Reticular Pseudodrusen Status, ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype, and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 32.

PURPOSE: To determine whether reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) status, ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype, or both are associated with altered geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement rate and to analyze potential mediation of genetic effects by RPD status. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of an Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with GA: n = 771 from 563 participants. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from fundus photographs at annual visits. Reticular pseudodrusen presence was graded from fundus autofluorescence images. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area was performed by RPD status, ARMS2 genotype, or both. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root of GA area. RESULTS: Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster in eyes with RPD (P < 0.0001): 0.379 mm/year (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.329-0.430 mm/year) versus 0.273 mm/year (95% CI, 0.256-0.289 mm/year). Enlargement was also significantly faster in individuals carrying ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001): 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.198-0.250 mm/year), 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.263-0.310 mm/year), and 0.307 mm/year (95% CI, 0.273-0.341 mm/year) for 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In mediation analysis, the direct effect of ARMS2 genotype was 0.074 mm/year (95% CI, 0.009-0.139 mm/year), whereas the indirect effect of ARMS2 genotype via RPD status was 0.002 mm/year (95% CI, -0.006 to 0.009 mm/year). In eyes with incident GA, RPD presence was not associated with an altered likelihood of central involvement (P = 0.29) or multifocality (P = 0.16) at incidence. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, RPD presence was associated with faster GA progression to the central macula (P = 0.009): 157 µm/year (95% CI, 126-188 µm/year) versus 111 µm/year (95% CI, 97-125 µm/year). Similar findings were observed in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic atrophy enlargement is faster in eyes with RPD and in individuals carrying ARMS2/HTRA1 risk alleles. However, RPD status does not mediate the association between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster enlargement. Reticular pseudodrusen presence and ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype are relatively independent risk factors, operating by distinct mechanisms. Reticular pseudodrusen presence does not predict central involvement or multifocality at GA incidence but is associated with faster progression toward the central macula. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be considered for improved predictions of enlargement rate. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Cataract Surgery and the Risk of Developing Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 27.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the risk of developing late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) after incident cataract surgery. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study within a randomized controlled clinical trial of oral supplementation for the treatment of AMD, the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2). PARTICIPANTS: AREDS2 participants aged 50 to 85 years with bilateral large drusen or unilateral late AMD. METHODS: In eyes free of cataract surgery and late AMD at baseline, 2 groups were compared for incident late AMD: (1) eyes that received cataract surgery after the baseline visit and before any evidence of late AMD and (2) eyes that remained phakic until study completion. Eyes with at least 2 years of follow-up after cataract surgery were included in the analysis. We used Cox regression models, matched-pairs analysis, and logistic regression models that were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, education, study treatment group, and AMD severity. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Late AMD was defined as the presence of geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD detected on annual stereoscopic fundus photographs or as documented by medical records, including intravitreous injections of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor medication. RESULTS: A total of 1767 eligible eyes (1195 participants) received cataract surgery; 1981 eyes (1524 participants) developed late AMD during a mean (range) follow-up of 9 (1-12) years. The Cox regression model showed no increased risk of developing late AMD after cataract surgery: hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81-1.13 (P = 0.60) for right eyes and hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.89-1.25 (P = 0.56) for left eyes. Of the matched pairs, late AMD was identified in 408 eyes that received cataract surgery and in 429 phakic controls: odds ratio (OR) 0.92 (95% CI, 0.77-1.10; P = 0.34). The risk of late AMD after cataract surgery from the logistic regression model was not statistically significant (risk ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.56-1.49; P = 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: Cataract surgery did not increase the risk of developing late AMD among AREDS2 participants with up to 10 years of follow-up. This study provides data for counseling AMD patients who might benefit from cataract surgery.

Reticular Pseudodrusen: The Third Macular Risk Feature for Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30.

PURPOSE: To analyze reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) as an independent risk factor for progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), alongside traditional macular risk factors (soft drusen and pigmentary abnormalities) considered simultaneously. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS (6959 eyes, 3780 participants) and AREDS2 (3355 eyes, 2056 participants). METHODS: Color fundus photographs (CFPs) from annual visits were graded for soft drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and late AMD. Presence of RPD was from grading of fundus autofluorescence images (AREDS2) and deep learning grading of CFPs (AREDS). Proportional hazards regression analyses were performed, considering AREDS AMD severity scales (modified simplified severity scale [person] and 9-step scale [eye]) and RPD presence simultaneously. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD. RESULTS: In AREDS, for late AMD analyses by person, in a model considering the simplified severity scale simultaneously, RPD presence was associated with a higher risk of progression: hazard ratio (HR), 2.15 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.64). However, the risk associated with RPD presence differed at different severity scale levels: HR, 3.23 (95% CI, 1.60-6.51), HR, 3.81 (95% CI, 2.38-6.10), HR, 2.28 (95% CI, 1.59-3.27), and HR, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.20-2.24), at levels 0-1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Considering the 9-step scale (by eye), RPD presence was associated with higher risk: HR, 2.54 (95% CI, 2.07-3.13). The HRs were 5.11 (95% CI, 3.93-6.66) at levels 1-6 and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.43-2.22) at levels 7 and 8. In AREDS2, by person, RPD presence was not associated with higher risk: HR, 1.18 (95% CI, 0.90-1.56); by eye, it was HR, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.31-1.89). In both cohorts, RPD presence carried a higher risk for GA than neovascular AMD. CONCLUSIONS: Reticular pseudodrusen represent an important risk factor for progression to late AMD, particularly GA. However, the added risk varies markedly by severity level, with highly increased risk at lower/moderate levels and less increased risk at higher levels. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be included in updated AMD classification systems, risk calculators, and clinical trials.

