A denoised multi-omics integration framework for cancer subtype classification and survival prediction.

The availability of high-throughput sequencing data creates opportunities to comprehensively understand human diseases as well as challenges to train machine learning models using such high dimensions of data. Here, we propose a denoised multi-omics integration framework, which contains a distribution-based feature denoising algorithm, Feature Selection with Distribution (FSD), for dimension reduction and a multi-omics integration framework, Attention Multi-Omics Integration (AttentionMOI) to predict cancer prognosis and identify cancer subtypes. We demonstrated that FSD improved model performance either using single omic data or multi-omics data in 15 The Cancer Genome Atlas Program (TCGA) cancers for survival prediction and kidney cancer subtype identification. And our integration framework AttentionMOI outperformed machine learning models and current multi-omics integration algorithms with high dimensions of features. Furthermore, FSD identified features that were associated to cancer prognosis and could be considered as biomarkers.

SurvConvMixer: robust and interpretable cancer survival prediction based on ConvMixer using pathway-level gene expression images.

Cancer is one of the leading causes of deaths worldwide. Survival analysis and prediction of cancer patients is of great significance for their precision medicine. The robustness and interpretability of the survival prediction models are important, where robustness tells whether a model has learned the knowledge, and interpretability means if a model can show human what it has learned. In this paper, we propose a robust and interpretable model SurvConvMixer, which uses pathways customized gene expression images and ConvMixer for cancer short-term, mid-term and long-term overall survival prediction. With ConvMixer, the representation of each pathway can be learned respectively. We show the robustness of our model by testing the trained model on absolutely untrained external datasets. The interpretability of SurvConvMixer depends on gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-Cam), by which we can obtain the pathway-level activation heat map. Then wilcoxon rank-sum tests are conducted to obtain the statistically significant pathways, thereby revealing which pathways the model focuses on more. SurvConvMixer achieves remarkable performance on the short-term, mid-term and long-term overall survival of lung adenocarcinoma, lung squamous cell carcinoma and skin cutaneous melanoma, and the external validation tests show that SurvConvMixer can generalize to external datasets so that it is robust. Finally, we investigate the activation maps generated by Grad-Cam, after wilcoxon rank-sum test and Kaplan-Meier estimation, we find that some survival-related pathways play important role in SurvConvMixer.

Indirect functional connectivity does not predict overall survival in glioblastoma.

BACKGROUND: Lesion network mapping (LNM) is a popular framework to assess clinical syndromes following brain injury. The classical approach involves embedding lesions from patients into a normative functional connectome and using the corresponding functional maps as proxies for disconnections. However, previous studies indicated limited predictive power of this approach in behavioral deficits. We hypothesized similarly low predictiveness for overall survival (OS) in glioblastoma (GBM). METHODS: A retrospective dataset of patients with GBM was included (n = 99). Lesion masks were registered in the normative space to compute disconnectivity maps. The brain functional normative connectome consisted in data from 173 healthy subjects obtained from the Human Connectome Project. A modified version of the LNM was then applied to core regions of GBM masks. Linear regression, classification, and principal component (PCA) analyses were conducted to explore the relationship between disconnectivity and OS. OS was considered both as continuous and categorical (low, intermediate, and high survival) variable. RESULTS: The results revealed no significant associations between OS and network disconnection strength when analyzed at both voxel-wise and classification levels. Moreover, patients stratified into different OS groups did not exhibit significant differences in network connectivity patterns. The spatial similarity among the first PCA of network maps for each OS group suggested a lack of distinctive network patterns associated with survival duration. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with indirect structural measures, functional indirect mapping does not provide significant predictive power for OS in patients with GBM. These findings are consistent with previous research that demonstrated the limitations of indirect functional measures in predicting clinical outcomes, underscoring the need for more comprehensive methodologies and a deeper understanding of the factors influencing clinical outcomes in this challenging disease.

Penalized deep partially linear cox models with application to CT scans of lung cancer patients.

