Comparative analysis and forecasting of COVID-19 cases in various European countries with ARIMA, NARNN and LSTM approaches.

In this study, confirmed COVID-19 cases of Denmark, Belgium, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Finland, Switzerland and Turkey were modeled with Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Nonlinear Autoregression Neural Network (NARNN) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) approaches. Six model performance metric were used to select the most accurate model (MSE, PSNR, RMSE, NRMSE, MAPE and SMAPE). According to the results of the first step of the study, LSTM was found the most accurate model. In the second stage of the study, LSTM model was provided to make predictions in a 14-day perspective that is yet to be known. Results of the second step of the study shows that the total cumulative case increase rate is expected to decrease slightly in many countries.

Relationship of late arteriovenous fistula stenosis with soluble E-selectin and soluble EPCR in chronic hemodialysis patients with arteriovenous fistula.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Vascular access dysfunction caused by stenosis is a major complication for hemodialysis (HD) patients. However, physiopathology of late arteriovenous fistula (AVF) stenosis is still under investigation. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between plasma soluble EPCR (sEPCR) with serum soluble E-selectin (sE-selectin) concentration and late AVF stenosis in HD patients. METHODS: Plasma sEPCR and serum sE-selectin concentrations were measured in 94 HD patients. Using these data, we studied the association of sEPCR and sE-selectin with the presence and degree of AVF stenosis using ultrasonography and fistulogram. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients have AVF stenosis, and the others (n = 43) have patent AVF. The degree of AVF stenosis was correlated with serum sE-selectin levels (r = 0.351, p = 0.01), but not sEPCR (r = 0.075, p = 0.702). The median level of sE-selectin was statistically higher in the group of AVF stenosis than in the group of patent AVF [463.2 pg/ml (275.4-671.4) vs. 162.5 pg/ml (96.7-285.3), p = 0.001]. Increased sE-selectin levels [OR (OR) = 6.356, p = 0.015] and high levels of LDL (OR = 4.321, p = 0.044) were independent predictors of late AVF stenosis in the multivariate model. CONCLUSIONS: sE-selectin and the LDL were the most important predictors of late AVF stenosis. In addition, sE-selectin correlated with the degree of AVF stenosis. We suggested that atherosclerosis might be contributing factor for development of late AVF stenosis.

Pharmacomechanical thrombectomy in the management of deep vein thrombosis using the cleaner device: an initial single-center experience.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacomechanical thrombectomy (PMT) has appeared as an effective treatment modality for deep venous thrombosis (DVT). The study aimed to assess the efficacy of the Cleaner™ thrombectomy device for acute DVT. METHODS: Sixteen consecutive patients presenting with extensive iliofemoral and/or femoropopliteal acute DVT and managed at our institution between February 2013 and May 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. The patients underwent PMT with the Cleaner device after insertion of vena caval filters. For underlying stenotic lesions, balloon angioplasty and/or stent placement was performed. RESULTS: PMT with the Cleaner device was successful in 14 patients with complete restoration of flow. No clinical signs of pulmonary thromboembolism was recorded after the procedure. Thrombectomy failed in 2 patients. For the rest of the patients, balloon angioplasty was performed to relieve underlying stenotic lesions. Nine of them underwent additional stenting. CONCLUSIONS: Our initial experience suggests that the Cleaner device can be used in acute DVT. However, further studies involving larger patient populations are warranted to determine long-term results.

Successful Off-Label Use of Recombinant Factor VIIa and Coil Embolization in an Adolescent with Massive Hemoptysis Due to Invasive Pulmonary Aspergillosis.

Invasive fungal infections have turned out to be a significant cause of morbidity and mortality in pediatric patients with malignant disorders. Massive hemoptysis, a rare complication of invasive pulmonary aspergillosis, may threaten the lives of patients, usually during the resolution of neutropenia. In this report, we describe a patient with massive hemoptysis due to invasive pulmonary aspergillosis whose bleeding was controlled successfully with off-label use of recombinant factor VIIa and subsequent coil embolization of the right pulmonary artery.

Influence of obstructive sleep apnea on fatty liver disease: role of chronic intermittent hypoxia.

