Enhancing mixed traffic safety assessment: A novel safety metric combined with a comprehensive behavioral modeling framework.

In the context of future traffic systems, where automated vehicles (AVs) coexist with human-driven vehicles (HVs), ensuring road safety is of utmost importance. Existing safety assessment methods, however, are inadequate for the complex scenarios presented by mixed traffic conditions. These methods often fail to distinguish sufficiently between AVs and HVs, leading to inaccuracies in safety evaluations. To address these issues, this paper highlights the shortcomings of current surrogate safety measures (SSMs) in mixed traffic contexts and introduces a novel SSM, the Weighted Combination of Spacing and Speed Difference Rates (WS2DR). We propose a comparative analysis method to validate the effectiveness of WS2DR and to establish its safety threshold. Experiment results reveal that WS2DR outperforms traditional metrics such as time-to-collision and deceleration rate to avoid crashes, in terms of adaptability to both homogeneous and heterogeneous traffic environments and the detection of risk levels across a wider range of traffic conditions. Additionally, the paper presents a sophisticated mixed traffic modeling approach that accounts for different characteristics of AVs and HVs, incorporating factors such as errors of estimating the motion of other vehicles and the extended reaction time of HVs, as well as the perceptual and cooperative-active control capabilities of AVs. The results of the comparison analysis underscore the critical importance of considering the differences between AVs and HVs in modeling for accurate safety evaluations of mixed traffic. Simulation experiments confirm the positive impact on safety with increased AV penetration rates, emphasizing the necessity of employing refined modeling and safety assessment metrics to capture the full benefits of AV integration.

Not the same: How delivery, ride-hailing, and private riders' roles influence safety behavior.

In recent years, the growth of motorcycle-based ride-hailing and delivery services has led to an increase in traffic crashes involving these riders. Previous studies have indicated that the behavior of ride-hailing and delivery riders is influenced by work demands and individual characteristics. However, the extent to which risky riding behaviors depend on the type of riding and the interaction between road traffic context and risky behaviors remains unclear. Addressing these gaps, this study investigates factors influencing risky behaviors among motorcycle riders in Hanoi, Vietnam. By examining various rider traits (such as rider type, gender, and age) and aspects of the road traffic environment (such as police presence, number of road lanes, and weather), we aim to understand their contribution to risky riding behaviors. Through the observation of 9164 motorcycle riders (i.e., delivery, ride-hailing, and private motorcycle riders) at 31 intersections and decision tree analysis, the study underscores the significant impact of rider type on risky behaviors. Key findings include a higher tendency for both delivery riders and ride-hailing riders to run red lights, neglect to use turn signals, and the notable distraction of mobile phone use. Additionally, private riders are found to show a higher incidence of not wearing helmets even in locations with a police presence. These findings highlight the critical need for strategies to enhance road safety for all motorcycle riders. However, it is essential to recognize that the reasons behind risky behavior vary across different groups of motorcycle riders, from private to commercial riders. Therefore, we need more targeted strategies that address the specific factors influencing each group to effectively improve road safety for all.

Auditing learner driver information about floodwaters: An environmental scan of government issued resources in Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Vehicles driving, or being swept, into floodwaters is a leading cause of flood-related death. Establishing safe behaviors among learner drivers may reduce risk throughout their driving lifetime. METHODS: An environmental scan of publicly available government issued learner and driver handbooks across the eight Australian jurisdictions was conducted to identify information provided regarding floodwaters. Search terms included 'flood,' 'rain,' 'water,' and 'wet.' A visual audit of flood-related signage was also conducted. RESULTS: Twelve documents, across eight jurisdictions, were analyzed. Four jurisdictions' documents provided no information on flooding. Of the four jurisdictions that provided information, content varied. This included highlighting risks and discouraging entering floodwaters in a vehicle, including penalties associated with travel on closed roads, to advising depth and current checks if crossing a flooded roadway, with recommendations based on vehicle size (preference given to bigger vehicles, i.e., 4wds). Information on flood-related signage was found in one jurisdiction. DISCUSSION: Learner and driver handbooks represent a missed opportunity to provide flood safety information. Currently, information is not provided in all jurisdictions, despite flood-related vehicle drowning deaths of drivers and passengers being a national issue. Where information is presented, it is limited, often lacks practical guidance on how to assess water depth, current, and road base stability, and could better use evidence regarding the psychological factors underpinning, and behavioral prompts for performing, or avoiding, risky driving behavior during floods. CONCLUSIONS: The provision and content of information in learner driver and driver handbooks must be improved, particularly within the context of increasing flooding and extreme weather associated with the effects of climate change. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: We encourage all jurisdictions to provide practical information that draws on evidence-based risk factors and empirically established psychological factors for behavioral change to help establish safe driver behaviors around floods in the formative years of learning to drive.