Lung cancer is a leading cause of cancer mortality globally, highlighting the importance of understanding its mortality risks to design effective patient-centered therapies. The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) employed computed tomography texture analysis, which provides objective measurements of texture patterns on CT scans, to quantify the mortality risks of lung cancer patients. Partially linear Cox models have gained popularity for survival analysis by dissecting the hazard function into parametric and nonparametric components, allowing for the effective incorporation of both well-established risk factors (such as age and clinical variables) and emerging risk factors (eg, image features) within a unified framework. However, when the dimension of parametric components exceeds the sample size, the task of model fitting becomes formidable, while nonparametric modeling grapples with the curse of dimensionality. We propose a novel Penalized Deep Partially Linear Cox Model (Penalized DPLC), which incorporates the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty to select important texture features and employs a deep neural network to estimate the nonparametric component of the model. We prove the convergence and asymptotic properties of the estimator and compare it to other methods through extensive simulation studies, evaluating its performance in risk prediction and feature selection. The proposed method is applied to the NLST study dataset to uncover the effects of key clinical and imaging risk factors on patients' survival. Our findings provide valuable insights into the relationship between these factors and survival outcomes.

Kernel Cox partially linear regression: Building predictive models for cancer patients' survival.

Wide heterogeneity exists in cancer patients' survival, ranging from a few months to several decades. To accurately predict clinical outcomes, it is vital to build an accurate predictive model that relates the patients' molecular profiles with the patients' survival. With complex relationships between survival and high-dimensional molecular predictors, it is challenging to conduct nonparametric modeling and irrelevant predictors removing simultaneously. In this article, we build a kernel Cox proportional hazards semi-parametric model and propose a novel regularized garrotized kernel machine (RegGKM) method to fit the model. We use the kernel machine method to describe the complex relationship between survival and predictors, while automatically removing irrelevant parametric and nonparametric predictors through a LASSO penalty. An efficient high-dimensional algorithm is developed for the proposed method. Comparison with other competing methods in simulation shows that the proposed method always has better predictive accuracy. We apply this method to analyze a multiple myeloma dataset and predict the patients' death burden based on their gene expressions. Our results can help classify patients into groups with different death risks, facilitating treatment for better clinical outcomes.

The role of Matrix Metalloproteinase-2 and Galectin-3 as predictive biomarkers for all-cause mortality in patients undergoing transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation.

BACKGROUND: Currently available risk scores fail to accurately predict morbidity and mortality in patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis who undergo transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). In this context, biomarkers like matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2) and Galectin-3 (Gal-3) may provide additional prognostic information. METHODS: Patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing consecutive, elective, transfemoral TAVI were included. Baseline demographic data, functional status, echocardiographic findings, clinical outcomes and biomarker levels were collected and analysed. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 89 patients (age 80.4 ± 5.1 years, EuroScore II 7.1 ± 5.8%). During a median follow-up period of 526 d, 28 patients (31.4%) died. Among those who died, median baseline MMP-2 (alive: 221.6 [170.4; 263] pg/mL vs. deceased: 272.1 [225; 308.8] pg/mL, p < 0.001) and Gal-3 levels (alive: 19.1 [13.5; 24.6] pg/mL vs. deceased: 25 [17.6; 29.5] pg/mL, p = 0.006) were higher than in survivors. In ROC analysis, MMP-2 reached an acceptable level of discrimination to predict mortality (AUC 0.733, 95% CI [0.62; 0.83], p < 0.001), but the predictive value of Gal-3 was poor (AUC 0.677, 95% CI [0.56; 0.79], p = 0.002). Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses showed that patients with MMP-2 and Gal-3 concentrations above the median at baseline had significantly impaired long-term survival (p = 0.004 and p = 0.02, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transfemoral TAVI, MMP-2 and to a lesser extent Gal-3, seem to have additive value in optimizing risk prediction and streamlining decision-making.

