Circulating tumor HPV DNA in the management of HPV+ oropharyngeal cancer and its correlation with MRI.

BACKGROUND: First aim was to compare ddPCR assays of ctHPVDNA with p16 IHC and qualitative HPV PCR. Second aim was to carry out longitudinal blood sampling to test for association of ctHPVDNA with histological confirmed recurrence. Third aim was to perform a multidimensional assessment which included: (1) clinical features; (2) ctHPVDNA; (3) MRI-based tumor size measurements of primary tumor (PT) and cervical lymph node metastases (CLNM). METHODS: Plasma samples were collected before treatment and during follow-up, and ddPCR assay comprising E6 of HPV16 and HPV 33 and HPV 35 was used. RESULTS: Present study was conducted at diagnosis in 117 patients and revealed a ctHPVDNA sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 95.5-100) and a specificity of 94.4 (95% CI 81.3-99.3), positive predictive value (PPV) of 94.4 (95% CI 81.3-99.3), and negative predictive value (NPP) of 100% (95% CI 89.7-100). During follow-up ctHPVDNA had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 72.1-100)% and specificity of 98.4% (95% CI 91.7-100)%, PPV% of 90.9% (95% CI 62.3-98.4) and NPV% of 100% (95% CI 94.3-100) for ability to detect recurrence. Correlation between both the CLNM volume and the sum of PT and CLNM volume was observed. CONCLUSIONS: ctHPVDNA was superior to p16 in identification of HPV-OPSCC at diagnosis. Introduction of ctHPVDNA, beyond diagnostic setting, represents a great opportunity to improve follow-up protocol of OPSCC patients.

Quantification of human papillomavirus cell-free DNA from low-volume blood plasma samples by digital PCR.

The incidence rate of human papillomavirus-driven oropharyngeal cancer (HPV-OPC) is increasing in countries with high human development index. HPV cell-free DNA (cfDNA) isolated from 3 to 4 mL blood plasma has been successfully used for therapy surveillance. A highly discussed application of HPV-cfDNA is early detection of HPV-OPC. This requires sensitive and specific cfDNA detection as cfDNA levels can be very low. To study the predictive power of pre-diagnostic HPV-cfDNA, archived samples from epidemiological cohorts with limited plasma volume are an important source. To establish a cfDNA detection workflow for low plasma volumes, we compared cfDNA purification methods [MagNA Pure 96 (MP96) and QIAamp ccfDNA/RNA] and digital PCR systems (Biorad QX200 and QIAGEN QIAcuity One). Final assay validation included 65 low-volume plasma samples from oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients with defined HPV status stored for 2-9 years. MP96 yielded a 28% higher cfDNA isolation efficiency in comparison to QIAamp. Both digital PCR systems showed comparable analytical sensitivity (6-17 copies for HPV16 and HPV33), but QIAcuity detected both types in the same assay. In the validation set, the assay had 80% sensitivity (n = 28/35) for HPV16 and HPV33 and a specificity of 97% (n = 29/30). In samples with ≥750 µL plasma, the sensitivity was 85% (n = 17/20), while in samples with <750 µL plasma, it was 73% (n = 11/15). Despite the expected drop in sensitivity with decreased plasma volume, the assay is sensitive and highly specific even in low-volume samples and thus suited for studies exploring HPV-cfDNA as an early HPV-OPC detection marker in low-volume archival material.IMPORTANCEHPV-OPC has a favorable prognosis compared to HPV-negative OPC. However, the majority of tumors is diagnosed after regional spread, thus making intensive treatment necessary. This can cause lasting morbidity with a large impact on quality of life. One potential method to decrease treatment-related morbidity is early detection of the cancer. HPV cfDNA has been successfully used for therapy surveillance and has also been detected in pre-diagnostic samples of HPV-OPC patients. These pre-diagnostic samples are only commonly available from biobanks, which usually only have small volumes of blood plasma available. Hence, we have developed a workflow optimized for small-volume archival samples. With this method, a high sensitivity can be achieved despite sample limitations, making it suitable to conduct further large-scale biobank studies of HPV-cfDNA as a prognostic biomarker for HPV-OPC.

Preoperative Circulating Tumor HPV DNA and Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Disease.