BACKGROUND: Currently the common pathogenetic mechanisms in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are gaining increased attention. The aim of this study is to find out the influence of chronic intermittent hypoxemia and OSA related parameters to the severity of NAFLD. METHODS: We examined the liver functions tests and ultrasonographic data of liver as well as markers of OSA severity (apnea-hypopnea index [AHI], oxygen desaturation index, minimum oxygen saturation, percentage of time spent with S(pO(2)) < 90%) of 106 subjects. RESULTS: Fatty liver disease was diagnosed in 71 subjects (group 1), and the remaining 35 subjects were taken as controls (group 2). The prevalence of OSA was 71.2% versus 35.7% for group 1 and 2, respectively (P < .001). As NAFLD severity increased from mild to severe form, mean AHI and oxygen desaturation index values also increased significantly. Our multivariate analysis showed that AHI, oxygen desaturation index, lowest desaturation values, and percentage of sleep duration with S(pO(2)) < 90% were independent predictors of NAFLD after adjustment for BMI, weight, and insulin resistance. Furthermore, the most correlated parameter for the severity of NAFLD was found as the duration of hypoxia during sleep. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of NAFLD was higher in patients with severe OSA, suggesting a role for nocturnal hypoxemia in the pathogenesis of fatty liver disease.

Nebivolol improves renal function in patients who underwent angioplasty due to renal artery stenosis: a pilot study.

Renal artery stenosis (RAS) is a progressive disease and may lead to chronic kidney disease by deterioration of renal functions. Endothelial dysfunction is an important causative factor for kidney damage after RAS revascularization. Nebivolol, a new generation beta blocker induces endothelium-related arterial relaxation by nitric oxide (NO) and may improve endothelial dysfunction. This pilot study tested the effect of nebivolol on the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in a series of 33 patients with severe RAS (>70%) who underwent revascularization. After revascularization, nebivolol was added to antihypertensive treatment in 17 randomly selected patients while 16 patients (control group) continued their standard treatment. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), proteinuria as well as nitrite and nitrate levels were measured at baseline and 6 months after the revascularization procedure. Six months after revascularization, eGFR increased from 44.8 to 50.6 ml/min in the nebivolol group. In contrast, eGFR did not change in the control group. Nitrite/nitrate levels decreased to a significant extent both in the nebivolol and in the control group. Proteinuria decreased more in the nebivolol group compared to the control group. These pilot data support a full-fledged clinical trial, testing whether nebivolol may be beneficial in the post-revascularization phase in patients with RAS.

Olmesartan associated with acute renal failure in a patient with bilateral renal artery stenosis.

In patients with renal artery stenosis (RAS), the inhibition of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system can cause deterioration of renal function. Here we present a 75-year-old man who developed acute renal failure after olmesartan treatment. Following discontinuation of olmesartan, his renal functions normalized. His renal Doppler ultrasonography and renal angiography showed findings consistent with bilateral RAS. In this case, unlike those previously reported, renal failure developed with olmesartan for the first time and after only a single dose, which is thought to be a new, safe, and tolerable antihypertensive agent. This is a well-defined effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, in patients with RAS. Also with the increasing use of angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs), renal failure associated with ARBs in patients with RAS is rising. The use of olmesartan also requires caution and close follow-up of renal functions for patients who have risk factors.

Diffusion-weighted MR imaging of kidneys in renal artery stenosis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of our study was to evaluate perfusion and diffusion of kidneys in renal artery stenosis (RAS) and any correlation between stenosis and ADC values and whether this imaging modality may be a noninvasive complementary assessment technique to MR angiography before interventional procedures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty consecutive patients suspected of having renal artery stenosis were evaluated with renal MR angiography to exclude stenosis and were then included in the study. Transverse DW multisection echo-planar MR imaging was performed. In the transverse ADC map, rectangular regions of interest were placed in the cortex on 3 parts (upper, middle, and lower poles) in each kidney. ADCs of the kidneys were calculated separately for the low, average, and high b-values to enable differentiation of the relative influence of the perfusion fraction and true diffusion. The ADC values of 39 kidneys (13 with renal artery stenosis and 26 normal renal arteries) were compared, and the relationship between stenosis degree and ADC values was calculated. RESULTS: RAS was detected in 11 of 20 (55%) patients with MRA. Thirteen of 39 kidneys demonstrated RAS, and 26 were normal. The ADClow (1.9+/-0.2 versus 2.1+/-0.2; P=.020), ADCaverage (1.7+/-0.2 versus 1.9+/-0.1; P=.006), and ADChigh (1.8+/-0.2 versus 2.0+/-0.1; P=.012) values were significantly lower in patients with kidneys with arterial stenosis than that in patients with kidneys with normal arteries. Statistical analysis revealed that stenosis degree correlated strongly with ADClow (r=-.819; P=.001), ADCaverage (r=-.754; P=.003), and ADChigh (r=-.788; P=.001). The ADClow, ADCaverage, and ADChigh values were significantly lower in patients with kidneys with arterial stenosis than that in patients with kidneys with normal arteries. CONCLUSION: We think that DW MR imaging of kidneys with RAS can help determine the functional status of a renal artery stenosis.