Assessing bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment and late age-related macular degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to investigate bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment and late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). METHODS: Participants in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) received annual eye examinations and cognitive function testing (e.g., Modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status [TICS-M]). We examined bidirectional associations between cognitive impairment (e.g., a TICS-M score < 30) and late AMD at 5 and 10 years. RESULTS: Five thousand one hundred eighty-nine eyes (3157 participants; mean age 72.7 years) were analyzed and followed for a median of 10.4 years. Eyes of participants with cognitive impairment at baseline were more likely to progress to late AMD at 5 years (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.43) and 10 years (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05-1.37) than eyes of participants without cognitive impairment. Worse baseline AMD severity was not associated with developing cognitive impairment. DISCUSSION: Cognitive impairment is associated with late AMD progression in AREDS2. Our finding highlights the importance of eyecare for people with cognitive impairment.

Dietary Nutrient Intake and Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

PURPOSE: To analyze associations between the dietary intake of multiple nutrients and risk of progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), its subtypes, and large drusen. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 controlled clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline among AREDS participants (n = 4504) and AREDS2 participants (n = 3738) totaled 14 135 eyes. Mean age was 71.0 years (standard deviation, 6.7 years), and 56.5% of patients were women. METHODS: Fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late AMD. Dietary intake of multiple nutrients was calculated from food frequency questionnaires. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), neovascular AMD, and (separate analyses) large drusen. RESULTS: Over median follow-up of 10.2 years, of the 14 135 eyes, 32.7% progressed to late AMD. For 9 nutrients, intake quintiles 4 or 5 (vs. 1) were associated significantly (P ≤ 0.0005) with decreased risk of late AMD: vitamin A, vitamin B6, vitamin C, folate, ß-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, and alcohol. For 3 nutrients, quintiles 4 or 5 were associated significantly with increased risk: saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. Similar results were observed for GA. Regarding neovascular AMD, 9 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk-vitamin A, vitamin B6, ß-carotene, lutein and zeaxanthin, magnesium, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, omega-3 fatty acid, and alcohol-and 3 nutrients were associated with increased risk-saturated fatty acid, monounsaturated fatty acid, and oleic acid. In separate analyses (n = 5399 eyes of 3164 AREDS participants), 12 nutrients were associated nominally with decreased risk of large drusen. CONCLUSIONS: Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including minerals, vitamins, and carotenoids, is associated with decreased risk of progression to late AMD. These associations are stronger for GA than for neovascular AMD. The same nutrients also tend to show protective associations against large drusen development. Strong genetic interactions exist for some nutrient-genotype combinations, particularly omega-3 fatty acids and CFH. These data may justify further research into underlying mechanisms and randomized trials of supplementation.

