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A deep learning system for predicting time to progression of diabetic retinopathy.
Dai, Ling; Sheng, Bin; Chen, Tingli; Wu, Qiang; Liu, Ruhan; Cai, Chun; Wu, Liang; Yang, Dawei; Hamzah, Haslina; Liu, Yuexing; Wang, Xiangning; Guan, Zhouyu; Yu, Shujie; Li, Tingyao; Tang, Ziqi; Ran, Anran; Che, Haoxuan; Chen, Hao; Zheng, Yingfeng; Shu, Jia; Huang, Shan; Wu, Chan; Lin, Shiqun; Liu, Dan; Li, Jiajia; Wang, Zheyuan; Meng, Ziyao; Shen, Jie; Hou, Xuhong; Deng, Chenxin; Ruan, Lei; Lu, Feng; Chee, Miaoli; Quek, Ten Cheer; Srinivasan, Ramyaa; Raman, Rajiv; Sun, Xiaodong; Wang, Ya Xing; Wu, Jiarui; Jin, Hai; Dai, Rongping; Shen, Dinggang; Yang, Xiaokang; Guo, Minyi; Zhang, Cuntai; Cheung, Carol Y; Tan, Gavin Siew Wei; Tham, Yih-Chung; Cheng, Ching-Yu; Li, Huating.
Afiliação
  • Dai L; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Sheng B; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Chen T; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Wu Q; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China. shengbin@sjtu.edu.cn.
  • Liu R; Department of Ophthalmology, Huadong Sanatorium, Wuxi, China.
  • Cai C; Department of Ophthalmology, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Wu L; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Yang D; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Hamzah H; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Liu Y; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Wang X; Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
  • Guan Z; Singapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore.
  • Yu S; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Li T; Department of Ophthalmology, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Tang Z; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Ran A; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Che H; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Chen H; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Zheng Y; Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
  • Shu J; Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
  • Huang S; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.
  • Wu C; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.
  • Lin S; Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.
  • Liu D; State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Guangzhou, China.
  • Li J; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Wang Z; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Meng Z; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Shen J; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Hou X; Department of Ophthalmology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
  • Deng C; Department of Ophthalmology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
  • Ruan L; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Lu F; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Chee M; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Quek TC; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Srinivasan R; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Raman R; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Sun X; MOE Key Laboratory of AI, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
  • Wang YX; Medical Records and Statistics Office, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Wu J; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Jin H; Department of Geriatrics, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
  • Dai R; Department of Geriatrics, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
  • Shen D; National Engineering Research Center for Big Data Technology and System, Services Computing Technology and System Lab, Cluster and Grid Computing Lab, School of Computer Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
  • Yang X; Singapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore.
  • Guo M; Singapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore, Singapore.
  • Zhang C; Shri Bhagwan Mahavir Vitreoretinal Services, Medical Research Foundation, Sankara Nethralaya, Chennai, India.
  • Cheung CY; Shri Bhagwan Mahavir Vitreoretinal Services, Medical Research Foundation, Sankara Nethralaya, Chennai, India.
  • Tan GSW; Department of Ophthalmology, Shanghai General Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Tham YC; Beijing Institute of Ophthalmology, Beijing Tongren Eye Center, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Ophthalmology and Visual Science Key Laboratory, Beijing, China.
  • Cheng CY; Shanghai Belt and Road International Joint Laboratory for Intelligent Prevention and Treatment of Metabolic Disorders, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, School of Electronic, Information, and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabol
  • Li H; Center for Excellence in Molecular Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, China.
Nat Med ; 30(2): 584-594, 2024 Feb.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38177850
ABSTRACT
Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the leading cause of preventable blindness worldwide. The risk of DR progression is highly variable among different individuals, making it difficult to predict risk and personalize screening intervals. We developed and validated a deep learning system (DeepDR Plus) to predict time to DR progression within 5 years solely from fundus images. First, we used 717,308 fundus images from 179,327 participants with diabetes to pretrain the system. Subsequently, we trained and validated the system with a multiethnic dataset comprising 118,868 images from 29,868 participants with diabetes. For predicting time to DR progression, the system achieved concordance indexes of 0.754-0.846 and integrated Brier scores of 0.153-0.241 for all times up to 5 years. Furthermore, we validated the system in real-world cohorts of participants with diabetes. The integration with clinical workflow could potentially extend the mean screening interval from 12 months to 31.97 months, and the percentage of participants recommended to be screened at 1-5 years was 30.62%, 20.00%, 19.63%, 11.85% and 17.89%, respectively, while delayed detection of progression to vision-threatening DR was 0.18%. Altogether, the DeepDR Plus system could predict individualized risk and time to DR progression over 5 years, potentially allowing personalized screening intervals.
Assuntos

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Diabetes Mellitus / Retinopatia Diabética / Aprendizado Profundo Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2024 Tipo de documento: Article

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Diabetes Mellitus / Retinopatia Diabética / Aprendizado Profundo Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2024 Tipo de documento: Article