Exploring the utility of a social norm approach in reducing younger drivers' engagement in hand-held phone use while driving: A qualitative study.

INTRODUCTION: Engagement in hand-held phone use while driving among young drivers is a prevalent concern in society, despite countermeasures to deter the behavior. The social norm approach has been effective in reducing negative behaviors in young adults (e.g., binge drinking, drink driving). However, whether this approach can reduce hand-held phone use while driving in this population has not been thoroughly investigated. METHOD: The qualitative study explored young drivers' attitudes and opinions on social norm messages designed to reduce hand-held phone use while driving. In addition, young drivers' opinions on current campaigns were explored to provide further insight into the effectiveness of these messages. Thirty young drivers were interviewed and shown six social norm messages. RESULTS: The data were analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis, resulting in five themes and one sub-theme: (1) Road safety messages with minimal impact on hand-held phone use while driving; (2) What constitutes an effective road safety message for hand-held phone use while driving; (3) Comparisons between social norm messages and road safety messages; (4) The potential benefits of combined social norms, (4a) Improving and optimizing the message; and (5) "It's kinda just numbers on a screen": Negative views on social norm messages. Results highlight the diverse opinions towards road safety campaigns and the need to increase exposure to these messages. Further, a combined social norm message was perceived as most effective in reducing engagement in hand-held phone use while driving. CONCLUSIONS: The current study provides preliminary evidence that the social norm approach may be effective in reducing hand-held phone use among young drivers. Further, this study highlights the need to maximize exposure to phone use while driving campaigns in this high-risk cohort. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Results support the development of a social norm messaging intervention to reduce young drivers hand-held phone use while driving.

Multigroup invariance of measure for angry drivers (MAD) scale using a representative sample of drivers in Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Driver anger and aggression have been linked to crash involvement and injury outcomes. Improved road safety outcomes may be achieved through understanding the causes of driver anger, and interventions designed to reduce this anger or prevent it from becoming aggression. Scales to measure anger propensities will be an important tool in this work. The measure for angry drivers (MAD; Stephens et al., 2019) is a contemporary scale designed to measure tendencies for anger across three types of driving scenarios: perceived danger from others, travel delays, and hostility or aggression from other drivers. METHOD: This study aimed to validate MAD using a representative sample of Australian drivers, stratified across age, gender, and location. Participants completed a 10-minute online survey that included MAD, sought demographic information (age, gender, driving purpose, crash history), as well as the frequency of aggressive driving. Multigroup confirmatory factor analyses (MGCFA) assessed how stable the structure of the MAD was across drivers of different ages, gender, purposes for driving and those who do or do not display anger aggressively. MAD was invariant across all groups, showing that all drivers interpreted and responded to MAD in the same way. RESULTS: A comparison of latent means showed anger tendencies were higher for men compared to women, for younger drivers compared to older drivers, and for those who drive mainly for work compared to those who mainly drive for other reasons. When controlling for driver factors, driving anger was associated with increased odds of being aggressive while driving. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Overall, this study demonstrated that MAD is an appropriate scale to measure anger tendencies and can be used to support interventions, and evaluation of interventions, to reduce anger and aggressive driving.