Retinal Specialist versus Artificial Intelligence Detection of Retinal Fluid from OCT: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: 10-Year Follow-On Study.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the performance of retinal specialists in detecting retinal fluid presence in spectral domain OCT (SD-OCT) scans from eyes with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and compare performance with an artificial intelligence algorithm. DESIGN: Prospective comparison of retinal fluid grades from human retinal specialists and the Notal OCT Analyzer (NOA) on SD-OCT scans from 2 common devices. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1127 eyes of 651 Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 10-year Follow-On Study (AREDS2-10Y) participants with SD-OCT scans graded by reading center graders (as the ground truth). METHODS: The AREDS2-10Y investigators graded each SD-OCT scan for the presence/absence of intraretinal and subretinal fluid. Separately, the same scans were graded by the NOA. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Accuracy (primary), sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1-score. RESULTS: Of the 1127 eyes, retinal fluid was present in 32.8%. For detecting retinal fluid, the investigators had an accuracy of 0.805 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.780-0.828), a sensitivity of 0.468 (95% CI, 0.416-0.520), a specificity of 0.970 (95% CI, 0.955-0.981). The NOA metrics were 0.851 (95% CI, 0.829-0.871), 0.822 (95% CI, 0.779-0.859), 0.865 (95% CI, 0.839-0.889), respectively. For detecting intraretinal fluid, the investigator metrics were 0.815 (95% CI, 0.792-0.837), 0.403 (95% CI, 0.349-0.459), and 0.978 (95% CI, 0.966-0.987); the NOA metrics were 0.877 (95% CI, 0.857-0.896), 0.763 (95% CI, 0.713-0.808), and 0.922 (95% CI, 0.902-0.940), respectively. For detecting subretinal fluid, the investigator metrics were 0.946 (95% CI, 0.931-0.958), 0.583 (95% CI, 0.471-0.690), and 0.973 (95% CI, 0.962-0.982); the NOA metrics were 0.863 (95% CI, 0.842-0.882), 0.940 (95% CI, 0.867-0.980), and 0.857 (95% CI, 0.835-0.877), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this large and challenging sample of SD-OCT scans obtained with 2 common devices, retinal specialists had imperfect accuracy and low sensitivity in detecting retinal fluid. This was particularly true for intraretinal fluid and difficult cases (with lower fluid volumes appearing on fewer B-scans). Artificial intelligence-based detection achieved a higher level of accuracy. This software tool could assist physicians in detecting retinal fluid, which is important for diagnostic, re-treatment, and prognostic tasks.

Beyond Performance Metrics: Automatic Deep Learning Retinal OCT Analysis Reproduces Clinical Trial Outcome.

PURPOSE: To validate the efficacy of a fully automatic, deep learning-based segmentation algorithm beyond conventional performance metrics by measuring the primary outcome of a clinical trial for macular telangiectasia type 2 (MacTel2). DESIGN: Evaluation of diagnostic test or technology. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 92 eyes from 62 participants with MacTel2 from a phase 2 clinical trial (NCT01949324) randomized to 1 of 2 treatment groups METHODS: The ellipsoid zone (EZ) defect areas were measured on spectral domain OCT images of each eye at 2 time points (baseline and month 24) by a fully automatic, deep learning-based segmentation algorithm. The change in EZ defect area from baseline to month 24 was calculated and analyzed according to the clinical trial protocol. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Difference in the change in EZ defect area from baseline to month 24 between the 2 treatment groups. RESULTS: The difference in the change in EZ defect area from baseline to month 24 between the 2 treatment groups measured by the fully automatic segmentation algorithm was 0.072±0.035 mm2 (P = 0.021). This was comparable to the outcome of the clinical trial using semiautomatic measurements by expert readers, 0.065±0.033 mm2 (P = 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: The fully automatic segmentation algorithm was as accurate as semiautomatic expert segmentation to assess EZ defect areas and was able to reliably reproduce the statistically significant primary outcome measure of the clinical trial. This approach, to validate the performance of an automatic segmentation algorithm on the primary clinical trial end point, provides a robust gauge of its clinical applicability.

Adherence to the Mediterranean Diet and Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

PURPOSE: To determine whether closer adherence to a Mediterranean diet (and its individual components) was associated with altered risk of progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and large drusen. Additional objectives were to assess interactions with AMD genotype. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of 2 controlled clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS participants (n = 4255) and AREDS2 participants (n = 3611): total of 13 204 eyes (7756 participants). Mean age was 71 years (standard deviation, 6.6); 56.5% were female. METHODS: Color fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late AMD. The modified Alternative Mediterranean Diet Index (aMedi) score was calculated for each participant from food frequency questionnaires. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD; progression to large drusen. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 10.2 years, of the 13 204 eyes, 34.0% progressed to late AMD. Hazard ratios (HRs) for progression in aMedi tertile 3 versus 1 were 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.85, P < 0.0001) for late AMD, 0.71 (0.63-0.80, P < 0.0001) for GA, and 0.84 (0.75-0.95, P = 0.005) for neovascular AMD. For fish consumption, HRs for late AMD in quartile 4 versus 1 were 0.69 (0.58-0.82, P < 0.0001; AREDS) and 0.92 (0.78-1.07, P = 0.28; AREDS2). In AREDS, both aMedi and its fish component interacted with CFH rs10922109 for late AMD (P = 0.01 and P = 0.0005, respectively); higher aMedi and fish intake were each associated with decreased risk only in participants with protective alleles. In separate analyses (n = 5029 eyes of 3026 AREDS participants), the HR for progression to large drusen in aMedi tertile 3 versus 1 was 0.79 (0.68-0.93, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Closer adherence to a Mediterranean-type diet was associated with lower risk of progression to late AMD and to large drusen. The signal was greater for GA than neovascular AMD. Fish intake contributed to this protective association. CFH genotype strongly influenced these relationships. These findings may help inform evidence-based dietary recommendations.