Importance: The utility of preoperative circulating tumor tissue-modified viral human papillomavirus DNA (TTMV-HPV DNA) levels in predicting human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV+ OPSCC) disease burden is unknown. Objective: To determine if preoperative circulating tumor HPV DNA (ctHPVDNA) is associated with disease burden in patients with HPV+ OPSCC who have undergone transoral robotic surgery (TORS). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study comprised patients with HPV+ OPSCC who underwent primary TORS between September 2021 and April 2023 at one tertiary academic institution. Patients with treatment-naive HPV+ OPSCC (p16-positive) and preoperative ctHPVDNA levels were included, and those who underwent neck mass excision before ctHPVDNA collection were excluded. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the association of increasing preoperative ctHPVDNA levels with tumor size and lymph node involvement in surgical pathology. The secondary outcome was the association between preoperative ctHPVDNA levels and adverse pathology, which included lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, or extranodal extension. Results: A total of 70 patients were included in the study (65 men [93%]; mean [SD] age, 61 [8] years). Baseline ctHPVDNA levels ranged from 0 fragments/milliliter of plasma (frag/mL) to 49 452 frag/mL (median [IQR], 272 [30-811] frag/mL). Overall, 58 patients (83%) had positive results for ctHPVDNA, 1 (1.4%) had indeterminate results, and 11 (15.6%) had negative results. The sensitivity of detectable ctHPVDNA for identifying patients with pathology-confirmed HPV+ OPSCC was 84%. Twenty-seven patients (39%) had pathologic tumor (pT) staging of pT0 or pT1, 34 (49%) had pT2 staging, and 9 patients (13%) had pT3 or pT4 staging. No clinically meaningful difference between detectable and undetectable preoperative ctHPVDNA cohorts was found for tumor size or adverse pathology. Although the median preoperative ctHPVDNA appeared to be higher in pT2 through pT4 stages and pN1 or pN2 stages, effect sizes were small (pT stage: η2, 0.002 [95% CI, -1.188 to 0.827]; pN stage: η2, 0.043 [95% CI, -0.188 to 2.600]). Median preoperative log(TTMV-HPV DNA) was higher in active smokers (8.79 [95% CI, 3.55-5.76]), compared with never smokers (5.92 [95% CI, -0.97 to 1.81]) and former smokers (4.99 [95% CI, 0.92-6.23]). Regression analysis did not show an association between tumor dimension or metastatic lymph node deposit size and preoperative log(TTMV-HPV DNA). After univariate analysis, no association was found between higher log(TTMV-HPV DNA) levels and adverse pathology. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study, preoperative ctHPVDNA levels were not associated with disease burden in patients with HPV+ OPSCC who underwent TORS.

Preliminary Results from Retrospective Correlation of Circulating Tumor DNA (ct-DNA) with Imaging for HPV-Positive Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

The role of molecular markers is increasingly being recognized for head and neck tumors, ranging from benign lesions like paragangliomas to malignancies like squamous cell carcinomas. Multiple studies have recently validated blood tests for circulating tumor tissue-modified viral human papillomavirus DNA (HPV ct-DNA) for posttreatment surveillance of HPV-driven oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. This technology quantifies fragments of circulating DNA that are shed into the blood stream with very high (>95%) positive and negative predictive values and are also highly sensitive in distinguishing tumor HPV-DNA from a noncancerous source. This study has a cohort of 34 patients with HPV-driven oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas, having at least 3 sequential imaging studies and ct-DNA values. The study showed a strong positive correlation between the imaging findings and the ct-DNA level in recurrent HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. Findings also include the 100% negative predictive value of HPV ct-DNA tests to rule out tumor recurrence. At our institution, we are now routinely performing the ct-DNA assay for surveillance of treated HPV oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas. Correlation among clinical, radiologic, and biomarker findings are now part of routine discussions during the multidisciplinary tumor boards.

