Systematic literature review and meta-analysis on the prevalence of rotavirus genotypes in Europe and the Middle East in the post-licensure period.

ABSTRACT

Previous systematic literature reviews of rotavirus genotype circulation in Europe and the Middle East are limited because they do not include country-specific prevalence data. This study documents country-specific evidence on the prevalence of rotavirus genotypes in Europe and the Middle East to enable more precise epidemiological modeling and contribute to the evidence-base about circulating rotavirus genotypes in the post-vaccination era. This study systematically searched PubMed, Embase and Scopus for all empirical epidemiological studies that presented genotype-specific surveillance data for countries in Europe and the Middle East published between 2006 and 2021. The STROBE checklist was used to assess the quality of included studies. Proportional meta-analysis was conducted using the generic inverse variance method with arcsine transformation and generalized linear-mixed models to summarize genotype prevalence. Our analysis estimated the genotype prevalence by country across three date categories corresponding with rotavirus seasons 2006-2010, 2011-2015, 2016-2021. A total of 7601 deduplicated papers were identified of which 88 studies were included in the final review. Rotavirus genotypes exhibited significant variability across regions and time periods, with G1P[8], G2P[4], G3P[8], G4P[8], G9P[8], and, to a lesser extent G12P[8], being the most prevalent genotypes through different regions and time-periods. Uncommon genotypes included G3P[9] in Poland, G2P[6] in Iraq, G4P[4] in Qatar, and G9P[4] as reported by the European Rotavirus Network. There was high genotype diversity with routinely identified genotypes being G1P[8], G2P[4], G3P[8], G4P[8], and G9P[8]; there was high variability across time periods and regions. Continued surveillance at the national and regional levels is relevant to support further research and inform public health decision-making.

This study synthesizes data from rotavirus surveillance studies to characterize genotype-specific prevalence of rotavirus in Europe and the Middle East following the licensure of rotavirus vaccines in 2006. In line with previous pan-European studies, results highlight the lack of a single dominant genotype across this time period. There was high genotype diversity with G1P[8], G2P[4], G3P[8], G4P[8], and G9P[8] being the most commonly identified genotypes through different regions and time-periods.