Incidence of Macular Atrophy after Untreated Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report 40.

PURPOSE: To report the natural history of untreated neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) regarding subsequent macular atrophy. DESIGN: Prospective cohort within a randomized, controlled trial of oral micronutrient supplements. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants (55-80 years) who demonstrated nAMD during follow-up (1992-2005), prior to anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy. METHODS: Color fundus photographs were collected at annual study visits and graded centrally for late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Incident macular atrophy after nAMD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and proportional hazards regression. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident macular atrophy after nAMD. RESULTS: Of the 4757 AREDS participants, 708 eyes (627 participants) demonstrated nAMD during follow-up and were eligible. The cumulative risks of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD were 9.6% (standard error, 1.2%), 31.4% (standard error, 2.2%), 43.1% (standard error, 2.6%), and 61.5% (standard error, 4.3%) at 2, 5, 7, and 10 years, respectively. This corresponded to a linear risk of 6.5% per year. The cumulative risk of central involvement was 30.4% (standard error, 3.2%), 43.4% (standard error, 3.8%), and 57.0% (standard error, 4.8%) at first appearance of atrophy, 2 years, and 5 years, respectively. Geographic atrophy (GA) in the fellow eye was associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-2.49; P = 0.006). However, higher 52-single nucleotide polymorphism AMD genetic risk score was not associated with increased risk of macular atrophy (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.90-1.17; P = 0.67). Similarly, no significant differences were observed according to SNPs at CFH, ARMS2, or C3. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of incident macular atrophy after untreated nAMD is relatively high, increasing linearly over time and affecting half of eyes by 8 years. Hence, factors other than anti-VEGF therapy are involved in atrophy development, including natural progression to GA. Comparison with studies of treated nAMD suggests it may not be necessary to invoke a large effect of anti-VEGF therapy on inciting macular atrophy, although a contribution remains possible. Central involvement is present in one third of eyes at the outset (similar to pure GA) and increases linearly to half at 3 years.

Adherence to a Mediterranean diet and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 & 2.

INTRODUCTION: The objective was to determine whether closer adherence to the alternative Mediterranean Diet (aMED) was associated with altered cognitive function. METHODS: Observational analyses of participants (n = 7,756) enrolled in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. RESULTS: Odds ratios for cognitive impairment, in aMED tertile 3 (vs 1), were 0.36 (P = .0001) for Modified Mini-Mental State (<80) and 0.56 (P = .001) for composite score in AREDS, and 0.56 for Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30) and 0.48 for composite score (each P < .0001) in AREDS2. Fish intake was associated with higher cognitive function. In AREDS2, rate of cognitive decline over 5 to 10 years was not significantly different by aMED but was significantly slower (P = .019) with higher fish intake. DISCUSSION: Closer Mediterranean diet adherence was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function. Apolipoprotein E (APOE) haplotype did not influence these relationships.

Prevalence, Risk, and Genetic Association of Reticular Pseudodrusen in Age-related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 21.

PURPOSE: To determine the prevalence of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) in eyes with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), assess the role of RPD as an independent risk factor for late AMD development, and evaluate genetic association with RPD. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Participants with intermediate AMD in 1 or both eyes enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), a 5-year multicenter study of nutritional supplement. METHODS: Fundus autofluorescence (FAF) images from a subset of AREDS2 participants were evaluated at annual visits for presence of RPD. Six single nucleotide polymorphisms-rs10490924 (ARMS2), rs1061170 (CFH), rs2230199 (C3), rs116503776 and rs114254831 (C2/CFB), and rs943080 (VEGF-A)-and the genetic risk score (GRS) were assessed for association with RPD. Development of late AMD, defined as geographic atrophy (GA) or neovascular AMD (NVAMD), was identified. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of RPD, odds ratio (OR) of late AMD development, and genetic associations of RPD. RESULTS: The FAF images were evaluated for 5021 eyes (2516 participants). Reticular pseudodrusen were seen in 1186 eyes (24% of eyes, 29% of participants). Prevalence of RPD varied with baseline AREDS AMD severity level: 6% in early AMD (n = 458), 26% in intermediate AMD (n = 2606), 36% in GA (n = 682), and 19% in NVAMD (n = 1246). Mean age of participants with RPD was 79 years (standard deviation [SD], 7) and 75 years (SD, 8) in those without RPD (P < 0.0001). Reticular pseudodrusen were more frequent in female participants (65% RPD vs. 53% no RPD). Odds ratio adjusted for baseline age, gender, race, educational status, smoking, and AMD severity level for 1710 eyes at risk of developing late AMD at the next annual visit was 2.42 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.80-3.24; P < 0.001) for GA and 1.21 (95% CI, 0.87-1.7; P = 0.26) for NVAMD. Presence of RPD was significantly associated with higher GRS (P < 0.0001) and ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) and, at a nominal level, with C3 risk alleles (P = 0.04) and CFH risk alleles (P = 0.048 for homozygotes). CONCLUSIONS: Participants with RPD have an increased risk of progression to GA but not NVAMD. ARMS2 risk alleles and higher GRS were associated with the presence of RPD. This study suggests that RPD are an important risk marker and should be included in classification systems used for patient prognosis.