Prospective study evaluating dynamic changes of cell-free HPV DNA in locoregional viral-associated oropharyngeal cancer treated with induction chemotherapy and response-adaptive treatment.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) has a favorable prognosis which has led to efforts to de-intensify treatment. Response-adaptive de-escalated treatment is promising, however improved biomarkers are needed. Quantitative cell-free HPV-DNA (cfHPV-DNA) in plasma represents an attractive non-invasive biomarker for grading treatment response and post-treatment surveillance. This prospective study evaluates dynamic changes in cfHPV-DNA during induction therapy, definitive (chemo)radiotherapy, and post-treatment surveillance in the context of risk and response-adaptive treatment for HPV + OPC. METHODS: Patients with locoregional HPV + OPC are stratified into two cohorts: High risk (HR) (T4, N3, [Formula: see text] 20 pack-year smoking history (PYH), or non-HPV16 subtype); Low risk (LR) (all other patients). All patients receive induction chemotherapy with three cycles of carboplatin and paclitaxel. LR with ≥ 50% response receive treatment on the single-modality arm (minimally-invasive surgery or radiation alone to 50 Gy). HR with ≥ 50% response or LR with ≥ 30% and < 50% response receive treatment on the intermediate de-escalation arm (chemoradiation to 50 Gy with cisplatin). All other patients receive treatment on the regular dose arm with chemoradiation to 70 Gy with concurrent cisplatin. Plasma cfHPV-DNA is assessed during induction, (chemo)radiation, and post-treatment surveillance. The primary endpoint is correlation of quantitative cfHPV-DNA with radiographic response. DISCUSSION: A de-escalation treatment paradigm that reduces toxicity without compromising survival outcomes is urgently needed for HPV + OPC. Response to induction chemotherapy is predictive and prognostic and can select candidates for de-escalated definitive therapy. Assessment of quantitative cfHPV-DNA in the context of response-adaptive treatment of represents a promising reliable and convenient biomarker-driven strategy to guide personalized treatment in HPV + OPC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov on October 1st, 2020 with Identifier: NCT04572100 .

Usefulness of circulating tumor DNA by targeting human papilloma virus-derived sequences as a biomarker in p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer.

In head and neck cancer, early detection of recurrence after treatment is important. The contemporary development of therapeutic agents have improved the prognosis after recurrence; however, no biomarker has been established for evaluating therapeutic effects or detecting recurrence. Recently, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), which comprises DNA derived from tumor cells and exists in the form of cell-free DNA in the blood, has attracted attention as a minimally invasive and repeatable biomarker for detecting cancer. We validated the usefulness of ctDNA of human papilloma virus (HPV)-derived sequences as a biomarker in HPV-related p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer by assessing 25 patients with p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer. Blood samples were collected from each patient at multiple time points during the treatment, and the plasma was preserved. The ctDNA was extracted from the plasma and analyzed using digital polymerase chain reaction. HPV-derived ctDNA was detected in 14 (56%) of the 25 patients. In all the patients, the samples were found to be ctDNA-negative after initial treatment. Cancer recurrence was observed in 2 of the 14 patients; HPV-derived ctDNA was detected at the time of recurrence. Our results indicate that HPV-derived ctDNA can be a prospective biomarker for predicting the recurrence of p16-positive oropharyngeal cancer.

Performance of oral HPV DNA, oral HPV mRNA and circulating tumor HPV DNA in the detection of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer and cancer of unknown primary.

A biomarker that is useful for the detection of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) and cancer of unknown primary (CUP) is indispensable. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of HPV DNA and mRNA in oral gargle samples and circulating tumor HPV16 DNA (ctHPV16DNA) in blood samples. Oral HPV DNA and mRNA were analyzed using commercially available HPV assays of the GENOSEARCH HPV31 and Aptima, respectively. ctHPV16DNA was analyzed using in-house droplet digital polymerase chain reaction. Seventy-four patients with OPC and eight patients with CUP were included. The sensitivity and specificity of oral HPV DNA, oral HPV mRNA, and ctHPV16DNA were 82% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 66-92) and 100% (95% CI = 88-100), 85% (95% CI = 69-94) and 94% (95% CI = 73-100), and 93% (95% CI = 81-99) and 97% (95% CI = 84-100), respectively, for HPV16-related OPC, while those were 20% (95% CI = 1-72) and 100% (95% CI = 3-100), 0% (95% CI = 0-52) and 100% (95% CI = 3-100), and 100% (95% CI = 54-100) and 100% (95% CI = 16-100), respectively, for HPV16-related CUP. The sensitivity of ctHPV16DNA for HPV16-related OPC was higher than that of oral biomarkers, though the difference was not statistically significant. ctHPV16DNA remarkably correlated with the anatomic extent of disease, total metabolic tumor volume and HPV16 copy number per tumor genome in patients with HPV16-related OPC/CUP, whereas oral biomarkers did not. In conclusion, ctHPV16DNA is a potentially promising biomarker for HPV16-related OPC, while further studies are required for HPV16-related CUP.