Understanding aberrant driving intentions based on the Theory of Planned Behavior: Literature review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Despite deployed efforts to establish strict road safety standards, human factors is still the leading cause of road crashes. To identify determinants of driver's behavior, TPB (Theory of Planned Behavior) is widely used as a prominent theory of behavior change. However, the existence of different aberrant driving behaviors (decision errors, recognition errors, violations, and physical condition related errors) and several studies using TPB to understand driving behavior, makes it important to conduct a literature review and a meta-analysis of existing studies to use their results in effective driving behavior change interventions. METHOD: The selection process provided 125 relevant studies that were published between 1991 and 2022, and that used TPB for the understanding of aberrant driving behavior. Five fundamental research questions were defined to identify information to be discovered from the literature review and from the meta-analysis. RESULTS: In addition to the standard TPB constructs (attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control), past behavior, moral norms, and descriptive norms were used in studies for a more comprehensive understanding of aberrant driving intention. This analysis demonstrated a significant correlation between aberrant driving intentions and past behavior. Also, moral norms construct was correlated with violations and recognition errors, whereas descriptive norms construct was correlated just with recognition errors. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study highlight the strength of TPB in the prediction of aberrant driving intention and its potential effectiveness to guide interventions aimed at changing aberrant driving behaviors. The study contributes to the comprehension of the relevant psychological factors influencing the engagement of drivers in each category of aberrant driving behaviors. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Researchers can use the results of this study to select the relevant psychological factors adapted to their interventions of driving behavior change. The results of the meta-analysis can also be used in the prediction of driver's intentions.

Understanding the interaction between cyclists and motorized vehicles at unsignalized intersections: Results from a cycling simulator study.

INTRODUCTION: With cycling gaining more popularity in urban areas, it is vital to obtain accurate knowledge of cyclists' behavior to develop behavioral models that can predict the cyclist's intent. Most conflicts between cyclists and vehicles happen at crossings where the road users share the path, especially at unsignalized intersections. However, few studies have investigated and modeled the interaction between cyclists and vehicles at unsignalized intersections. METHOD: A bike simulator experiment was conducted to scrutinize cyclists' response process as they interacted with a passenger car at an unsignalized intersection. An existing unsignalized intersection in Gothenburg was simulated for test participants. Two independent variables were varied across trials: the difference in time to arrival at the intersection (DTA) and intersection visibility (IV). Subjective and quantitative data were analyzed to model the cyclists' behavior. RESULTS: When approaching the intersection, cyclists showed a clear sequence of actions (pedaling, braking, and head turning). The distance from the intersection at which cyclists started braking was significantly affected by the two independent variables. It was also found that DTA, looking duration, and pedaling behavior significantly affected cyclists' decisions to yield. Finally, the questionnaire outputs show that participants missed eye contact or communication with the motorized vehicle. CONCLUSIONS: The kinematic interaction between cyclists and vehicles, along with the cyclist's response process (visual and kinematic), can be utilized to predict cyclists' yielding decision at intersections. From the infrastructural perspective, enhancing visibility at intersections has the potential to reduce the severity of interactions between cyclists and vehicles. The analysis of the questionnaire emphasizes the significance of visual communication between cyclists and drivers to support the cyclist's decision-making process when yielding. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: The models can be used in threat assessment algorithms so that active safety systems and automated vehicles can react safely to the presence of cyclists in conflict scenarios.

How state mindfulness affects mobile phones usage while walking: A daily diary study in China.

INTRODUCTION: Pedestrians are a particularly vulnerable group of road users. Mobile phone usage while walking (MPUWW) is a significant contributor to pedestrians' involvement in road crashes and associated injuries. The current study aims to explore the effect of state mindfulness on daily MPUWW via phone dependence (at the within-person level), and the moderating role of risk perception (at the between-person level) in the phone dependence-MPUWW relationship. METHOD: We utilized a fine-grained method, the daily diary methodology (DDM) to explore the aforementioned model. A total of 88 Chinese college students participated in a consecutive 12-day study, yielding 632 daily data. Unconflated multilevel modeling was used to analyze the data. RESULTS: After trait mindfulness being controlled, state mindfulness has a negative impact on MPUWW via phone dependence at the daily level. Furthermore, risk perception as an individual difference variable moderates the relationship between phone dependence and MPUWW, in which a weaker effect observed in individuals with higher levels of risk perception. CONCLUSIONS: State mindfulness can decrease the frequency of daily MPUWW by reducing phone dependence, and risk perception is a crucial factor in mitigating the negative effects of phone dependence on MPUWW. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: To lower MPUWW and thereby minimize the risk of road crashes and associated injuries, it is beneficial to foster present-moment awareness of individuals, encourage individuals to use mobile phones in a balanced and sensible manner, and integrate the enhancement of risk perception into road safety education.

Comprehensive analysis of trends, distribution, and odds of wrong-way driving fatal crashes on divided highways in the United States (2004-2020).

