Spatiotemporal modeling of under-five mortality and associated risk factors in Ethiopia using 2000-2016 EDHS data.
BMC Pediatr
; 24(1): 201, 2024 Mar 21.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38515055
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
The under-five mortality rate serves as a key indicator of the performance of a country's healthcare system. Despite a minor decline, Ethiopia continues to face a persistently high under-five mortality rate across different zones. Thus, this study aimed to identify the risk factors of under-five mortality and the spatiotemporal variation in Ethiopian administrative zones.METHOD:
This study used the 2000-2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data which were collected using a two-stage sampling method. A total of 43,029 (10,873 in 2000, 9,861 in 2005, 11,654 in 2011, and 10,641 in 2016) weighted sample under-five child mortality were used. The space-time dynamic model was employed to account for spatial and time effects in 65 administrative zones in Ethiopia.RESULTS:
From the result of a general nesting spatial-temporal dynamic model, there was a significant space-time interaction effect [γ = -0.1444, 95% CI(-0.6680, -0.1355)] for under-five mortality. The increase in the percentages of mothers illiteracy [ß = 0.4501, 95% CI (0.2442, 0.6559)], not vaccinated[ß= 0.7681, 95% CI (0.5683, 0.9678)], unimproved water[ß= 0.5801, CI (0.3793, 0.7808)] were increased death rates for under five children while increased percentage of contraceptive use [ß= -0.6609, 95% CI (-0.8636, -0.4582)] and antenatal care unit visit > 4 times [ß= -0.1585, 95% CI(-0.1812, -0.1357)] were contributed to the decreased under-five mortality rate at the zone in Ethiopia.CONCLUSIONS:
Even though the mortality rate for children under five has decreased over time, still there is higher in different zones of Ethiopia. There exists spatial and temporal variation in under-five mortality among zones. Therefore, it is very important to consider spatial neighborhood's and temporal context when aiming to avoid under-five mortality.Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Mães
Limite:
Child
/
Female
/
Humans
/
Pregnancy
País/Região como assunto:
Africa
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article