Pre-treatment absolute lymphocyte count predicts for improved survival in human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of pretreatment complete blood count (CBC) data, including absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), has been reported for many diseases with decreased ALC and increased absolute neutrophil count (ANC) and NLR values correlating with worse outcomes. There is minimal data relating these hematologic parameters to oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) prognosis. This study evaluates the prognostic value of pretreatment CBC data in OPSCC on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in relation to HPV status. METHODS: A single-institutional retrospective review of patients with pretreatment hematologic data who received radiation for OPSCC was performed. Univariate and multivariate (UVA/MVA) Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed to identify prognostic variables. Translational studies related outcomes to the degree of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in histologic specimens. RESULTS: From 2007 to 2018, 201 patients were treated for OPSCC. Median follow-up was 40 months. 3-year OS was 86.2% in the HPV-positive cohort, 46.3% for HPV-negative. Median NLR was 3.04. NLR ≥ 3 was associated with worse PFS (HR 1.67, p = 0.044. In the subset of 158 HPV + patients, MVA revealed increasing ALC to be associated with improved OS (HR 0.53; p = 0.040) and PFS (HR = 0.48; p = 0.0075). On UVA, high-TIL infiltration at diagnosis was associated with improved OS. CONCLUSION: In a cohort of HPV + OPSCC patients, increasing ALC is associated with improved OS and PFS. Our study is the first to identify pre-treatment ALC as an independent prognostic factor in HPV-associated OPSCC.

Prognostic significance of pre-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with oropharyngeal cancer treated with radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in patients with oropharyngeal cancer. METHODS: Patients who completed definitive radiotherapy (RT) for oropharyngeal cancer and had blood counts taken pre-RT from 2002 to 2013 were included. NLR was calculated as total neutrophil/lymphocytes. Survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted with linear and Cox regression methods. NLR was analysed posteriori and dichotomised on the discovered median. RESULTS: Eight hundred and forty-eight patients were analysed. The median pre-RT NLR was 3. Patients with NLR of <3 had improved overall survival (OS) than those with NLR ≥ 3 (5-year OS 85 vs 74%, p < 0.0001). OS differences remained significant when stratified according to HPV status (HPV-positive p = 0.011; HPV-negative p = 0.003). Freedom from any recurrence (FFR), locoregional control (LRC) and freedom of distant recurrence (FDR) were better in those with NLR < 3. The negative impact of elevated pre-RT NLR on OS (HR = 1.64, p = 0.001), FFR (HR = 1.6, p = 0.006) and LRC (HR = 1.8, p = 0.005) remained significant on multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-RT NLR is an independent prognostic factor in patients with oropharyngeal cancer regardless of HPV status. Patients with lower NLR had more favourable OS and disease control.

The decreased mean platelet volume is associated with poor prognosis in patients with oropharyngeal cancer treated with radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: There is considerable evidence that platelets contribute to cancer growth and metastatic dissemination. In recent studies, altered mean platelet volume (MPV) has been associated with prognosis in different types of cancer. However, the prognostic role of the MPV in head and neck squamous cell cancer (HNSCC) is currently discussed controversially. The present study was performed to analyze and further elucidate the prognostic significance of the MPV in HNSCC. METHODS: A total of 319 oropharyngeal squamous cell cancer (OPSCC) patients treated with radiotherapy at a tertiary academic center were enrolled in the present study. Kaplan-Meier method as well as uni- and multivariate Cox proportional hazards were used to evaluate the impact of MPV on cancer-specific survival (CSS), locoregional control (LC) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). RESULTS: The median MPV was 10.30 fL (mean 10.26 ± 1.17fL). Univariate analyses showed a significant association of the MPV with CSS (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.74-0.98, p = 0.025), LC (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.74-0.99, p = 0.034) and RFS (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76-0.996; p = 0.043). In multivariate analysis, the MPV remained an independent prognostic factor for CSS (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.63-0.93, p = 0.008), LC (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.65-0.98, p = 0.030), and RFS (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.685-0.999, p = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the MPV is a prognostic marker in OPSCC patients and may contribute to future individual risk assessment.