Comparison of deep learning models to traditional Cox regression in predicting survival of colon cancer: Based on the SEER database.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In this study, a deep learning algorithm was used to predict the survival rate of colon cancer (CC) patients, and compared its performance with traditional Cox regression. METHODS: In this population-based cohort study, we used the characteristics of patients diagnosed with CC between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The population was randomized into a training set (n = 10 596, 70%) and a test set (n = 4536, 30%). Brier scores, area under the (AUC) receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curves were used to compare the performance of the three most popular deep learning models, namely, artificial neural networks (ANN), deep neural networks (DNN), and long-short term memory (LSTM) neural networks with Cox proportional hazard (CPH) model. RESULTS: In the independent test set, the Brier values of ANN, DNN, LSTM and CPH were 0.155, 0.149, 0.148, and 0.170, respectively. The AUC values were 0.906 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.897-0.916), 0.908 (95% CI 0.899-0.918), 0.910 (95% CI 0.901-0.919), and 0.793 (95% CI 0.769-0.816), respectively. Deep learning showed superior promising results than CPH in predicting CC specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning showed potential advantages over traditional CPH models in terms of prognostic assessment and treatment recommendations. LSTM exhibited optimal predictive accuracy and has the ability to provide reliable information on individual survival and treatment recommendations for CC patients.

Analysis of the survival time of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a Bayesian approach via a competing risk parametric model.

PURPOSE: Heart failure (HF) is a widespread ailment and is a primary contributor to hospital admissions. The focus of this study was to identify factors affecting the extended-term survival of patients with HF, anticipate patient outcomes through cause-of-death analysis, and identify risk elements for preventive measures. METHODS: A total of 435 HF patients were enrolled from the medical records of the Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center, covering data collected between March and August 2018. After a five-year follow-up (July 2023), patient outcomes were assessed based on the cause of death. The survival analysis was performed with the AFT method with the Bayesian approach in the presence of competing risks. RESULTS: Based on the results of the best model for HF-related mortality, age [time ratio = 0.98, confidence interval 95%: 0.96-0.99] and ADHF [TR = 0.11, 95% (CI): 0.01-0.44] were associated with a lower survival time. Chest pain in HF-related mortality [TR = 0.41, 95% (CI): 0.10-0.96] and in non-HF-related mortality [TR = 0.38, 95% (CI): 0.12-0.86] was associated with a lower survival time. The next significant variable in HF-related mortality was hyperlipidemia (yes): [TR = 0.34, 95% (CI): 0.13-0.64], and in non-HF-related mortality hyperlipidemia (yes): [TR = 0.60, 95% (CI): 0.37-0.90]. CAD [TR = 0.65, 95% (CI): 0.38-0.98], CKD [TR = 0.52, 95% (CI): 0.28-0.87], and AF [TR = 0.53, 95% (CI): 0.32-0.81] were other variables that were directly related to the reduction in survival time of patients with non-HF-related mortality. CONCLUSION: The study identified distinct predictive factors for overall survival among patients with HF-related mortality or non-HF-related mortality. This differentiated approach based on the cause of death contributes to the estimation of patient survival time and provides valuable insights for clinical decision-making.