Natural History of Drusenoid Pigment Epithelial Detachment Associated with Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 17.

PURPOSE: To investigate the natural history and genetic associations of drusenoid pigment epithelial detachment (DPED) associated with age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Of the 4203 Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) participants, 391 eyes (325 participants) had DPED without late AMD at the time of DPED detection. Genetic analyses included 120 white AREDS2 participants and 145 Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants with DPED. METHODS: Baseline and annual stereoscopic fundus photographs were graded centrally to detect DPED, a well-defined yellow elevated mound of confluent drusen ≥433 µm in diameter, and to evaluate progression rates to late AMD: geographic atrophy (GA) and neovascular (NV)-AMD. Five single nucleotide polymorphisms (CFH [rs10611670], C3 [rs2230199], CFI [rs10033900], C2/CFB [rs114254831], ARMS2 [rs10490924]) and genetic risk score (GRS) group were investigated for association with DPED development. Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariable proportional hazard regressions were performed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression rates to late AMD and decrease of ≥3 lines in visual acuity (VA) from the time of DPED detection; association of rate of DPED development with genotype. RESULTS: Mean (standard deviation [SD]) follow-up time from DPED detection was 4.7 (0.9) years. DPED was associated with increased risk of progression to late AMD (hazard ratio [HR], 2.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.98-2.82; P < 0.001); 67% of eyes progressed to late AMD 5 years after DPED detection. Drusenoid pigment epithelial detachment was associated with increased risk of ≥3 lines of VA loss (HR, 3.08; CI, 2.41-3.93; P < 0.001) with 46% of eyes experiencing vision loss at 5 years (with or without progression to late AMD). ARMS2 risk alleles (1 vs. 0: HR, 2.72, CI, 1.58-4.70; 2 vs. 0: HR, 3.16, CI, 1.60-6.21, P < 0.001) and increasing GRS group (4 vs. 1) (HR, 12.17, CI, 3.66-40.45, P < 0.001) were significantly associated with DPED development in AREDS. There were no significant genetic results in AREDS2. CONCLUSIONS: This study replicates the results of previous natural history studies of eyes with DPED including the high rates of progression to late AMD and vision loss (regardless of progression to late AMD). The genetic associations are consistent with genes associated with AMD progression.

The Association of Aspirin Use with Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 20.

PURPOSE: To analyze the potential association between aspirin use and progression of age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Two prospective cohort studies within 2 controlled clinical trials of oral supplementation for age-related eye disease. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) participants 55 to 80 years of age and AREDS2 participants 50 to 85 years of age. METHODS: Propensity scores for aspirin use were calculated for AREDS and AREDS2 participants separately by logistic regression. Of the participants without late AMD (geographic atrophy [GA] or neovascular AMD) in either eye at study baseline, aspirin users were matched 1:1 with nonusers by propensity score (separately for AREDS and AREDS2). Proportional hazards regression was performed, adjusting for age, on the matched participants to evaluate associations between aspirin propensity score and progression to late AMD (and its subtypes). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD on color fundus photographs, graded centrally. RESULTS: Of the 3734 eligible AREDS participants, 1049 (28.1%) were taking aspirin, and of the 2403 eligible AREDS2 participants, 1198 (49.9%) were taking aspirin. After matching by propensity score, the characteristics of the users and nonusers were similar in both studies. Of the 1950 matched AREDS participants and 1694 matched AREDS2 participants, over a median follow-up of 10.1 years and 5.0 years, respectively, the numbers who progressed to late AMD, GA, or neovascular AMD were 454 (23.3%), 345 (17.7%), and 278 (14.3%), respectively, in AREDS and 643 (38.0%), 402 (24.6%), and 341 (20.1%) in AREDS2. The hazard ratios of progression in quintile 5 (highest propensity for aspirin use) versus 1 (reference) were 1.17 (P = 0.35), 1.24 (0.25), and 0.95 (0.81), respectively, in AREDS and 1.26 (0.09), 1.46 (0.03), and 1.12 (0.58) in AREDS2. No significant association with progression to late AMD was observed for quintiles 2 through 5 for any of the 3 outcomes in either study. CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin use was not associated significantly with progression to late AMD or its subtypes in either the AREDS or AREDS2. Patients with AMD need not avoid aspirin for this reason when its use is medically indicated.