Comparing serum protein levels can aid in differentiating HPV-negative and -positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: The surrogate immunohistochemical marker, p16INK4a, is used in clinical practice to determine the high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) status of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCC). With a specificity of 83%, this will misclassify some patients compared with direct HPV testing. Patients who are p16INK4a-positive but HPV DNA-negative, or RNA-negative, may be unsuitable for treatment de-escalation aimed at reducing treatment-related side effects. We aimed to identify cost-effective serum markers to improve decision making for patients at risk of misclassification by p16INK4a alone. METHODS: Serum proteins from pre-treatment samples of 36 patients with OPSCC were identified and quantified using label-free mass spectrometry-based proteomics. HPV-status was determined using p16INK4a/HPV DNA and E6/E7 mRNA. Serum protein expressions were compared between groups of patients according to HPV status, using the unpaired t-test with a Benjamini-Hochberg correction. ROC curves (AUC) were calculated with SPSS (v25). RESULTS: Of 174 serum proteins identified, complement component C7 (C7), apolipoprotein F (ApoF) and galectin-3-Binding Protein (LGALS3BP) significantly differed between HPV-positive and -negative tumors (AUC ranging from 0.84-0.87). ApoF levels were more than twice as high in the E6/E7 mRNA HPV-positive group than HPV-negative. CONCLUSIONS: Serum C7, ApoF and LGALS3BP levels discriminate between HPV-positive and HPV-negative OPSCC. Further studies are needed to validate these host immunity-related proteins as markers for HPV-associated OPSCC.

A comparative study of extracellular vesicle-associated and cell-free DNA and RNA for HPV detection in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: This study compares the detection sensitivity of two separate liquid biopsy sources, cell-free (cf) DNA/RNA and extracellular vesicle (EV)-associated DNA/RNA (EV-DNA/RNA), to identify circulating Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) DNA/RNA in plasma obtained from patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPCSCC). We also report on the longitudinal changes observed in HPV-DNA levels in response to treatment. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A prospective study was conducted that included 22 patients with locally advanced disease and six patients with metastatic OPCSCC. Twenty-three patients had HPV-related OPCSCC defined by p16 immunohistochemistry. Levels of circulating HPV-DNA and HPV-RNA from plasma-derived cf-DNA/RNA and EV-DNA/RNA were quantified using digital droplet PCR. RESULTS: Circulating HPV-DNA was detected with higher sensitivity in cf-DNA compared to EV-DNA at 91% vs. 42% (p = <0.001). Similarly, circulating tumoral HPV-RNA was detected at a higher sensitivity in cf-RNA compared to EV-RNA, at 83% vs. 50% (p = 0.0019). In the locally advanced cohort, 100% (n = 16) of HPV-OPCSCC patients demonstrated a reduction in circulating HPV-DNA levels in cf-DNA following curative treatment, with 81% of patients demonstrating complete clearance to undetectable levels. However, in metastatic HPV-OPCSCC patients (n = 4), HPV-DNA levels did not correlate with treatment response. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that although HPV-DNA/RNA can be detected in EV associated DNA/RNA, cf-DNA/RNA is the more sensitive liquid biopsy medium. As circulating HPV-DNA levels were found to only correlate with treatment response in the locally advanced but not metastatic setting in our small cohort of patients, the use of HPV-DNA as a dynamic biomarker to monitor treatment response requires further evaluation.

Plasma Circulating Tumor HPV DNA for the Surveillance of Cancer Recurrence in HPV-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer.