INTRODUCTION: This study presents a comprehensive analysis of wrong-way driving (WWD) fatal crashes on divided highways in the United States over a 17-year period, from 2004 to 2020. The study aims to uncover trends, distribution patterns, and factors contributing to these fatal crashes. Data were extracted from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) database. METHODS: Descriptive statistical analysis was used to reveal general crash characteristics, while trends were updated through an examination of the annual occurrence of WWD fatal crashes. The study further employed binomial logistic regression to compute odds ratios, identifying significant contributing factors. These factors encompassed temporal variables, crash characteristics, and driver characteristics. The odds ratios shed light on the relationship between WWD fatal crashes and other fatal crashes, allowing for the identification of key elements that drive WWD incidents. RESULTS: On average, 302 WWD fatal crashes occurred annually, resulting in 6,953 fatalities during the study period. The frequency of WWD fatal crashes remained relatively stable, with a slight increase over time. According to the model, variables include day of week, time of day, month, lighting conditions, weather conditions, roadway profile, collision type, passenger presence, driver age, gender, license status, and driver injury severity were found to significantly impact the occurrence of WWD fatal crashes. One significant finding is that road profiles like sag curves or hillcrests can increase the likelihood of WWD fatal crashes. PRACTICAL APPLICATION: The findings of this study contribute to an improved understanding of WWD fatal crashes on divided highways, thereby aiding in the development of strategies for prevention and mitigation.

Which drivers drive as they live and who are transformed while driving? Analysis of moderators in the relationship between general anger and driving anger.

INTRODUCTION: Trait driving anger is a widely studied personality variable in the field of road safety, due to its strong relationship with both risky behavior on the road and crash-related events. The Deffenbacher's Driving Anger Scale theoretical approach has underlined different situations that could provoke anger in drivers, although trait driving anger is usually analyzed as a whole. Trait general anger has been proposed as one of the most relevant predictors of trait driving anger, showing moderate relationships with it. METHOD: The current research aimed to analyze the relationship between trait general anger and each one of the situations provoking anger, as well as to search for personality variables that could moderate these relationships. Based on literature review, it was expected that self-esteem would moderate both Discourtesy and Hostile gestures, Type-A behavior pattern would moderate both Slow driving and Traffic obstructions, and conscientiousness would moderate both Police presence and Illegal driving. A sample of 417 drivers (Mage = 31.24, SDage = 13.59, 64.5% females) taken from the Spanish general population completed a set of self-reports. RESULTS: The results showed significant moderation effects in the case of Hostile gestures, Discourtesy, Illegal driving, and Slow driving. Conditional processes of these moderations were analyzed. Lastly, practical implications are discussed, allowing for tailored interventions to be implemented based on individual drivers' tendencies. Therefore, interventions should address different triggers of driving anger: boosting self-esteem for those angered by disrespect, targeting Type-A behavior reduction for those angered by traffic slowdowns, and promoting conscientiousness enhancement for those angered by others' risky driving.

Meta-analysis of the safety effect of electronic stability control.

OBJECTIVE: Electronic Stability Control (ESC) is a standard feature on most modern cars, due to its reported efficiency to reduce the number of crashes of several types. However, empirical studies of safety effects of ESC for passenger vehicles have not considered some methodological problems that might have inflated the effects. This includes self-selection of drivers who buy/use ESC and behavioral adaptation to the system over long time periods, but also the dominant method of induced exposure. This study aimed to investigate whether such methodological problems might have influenced the results. METHOD: A meta-analysis was undertaken to investigate whether there are systematic differences between published studies. Moderators tested included when the study was undertaken, the type of vehicle studied, the percent ESC in the sample, size of sample, the length of the study, whether matched or un-matched vehicles were studied, whether induced exposure was used, and two variants of types of crashes used as controls. RESULTS: The effects found ranged from 38% to 75% reduction of crashes for the main targets of singles, running off road and rollover crashes. However, these effects were heterogeneous, and differed depending on the methods used. Most importantly, information that could have allowed more precise analyses of the moderators were missing in most publications. CONCLUSIONS: Although average effects were large and in agreement with previous meta-analyses, heterogeneity of the data was large, and lack of information about important moderators means that firm conclusions about what kind of mechanisms were influencing the effects cannot be drawn. The available data on ESC efficiency are not unanimous, and further investigations into the effects of ESC on safety using different methodologies are warranted.

Understanding speeding behavior on interstate horizontal curves and ramps using networkwide probe data.