The effect of hypertension on the apparent diffusion coefficient values of kidneys.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to diagnose hypertension- induced renal microvascular dysfunction using renal diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to identify any correlation between blood pressure level and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 77 consecutive patients (41 women and 36 men). The patients were divided into 4 groups according to their blood pressure level. Group 1 consisted of normotensive control patients; group 2, pre-hypertensive patients; group 3, stage 1 hypertensive patients; and group 4, stage 2 hypertensive patients. All patients underwent transverse diffusion-weighted multi-section echo-planar MRI. In the transverse ADC maps, rectangular regions of interest were placed in the cortex at 3 sites (upper, middle, and lower pole) of each kidney. The ADCs of the kidneys were calculated separately for low, average, and high b values to enable the differentiation of the relative influence of the perfusion fraction and true diffusion. In addition, a multi-slab balanced turbo field-echo magnetic resonance angiographic technique (without the use of a contrast agent) was used to exclude renal artery stenosis. RESULTS: There was no statistically significant difference between the groups in age, and no significant correlation between the ADC values of both kidneys and blood pressure level in each group (P > 0.05). In addition, the ADC values of patients with microalbuminuria did not differ from those of the other patients (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION Despite the end-organ damage caused by hypertension, renal microvascular functions were preserved and hypertension did not affect ADC values.

Alvarado scores and pain onset in relation to multislice CT findings in acute appendicitis.

PURPOSE: To determine the correlation between clinical and multislice computed tomography (MSCT) findings of early- and late-stage acute appendicitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was conducted between June 2003 and February 2006 with 143 patients. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to Alvarado scores: group 1 (n = 18; 13%; score: 1-4), group 2 (n = 70; 49%; score: 5-7), and group 3 (n = 55; 38%; score: 8-10). Abdominal MSCT results were compared to histopathological diagnoses. Patients were then divided into 2 other groups according to pain onset (MSCT performed within the first 12 h of pain onset and MSCT performed thereafter). RESULTS: Histopathological findings were normal in 13 of the 143 patients (9%). The positive predictive value of MSCT did not significantly differ between the 3 Alvarado groups (92.8% in group 1, 95.1% in group 2, and 98.0% in group 3). Additionally, the positive predictive value of MSCT did not differ whether the scans were performed within the first 12 h of pain onset or thereafter (88% and 89%, respectively; P = 0.89). CONCLUSION: MSCT should be performed even in patients in whom the clinical suspicion of appendicitis is low. MSCT is effective in patients with early-stage appendicitis.

Pulmonary artery leiomyosarcoma: A clinical dilemma.

Leiomyosarcomas are rare neoplasms of the smooth muscles. Primary pulmonary leiomyosarcomas, which constitute approximately 0.2%-0.5% of all primary lung malignancies, are extremely rare and highly lethal. They may originate from the smooth muscle cells of the bronchial wall, the blood vessels, or the pulmonary interstitium, and their rare occurrence, localization, and nonspecific clinical symptoms mean that correct diagnosis and proper management are often delayed. Here, we report a rapidly growing primary pulmonary leiomyosarcoma, which invaded the right atrium, vena cava superior, mediastinum, right hilar area, and left pulmonary artery within 4 months. On histopathology, a transthoracic needle biopsy of the mass confirmed leiomyosarcoma, and delayed presentation meant that there was a local spread to the neighboring structures at the time of diagnosis.

Massive Primary Intraventricular Hemorrhage Due to Idiopathic Lateral Posterior Choroidal Artery Aneurysm: Case Illustration.

Peripheral aneurysms of the lateral posterior choroidal artery are rare and mostly in association with vascular and occlusive pathologies such as moyamoya disease. To the best of our knowledge, pure lateral posterior choroidal artery aneurysms without association of any other vascular diseases are unique and only 3 cases have been reported in the literature.

Perforated ileal diverticulitis: CT findings.

Diverticulosis of the ileum is very uncommon. The differential diagnosis for any inflammatory process in the right lower quadrant of the abdomen includes appendicitis, Crohn's disease, and other infectious and inflammatory conditions of the terminal ileum and cecum. Diagnosis of small bowel diverticulitis is based on radiological findings, and computed tomography is the method of choice to demonstrate mural changes and the mesenteric extent of the inflammation. Preoperative knowledge of this condition may influence surgical and medical management.

