Tumor thickness as a novel risk factor for lymph node metastasis by superficial squamous cell carcinoma of head and neck.

Narrow-band imaging combined with magnified endoscopy has enabled the detection of superficial squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SSCCHN) that has been resected with minimally invasive treatment, preserving vocalization and swallowing functions. However, risk factors of lymph node metastasis (LNM) must be identified, as some patients with LNM have a poor prognosis. From an initial 599 patients with 700 lesions who underwent trans-oral surgery in 27 Japanese hospitals (a nationwide registration survey), we enrolled 541 patients with 633 SSCCHNs, as indicated by central pathological diagnoses. All pathological specimens for each patient were examined using 20 pathological factors that are thought to affect the LNM of SSCCHN. In all, 24 (4.4%) of the 568 SSCCHNs exhibited LNM, and all 24 had at least one solitary nest of epithelial neoplastic cells present in the stroma, clearly separated from the intraepithelial carcinoma. Multivariate analysis also showed that tumor thickness (p = 0.0132, RR: 7.85, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54-40.02), and an INFc pattern classified as infiltrating growth (INF) with unclear boundaries between tumor and non-tumor tissues (p = 0.0003, RR: 14.47, 3.46-60.46), and tumor budding (p = 0.0019, RR: 4.35, CI: 1.72-11.01) were significantly associated with LNM. Solitary nests may be indicative of LNM. In addition, tumor thickness was revealed to be a risk factor for LNM in SSCCHNs using pT factors that do not include an invasion depth element because of the anatomical absence of the muscularis mucosae.

Artificial Intelligence to Predict the Risk of Lymph Node Metastasis in T2 Colorectal Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and externally validate an updated artificial intelligence (AI) prediction system for stratifying the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in T2 colorectal cancer (CRC). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Recent technical advances allow complete local excision of T2 CRC, traditionally treated with surgical resection. Yet, the widespread adoption of this approach is hampered by the inability to stratify the risk of LNM. METHODS: Data from pT2 CRC patients undergoing surgical resection between April 2000 and May 2022 at one Japanese and one Italian center were analyzed. Primary goal was AI system development for accurate LNM prediction. Predictors encompassed seven variables: age, sex, tumor size and location, lympho-vascular invasion, histological differentiation, and carcinoembryonic antigen level. The tool's discriminating power was assessed via Area Under the Curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: Out of 735 initial patients, 692 were eligible. Training and validation cohorts comprised of 492 and 200 patients, respectively. The AI model displayed an AUC of 0.75 in the combined validation dataset. Sensitivity for LNM prediction was 97.8% and specificity was 15.6%. The Positive and the Negative Predictive Value were 25.7% and 96% respectively. The False Negative (FN) rate was 2.2%, the False Positive was 84.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Our AI model, based on easily accessible clinical and pathological variables, moderately predicts LNM in T2 CRC. However, the risk of FN needs to be considered. The training of the model including more patients across Western and Eastern centers -differentiating between colon and rectal cancers- may improve its performance and accuracy.

Automated Neutrophil Quantification and Histological Score Estimation in Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND: In the management of ulcerative colitis (UC), histological remission is increasingly recognized as the ultimate goal. The absence of neutrophil infiltration is crucial for assessing remission. This study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system capable of accurately quantifying and localizing neutrophils in UC biopsy specimens to facilitate histological assessment. METHODS: Our AI system, which incorporates semantic segmentation and object detection models, was developed to identify neutrophils in hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images. The system assessed the presence and location of neutrophils within either the epithelium or lamina propria and predicted components of the Nancy Histological Index and the PICaSSO Histologic Remission Index. We evaluated the system's performance against that of experienced pathologists and validated its ability to predict future clinical relapse risk in patients with clinically remitted UC. The primary outcome measure was the clinical relapse rate, defined as a partial Mayo score of ≥3. RESULTS: The model accurately identified neutrophils, achieving a performance of 0.77, 0.81, and 0.79 for precision, recall, and F-score, respectively. The system's histological score predictions showed a positive correlation with the pathologists' diagnoses (Spearman's ρ = 0.68-0.80; P < .05). Among patients who relapsed, the mean number of neutrophils in the rectum was higher than in those who did not relapse. Furthermore, the study highlighted that higher AI-based PICaSSO Histologic Remission Index and Nancy Histological Index scores were associated with hazard ratios increasing from 3.2 to 5.0 for evaluating the risk of UC relapse. CONCLUSIONS: The AI system's precise localization and quantification of neutrophils proved valuable for histological assessment and clinical prognosis stratification.

A novel artificial intelligence-assisted "vascular healing" diagnosis for prediction of future clinical relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis: a prospective cohort study (with video).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Image-enhanced endoscopy has attracted attention as a method for detecting inflammation and predicting outcomes in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC); however, the procedure requires specialist endoscopists. Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted image-enhanced endoscopy may help nonexperts provide objective accurate predictions with the use of optical imaging. We aimed to develop a novel AI-based system using 8853 images from 167 patients with UC to diagnose "vascular-healing" and establish the role of AI-based vascular-healing for predicting the outcomes of patients with UC. METHODS: This open-label prospective cohort study analyzed data for 104 patients with UC in clinical remission. Endoscopists performed colonoscopy using the AI system, which identified the target mucosa as AI-based vascular-active or vascular-healing. Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES), AI outputs, and histologic assessment were recorded for 6 colorectal segments from each patient. Patients were followed up for 12 months. Clinical relapse was defined as a partial Mayo score >2 RESULTS: The clinical relapse rate was significantly higher in the AI-based vascular-active group (23.9% [16/67]) compared with the AI-based vascular-healing group (3.0% [1/33)]; P = .01). In a subanalysis predicting clinical relapse in patients with MES ≤1, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the combination of complete endoscopic remission and vascular healing (0.70) was increased compared with that for complete endoscopic remission alone (0.65). CONCLUSIONS: AI-based vascular-healing diagnosis system may potentially be used to provide more confidence to physicians to accurately identify patients in remission of UC who would likely relapse rather than remain stable.

