RESUMEN
AIMS: Congestive heart failure (HF) is a common complication in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The estimated plasma volume status [ePVS = (100 - haematocrit)/haemoglobin] is used as the blood plasma volume index to determine the presence of congestion in patients with HF. However, the clinical impact of ePVS at discharge in patients with AMI remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether ePVS at discharge could determine the long-term prognosis in patients with AMI. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively identified patients with AMI with ePVS measured at discharge between January 2012 and December 2020. The primary endpoint was post-discharge all-cause death. The patients were divided into two groups according to an ePVS cut-off value of 5.5%, which is commonly used in HF. In total, 1012 patients with AMI were included. The median age was 70 years (range, 61-78 years), and 76.4% of the patients were male. The ePVS > 5.5% (high-ePVS) group included 365 patients (36.1%), and the all-cause mortality rate in the total cohort was 17.7%. The log-rank test revealed that the high-ePVS group had a significantly higher rate of all-cause death than the ePVS ≤ 5.5% (low-ePVS) group (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that high ePVS was associated with post-discharge all-cause death, independent of other risk factors (hazard ratio = 1.879; 95% confidence interval = 1.343-2.629, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: High ePVS at discharge was independently associated with high post-discharge all-cause mortality in patients with AMI. Our study suggests that ePVS at discharge in patients with AMI could serve as a novel prognostic marker.
Asunto(s)
Infarto del Miocardio , Alta del Paciente , Volumen Plasmático , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/mortalidad , Infarto del Miocardio/sangre , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Volumen Plasmático/fisiología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias , Causas de Muerte/tendencias , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/sangre , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/fisiopatologíaRESUMEN
Background: Assessing volume status in septic shock patients is crucial for tailored fluid resuscitation. Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has emerged as a simple and effective tool for evaluating patient volume status. However, the prognostic value of ePVS in septic shock patients remains underexplored. Methods: The study cohort consisted of septic shock patients admitted to the ICU, sourced from the MIMIC-IV database. Patients were categorized into two groups based on 28-day survival outcomes, and their baseline characteristics were compared. According to the ePVS (6.52 dL/g) with a hazard ratio of 1 in the restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, patients were further divided into high and low ePVS groups. A multivariable Cox regression model was utilized to evaluate the association between ePVS and 28-day mortality rate. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was plotted, and all-cause mortality was compared between the high and low groups using the log-rank test. Results: A total of 7,607 septic shock patients were included in the study, among whom 2,144 (28.2%) died within 28 days. A J-shaped relationship was observed between ePVS at ICU admission and 28-day mortality, with an increase in mortality risk noted when ePVS exceeded 6.52 dL/g. The high ePVS group exhibited notably higher mortality rates compared to the low ePVS group (28-day mortality: 26.2% vs. 30.2%; 90-day mortality: 35% vs. 42.3%). After adjustment for confounding factors, ePVS greater than 6.52 dL/g independently correlated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.10-1.31, p < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.15-1.35, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a heightened risk of mortality associated with ePVS values exceeding 6.52 dL/g. Conclusion: A J-shaped association was observed between ePVS and 28-day mortality in septic shock patients, with higher ePVS levels associated with increased risk of mortality.
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BACKGROUND: Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) estimated by the Duarte formula is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure. It remains unclear the predictive value of the ePVS to the postoperative hypotension (POH) in percutaneous intramyocardial septal radiofrequency ablation (PIMSRA) treating hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM). METHODS: Data of HOCM patients who underwent PIMSRA were retrospectively collected. Preoperative ePVS was calculated using the Duarte formulas which derived from hemoglobin and hematocrit ratios. Clinical variables including physical assessment, biological and echocardiographic parameters were recorded. Patients were labeled with or without POH according to the medical record in the hospital. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were performed to evaluate the association between ePVS and POH. Using different thresholds derived from quartiles and the best cutoff value of the receiver operating characteristic curve, the diagnostic performance of ePVS was quantified. RESULTS: Among the 405 patients included in this study, 53 (13.1%) patients were observed with symptomatic POH. Median (IQR) of ePVS in overall patients was 3.77 (3.27~4.40) mL/g and in patients with POH were higher than those without POH. The ePVS was associated with POH, with the odds ratio of 1.669 (95% CI 1.299 ~ 2.144) per mL/g. After adjusted by potential confounders, ePVS remained independently associated with POH, with the approximate odds ratio in different models. CONCLUSION: The preoperative ePVS derived from the Duarte formulas was independently associated with postoperative hypotension in HOCM patients who underwent PIMSRA and showed prognostic value to the risk stratification of postoperative management. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT06003478 (22/08/2023).