PURPOSE: Plasma circulating tumor human papillomavirus DNA (ctHPVDNA) is a sensitive and specific biomarker of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). We investigated whether longitudinal monitoring of ctHPVDNA during post-treatment surveillance could accurately detect clinical disease recurrence. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A prospective biomarker clinical trial was conducted among patients with nonmetastatic HPV-associated (p16-positive) OPSCC. All patients were treated with curative-intent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Patients underwent a 3-month post-CRT positron emission tomography/computed tomography scan and were thereafter clinically evaluated every 2-4 months (years 1-2), then every 6 months (years 3-5). Chest imaging was performed every 6 months. Blood specimens were collected every 6-9 months for analysis of plasma ctHPVDNA using a multianalyte digital polymerase chain reaction assay. The primary endpoint was to estimate the negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) of ctHPVDNA surveillance. RESULTS: One hundred fifteen patients were enrolled, and 1,006 blood samples were analyzed. After a median follow-up time of 23 months (range, 6.1-54.7 months), 15 patients (13%) developed disease recurrence. Eighty-seven patients had undetectable ctHPVDNA at all post-treatment time points, and none developed recurrence (NPV, 100%; 95% CI, 96% to 100%). Twenty-eight patients developed a positive ctHPVDNA during post-treatment surveillance, 15 of whom were diagnosed with biopsy-proven recurrence. Sixteen patients had 2 consecutively positive ctHPVDNA blood tests, 15 of whom developed biopsy-proven recurrence. Two consecutively positive ctHPVDNA blood tests had a PPV of 94% (95% CI, 70% to 99%). Median lead time between ctHPVDNA positivity and biopsy-proven recurrence was 3.9 months (range, 0.37-12.9 months). CONCLUSION: Detection of ctHPVDNA in two consecutive plasma samples during post-treatment surveillance has high PPV and NPV for identifying disease recurrence in patients with HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer and may facilitate earlier initiation of salvage therapy.

Multiple imputation and clinico-serological models to predict human papillomavirus status in oropharyngeal carcinoma: An alternative when tissue is unavailable.

In cancer epidemiological studies, determination of human papillomavirus (HPV) in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) typically depends on the availability of tumor tissue testing, and/or tumor tissue access. Identifying alternative methods for estimating HPV status can improve the quality of such studies when tissue is unavailable. We developed multiple predictive models for tumor HPV status and prognosis by combining both clinico-epidemiological variables and either serological multiplex assays of HPV or multiple imputation of HPV status (HPVmi ). Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of these methods compared to either p16 immunostaining (p16 IHC) or survival were assessed. When compared to a reference of tumor tissue p16 IHC in 783 OPSCC patients, the clinic-HPVsero model incorporating a composite of 20 HPV serological antibodies (HPVsero ) and 4 clinical factors (c-index: 0.96) performed better than using HPVsero (c-index: 0.92) or HPVmi (c-index: 0.76) alone. However, the model that contained a single HPV16 E6 antibody combined with four clinical variables, performed extremely well (clinic-s1-16E6; c-index: 0.95). When defining HPV status by HPVsero , s1-16E6, HPVmi or through p16 IHC, each of these definitions demonstrated improved overall and disease-free survival in HPV-positive OPSCC patients, when compared to HPV-negative patients (adjusted hazard ratios between 0.25 and 0.63). Our study demonstrates that when blood samples are available, a model that utilizes a single s1-16E6 antibody combined with several clinical features has excellent test performance characteristics to estimate HPV status and prognosis. When neither blood nor tumor tissue is available, multiple imputation, calibrated on local population characteristics, remains a viable, but suboptimal option.

Evaluating the Utility and Prevalence of HPV Biomarkers in Oral Rinses and Serology for HPV-related Oropharyngeal Cancer.