Mortality risk factors in patients receiving ECPR after cardiac arrest: Development and validation of a clinical prognostic prediction model.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown an increasing trend of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) use in patients with cardiac arrest (CA). Although ECPR have been found to reduce mortality in patients with CA compared with conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CCPR), the mortality remains high. This study was designed to identify the potential mortality risk factors for ECPR patients for further optimization of patient management and treatment selection. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multicentre study collecting 990 CA patients undergoing ECPR in 61 hospitals in China from January 2017 to May 2022 in CSECLS registry database. A clinical prediction model was developed using cox regression and validated with external data. RESULTS: The data of 351 patients meeting the inclusion criteria before October 2021 was used to develop a prediction model and that of 68 patients after October 2021 for validation. Of the 351 patients with CA treated with ECPR, 227 (64.8%) patients died before hospital discharge. Multivariate analysis suggested that a medical history of cerebrovascular diseases, pulseless electrical activity (PEA)/asystole and higher Lactate (Lac) were risk factors for mortality while aged 45-60, higher pH and intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) during ECPR have protective effects. Internal validation by bootstrap resampling was subsequently used to evaluate the stability of the model, showing moderate discrimination, especially in the early stage following ECPR, with a C statistic of 0.70 and adequate calibration with GOF chi-square = 10.4 (p = 0.50) for the entire cohort. Fair discrimination with c statistic of 0.65 and good calibration (GOF chi-square = 6.1, p = 0.809) in the external validation cohort demonstrating the model's ability to predict in-hospital death across a wide range of probabilities. CONCLUSION: Risk factors have been identified among ECPR patients including a history of cerebrovascular diseases, higher Lac and presence of PEA or asystole. While factor such as age 45-60, higher pH and use of IABP have been found protective against in-hospital mortality. These factors can be used for risk prediction, thereby improving the management and treatment selection of patients for this resource-intensive therapy.

Multiomics-Based Feature Extraction and Selection for the Prediction of Lung Cancer Survival.

Lung cancer is a global health challenge, hindered by delayed diagnosis and the disease's complex molecular landscape. Accurate patient survival prediction is critical, motivating the exploration of various -omics datasets using machine learning methods. Leveraging multi-omics data, this study seeks to enhance the accuracy of survival prediction by proposing new feature extraction techniques combined with unbiased feature selection. Two lung adenocarcinoma multi-omics datasets, originating from the TCGA and CPTAC-3 projects, were employed for this purpose, emphasizing gene expression, methylation, and mutations as the most relevant data sources that provide features for the survival prediction models. Additionally, gene set aggregation was shown to be the most effective feature extraction method for mutation and copy number variation data. Using the TCGA dataset, we identified 32 molecular features that allowed the construction of a 2-year survival prediction model with an AUC of 0.839. The selected features were additionally tested on an independent CPTAC-3 dataset, achieving an AUC of 0.815 in nested cross-validation, which confirmed the robustness of the identified features.

Prediction of survival of persons with advanced dementia using the advanced dementia prognostic tool: A 2-year prospective study.

BACKGROUND: In this prospective study, we evaluated the usefulness of the advanced dementia prognostic tool (ADEPT) for estimating the 2-year survival of persons with advanced dementia (AD) in China. METHODS: The study predicted the 2-year mortality of 115 persons with AD using the ADEPT score. RESULTS: In total, 115 persons with AD were included in the study. Of these persons, 48 died. The mean ADEPT score was 13.0. The AUROC for the prediction of the 2-year mortality rate using the ADEPT score was 0.62. The optimal threshold of the ADEPT score was 11.2, which had an AUROC of 0.63, specificity of 41.8, and sensitivity of 83.3. CONCLUSIONS: The ADEPT score based on a threshold of 11.2 may serve as a prognostic tool to determine the 2-year survival rate of persons with AD in Chongqing, China. However, further studies are needed to explore the nature of this relationship.

Deep learning model integrating positron emission tomography and clinical data for prognosis prediction in non-small cell lung cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. The majority of lung cancers are non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), accounting for approximately 85% of all lung cancer types. The Cox proportional hazards model (CPH), which is the standard method for survival analysis, has several limitations. The purpose of our study was to improve survival prediction in patients with NSCLC by incorporating prognostic information from F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG PET) images into a traditional survival prediction model using clinical data. RESULTS: The multimodal deep learning model showed the best performance, with a C-index and mean absolute error of 0.756 and 399 days under a five-fold cross-validation, respectively, followed by ResNet3D for PET (0.749 and 405 days) and CPH for clinical data (0.747 and 583 days). CONCLUSION: The proposed deep learning-based integrative model combining the two modalities improved the survival prediction in patients with NSCLC.