INTRODUCTION: Lane departure collisions account for many roadway fatalities across the United States. Many of these crashes occur on horizontal curves or ramps and are due to speeding. This research investigates factors that impact the odds of speeding on Interstate horizontal curves and ramps. METHOD: We collected and combined two unique sources of data. The first database involves comprehensive curve and ramp characteristics collected by an automatic road analyzer (ARAN) vehicle; the second database includes volume, average speed, and speed distribution gathered from probe data provided by StreetLight Insight®. We evaluated the impacts of level of service (LOS), which reflects traffic density or level of congestion, time of the day (morning, evening, and off-peak hours), time of the week (weekdays and weekends), and month of the year (Jan-Dec), and various information about geometric characteristics, such as curve radius, arc angle, and superelevation, on odds of speeding. RESULTS: The results show that the odds of speeding increases at horizontal curves with improved levels of service, as well as those with larger radii and superelevation. The odds of speeding decreases on curves with larger arc angles and during the winter months of the year. The findings indicate a reduction in odds of speeding at diagonal/loop ramps with larger arc angles and narrower lane widths. CONCLUSION: The results show the importance of using speed enforcement and other countermeasures to reduce speeding on curves with low traffic volumes, high speed limits, and large radius and superelevation, especially for those in rural areas. PRACTICAL APPLICATION: The results could be used to prioritize locations for the installation of speed countermeasures or dispatch enforcement resources to high-priority locations and times.

How do perceptions of procedural justice, police legitimacy, and legitimacy of laws influence intentions to drug drive?

INTRODUCTION: There is a need for improved drug driving enforcement to promote greater driver compliance with drug driving laws. In Australia, Roadside Drug Testing (RDT) suffers from operational challenges that undermine its effectiveness in reducing drug driving. OBJECTIVE: To identify potential improvements to RDT, this study investigated the extent to which drivers perceive RDT to be procedurally just and that the policing of drug driving and the associated laws are legitimate. These perceptions were then compared with those applying to Random Breath Testing (RBT) and examined in relation to their respective influence on intentions to drug and drink drive in the future. METHOD: A sample of 1,483 licensed drivers from three Australian states completed an online survey. RESULTS: Those participants who reported engaging in drug driving perceived RDT to be less procedurally just than non-drug drivers. Similarly, drug drivers perceived the police and associated drug driving laws to be less legitimate than non-drug drivers. Furthermore, drug drivers who had been tested at an RDT operation in the past perceived RDT to be less procedurally just and considered drug driving policing and laws to be less legitimate, compared with the corresponding perceptions of drink drivers who had been tested at an RBT operation. A regression analysis indicated that stronger intentions to drug drive in the future were associated with lower perceptions of police legitimacy and the legitimacy of drug driving laws, but not with the elements of procedural justice. However, follow-up analyses indicated that the influence of procedural justice on intentions was mediated by the two legitimacy variables, thus weakening its direct impact on intentions. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: The results highlight the need for road safety authorities to enhance the perceived legitimacy of drug driving enforcement and associated laws. Changes to current police practices and/or drug-driving laws may also be needed to enhance the effectiveness of RDT.

Gauging road safety advances using a hybrid EWM-PROMETHEE II-DBSCAN model with machine learning.

Introduction: Enhancing road safety conditions alleviates socioeconomic hazards from traffic accidents and promotes public health. Monitoring progress and recalibrating measures are indispensable in this effort. A systematic and scientific decision-making model that can achieve defensible decision outputs with substantial reliability and stability is essential, particularly for road safety system analyses. Methods: We developed a systematic methodology combining the entropy weight method (EWM), preference ranking organization method for enrichment evaluation (PROMETHEE), and density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN)-referred to as EWM-PROMETHEE II-DBSCAN-to support road safety monitoring, recalibrating measures, and action planning. Notably, we enhanced DBSCAN with a machine learning algorithm (grid search) to determine the optimal parameters of neighborhood radius and minimum number of points, significantly impacting clustering quality. Results: In a real case study assessing road safety in Southeast Asia, the multi-level comparisons validate the robustness of the proposed model, demonstrating its effectiveness in road safety decision-making. The integration of a machine learning tool (grid search) with the traditional DBSCAN clustering technique forms a robust framework, improving data analysis in complex environments. This framework addresses DBSCAN's limitations in nearest neighbor search and parameter selection, yielding more reliable decision outcomes, especially in small sample scenarios. The empirical results provide detailed insights into road safety performance and potential areas for improvement within Southeast Asia. Conclusion: The proposed methodology offers governmental officials and managers a credible tool for monitoring overall road safety conditions. Furthermore, it enables policymakers and legislators to identify strengths and drawbacks and formulate defensible policies and strategies to optimize regional road safety.