Treatment of pelvic aneurysmal bone cysts in two children: selective arterial embolization as an adjunct to curettage and bone grafting.

Treatment options of aneurysmal bone cysts include complete resection, curettage, curettage with bone grafting, selective arterial embolization (as a primary treatment or preoperative adjuvant therapy), and percutaneous injection of fibrosing agent. Treatment in pelvic locations is difficult because of the relative inaccessibility of the lesions, the proximity of the lesions to neurovascular structures, and the vulnerability of the acetabulum. Herein, we present 2 pediatric cases of pelvic aneurysmal bone cysts successfully treated with curettage with bone grafting following preoperative selective arterial embolization.

Low serum bilirubin levels are independently and inversely related to impaired flow-mediated vasodilation and increased carotid intima-media thickness in both men and women.

BACKGROUND: Elevated levels of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and its oxidative modification have been described to be involved in the process of atherogenesis. Bilirubin, an antioxidant, prevents oxidative modification of LDL and therefore may protect from atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease (CHD). Impaired brachial artery flow-mediated dilatation (FMD), which means endothelial dysfunction (ED) and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) are predictors for the development and progression of atherosclerosis. In the present study, FMD and IMT were studied in healthy subjects with lower and higher serum bilirubin concentrations in physiological ranges. METHODS: Ninety-one healthy subjects between 25 and 45 years of age (47 with lower and 44 with higher serum bilirubin concentrations) were included in this study. Carotid IMT and brachial artery flow-mediated dilatation was measured by means of high-resolution vascular ultrasound. FMD was assessed by establishing reactive hyperemia and endothelium-independent dilatation (EID) was determined by using sublingual isosorbide dinitrate. RESULTS: EDD in subjects with lower serum bilirubin concentrations was significantly worse than in those with higher serum bilirubin concentrations (11.6+/-4.4% versus 7.2+/-4.7%, respectively, p<0.0001). EID measurements were not significantly different between the groups (16+/-5.1% versus 16.8+/-7%, respectively). In addition, carotid IMT was significantly greater in subjects with lower serum bilirubin concentrations (0.5+/-0.13 mm versus 0.42+/-0.07 mm, p<0.0001). Furthermore, FMD in women with lower serum bilirubin concentrations was significantly lower than in women with higher serum bilirubin concentrations (11.5+/-4.9% and 17.5+/-4.7%, respectively, p<0.001). Accordingly, men with lower serum bilirubin concentrations had significantly lower FMD as compared to hyperbilirubinemic ones (11.7+/-3.6% versus 16.7+/-4.8%, respectively, p=0.009). Conversely, carotid IMT was significantly greater in both women and men with lower serum bilirubin concentrations compared to the subjects with elevated serum bilirubin concentrations (0.51+/-0.08 versus 0.41+/-0.08, p<0.001; 0.55+/-0.12 versus 0.40+/-0.07, p=0.002, in women and men, respectively). CONCLUSION: The healthy subjects with lower serum bilirubin concentrations show significant ED and increased carotid IMT, which are predictors for atherosclerosis.

Six cases of Forestier syndrome, a rare cause of dysphagia.

Dysphagia is a common presenting complaint in otolaryngology practice, and there are many causes. Forestier syndrome is a rare cause of dysphagia. It is also known as diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH) syndrome or vertebral ankylosing hyperostosis. Forestier syndrome consists of anterolateral perivertebral ligament calcification. It was first described by Forestier and Rotes-Querol in 1950; diagnosis is primarily radiological and the etiology is unknown. In addition to dysphagia Forestier syndrome has been reported to cause laryngeal stridor, dyspnea, snoring and hoarseness. Other important symptoms associated with Forestier syndrome are stiffness and pain in the back, pain related to tendinitis, myelopathy related to core compression associated with the ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament, and pain related to vertebral complications such as fracture or subluxation. We report six cases of Forestier syndrome as an etiologic factor in dysphagia and present clinical and radiological findings.

Effects of orlistat plus diet on postprandial lipemia and brachial artery reactivity in normolipidemic, obese women with normal glucose tolerance: A prospective, randomized, controlled Study.