No CFH or ARMS2 Interaction with Omega-3 Fatty Acids, Low versus High Zinc, or ß-Carotene versus Lutein and Zeaxanthin on Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report No. 18.

PURPOSE: To assess whether genotypes at 2 major loci associated with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), complement factor H (CFH), or age-related maculopathy susceptibility 2 (ARMS2), modify the response to oral nutrients for the treatment of AMD in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2). DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of a randomized trial. PARTICIPANTS: White AREDS2 participants. METHODS: AREDS2 participants (n = 4203) with bilateral large drusen or late AMD in 1 eye were assigned randomly to lutein and zeaxanthin, omega-3 fatty acids, both, or placebo, and most also received the AREDS supplements. A secondary randomization assessed modified AREDS supplements in 4 treatment arms: lower zinc dosage, omission of ß-carotene, both, or no modification. To evaluate the progression to late AMD, fundus photographs were obtained at baseline and annual study visits, and history of treatment for late AMD was obtained at study visits and 6-month interim telephone calls. Participants were genotyped for the single-nucleotide polymorphisms rs1061170 in CFH and rs10490924 in ARMS2. Bivariate frailty models using both eyes were conducted, including a gene-supplement interaction term and adjusting for age, gender, level of education, and smoking status. The main treatment effects, as well as the direct comparison between lutein plus zeaxanthin and ß-carotene, were assessed for genotype interaction. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The interaction between genotype and the response to AREDS2 supplements regarding progression to late AMD, any geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD. RESULTS: Complete data were available for 2775 eyes without baseline late AMD (1684 participants). The participants (mean age ± standard deviation, 72.1±7.7 years; 58.5% female) were followed up for a median of 5 years. The ARMS2 risk allele was associated significantly with progression to late AMD and neovascular AMD (P = 2.40 × 10-5 and P = 0.002, respectively), but not any GA (P = 0.097). The CFH risk allele was not associated with AMD progression. Genotype did not modify significantly the response to any of the AREDS2 supplements. CONCLUSIONS: CFH and ARMS2 risk alleles do not modify the response to the AREDS2 nutrient supplements with respect to the progression to late AMD (GA and neovascular AMD).

Effect of Ciliary Neurotrophic Factor on Retinal Neurodegeneration in Patients with Macular Telangiectasia Type 2: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

PURPOSE: To test the effects of an encapsulated cell-based delivery of a neuroprotective agent, ciliary neurotrophic factor (CNTF), on progression of macular telangiectasia type 2, a neurodegenerative disease with no proven effective therapy. DESIGN: Randomized sham-controlled clinical trial. PARTICIPANTS: Ninety-nine study eyes of 67 eligible participants were enrolled. METHODS: Single-masked randomized clinical trial of 24 months' duration conducted from May 2014 through April 2017 in 11 clinical centers of retinal specialists in the United States and Australia. Participants were randomized 1:1 to surgical implantation of intravitreal sustained delivery of human CNTF versus a sham procedure. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the difference in the area of neurodegeneration as measured in the area of the ellipsoid zone disruption (or photoreceptor loss) measured on spectral-domain (SD) OCT images at 24 months from baseline between the treated and untreated groups. Secondary outcomes included comparison of visual function changes between treatment groups. RESULTS: Among the 67 participants who were randomized (mean age, 62±8.9 years; 41 women [61%]; 58 white persons [86%]), 65 (97%) completed the study. Two participants (3 study eyes) died and 3 participants (4 eyes) were found ineligible. The eyes receiving sham treatment had 31% greater progression of neurodegeneration than the CNTF-treated eyes. The difference in mean area of photoreceptor loss was 0.05±0.03 mm2 (P = 0.04) at 24 months. Retinal sensitivity changes, measured using microperimetry, were correlated highly with the changes in the area of photoreceptor loss (r = 0.86; P < 0.0001). The mean retinal sensitivity loss of the sham group was 45% greater than that of the treated group (decrease, 15.81±8.93 dB; P = 0.07). Reading speed deteriorated in the sham group (-13.9 words per minute) with no loss in the treated group (P = 0.02). Serious adverse ocular effects were found in 2 of 51 persons (4%) in the sham group and 2 of 48 persons (4%) in the treated group. CONCLUSIONS: In participants with macular telangiectasia type 2, a surgical implant that released CNTF into the vitreous cavity, compared with a sham procedure, slowed the progression of retinal degeneration. Further research is needed to assess longer-term clinical outcomes and safety.