Cancer survival prediction by learning comprehensive deep feature representation for multiple types of genetic data.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is one of the leading death causes around the world. Accurate prediction of its survival time is significant, which can help clinicians make appropriate therapeutic schemes. Cancer data can be characterized by varied molecular features, clinical behaviors and morphological appearances. However, the cancer heterogeneity problem usually makes patient samples with different risks (i.e., short and long survival time) inseparable, thereby causing unsatisfactory prediction results. Clinical studies have shown that genetic data tends to contain more molecular biomarkers associated with cancer, and hence integrating multi-type genetic data may be a feasible way to deal with cancer heterogeneity. Although multi-type gene data have been used in the existing work, how to learn more effective features for cancer survival prediction has not been well studied. RESULTS: To this end, we propose a deep learning approach to reduce the negative impact of cancer heterogeneity and improve the cancer survival prediction effect. It represents each type of genetic data as the shared and specific features, which can capture the consensus and complementary information among all types of data. We collect mRNA expression, DNA methylation and microRNA expression data for four cancers to conduct experiments. CONCLUSIONS: Experimental results demonstrate that our approach substantially outperforms established integrative methods and is effective for cancer survival prediction. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: https://github.com/githyr/ComprehensiveSurvival .

Development and validation of a deep learning survival model for cervical adenocarcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to develop a personalized survival prediction deep learning model for cervical adenocarcinoma patients and process personalized survival prediction. METHODS: A total of 2501 cervical adenocarcinoma patients from the surveillance, epidemiology and end results database and 220 patients from Qilu hospital were enrolled in this study. We created our deep learning (DL) model to manipulate the data and evaluated its performance against four other competitive models. We tried to demonstrate a new grouping system oriented by survival outcomes and process personalized survival prediction by using our DL model. RESULTS: The DL model reached 0.878 c-index and 0.09 Brier score in the test set, which was better than the other four models. In the external test set, our model achieved a 0.80 c-index and 0.13 Brier score. Thus, we developed prognosis-oriented risk grouping for patients according to risk scores computed by our DL model. Notable differences among groupings were observed. In addition, a personalized survival prediction system based on our risk-scoring grouping was developed. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a deep neural network model for cervical adenocarcinoma patients. The performance of this model proved to be superior to other models. The results of external validation supported the possibility that the model can be used in clinical work. Finally, our survival grouping and personalized prediction system provided more accurate prognostic information for patients than traditional FIGO stages.

New insights into glioma frequency maps: From genetic and transcriptomic correlate to survival prediction.

Increasing evidence indicates that glioma topographic location is linked to the cellular origin, molecular alterations and genetic profile. This research aims to (a) reveal the underlying mechanisms of tumor location predilection in glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) and lower-grade glioma (LGG) and (b) leverage glioma location features to predict prognosis. MRI images from 396 GBM and 190 LGG (115 astrocytoma and 75 oligodendroglioma) patients were standardized to construct frequency maps and analyzed by voxel-based lesion-symptom mapping. We then investigated the spatial correlation between glioma distribution with gene expression in healthy brains. We also evaluated transcriptomic differences in tumor tissue from predilection and nonpredilection sites. Furthermore, we quantitively characterized tumor anatomical localization and explored whether it was significantly related to overall survival. Finally, we employed a support vector machine to build a survival prediction model for GBM patients. GBMs exhibited a distinct location predilection from LGGs. GBMs were nearer to the subventricular zone and more likely to be localized to regions enriched with synaptic signaling, whereas astrocytoma and oligodendroglioma tended to occur in areas associated with the immune response. Synapse, neurotransmitters and calcium ion channel-related genes were all activated in GBM tissues coming from predilection regions. Furthermore, we characterized tumor location features in terms of a series of tumor-to-predilection distance metrics, which were able to predict GBM 1-year survival status with an accuracy of 0.71. These findings provide new perspectives on our understanding of tumor anatomic localization. The spatial features of glioma are of great value in individual therapy and prognosis prediction.