BACKGROUND: Postprandial lipemia (PPL) is an independent predictor of earlyatherosclerosis and coronary artery disease. It is defined as a postprandial triglyceride (TG) level ≥80% higher than the fasting level. Brachial arterial reactivity (BAR) is used to identify early-phase atherosclerosis. Data concerning whether orlistat improves PPL and endothelial function are lacking. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the effects of orlistat on PPL and BAR in normolipidemic, obese women with normal glucose tolerance. METHODS: This prospective, randomized, controlled study was conducted at Baskent University, Ankara, Turkey. Normolipidemic, obese women aged 18 to 65 years with normal glucose tolerance were eligible for screening. On screening, demographic information, anthropomorphic parameters (body mass index [BMI], waist circumference [WC], hip circumference, waist-hip ratio), BAR, laboratory test results (level of insulin resistance assessed using the homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance [HOMA-IR] index, serum lipid profile, fasting plasma levels of glucose and insulin [FPI]), and oral fat-loading test results were recorded as baseline values. The primary end points were the effects of orlistat + diet on PPL (assessed using the AUC of TG) and BAR. Women found on screening to be PPL positive were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to treatment with orlistat 120 mg TID plus low-calorie diet (600-kcal/d deficit; minimum, 1200 kcal/d) or low-calorie diet only (control) for 12 weeks. After 12 weeks, all of the above assessments were repeated, and AUC values for lipid parameters were calculated as secondary outcome measures. To assess tolerability and compliance, women were monitored by telephone each week and instructed to return every 4 weeks for clinic visits. RESULTS: Twenty-seven women were identified as PPL positive and assigned to the orlistat + diet group (18 subjects) or the control group (9) (mean [SD] age, 45.9 [2.3] years; mean [SD] weight, 87.4 [2.5] kg; mean [SD] BMI, 36.0 [0.8] kg/m(2)). Treatment with orlistat + diet was associated with significantly greater changes from baseline compared with controls in WC (P= 0.003), fasting and postprandial serum TG levels (P = 0.012 and P < 0.001, respectively), FPI level (P = 0.001), and HOMA-IR index (P < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis found that 12 weeks of treatment with orlistat + diet was associated with a numeric, but statistically non-significant, 4.1-fold change in PPL, which was independent of reductions from baseline in weight and WC. Neither treatment was associated with significant changes from baseline in BAR. The prevalences of gastrointestinal symptoms previously found to be related to orlistat use were statistically similar between the orlistat + diet and control groups (9 [50.0%] vs 3 [33.3%] subjects). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this small study in normolipidemic, obesewomen with normal glucose tolerance suggest that 12 weeks of treatment with orlistat 120 mg/d plus low-calorie diet was associated with a numeric, but statistically nonsignificant, 4.1-fold change from baseline in PPL, which was independent of reductions from baseline in weight and WC. Treatment with orlistat + diet was associated with significant effects on WC, TG, and level of insulin resistance, but not BAR.

MR imaging and ultrasound of fetal cervical cystic lymphangioma: utility in antepartum treatment planning.

We present a case of fetal cystic lymphangioma that was initially diagnosed by ultrasonography and further evaluated by prenatal MR imaging. MR imaging findings aided in improved delineation of the neck mass. T2-weighted MR images revealed partial compression of the airway by the neck mass. This information was useful in the decision to use ex utero intrapartum treatment (EXIT) and helped surgeons in planning their approach to establish airway control during delivery.

Percutaneous transluminal balloon angioplasty in stenosis of native hemodialysis arteriovenous fistulas: technical success and analysis of factors affecting postprocedural fistula patency.

PURPOSE: We aimed to determine the predictors of technical success and patency after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) of de novo dysfunctional hemodialysis arteriovenous fistulas (AVF). METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of first time PTA in 228 patients (129 men, 99 women; mean age, 56.8±14.6 years). Anatomical (location, length, grade, and number of stenoses) and clinical variables (sex, age, prior AVF, diabetes mellitus, AVF age, side, and location) were reviewed. RESULTS: A total of 330 stenoses were found in 228 patients. PTA was technically successful in 96.3% of the stenoses (n=319). Clinical success was achieved in 97.2% (n=321). Early dysfunction (within six months) was positively correlated with patient age (P < 0.001) and diabetes (P < 0.005). Older age (P < 0.001) and diabetes (P = 0.002) were associated with a lower primary patency rate. Patient age (P %lt; 0.001), presence of diabetes (P = 0.023), length of stenosis (P = 0.003), early recurrence (P = 0.003) and presence of residual stenosis (P = 0.014) were associated with a lower secondary patency rate. CONCLUSION: Patency of dysfunctional hemodialysis fistulas can be maintained safely with continuous follow-up and repeated interventions without shortening the venous segment by surgical revision. Percutaneous approach to hemodialysis access stenosis is an alternative to the conventional surgical approach and PTA is an effective treatment method for dysfunctional AVF.