Neuroprotective agents for clinical trials in Parkinson's disease: a systematic assessment.

BACKGROUND: Current therapies for PD ameliorate symptoms in the early phases of disease but become less effective over time, as the underlying disease progresses. Therapies that slow the progression of PD are needed. However, there have been relatively few clinical trials aimed at demonstrating neuroprotection. The authors sought to identify potential neuroprotective agents for testing in clinical trials. METHODS: First a broad array of compounds were identified by working with clinicians and researchers in academics and industry. Specific criteria were drafted for drug evaluation, including scientific rationale, blood-brain barrier penetration, safety and tolerability, and evidence of efficacy in animal models or humans. Agents were prioritized based on these criteria. RESULTS: The authors identified 59 potential neuroprotective compounds, proposed by 42 clinicians and scientists from 13 countries. After systematic reviews using the specified criteria they found 12 compounds to be attractive candidates for further clinical trials in PD. CONCLUSIONS: Several potential neuroprotective compounds, representing a wide range of mechanisms, are available and merit further investigation in PD.

Lack of clinical significance of early ischemic changes on computed tomography in acute stroke.

CONTEXT: The prevalence and clinical significance of early ischemic changes (EICs) on baseline computed tomography (CT) scan of the head obtained within 3 hours of ischemic stroke are not established. OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency and significance of EIC on baseline head CT scans in the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) rt-PA (recombinant tissue plasminogen activator) Stroke Trial. DESIGN AND SETTING: The original study, a randomized controlled trial, took place from January 1991 through October 1994 at 43 sites, during which CT images were obtained within 3 hours of symptom onset and prior to the initiation of rt-PA or placebo. For the current analysis, detailed reevaluation was undertaken after October 1994 of all baseline head CT scans with clinical data available pretreatment (blinded to treatment arm). PATIENTS: Of 624 patients enrolled in the trial, baseline CT scans were retrieved and reviewed for 616 (99%). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Frequency of EICs on baseline CT scans; association of EIC with other baseline variables; effect of EICs on deterioration at 24 hours (>/=4 points increase from the baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS] score); clinical outcome (measured by 4 clinical scales) at 3 months, CT lesion volume at 3 months, death at 90 days; and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) within 36 hours of treatment. RESULTS: The prevalence of EIC on baseline CT in the combined rt-PA and placebo groups was 31% (n = 194). The EIC was significantly associated with baseline NIHSS score (rho = 0.23; P<.001) and time from stroke onset to baseline CT scan (rho = 0.11; P =.007). After adjusting for baseline variables, there was no EIC x treatment interaction detected for any clinical outcome, including deterioration at 24 hours, 4 clinical scales, lesion volume, and death at 90 days (P>/=.25), implying that EIC is unlikely to affect response to rt-PA treatment. After adjusting for NIHSS score (an independent predictor of ICH), no EIC association with symptomatic ICH at 36 hours was detected in the group treated with rt-PA (P>/=.22). CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis suggests that EICs are prevalent within 3 hours of stroke onset and correlate with stroke severity. However, EICs are not independently associated with increased risk of adverse outcome after rt-PA treatment. Patients treated with rt-PA did better whether or not they had EICs, suggesting that EICs on CT scan are not critical to the decision to treat otherwise eligible patients with rt-PA within 3 hours of stroke onset.

Apolipoprotein E phenotype and the efficacy of intravenous tissue plasminogen activator in acute ischemic stroke.

