement industry was obtained. The model set up ten scenarios from four aspectssource-sink matching distance, capture rate, CCUS technology, and technical level. The cement enterprise screening, site screening, techno-economic evaluation, and source-sink matching of CCUS were completed to answer some key problems in realizing low-carbon development via CCUS, such as enterprise inventory, storage site, emission reduction scale, and cost range. Under the scenario of 250 km matching distance, 85% net capture rate, CO2-enhanced water recovery technology, and current technical level, 44% of cement enterprises reduced carbon emission via CCUS, the cumulative capacity reached 625 million tons per year, and the levelized cost was 290-1838 yuan·t-1. The projects with a levelized cost of fewer than 600 yuan·t-1 accounted for 77% and could reduce CO2 emission by 564 million tons annually. The projects whose levelized cost was less than 400 yuan·t-1 could reduce CO2 by 199 million tons per year. When the coupling of CO2-enhanced oil recovery and CO2-enhanced water recovery technology was considered, the levelized cost was 27% lower. When the cement capacity was less than 530 million tons per year, the additional cost of cement production was 95-300 yuan·t-1. Under technological progress to 2030, the levelized cost will be reduced by 9%-15%. The regions with early demonstration advantages of full-chain CO2-enhanced water recovery technology were Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Henan, and Hebei. Additionally, the areas suitable for cement CCUS cluster included Ordos Basin, Junggar Basin, Bohai Bay Basin, and Songliao Basin. It is technically feasible for the cement industry to deploy full-chain CCUS projects, and low-cost projects have an early demonstration opportunity. These results can provide a quantitative reference for the low-carbon development of the cement industry and the commercial deployment of CCUS in cement production.