No association between sleep apnoea and macular telangiectasia type 2 and its markers of severity and progression: a case-control study and retrospective cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Idiopathic Macular Telangiectasia Type 2 (MacTel) is an uncommon, progressive retinal disease usually affecting both eyes. Currently there is no know treatment however with similar comorbidities to Obstructive Sleep Apnoea (OSA) there is plausibility of an association which may accelerate disease progression. BACKGROUND: To identify an association between MacTel and OSA and whether OSA may result in increased disease progression. DESIGN: Matched case-control study and retrospective cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Fifty-seven patients with MacTel and 165 matched controls from the Busselton Health Study. METHODS: MacTel participants were matched based on age, gender and body mass index (BMI) (and where possible hypertension and diabetes) on a 3:1 ratio with controls from the Busselton Health Study. Participants undertook a sleep questionnaire using a previously validated questionnaire. In a subset sleep apnoea severity was objectively measured via overnight ambulatory polygraphy (30 cases and 83 matched controls; ApneaLink device; ResMed, Sydney, Australia). In a retrospective analysis of the suspected MacTel cases we assessed whether major markers of OSA severity and MacTel progression were associated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Apnoea Hypopnea Index along with key markers of MacTel progression. RESULTS: MacTel patients did not have a higher risk of sleep apnoea when compared to age, sex and BMI -matched controls (mean ± SD Apnoea hypopnea index [AHI] cases 9.6 ± 14.7 vs. controls 9.7 ± 10.8, P = 0.95). No markers of disease progression in the cases were associated with any marker of OSA severity. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Sleep apnoea does not increase the risk or accelerate the progression of MacTel.

Association of Mortality with Ocular Diseases and Visual Impairment in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 13.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the association of mortality with visual acuity (VA) impairment, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and cataract surgery. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Participants with at least intermediate AMD enrolled in a randomized controlled clinical trial of lutein/zeaxanthin and/or omega-3 fatty acids, the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), for treatment of AMD and cataract. METHODS: Baseline and annual eye examinations included best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) assessments, slit-lamp examinations, and stereoscopic fundus photographs that were centrally graded for development of late AMD (central geographic atrophy or neovascular AMD) or pseudophakia. Cause-specific mortality was determined on the basis of the International Classification of Diseases 9th or 10th Revision codes. Risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality was assessed with Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, AMD severity, VA, history of cataract surgery, and assigned AREDS2 study treatment. Analyses included baseline covariates: race, education, smoking status, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: During follow-up (median 5 years), 368 (9%) of the 4203 AREDS2 participants died. Participants with neovascular AMD in 1 eye at baseline had a statistically significant increased risk for mortality compared with participants with no or few drusen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-2.01; P < 0.001). Poorer survival was associated with bilateral cataract surgery before enrollment compared with baseline bilateral phakia (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.29-2.07; P < 0.001) and with BCVA of less than 20/40 compared with participants with 20/40 or better (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.06-2.30; P = 0.024), adjusted for age, sex, and statistically significant covariates. Participants who received antivascular endothelial growth factor therapies for neovascular AMD had decreased mortality compared with those who did not (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88; P = 0.002). The association between all-cause mortality and AREDS2 treatment whether assessing the main or individual treatment effect was not significantly different (omega-3 fatty acids main effect HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.96-1.45; P = 0.12; lutein/zeaxanthin main effect HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.85-1.28; P = 0.71). CONCLUSIONS: In AREDS2, the presence of late AMD, bilateral cataract surgery, and VA less than 20/40 was associated with decreased survival. However, oral supplementation with omega-3 fatty acids, lutein plus zeaxanthin, zinc, or beta-carotene had no statistically significant impact on mortality.

A Deep Phenotype Association Study Reveals Specific Phenotype Associations with Genetic Variants in Age-related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) Report No. 14.

PURPOSE: Age-related macular degeneration (AMD), a multifactorial disease with variable phenotypic presentation, was associated with 52 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 34 loci in a genome-wide association study (GWAS). These genetic variants could modulate different biological pathways involved in AMD, contributing to phenotypic variability. To better understand the effects of these SNPs, we performed a deep phenotype association study (DeePAS) in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), followed by replication using AREDS participants, to identify genotype associations with AMD and non-AMD ocular and systemic phenotypes. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: AREDS and AREDS2 participants. METHODS: AREDS2 participants (discovery cohort) had detailed phenotyping for AMD; other eye conditions; cardiovascular, neurologic, gastrointestinal, and endocrine disease; cognitive function; serum nutrient levels; and others (total of 139 AMD and non-AMD phenotypes). Genotypes of the 52 GWAS SNPs were obtained. The DeePAS was performed by correlating the 52 SNPs to all phenotypes using logistic and linear regression models. Associations that reached Bonferroni-corrected statistical significance were replicated in AREDS. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Genotype-phenotype associations. RESULTS: A total of 1776 AREDS2 participants had 5 years follow-up; 1435 AREDS participants had 10 years. The DeePAS revealed a significant association of the rs3750846 SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) hemorrhage related to neovascular AMD (odds ratio 1.55 [95% confidence interval 1.31-1.84], P = 2.67 × 10-7). This novel association remained significant after conditioning on participants with neovascular AMD (P = 2.42 × 10-4). Carriers of rs3750846 had poorer visual acuity during follow-up (P = 6.82 × 10-7) and were more likely to have a first-degree relative with AMD (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Two SNPs at the CFH locus, rs10922109 and rs570618, were associated with the drusen area in the Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study Report (ETDRS) grid (P = 2.29 × 10-11 and P = 3.20 × 10-9, respectively) and the center subfield (P = 1.24 × 10-9 and P = 6.68 × 10-8, respectively). SNP rs570618 was additionally associated with the presence of calcified drusen (P = 5.38 × 10-6). Except for positive family history of AMD with rs3750846, all genotype-phenotype associations were significantly replicated in AREDS. No pleiotropic associations were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The association of the SNP at the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus with subretinal/sub-RPE hemorrhage and poorer visual acuity and of SNPs at the CFH locus with drusen area may provide new insights in pathophysiological pathways underlying different stages of AMD.