We used stored plasma samples from 409 patients in the National Institute of Neurological Diseases and Stroke (NINDS) tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) Stroke Trial to examine the relationship between an apolipoprotein (Apo) E2 or an Apo E4 phenotype and a favorable outcome 3 months after stroke, the risk of intracerebral hemorrhage, and the response to intravenous t-PA therapy. For the 27 patients with an Apo E2 phenotype who were treated with t-PA, the odds ratio (OR) of a favorable outcome at 3 months was 6.4 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-15.3%] compared to the 161 patients without an Apo E2 phenotype who were treated with placebo. The 190 patients treated with t-PA who did not have an Apo E2 phenotype also had a greater, though less pronounced, likelihood of a favorable outcome (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2-3.2%) than patients without an Apo E2 phenotype treated with placebo. For the 31 patients with an Apo E2 phenotype treated with placebo, the OR of a favorable 3 month outcome was 0.8 (95% CI 0.4-1.7%) compared to the 161 patients without an Apo E2 phenotype treated with placebo. This interaction between treatment and Apo E2 status persisted after adjustment for baseline variables previously associated with 3 month outcome, for differences in the baseline variables in the two treatment groups and in the Apo E2-positive and -negative groups, and for a previously reported time-to-treatment x treatment interaction (p = 0.03). Apo E4 phenotype, present in 111 (27%) of the 409 patients, was not related to a favorable 3 month outcome, response to t-PA, 3 month mortality, or risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. We conclude that the efficacy of intravenous t-PA in patients with acute ischemic stroke may be enhanced in patients who have an Apo E2 phenotype, whereas the Apo E2 phenotype alone is not associated with a detectable benefit on stroke outcome at 3 months in patients not given t-PA. In contrast to prior studies of head injury and stroke, we could not detect a relationship between Apo E4 phenotype and clinical outcome.

Early stroke treatment associated with better outcome: the NINDS rt-PA stroke study.

BACKGROUND: The National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) rt-PA Stroke Study showed a similar percentage of intracranial hemorrhage and good outcome in patients 3 months after stroke treatment given 0 to 90 minutes and 91 to 180 minutes after stroke onset. At 24 hours after stroke onset more patients treated 0 to 90 compared to 91 to 180 minutes after stroke onset had improved by four or more points on the NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS). The authors performed further analyses to characterize the relationship of onset-to-treatment time (OTT) to outcome at 3 months, early improvement at 24 hours, and intracranial hemorrhage within 36 hours. METHODS: Univariate analyses identified potentially confounding variables associated with OTT that could mask an OTT-treatment interaction. Tests for OTT-treatment interactions adjusting for potential masking confounders were performed. An OTT-treatment interaction was considered significant if p < or = 0.10, implying that treatment effectiveness was related to OTT. RESULTS: For 24-hour improvement, there were no masking confounders identified and there was an OTT-treatment interaction (p = 0.08). For 3-month favorable outcome, the NIHSS met criteria for a masking confounder. After adjusting for NIHSS as a covariate, an OTT-treatment interaction was detected (p = 0.09): the adjusted OR (95% CI) for a favorable 3-month outcome associated with recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) was 2.11 (1.33 to 3.35) in the 0 to 90 minute stratum and 1.69 (1.09 to 2.62) in the 91 to 180 minute stratum. In the group treated with rt-PA, after adjusting for baseline NIHSS, an effect of OTT on the occurrence of intracranial hemorrhage was not detected. CONCLUSIONS: If the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial treatment protocol is followed, this analysis suggests that patients treated 0 to 90 minutes from stroke onset with rt-PA have an increased odds of improvement at 24 hours and favorable 3-month outcome compared to patients treated later than 90 minutes. No effect of OTT on intracranial hemorrhage was detected within the group treated with rt-PA, possibly due to low power.

Finding the most powerful measures of the effectiveness of tissue plasminogen activator in the NINDS tPA stroke trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We sought to identify the most powerful binary measures of the treatment effect of tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) in the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) rTPA Stroke Trial. METHODS: Using the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) algorithm, we evaluated binary cut points and combination of binary cut points with the 4 clinical scales and head CT imaging measures in the NINDS tPA Stroke Trial at 4 times after treatment: 2 hours, 24 hours, 7 to 10 days, and 3 months. The first analysis focused on detecting evidence of "early activity" of tPA with the use of outcome measures derived from the 2-hour and 24-hour clinical and radiographic measures. The second analysis focused on longer-term outcome and "efficacy" and used outcome measures derived from 7- to 10-day and 3-month measures. After identifying the cut points with the ability to classify patients into the tPA and placebo groups using part I data from the trial, we then used data from part II of the trial to validate the results. RESULTS: Of the 5 most powerful outcome measures for early activity of tPA, 4 involved the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at 24 hours or changes in the NIHSS score from baseline to 24 hours. The best overall single outcome measure was an NIHSS score

Recommendations for the establishment of primary stroke centers. Brain Attack Coalition.