A real-time vehicle safety system by concurrent object detection and head pose estimation via stereo vision.

A considerable number of vehicular accidents occur in low-millage zones like school streets, neighborhoods, and parking lots, among others. Therefore, the proposed work aims to provide a novel ADAS system to warn about dangerous scenarios by analyzing the driver's attention and the corresponding distances between the vehicle and the detected object on the road. This approach is made possible by concurrent Head Pose Estimation (HPE) and Object/Pedestrian Detection. Both approaches have shown independently their viable application in the automotive industry to decrease the number of vehicle collisions. The proposed system takes advantage of stereo vision characteristics for HPE by enabling the computation of the Euler Angles with a low average error for classifying the driver's attention on the road using neural networks. For Object Detection, stereo vision is used to detect the distance between the vehicle and the approaching object; this is made with a state-of-the-art algorithm known as YOLO-R and a fast template matching technique known as SoRA that provides lower processing times. The result is an ADAS system designed to ensure adequate braking time, considering the driver's attention on the road and the distances to objects.

Examining drivers injury severity for manual and automatic transmission vehicles-involved crashes: Random parameter mixed logit model with heterogeneity in means and variances.

The effect of vehicle transmission type on driver injury severities have not been thoroughly studied. The study used four-year historical crash data that occurred between the year 2019 and 2022 in Ghana. The data shows 1856 and 2272 crashes for automatic and manual transmission, respectively. The study examined the factors influencing driver injury severity in crashes involving vehicles with manual and automatic transmissions, using Random Parameter Mixed Logit Model to account for heterogeneity in the dataset. It was observed that use of manual transmission is related to a higher risk of incapacitating and fatal injuries compared to automatic transmission. Specifically, for automatic transmission vehicle-involved crashes, factors related to fatal injury were overaged vehicles, public transport, morning and evening peak hours, head-on and rollover crashes. Crashes involving saloon cars and low age cars were associated with incapacitating injury whiles rainy weather condition was related to both fatal and incapacitant injuries. Regarding manual transmission, fatal injury was associated with crashes involving male and novice drivers, cars, pickup trucks, HGV, public transports, morning and evening peak hours, rainy weather conditions and curved roads. Also, buses, private cars and trip distance were related to incapacitating injury. The rollover crashes and overaged vehicles were also associated with both fatal and incapacitating injuries. Four random parameters demonstrated heterogeneity in means, with two factors influencing the variances of two parameters for automatic transmission model. For the manual transmission model, five random parameters showed heterogeneity in means, with four variables influencing the variances of three parameters. These findings are valuable for policymakers, manufacturers, and drivers in implementing targeted interventions and safety measures to promote road safety.

Towards efficient and accurate prediction of freeway accident severity using two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.

Accurately predicting freeway accident severity is crucial for accident prevention, road safety, and emergency rescue services in intelligent freeway systems. However, current research lacks the required precision, hindering the effective implementation of freeway rescue. In this paper, we efficiently address this challenge by categorizing influencing factors into two levels: human and non-human, further subdivided into 6 and 36 categories, respectively. Furthermore, based on the above factors, an efficient and accurate Freeway Accident Severity Prediction (FASP) method is developed by using the two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. The factor and evaluation sets are determined by calculating the fuzzy evaluation matrix of a single factor. The weight matrix is calculated through the entropy method to compute the final evaluation matrix. Based on the maximum membership principle, the severity of the freeway accident is predicted. Finally, based on the experiments conducted with the traffic accident datasets in China and the US, it is shown that FASP is able to accurately predict the severity of freeway traffic accidents with thorough considerations and low computational cost. It is noted that FASP is the first attempt to achieve freeway accident severity prediction using the two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to the best of our knowledge.

A review of research on tire burst and vehicle stability control.