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Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica , Hipotensión , Ablación por Radiofrecuencia , Humanos , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/diagnóstico por imagen , Cardiomiopatía Hipertrófica/cirugía , Hipotensión/diagnóstico , Hipotensión/etiología , Volumen Plasmático , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estudios Clínicos como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a marker of intravascular congestion and has prognostic value in patients with heart failure (HF). The elevation of intracardiac filling pressures is defined as hemodynamic congestion and is also associated with poor prognosis. However, the relationship between intravascular congestion and hemodynamic congestion remains unclear. This study sought to explore the correlation between ePVS and hemodynamic parameters and determine the association between ePVS and clinical outcomes in patients with advanced HF. METHODS: Patients with advanced HF underwent right heart catheterization (RHC) for hemodynamic profiles. The sum of right atrial pressure (RAP) and pulmonary arterial wedge pressure (PAWP) > 30 mmHg was considered to present with hemodynamic congestion. Blood tests were conducted within 24 h of RHC. We calculated ePVS using the Strauss-derived Duarte formula. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 195 patients were divided into two groups based on the cut-off value of ePVS (4.08 dL/g) calculated from receiver operating characteristic analysis. Patients with ePVS > 4.08 dL/g were more likely to present with wet rales (21.2% vs. 9.9%, P = 0.032) and had a higher risk of death (HR 4.748, 95% CI 2.385-9.453), regardless of whether RAP + PAWP was normal or elevated (all P < 0.05). Hemodynamic parameters and ePVS were not correlated (all P > 0.05). High ePVS significantly improved the predictive value beyond the clinical plus hemodynamic prognostic model (area under the curve of 0.844, Delong test, P = 0.024). CONCLUSION: ePVS could additionally add prognostic value to hemodynamic parameters in advanced heart failure, although not correlated with hemodynamic parameters.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Volumen Plasmático , Humanos , Pronóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Hemodinámica , Cateterismo CardíacoRESUMEN
Objective: Acute heart failure (AHF) is a frequent cardiovascular emergency presenting with high mortality as well as readmission rates. The aim was to investigate the predictive value of estimated plasma volume status (ePVs) and left atrial diameter (LAD) for the prognosis of patients with AHF. Methods: Clinical profiles were collected from 259 cases of AHF patients at the Affiliated Hospital of Putian University between September 2019 and October 2021. Results: Six patients lost follow-up, resulting in 253 patients enrolled. Cardiogenic death and heart failure readmission during follow-up were defined as major cardiovascular events (MACE) group, other patients were defined as Non-MACE group. Apart from age, no significant differences were found between the two groups in demographics and comorbidities. The comparison between the two groups was statistically significant in terms of ePVs, LAD, and N-terminal-pro B-type natriuretic peptide (Nt-pro-BNP). On binary logistic regression analysis, ePVs (OR = 2.061, 95% CI 1.322â¼3.214, P = 0.001), LAD (OR = 1.054, 95% CI 1.012â¼1.098, P = 0.011), and Nt-pro-bnp (OR = 1.006, 95% CI 1.003â¼1.010, P = 0.036) as predicting factors for MACE. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that the risk for cardiogenic death increasing with ePVs (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Estimated plasma volume status and LADs have some predictive value in assessing cardiogenic death and heart failure readmission in patients with AHF.
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BACKGROUND: In patients with sepsis, timely risk stratification is important to improve prognosis. Although several clinical scoring systems are currently being used to predict the outcome of sepsis, but they all have certain limitations. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with sepsis or septic shock. METHODS: This single-center, prospective observational study, included 100 patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis or septic shock. Informed consent, blood samples, and co-morbidity data were obtained from the patients on admission, and the severity of sepsis was recorded. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to adjust for confounding factors to determine the significant prognostic factor. RESULTS: The in-hospital mortality was 47%. The ePVS was correlated with the amount of total fluids administered 24 hours before the ICU admission. The mean ePVS in patients who died was higher than in those who survived (7.7 ± 2.1 dL/g vs. 6.6 ± 1.6 dL/g, P = 0.003). To evaluate the utility of ePVS in predicting in-hospital mortality, a receiver operating characteristic curve was produced. Sensitivity and specificity were optimal at a cut-off point of 7.09 dL/g, with an area under the curve of 0.655. In the multivariate analysis, higher ePVS was significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.39; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.85, P = 0.028). The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that an ePVS value above 7.09 was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality compared with the rest of the population (P = 0.004). CONCLUSION: The ePVS was correlated with the amount of intravenous fluid resuscitation and may be used as a simple and novel prognostic factor in patients with sepsis or septic shock who are admitted to the ICU.