OBJECTIVE: To develop recommendations for the establishment and operation of primary stroke centers as an approach to improve the medical care of patients with stroke. PARTICIPANTS: Members of the Brain Attack Coalition (BAC), a multidisciplinary group of representatives from major professional organizations involved with delivering stroke care. Supplemental input was obtained from other experts involved in acute stroke care. EVIDENCE: A review of literature published from 1966 to March 2000 was performed using MEDLINE. More than 600 English-language articles that had evidence from randomized clinical trials, meta-analyses, care guidelines, or other appropriate methods supporting specific care recommendations for patients with acute stroke that could be incorporated into a stroke center model were selected. CONSENSUS PROCESS: Articles were reviewed initially by 1 author (M.J.A.). Members of the BAC reviewed each recommendation in the context of current practice parameters, with special attention to improving the delivery of care to patients with acute stroke, cost-effectiveness, and logistical issues related to the establishment of primary stroke centers. Consensus was reached among all BAC participants before an element was added to the list of recommendations. CONCLUSIONS: Randomized clinical trials and observational studies suggest that several elements of a stroke center would improve patient care and outcomes. Key elements of primary stroke centers include acute stroke teams, stroke units, written care protocols, and an integrated emergency response system. Important support services include availability and interpretation of computed tomography scans 24 hours everyday and rapid laboratory testing. Administrative support, strong leadership, and continuing education are also important elements for stroke centers. Adoption of these recommendations may increase the use of appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic modalities and reduce peristroke complications. The establishment of primary stroke centers has the potential to improve the care of patients with stroke. JAMA. 2000.

Does the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale favor left hemisphere strokes? NINDS t-PA Stroke Study Group.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) is a valid, reproducible scale that measures neurological deficit. Of 42 possible points, 7 points are directly related to measurement of language compared with only 2 points related to neglect. METHODS: We examined the placebo arm of the NINDS t-PA stroke trial to test the hypothesis that the total volume of cerebral infarction in patients with right hemisphere strokes would be greater than the volume of cerebral infarction in patients with left hemisphere strokes who have similar NIHSS scores. The volume of stroke was determined by computerized image analysis of CT films and CT images stored on computer tape and optical disks. Cube-root transformation of lesion volume was performed for each CT. Transformed lesion volume was analyzed in a logistic regression model to predict volume of stroke by NIHSS score for each hemisphere. Spearman rank correlation was used to determine the relation between the NIHSS score and lesion volume. RESULTS: The volume for right hemisphere stroke was statistically greater than the volume for left hemisphere strokes, adjusting for the baseline NIHSS (P<0. 001). For each 5-point category of the NIHSS score <20, the median volume of right hemisphere strokes was approximately double the median volume of left hemisphere strokes. For example, for patients with a left hemisphere stroke and a 24-hour NIHSS score of 16 to 20, the median volume of cerebral infarction was 48 mL (interquartile range 14 to 111 mL) as compared with 133 mL (interquartile range 81 to 208 mL) for patients with a right hemisphere stroke (P<0.001). The median volume of a right hemisphere stroke was roughly equal to the median volume of a left hemisphere stroke in the next highest 5-point category of the NIHSS. The Spearman rank correlation between the 24-hour NIHSS score and 3-month lesion volume was 0.72 for patients with left hemisphere stroke and 0.71 for patients with right hemisphere stroke. CONCLUSIONS: For a given NIHSS score, the median volume of right hemisphere strokes is consistently larger than the median volume of left hemisphere strokes. The clinical implications of our finding need further exploration.

Thrombolysis in acute ischemic stroke: controlled trials and clinical experience.