Survival rate prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients based on MRI and gene expression using a deep neural network.

To achieve a better treatment regimen and follow-up assessment design for intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT)-treated nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, an accurate progression-free survival (PFS) time prediction algorithm is needed. We propose developing a PFS prediction model of NPC patients after IMRT treatment using a deep learning method and comparing that with the traditional texture analysis method. One hundred and fifty-one NPC patients were included in this retrospective study. T1-weighted, proton density and dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance (MR) images were acquired. The expression level of five genes (HIF-1α, EGFR, PTEN, Ki-67, and VEGF) and infection of Epstein-Barr (EB) virus were tested. A residual network was trained to predict PFS from MR images. The output as well as patient characteristics were combined using a linear regression model to provide a final PFS prediction. The prediction accuracy was compared with that of the traditional texture analysis method. A regression model combining the deep learning output with HIF-1α expression and Epstein-Barr infection provides the best PFS prediction accuracy (Spearman correlation R2  = 0.53; Harrell's C-index = 0.82; receiver operative curve [ROC] analysis area under the curve [AUC] = 0.88; log-rank test hazard ratio [HR] = 8.45), higher than a regression model combining texture analysis with HIF-1α expression (Spearman correlation R2  = 0.14; Harrell's C-index =0.68; ROC analysis AUC = 0.76; log-rank test HR = 2.85). The deep learning method does not require a manually drawn tumor region of interest. MR image processing using deep learning combined with patient characteristics can provide accurate PFS prediction for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients and does not rely on specific kernels or tumor regions of interest, which is needed for the texture analysis method.

Performance evaluation of transcriptomics data normalization for survival risk prediction.

One pivotal feature of transcriptomics data is the unwanted variations caused by disparate experimental handling, known as handling effects. Various data normalization methods were developed to alleviate the adverse impact of handling effects in the setting of differential expression analysis. However, little research has been done to evaluate their performance in the setting of survival outcome prediction, an important analysis goal for transcriptomics data in biomedical research. Leveraging a unique pair of datasets for the same set of tumor samples-one with handling effects and the other without, we developed a benchmarking tool for conducting such an evaluation in microRNA microarrays. We applied this tool to evaluate the performance of three popular normalization methods-quantile normalization, median normalization and variance stabilizing normalization-in survival prediction using various approaches for model building and designs for sample assignment. We showed that handling effects can have a strong impact on survival prediction and that quantile normalization, a most popular method in current practice, tends to underperform median normalization and variance stabilizing normalization. We demonstrated with a small example the reason for quantile normalization's poor performance in this setting. Our finding highlights the importance of putting normalization evaluation in the context of the downstream analysis setting and the potential of improving the development of survival predictors by applying median normalization. We make available our benchmarking tool for performing such evaluation on additional normalization methods in connection with prediction modeling approaches.

