[Analysis of the correlative factors of long-term positive nucleic acid and the characteristics of nucleic acid conversion in novel coronavirus infected patients].

ABSTRACT

To analyze the correlative factors of long-term positive nucleic acid and the characteristics of negative nucleic acid conversion in novel coronavirus infected patients.Novel coronavirus infected patients who were hospitalized in Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital from December 2022 to June 2023 were retrospectively included. Patients who were positive for novel coronavirus nucleic acid for ≥30 days were selected as the long-positive group, and age-and sex-matched patients with novel coronavirus nucleic acid for <30 days were selected as the control group. The clinical data of all enrolled patients were collected. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of the positive duration of nucleic acid ≥30 days. The Cox risk ratio model was used to analyze the risk factors for the prognosis of severe patients during hospitalization, and the difference in the time of nucleic acid conversion between the upper and lower respiratory tract was compared between the groups. A total of 30 patients were included in the long-positive group, including 24 males and 6 females, aged [M (Q1, Q3)] 77 (64, 86) years. Fifty-eight patients were included in the control group, including 46 males and 12 females, aged 78 (66, 86) years. Transplantation status (OR=50.32, 95%CI 1.98-1 278.63, P=0.018), malignant tumor (OR=12.85, 95%CI 1.65-99.88, P=0.015), CD4+T cell count (OR=0.99, 95%CI 0.99-1.00, P=0.005) were correlative factors for positive nucleic acid≥30 days. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score (HR=1.12, 95%CI 1.03-1.22, P=0.012) and nucleic acid positive time (HR=1.16, 95%CI 1.01-1.33, P=0.031) were correlative factors for death in severe patients. The nucleic acid conversion time of the lower respiratory tract specimens in both groups was later than that of the upper respiratory tract specimens (all P<0.001). Weakened underlying immunity is a correlative factor for long-term novel coronavirus nucleic acid positivity, and long-term positive novel coronavirus nucleic acid in severe patients indicates high risk of death. The nucleic acid of the lower respiratory tract specimen turned negative later than the upper respiratory tract specimen.