Thrombolytic therapy with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA) is approved in the United States for treatment of acute ischemic stroke. Approval was granted after a large, randomized, placebo-controlled study by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) showed a significant improvement in 3-month outcomes with rtPA despite a significant risk for symptomatic hemorrhage. Two other trials, the first and second European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS I and II), have shown comparable results, but neither was statistically positive for the predefined primary end point. An analysis of the risk/benefit profile of rtPA therapy based on the results of these three trials indicates that the treatment is effective and, when administered within 3 hours of symptom onset at a dose of 0.9 mg/kg, the benefits by far outweigh the risks for eligible patients. Even with the 6-hour time window of the two ECASS trials, a combined analysis of the three studies shows the number of disabled or dead patients to be significantly reduced. Preliminary data collected on the use of rtPA outside of clinical trials in the United States and Europe suggest that, when rtPA is used according to the trial protocol, the risks and benefits are similar to those observed in clinical trials. However, even within the United States, rtPA is underutilized. The most substantial treatment barrier is the narrow time window, which may be expanded if long-term experience shows that this is possible. Most stroke patients arrive at the hospital too late to be eligible for screening and treatment. Education of the public and physicians may help to overcome this difficulty.

Agreement and variability in the interpretation of early CT changes in stroke patients qualifying for intravenous rtPA therapy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Ischemic changes identified on CT scans performed in the first few hours after stroke onset, which are thought to possibly represent early cytotoxic edema and development of irreversible injury, may have important implications for subsequent treatment. However, insecurity and conflicting data exist over the ability of clinicians to correctly recognize and interpret these changes. We performed a detailed review of selected baseline CT scans from the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial to test agreement among experienced stroke specialists and other physicians on the presence of early CT ischemic changes. METHODS: Seventy baseline CT scans from the NINDS Stroke Trial were read and classified for the presence or absence of various early findings of ischemia by 16 individuals, including NINDS trial investigators, other neurologists, other emergency medicine physicians, and radiology or stroke fellows. CT scans included normal scans and scans from patients who later developed symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, as well as scans on which the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial neuroradiologist identified clear-cut early CT changes. For each CT finding, kappa-statistics were used to assess the proportion of agreement beyond chance. RESULTS: kappa-Values (95% confidence interval [CI]) ranged from 0.20 (-0.20, 0.61) (fair agreement) to 0.41 (0.37, 0.45) (moderate agreement) among the 16 viewers, and the kappa-value was only 0.39 (0.29, 0.49) (fair) in answer to the question "do early CT changes involve more than one third of the MCA [middle cerebral artery] territory?" There was substantial variability within each specialty group and between groups. kappa-Values were only fair to moderate even among physicians experienced in selecting and treating acute stroke patients with rtPA. Observed agreement ranged from 68% to 85%. Physicians agreed on the finding of early CT changes involving >33% of the MCA territory 77% of the time, although the kappa-value of 0.39 suggested only moderate agreement beyond chance. CONCLUSIONS: There is considerable lack of agreement, even among experienced clinicians, in recognizing and quantifying early CT changes. Improved methods of recognizing and quantifying early ischemic brain damage are needed.

Effects of tissue plasminogen activator for acute ischemic stroke at one year. National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator Stroke Study Group.

BACKGROUND: In 1995, the two-part National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator Stroke Trial found that patients who were treated with tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) within three hours after the onset of symptoms of acute ischemic stroke were at least 30 percent more likely than patients given placebo to have minimal or no disability three months after the stroke. It was unknown, however, whether the benefit would be sustained for longer periods. METHODS: In the NINDS Trial, a total of 624 patients with stroke were randomly assigned to receive either t-PA or placebo. We collected outcome data over a period of 12 months after the occurrence of stroke. The primary outcome measure was a "favorable outcome," defined as minimal or no disability as measured by the Barthel index, the modified Rankin Scale, and the Glasgow Outcome Scale. We assessed the treatment effect using a global statistic. RESULTS: Using an intention-to-treat analysis for the combined results of the two parts of the trial at 6 months and 12 months, we found that the global statistic favored the t-PA group (odds ratio for a favorable outcome at 6 months, 1.7; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.3 to 2.3; odds ratio at 12 months, 95 percent confidence interval, 1.7; 1.2 to 2.3). The patients treated with t-PA were at least 30 percent more likely to have minimal or no disability at 12 months than were the placebo-treated patients (absolute increase in the proportion with a favorable outcome, 11 to 13 percentage points). There was no significant difference in mortality at 12 months between the t-PA group and the placebo group (24 percent vs. 28 percent, P=0.29). There was no interaction between the type of stroke identified at base line and treatment with respect to the long-term response. The rate of recurrent stroke at 12 months was similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: During 12 months of follow-up, the patients with acute ischemic stroke who were treated with t-PA within three hours after the onset of symptoms were more likely to have minimal or no disability, than the patients given placebo. These results indicate a sustained benefit of t-PA for such patients.