Tire burst is an accidental occurrence that poses a serious threat to the driving stability and road safety of vehicles. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to investigate early warning systems for tire burst and develop stability and safety control measures after burst incidents. The development of an accurate model that can effectively represent the impact of tire burst on vehicle dynamics is crucial for the design of control systems and the development of stability control strategies. Most of the existing research on tire burst models is based on static tire tests, the effectiveness of these models still needs to be further verified. The main approach to studying the impact of burst tires on vehicle performance is to embed a burst tire model into a vehicle dynamics model. Understanding the impact of tire burst on vehicle performance is essential for identifying burst incidents and developing stability control strategies. The research on burst identification primarily focuses on early warning systems and estimating vehicle state parameters after burst incidents, while the current research on stability control strategies focuses on enabling vehicles to continue running safely after burst incidents through braking, active steering, and collaborative control. Currently, there is no comprehensive review of research on vehicle tire burst stability control. Therefore, this paper primarily reviews five aspects: (a) the causes and prevention of tire burst, (b) the impact of tire burst on vehicle performance, (c) burst identification, (d) stability control strategies for burst incidents, and (e) future prospects for tire burst research.

The effects of weather factors on road traffic casualties: Analysis on provincial panel data of China from 2006 to 2021.

Introduction: Road traffic injuries stands as a major concern globally, as they result in significant loss of life, economic impact, and erode trust in government and societal safety. The influence of weather on road traffic safety is undeniable, impacting road conditions, individuals, and vehicles. However, the specific influence of weather on road traffic casualties has seldom been explored. Method: This study assesses the effect of weather factors on road traffic casualties in China from 2006 to 2021. Vector error correction models (VECM) were utilized to determine the Granger causality between weather factors and covariates. Furthermore, panel autoregressive distribution lag models (ARDL) were applied to quantify the association between weather factors and road traffic casualties. Results: The findings indicate that rainfall and temperature exert a short-term negative impact on casualty risk, which intriguingly becomes positive in the long term. A standout discovery is the significant role of health investments, which are shown to reduce casualty numbers in both the short and long-terms. In the long run, the gross domestic product significantly enhances casualties, while expressway mileage notably decreases them. Conclusions: These results demonstrate the significant influence of weather on road traffic casualties and highlight the critical roles played by factors such as gross domestic product, health investment, and expressway mileage. The evidence presented in the study underscores the urgent need for more effective strategies to mitigate road traffic casualties. Thus, some effective measures are proposed to reduce road traffic casualties. This study is conducive to the improvement of traffic in severe weather in China and provides guidance for traffic management departments.

Incidence and etiology of traumatic spinal cord injury in Rwanda: a prospective population-based study.

Background: Traumatic spinal cord injury (TSCI) is not only a life-threatening but also life changing event that happens suddenly, the effects extends beyond the TSCI survivors to include their families. In Rwanda to the best knowledge of authors, there is no published information on the epidemiology of TSCI. The aim of this study was therefore to determine the incidence rate, etiology and injury characteristics of TSCI. Methods: All survivors of acute TSCI who met the inclusion criteria were prospectively recruited for a one-year period. The International Spinal Cord Injury Core Data Set was used to collect the minimum set of variables to facilitate worldwide comparison of epidemiological data, while the International Standards for the Neurological Classification was used to categorize TSCI according to the American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS). Data were collected by trained physiotherapists. Study design: A prospective, open-ended, cohort study design. Setting: All referral hospitals within the Republic of Rwanda. Results: Overall, 122 adult individuals sustained a TSCI between 10th October 2019 until 9th October 2020 and all consented to take part in the study. The male-to-female ratio was 3.9:1, and the mean age was 42.5 (SD = ±14.8) years. The crude incidence rate of TSCI was 22.2 per million people (95% CI, 18.4-26.5) with significant differences in sex-adjusted rates for all age groups while men 46 years of age and older presented with the highest incidence. The leading causes of TSCI were falls (73.8%), followed by road traffic accidents (18.9%). Moreover, SCI lesions of the cervical region (n = 69) were the most common, followed by the lumbosacral region (n = 27). Fifty-one (41.8%) participants were diagnosed as complete injury, i.e., AIS A, while incomplete injury category C constituted 35 (28.7%). Conclusion: The incidence and etiology of TSCI in Rwanda are comparable to worldwide estimates and figures. Largely, the etiology of TSCI are preventable as it is caused due to falls and road traffic accidents. There is a need to consider preventive strategies and policies on activities that predispose people to falls. Policies should focus largely on occupational health and safety in both formal and informal sectors of work.