Identification and validation of a novel survival prediction model based on the T-cell phenotype in the tumor immune microenvironment and peripheral blood for gastric cancer prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The correlation and difference in T-cell phenotypes between peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBLs) and the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) in patients with gastric cancer (GC) is not clear. We aimed to characterize the phenotypes of CD8+ T cells in tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and PBLs in patients with different outcomes and to establish a useful survival prediction model. METHODS: Multiplex immunofluorescence staining and flow cytometry were used to detect the expression of inhibitory molecules (IMs) and active markers (AMs) in CD8+TILs and PBLs, respectively. The role of these parameters in the 3-year prognosis was assessed by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Then, we divided patients into two TIME clusters (TIME-A/B) and two PBL clusters (PBL-A/B) by unsupervised hierarchical clustering based on the results of multivariate analysis, and used the Kaplan-Meier method to analyze the difference in prognosis between each group. Finally, we constructed and compared three survival prediction models based on Cox regression analysis, and further validated the efficiency and accuracy in the internal and external cohorts. RESULTS: The percentage of PD-1+CD8+TILs, TIM-3+CD8+TILs, PD-L1+CD8+TILs, and PD-L1+CD8+PBLs and the density of PD-L1+CD8+TILs were independent risk factors, while the percentage of TIM-3+CD8+PBLs was an independent protective factor. The patients in the TIME-B group showed a worse 3-year overall survival (OS) (HR: 3.256, 95% CI 1.318-8.043, P = 0.006), with a higher density of PD-L1+CD8+TILs (P < 0.001) and percentage of PD-1+CD8+TILs (P = 0.017) and PD-L1+CD8+TILs (P < 0.001) compared to the TIME-A group. The patients in the PBL-B group showed higher positivity for PD-L1+CD8+PBLs (P = 0.042), LAG-3+CD8+PBLs (P < 0.001), TIM-3+CD8+PBLs (P = 0.003), PD-L1+CD4+PBLs (P = 0.001), and LAG-3+CD4+PBLs (P < 0.001) and poorer 3-year OS (HR: 0.124, 95% CI 0.017-0.929, P = 0.015) than those in the PBL-A group. In our three survival prediction models, Model 3, which was based on the percentage of TIM-3+CD8+PBLs, PD-L1+CD8+TILs and PD-1+CD8+TILs, showed the best sensitivity (0.950, 0.914), specificity (0.852, 0.857) and accuracy (κ = 0.787, P < 0.001; κ = 0.771, P < 0.001) in the internal and external cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSION: We established a comprehensive and robust survival prediction model based on the T-cell phenotype in the TIME and PBLs for GC prognosis.

A Nomogram for Predicting Survival in Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Carcinoma Patients: A Population-Based Study.

Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains the most common malignant cancer. We identified 43140 advanced NSCLC patients from the SEER database to develop and validate a new prognostic model. The prognostic performance was evaluated by P value, concordance index, net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement, and decision curve analysis. The following variables were contained in the final prognostic model: age, sex, race, TNM stage, and grade and treatment options. Compared to the AJCC staging system, this prognostic model is conducive to the implementation of individualized clinical treatment schemes and can be an important part of the precise medical care of NSCLC tumors.

Multi-task deep learning-based radiomic nomogram for prognostic prediction in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Prognostic prediction is crucial to guide individual treatment for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) patients. Recently, multi-task deep learning was explored for joint prognostic prediction and tumor segmentation in various cancers, resulting in promising performance. This study aims to evaluate the clinical value of multi-task deep learning for prognostic prediction in LA-NPC patients. METHODS: A total of 886 LA-NPC patients acquired from two medical centers were enrolled including clinical data, [18F]FDG PET/CT images, and follow-up of progression-free survival (PFS). We adopted a deep multi-task survival model (DeepMTS) to jointly perform prognostic prediction (DeepMTS-Score) and tumor segmentation from FDG-PET/CT images. The DeepMTS-derived segmentation masks were leveraged to extract handcrafted radiomics features, which were also used for prognostic prediction (AutoRadio-Score). Finally, we developed a multi-task deep learning-based radiomic (MTDLR) nomogram by integrating DeepMTS-Score, AutoRadio-Score, and clinical data. Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used to evaluate the discriminative ability of the proposed MTDLR nomogram. For patient stratification, the PFS rates of high- and low-risk patients were calculated using Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the observed PFS probability. RESULTS: Our MTDLR nomogram achieved C-index of 0.818 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.785-0.851), 0.752 (95% CI: 0.638-0.865), and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.641-0.793) and area under curve (AUC) of 0.859 (95% CI: 0.822-0.895), 0.769 (95% CI: 0.642-0.896), and 0.730 (95% CI: 0.634-0.826) in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, which showed a statistically significant improvement over conventional radiomic nomograms. Our nomogram also divided patients into significantly different high- and low-risk groups. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated that MTDLR nomogram can perform reliable and accurate prognostic prediction in LA-NPC patients, and also enabled better patient stratification, which could facilitate personalized treatment planning.