Performance of commercially available human papillomavirus (HPV) assays (approved for cervical HPV detection) is unknown for detecting HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer (HPV-OPC). Assays for detection of HPV DNA [ELISA (DEIA) and Cobas], and RNA (Aptima) in oral rinse samples, and serum HPV oncogene antibodies were evaluated. Sensitivity and specificity of each test was explored among HPV-OPC cases and controls. Biomarker prevalence was evaluated among 294 "at-risk" people (screening) and 133 "high-risk" people [known to previously have oral oncogenic HPV (oncHPV) DNA and/or HPV16 E6/E7 antibodies detected]. HPV16 E6 antibodies had the best overall test performance with sensitivity of 88%, compared with oral HPV16 DNA sensitivity of 51% by DEIA and 43% by Cobas (each P < 0.001). Specificity was comparable in each of these tests (≥98%). When positivity for any oncHPV type was compared with HPV16 for the same test, sensitivity was comparable (60% vs. 51%, 40% vs. 43%, and 92% vs. 88% for DEIA, Cobas, and E6 antibodies, respectively), but specificity was reduced (93%-97%). Aptima had poor sensitivity (23%). Sensitivity decreased when cotesting HPV16 oral rinse DNA and E6 antibodies (37%-48%), or multiple E antibodies (69%-72%). HPV16 DNA were detected in ∼2% of the at-risk by either DEIA or Cobas and up to 15% of the high-risk population. HPV16 E6 seroprevalence was 2.3% and 2.4% in the at-risk and high-risk populations, respectively. Oral rinse HPV testing had moderate-to-poor sensitivity for HPV-OPC, suggesting many true positives would be missed in a potential screening scenario. HPV16 E6 serum antibody was the most promising biomarker evaluated.

Timing of HPV16-E6 antibody seroconversion before OPSCC: findings from the HPVC3 consortium.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16)-E6 antibodies are detectable in peripheral blood before diagnosis in the majority of HPV16-driven oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), but the timing of seroconversion is unknown. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We formed the HPV Cancer Cohort Consortium which comprises nine population cohorts from Europe, North America and Australia. In total, 743 incident OPSCC cases and 5814 controls provided at least one pre-diagnostic blood sample, including 111 cases with multiple samples. Median time between first blood collection and OPSCC diagnosis was 11.4 years (IQR = 6-11 years, range = 0-40 years). Antibodies against HPV16-E6 were measured by multiplex serology (GST fusion protein based Luminex assay). RESULTS: HPV16-E6 seropositivity was present in 0.4% of controls (22/5814; 95% CI 0.2% to 0.6%) and 26.2% (195/743; 95% CI 23.1% to 29.6%) of OPSCC cases. HPV16-E6 seropositivity increased the odds of OPSCC 98.2-fold (95% CI 62.1-155.4) in whites and 17.2-fold (95% CI 1.7-170.5) in blacks. Seropositivity in cases was more frequent in recent calendar periods, ranging from 21.9% pre-1996 to 68.4% in 2005 onwards, in those with blood collection near diagnosis (lead time <5 years). HPV16-E6 seropositivity increased with lead time: 0.0%, 13.5%, 23.7%, and 38.9% with lead times of >30 years (N = 24), 20-30 years (N = 148), 10-20 years (N = 228), and <10 years (N = 301 cases) (p-trend < 0.001). Of the 47 HPV16-E6 seropositive cases with serially-collected blood samples, 17 cases seroconverted during follow-up, with timing ranging from 6 to 28 years before diagnosis. For the remaining 30 cases, robust seropositivity was observed up to 25 years before diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The immune response to HPV16-driven tumorigenesis is most often detectable several decades before OPSCC diagnosis. HPV16-E6 seropositive individuals face increased risk of OPSCC over several decades.

Rapid Clearance Profile of Plasma Circulating Tumor HPV Type 16 DNA during Chemoradiotherapy Correlates with Disease Control in HPV-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer.

PURPOSE: To identify a profile of circulating tumor human papilloma virus (HPV) DNA (ctHPVDNA) clearance kinetics that is associated with disease control after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: A multi-institutional prospective biomarker trial was conducted in 103 patients with (i) p16-positive OPSCC, (ii) M0 disease, and (iii) receipt of definitive CRT. Blood specimens were collected at baseline, weekly during CRT, and at follow-up visits. Optimized multianalyte digital PCR assays were used to quantify ctHPVDNA (types 16/18/31/33/35) in plasma. A control cohort of 55 healthy volunteers and 60 patients with non-HPV-associated malignancy was also analyzed. RESULTS: Baseline plasma ctHPVDNA had high specificity (97%) and high sensitivity (89%) for detecting newly diagnosed HPV-associated OPSCC. Pretreatment ctHPV16DNA copy number correlated with disease burden, tumor HPV copy number, and HPV integration status. We define a ctHPV16DNA favorable clearance profile as having high baseline copy number (>200 copies/mL) and >95% clearance of ctHPV16DNA by day 28 of CRT. Nineteen of 67 evaluable patients had a ctHPV16DNA favorable clearance profile, and none had persistent or recurrent regional disease after CRT. In contrast, patients with adverse clinical risk factors (T4 or >10 pack years) and an unfavorable ctHPV16DNA clearance profile had a 35% actuarial rate of persistent or recurrent regional disease after CRT (P = 0.0049). CONCLUSIONS: A rapid clearance profile of ctHPVDNA may predict likelihood of disease control in patients with HPV-associated OPSCC patients treated with definitive CRT and may be useful in selecting patients for deintensified therapy.