Progression of Geographic Atrophy in Age-related Macular Degeneration: AREDS2 Report Number 16.

PURPOSE: To analyze the prevalence, incidence, and clinical characteristics of eyes with geographic atrophy (GA) in age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including clinical and genetic factors affecting enlargement. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study within a controlled clinical trial. PARTICIPANTS: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) participants, aged 50-85 years. METHODS: Baseline and annual stereoscopic color fundus photographs were evaluated for GA presence and area. Analyses included GA prevalence and incidence rates, Kaplan-Meier rates, mixed-model regression, and multivariable analysis of the square root of GA, area adjusted for covariates, including clinical/imaging characteristics and genotype. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: (1) Presence or development of GA; (2) change in the square root of GA area over time. RESULTS: At baseline, 517 eyes (6.2%) of 411 participants (9.8%) had pre-existing GA (without neovascular AMD), with the following characteristics: 33% central, 67% noncentral; and the following configurations: 36% small, 26% solid/unifocal, 24% multifocal, 9% horseshoe/ring, and 6% indeterminate. Of the remaining 6530 eyes at risk, 1099 eyes (17.3%) of 883 participants developed incident GA without prior neovascular disease during mean follow-up of 4.4 years. The Kaplan-Meier rate of incident GA was 19% of eyes at 5 years. In eyes with incident GA, 4-year risk of subsequent neovascular AMD was 29%. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, 4-year risk of central involvement was 57%. GA enlargement rate (following square root transformation) was similar in eyes with pre-existing GA (0.29 mm/year; 95% confidence interval 0.27-0.30) and incident GA (0.28 mm/year; 0.27-0.30). In the combined group, GA enlargement was significantly faster with noncentrality, multifocality, intermediate baseline size, and bilateral GA (P < 0.0001 for interaction in each case) but not with AREDS2 treatment assignment (P = 0.33) or smoking status (P = 0.05). Enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk (P < 0.0001), C3 non-risk (P = 0.0002), and APOE non-risk (P = 0.001) genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Analyses of AREDS2 data on natural history of GA provide representative data on GA evolution and enlargement. GA enlargement, which was influenced by lesion features, was relentless, resulting in rapid central vision loss. The genetic variants associated with faster enlargement were partially distinct from those associated with risk of incident GA. These findings are relevant to further investigations of GA pathogenesis and clinical trial planning.

SEX STEROIDS AND MACULAR TELANGIECTASIA TYPE 2.

PURPOSE: To investigate the relationship between macular telangiectasia Type 2 and systemic levels of sex steroids or their antagonization. METHODS: In a prospective single-center study, 90 patients with macular telangiectasia Type 2 were investigated. Female patients were evaluated for previous surgical (e.g., ovariectomy) and/or pharmacological (e.g., aromatase inhibitors, tamoxifen) therapy resulting in reduced action of sex steroids. In males, free serum testosterone levels were assessed in patients and controls. RESULTS: Fourteen of 49 (29%) female patients had a history of pharmacological suppression of sex steroids and/or ovariectomy. These patients were younger at disease onset when compared with those without such medical history (mean ± SD: 47.1 ± 7.8, range: 38-59, versus 60.1 ± 7.6, range: 45-76; P < 0.0001). Male patients showed significantly lower free serum testosterone levels compared with controls at younger age (P < 0.0001 and 0.04 in the first and second age quartiles, respectively), as opposed to nonsignificant differences in older patients. In men ≤ 60 years of age, a biochemical hypogonadism (free serum testosterone < 0.05 ng/mL) was present in 53% (8/15) and 4% (2/49) of patients and controls, respectively (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: The results indicate that steroidal sex hormones might be involved in the presumably multifactorial pathophysiology of macular telangiectasia Type 2.