Menopausal hormone therapy decreases the likelihood of diabetes development in peri­menopausal individuals with prediabetes.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The influence of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) on the probability of developing diabetes mellitus in individuals with prediabetes remains uncertain. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study, utilizing the TriNetX U.S. Collaborative Network, investigated cohorts, implemented propensity score matching, and analyzed outcomes associated with diabetes mellitus. The study focused on individuals aged 46-60 with prediabetes prior to menopause, categorizing them into MHT and non-MHT groups. Further stratified analyses, including variables such as age and race, were conducted to thoroughly examine potential variations in outcomes. RESULTS: The study involved 6566 individuals (MHT and non-MHT), with propensity score matching ensuring balanced cohorts. Over a 20-year follow-up, the MHT group demonstrated a lower incidence of diabetes mellitus compared to the non- MHT group, with a Hazard Ratio of 0.693 (95 % CI 0.577, 0.832). Stratified analyses revealed age-specific nuances, with significant protective effects in individuals aged 46-50 and 55-60. Additionally, ethnicity played a role, with MHT demonstrating significant benefits in White individuals but not in the Black or Asian populations. BMI analysis indicated a significant risk reduction with MHT in individuals with BMI less than or equal to 24.9 and 25-29.9 kg/m 2, but not in those with BMI greater than or equal to 30 kg/m 2. CONCLUSION: In our study, we demonstrate a sustained 20-year decrease in the risk of diabetes among premenopausal individuals with prediabetes who undergo menopausal hormone therapy.