Hypertension and its treatment in the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We examined the frequency, course, and treatment of hypertension in the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial. METHODS: Blood pressure (BP) was measured at the time of admission, at randomization, and then 36 times during the first 24 hours after randomization. Patients with a systolic BP of >185 mm Hg and a diastolic BP of >110 mm Hg at admission were defined as hypertensive before randomization, and those with a systolic BP of >180 mm Hg or a diastolic BP of >105 mm Hg within the first 24 hours after randomization were defined as hypertensive after randomization. Standardized clinical assessments were conducted at 24 hours and at 3 months. Post hoc analyses were conducted to evaluate the association of antihypertensive therapy with clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Of the 624 patients, 121(19%) had hypertension on admission and 372 (60%) had hypertension in the 24 hours after randomization. The use of antihypertensive therapy before randomization (tPA 9%, placebo 9%) and after randomization (tPA 24%, placebo 29%) was similar between placebo- and tPA-treated patients. No adverse effects of prerandomization antihypertensive therapy on 3-month favorable outcome were detected for either the placebo- or tPA-treated groups. For placebo patients with hypertension in the 24 hours after randomization, clinical outcome measures were similar for those patients who did and did not receive antihypertensive therapy after randomization (P > or = 0.26); antihypertensive therapy was not associated with declines in BP (P = 0.44) or with abrupt declines (P = 0.14). Those tPA patients who were hypertensive after randomization and received antihypertensive therapy were less likely to have a favorable outcome at 3 months (P < 0.01) than those who were hypertensive and did not receive antihypertensive therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of hypertension and the use of antihypertensive therapy were similar between the tPA and placebo groups in the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial. In the placebo group, antihypertensive therapy was not associated with less favorable outcomes at 3 months; postrandomization antihypertensive therapy was associated with less favorable outcomes for the tPA patients who were hypertensive. However, because of the nonrandomized use of antihypertensive therapy and the many post hoc comparisons leading to type 1 errors, the significance of this observation is unclear. Careful attention to BP and gentle management remain warranted for stroke patients treated with tPA.

Cost-effectiveness of tissue plasminogen activator for acute ischemic stroke. NINDS rt-PA Stroke Study Group.

Tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) has been shown to improve 3-month outcome in stroke patients treated within 3 hours of symptom onset. The costs associated with this new treatment will be a factor in determining the extent of its utilization. Data from the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial and the medical literature were used to estimate the health and economic outcomes associated with using tPA in acute stroke patients. A Markov model was developed to estimate the costs per 1,000 patients eligible for treatment with tPA compared with the costs per 1,000 untreated patients. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses (using Monte Carlo simulation) were performed to estimate the overall uncertainty of the model results. In the NINDS rt-PA Stroke Trial, the average length of stay was significantly shorter in tPA-treated patients than in placebo-treated patients (10.9 versus 12.4 days; p = 0.02) and more tPA patients were discharged to home than to inpatient rehabilitation or a nursing home (48% versus 36%; p = 0.002). The Markov model estimated an increase in hospitalization costs of $1.7 million and a decrease in rehabilitation costs of $1.4 million and nursing home cost of $4.8 million per 1,000 eligible treated patients for a health care system that includes acute through long-term care facilities. Multiway sensitivity analysis revealed a greater than 90% probability of cost savings. The estimated impact on long-term health outcomes was 564 (3 to 850) quality-adjusted life-years saved over 30 years of the model per 1,000 patients. Treating acute ischemic stroke patients with tPA within 3 hours of symptom onset improves functional outcome at 3 months and is likely to result in a net cost savings to the health care system.