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Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Volumen Plasmático , Pronóstico , Curva ROC , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Choque Séptico/diagnósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) has been reported that associated with poor prognosis in heart failure patients. However, no researchinvestigated the association of ePVS and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Therefore, we aimed to determine the association between ePVS and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: We extracted AMI patients data from MIMIC-III database. A generalized additive model and logistic regression model were used to demonstrate the association between ePVS levels and in-hospital mortality in AMI patients. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to pooled the in-hospital mortality between the various group. ROC curve analysis were used to assessed the discrimination of ePVS for predicting in-hospital mortality. 1534 eligible subjects (1004 males and 530 females) with an average age of 67.36 ± 0.36 years old were included in our study finally. 136 patients (73 males and 63 females) died in hospital, with the prevalence of in-hospital mortality was 8.9%. The result of the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the high-ePVS group (ePVS ≥ 5.28 mL/g) had significant lower survival possibility in-hospital admission compared with the low-ePVS group (ePVS < 5.28 mL/g). In the unadjusted model, high-level of ePVS was associated with higher OR (1.09; 95% CI 1.06-1.12; P < 0.001) compared with low-level of ePVS. After adjusted the vital signs data, laboratory data, and treatment, high-level of ePVS were also associated with increased OR of in-hospital mortality, 1.06 (95% CI 1.03-1.09; P < 0.001), 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.08; P = 0.009), 1.04 (95% CI 1.01-1.07; P = 0.023), respectively. The ROC curve indicated that ePVS has acceptable discrimination for predicting in-hospital mortality. The AUC value was found to be 0.667 (95% CI 0.653-0.681). CONCLUSION: Higher ePVS values, calculated simply from Duarte's formula (based on hemoglobin/hematocrit) was associated with poor prognosis in AMI patients. EPVS is a predictor for predicting in-hospital mortality of AMI, and could help refine risk stratification.
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Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Infarto del Miocardio/fisiopatología , Volumen Plasmático , Anciano , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Hematócrito , Hemoglobinas/análisis , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/mortalidad , Pronóstico , Curva ROCRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Systemic congestion, evaluated by estimated plasma volume status (ePVS), is associated with in-hospital mortality in acute heart failure (AHF). However, the diagnostic and prognostic value of ePVS in patients with acute dyspnea has been insufficiently studied. OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between the first ePVS calculated from blood samples on admission in the emergency department (ED) and discharge diagnosis of AHF and in-hospital mortality in patients admitted for acute dyspnea. METHODS: The study included 1369 patients admitted for dyspnea in the ED in 2015. ePVS was calculated from hematocrit and hemoglobin values at admission. Comparisons of baseline characteristics according to ePVS tertiles were carried out and then associations between ePVS and the two outcomes "AHF diagnosis" and "intra-hospital mortality" were assessed using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: 36.6% had a BNP > 400 pg/mL and median ePVS was 4.58 dL/g [3.96-5.55]. Overall in-hospital mortality was 11.1% (n = 149). In multivariable analysis, the third ePVS tertile (> 5.12 dL/g) had a significantly increased risk of having AHF (OR = 1.64 [1.16-2.33], p = 0.005). In-hospital mortality rose across ePVS tertiles (8.4-13.8% p < 0.01). ePVS greater than the first or second tertile threshold (respectively, 4.17 dL/g and 5.12 dL/g) were both significantly associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR for 2nd/3rd tertile = 2.06 [1.25-3.38], p = 0.004 and OR for 3rd tertile = 1.54 [1.01-2.36], p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: Higher ePVS values determined from first blood sample at admission are associated with a higher probability of AHF and in-hospital mortality in patients admitted in the ED for acute dyspnea.