Prognostic value of posttreatment HPV-specific antibodies in patients with oropharyngeal tumors.

BACKGROUND: The presence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-specific antibodies in patients with head and neck cancer at enrollment has prognostic significance. In cervical carcinoma patients, the decrease of HPV E6/E7-specific antibodies appears to be associated with a better prognosis. METHODS: This prospective study with follow-up focused on the persistence and prognostic value of antibodies specific for HR HPV-derived VLPs and HPV16 E6/E7 oncoproteins in patients with oropharyngeal cancers. In this study, we analyzed sera of 93 patients taken a year after the end of treatment and sera from 58 of these patients taken up to 14 years after treatment. RESULTS: The level of HPV-specific antibodies decreased on the 1-year follow-up and the decrease during the long follow-up was statistically significant. For HPV16 E7 antibodies the decrease was steeper in nonrecurrent patients. While the level of antibodies at enrollment was not predictive of recurrences, the decrease of HPV16 E6 antibodies at 1-year follow up was associated with better overall as well as disease-specific survival of patients. CONCLUSIONS: The data suggest that the pretreatment level of HPV-specific antibodies is not predictive of the occurrence of recurrences but the decrease HPV16 E6 antibodies on the 1-year follow-up is predictive of better survival of HN patients.

Association of Posttreatment Lymphopenia and Elevated Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio With Poor Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Human Papillomavirus-Negative Oropharyngeal Cancers.

IMPORTANCE: Better biomarkers are needed for human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) to identify patients at risk of recurrence. Lymphopenia and an elevated ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes (NLR) have been associated with poor disease outcomes in a number of solid tumors. OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that postradiotherapy lymphopenia and elevated NLR are associated with poor clinical outcomes. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This single-institution retrospective analysis included patients with HPV-negative OPC treated from January 1, 1997, through January 4, 2017. Median follow-up was 37 months (range, 2-197 months). A total of 108 patients with HPV-negative OPC and at least 1 complete blood cell count 2 to 12 months after the start of radiotherapy were included. Data were analyzed from August 26 to September 7, 2017. INTERVENTIONS: Surgery followed by radiotherapy vs definitive radiotherapy, with or without chemotherapy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Absolute lymphocyte (ALC) and absolute neutrophil (ANC) counts were tested as variables affecting locoregional control, recurrence-free survival, and overall survival. RESULTS: Of a total of 108 patients included in the analysis (87.0% male; mean age, 56 years [range, 35-84 years]), 57 received surgery followed by postoperative radiotherapy and 51 received definitive radiotherapy. During treatment, 67 of 79 patients (84.8%) had grades 3 to 4 lymphopenia and 17 of 79 (21.5%) had grade 4 lymphopenia. The ANC recovered by 6 months after radiotherapy, but ALC remained depressed to 1 year after radiotherapy. Posttreatment lymphopenia and elevated NLR were associated with worse recurrence-free and overall survival. The estimated 3-year LRC in patients with and without grades 3 to 4 lymphopenia at 3 months after radiotherapy start was 73% vs 82% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.58; 95% CI, 0.19-1.8); estimated 3-year recurrence-free survival, 36% vs 63% (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.23-0.87); and estimated 3-year overall survival, 34% vs 64% (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.23-0.88). In multivariable analysis, an association with worse overall survival was found for definitive radiotherapy (HR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.6-7.1) and grades 3 to 4 lymphopenia (HR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.3-5.5) at 3 months after radiotherapy. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Lymphopenia and NLR as early as 3 months after treatment start may serve as biomarkers of clinical outcomes in patients with HPV-negative OPC. These patients may benefit from adjuvant treatment intensification or closer surveillance.