Accuracy Goals in Predicting Preoperative Lymph Node Metastasis for T1 Colorectal Cancer Resected Endoscopically.

Submucosal invasive (T1) colorectal cancer is a significant clinical management challenge, with an estimated 10% of patients developing extraintestinal lymph node metastasis. This condition necessitates surgical resection along with lymph node dissection to achieve a curative outcome. Thus, the precise preoperative assessment of lymph node metastasis risk is crucial to guide treatment decisions after endoscopic resection. Contemporary clinical guidelines strive to identify a low-risk cohort for whom endoscopic resection will suffice, applying stringent criteria to maximize patient safety. Those failing to meet these criteria are often recommended for surgical resection, with its associated mortality risks although it may still include patients with a low risk of metastasis. In the quest to enhance the precision of preoperative lymph node metastasis risk prediction, innovative models leveraging artificial intelligence or nomograms are being developed. Nevertheless, the debate over the ideal sensitivity and specificity for such models persists, with no consensus on target metrics. This review puts forth postoperative mortality rates as a practical benchmark for the sensitivity of predictive models. We underscore the importance of this method and advocate for research to amass data on surgical mortality in T1 colorectal cancer. Establishing specific benchmarks for predictive accuracy in lymph node metastasis risk assessment will hopefully optimize the treatment of T1 colorectal cancer.

Differentiation grade as a risk factor for lymph node metastasis in T1 colorectal cancer.

Objectives: Japanese guidelines include high-grade (poorly differentiated) tumors as a risk factor for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in T1 colorectal cancer (CRC). However, whether the grading is based on the least or most predominant component when the lesion consists of two or more levels of differentiation varies among institutions. This study aimed to investigate which method is optimal for assessing the risk of LNM in T1 CRC. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 971 consecutive patients with T1 CRC who underwent initial or additional surgical resection from 2001 to 2021 at our institution. Tumor grading was divided into low-grade (well- to moderately differentiated) and high-grade based on the least or predominant differentiation analyses. We investigated the correlations between LNM and these two grading analyses. Results: LNM was present in 9.8% of patients. High-grade tumors, as determined by least differentiation analysis, accounted for 17.0%, compared to 0.8% identified by predominant differentiation analysis. A significant association with LNM was noted for the least differentiation method (p < 0.05), while no such association was found for predominant differentiation (p = 0.18). In multivariate logistic regression, grading based on least differentiation was an independent predictor of LNM (p = 0.04, odds ratio 1.68, 95% confidence interval 1.00-2.83). Sensitivity and specificity for detecting LNM were 27.4% and 84.1% for least differentiation, and 2.1% and 99.3% for predominant differentiation, respectively. Conclusions: Tumor grading via least differentiation analysis proved to be a more reliable measure for assessing LNM risk in T1 CRC compared to grading by predominant differentiation.

Real-Time Artificial Intelligence-Based Optical Diagnosis of Neoplastic Polyps during Colonoscopy.

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence using computer-aided diagnosis (CADx) in real time with images acquired during colonoscopy may help colonoscopists distinguish between neoplastic polyps requiring removal and nonneoplastic polyps not requiring removal. In this study, we tested whether CADx analyzed images helped in this decision-making process. METHODS: We performed a multicenter clinical study comparing a novel CADx-system that uses real-time ultra-magnifying polyp visualization during colonoscopy with standard visual inspection of small (≤5 mm in diameter) polyps in the sigmoid colon and the rectum for optical diagnosis of neoplastic histology. After committing to a diagnosis (i.e., neoplastic, uncertain, or nonneoplastic), all imaged polyps were removed. The primary end point was sensitivity for neoplastic polyps by CADx and visual inspection, compared with histopathology. Secondary end points were specificity and colonoscopist confidence level in unaided optical diagnosis. RESULTS: We assessed 1289 individuals for eligibility at colonoscopy centers in Norway, the United Kingdom, and Japan. We detected 892 eligible polyps in 518 patients and included them in analyses: 359 were neoplastic and 533 were nonneoplastic. Sensitivity for the diagnosis of neoplastic polyps with standard visual inspection was 88.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 84.3 to 91.5) compared with 90.4% (95% CI, 86.8 to 93.1) with CADx (P=0.33). Specificity was 83.1% (95% CI, 79.2 to 86.4) with standard visual inspection and 85.9% (95% CI, 82.3 to 88.8) with CADx. The proportion of polyp assessment with high confidence was 74.2% (95% CI, 70.9 to 77.3) with standard visual inspection versus 92.6% (95% CI, 90.6 to 94.3) with CADx. CONCLUSIONS: Real-time polyp assessment with CADx did not significantly increase the diagnostic sensitivity of neoplastic polyps during a colonoscopy compared with optical evaluation without CADx. (Funded by the Research Council of Norway [Norges Forskningsråd], the Norwegian Cancer Society [Kreftforeningen], and the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; UMIN number, UMIN000035213.)