Research on the prediction model of agricultural drought hazard considering the time-delayed cumulative effect and system development characteristics.

Agricultural drought hazard is a complex time-delayed system affected by multiple hazard factors. The ability to estimate agricultural drought hazard accurately is crucial for guaranteeing food security. A TDMGM(1,m,N) prediction model coupling the time-delayed cumulative driving effect of multi-factor and the development characteristics of multi-system is constructed by introducing the time-delayed driving term and simultaneous formula with the goal of solving the problem of multivariate time-delayed prediction modeling of agricultural drought hazard. The definition form and derivation form of the TDMGM(1,m,N) model are given under the two cases of small and large variations of relevant variables, and the nonlinear solutions of the optimal delay parameters are given by using the fmincon function in Matlab. The solution method for model parameter estimation is also provided. It is proved that GM(1,1), GM(1,N), time-delayed GM(1,N), MGM(1,m) and MGM(1,m,N) are all special forms of TDMGM(1,m,N) model. The effect of multiplier transformation on model parameters, simulation prediction value, and model accuracy is also investigated. Finally, the TDMGM(1,m,N) model is applied to predict agricultural drought hazard in Henan Province. The findings demonstrate that the model can address the prediction problem of multiple system characteristic variables when multiple relevant variables exhibit time-delayed properties with good fitting and prediction accuracy.

What inhibits regional inclusive green growth? Empirical evidence from China.

The diversity of locations, environment, and resource elements among different regions leads to the regional imbalance of inclusive green growth (IGG), especially in those developing countries like China. A core issue for achieving the coordination of regional IGG is to identify what influence factors with what extent to inhibit IGG levels of different regions. In this paper, a comprehensive IGG indicator system is designed based on the IGG connotation from four dimensions of economic development, social opportunity equity, green production and consumption, and ecological environment protection. An improved TODIM method is proposed to measure the regional IGG level and further reveal the inhibition effects of various influence factors on regional IGG. The results exemplified by China's 30 provinces during 2008-2018 show that China's eastern provinces possess more superior IGG levels, while the catch-up effect of IGG in central and western provinces is significant. The lower economic output, larger income gap, and weaker green production and consumption restrict the IGG of most western provinces. The higher economic and population agglomerations in eastern and central provinces challenge the ecological resource endowment and environment governance, which inhibits their IGG development. The inhibition effects of social opportunity equity involving employment, education, medical treatment, social security, and infrastructure on IGG levels do not reflect obvious regional agglomeration.

Optimal path for overcoming barriers in developing China's wind energy industry.

Developing the wind energy industry (WEI) has been a long-term strategy in China for responding to the energy crisis and greenhouse gas emissions. However, China's WEI faces various barriers despite its favorable prospects. This paper aims to propose a path analysis approach for exploring the best methods and timing for overcoming diverse barriers in developing WEI systematically, especially in terms of revealing in which phases these barriers should take priority. A multidimensional barrier set categorized by institutional, economic and financial, social, technical, and market factors is identified via the integration of a literature review and empirical interviews. A path analysis approach based on the grey group DEMATEL-NK model is constructed, where the causalities and intensities among barriers are extracted to design a path simulation algorithm with heuristics. The optimal path for overcoming barriers in developing the WEI is generated through a simulation of the search and optimization process used to climb to the fitness landscape peak. The results show that the different barriers to completing the legal and regulatory framework should be prioritized to reach adequate financial incentives and coordination among stakeholders, and that an efficient talent cultivation system should be developed and industry-academic cooperation should be strengthened to increase technical and R&D capabilities in the short term. The optimal path presents a strategic instrument for managers to use to better develop sustainable and clean wind energy systems from the novel insights of prioritizing to overcome barriers.

Barriers to implementing the strictest environmental protection institution: a multi-stakeholder perspective from China.

Increasingly severe environmental issues, especially those in developing countries such as China, drive the evolution of the environmental protection institution (EPI) to its strictest levels. However, the implementation of the strictest EPI still confronts various challenges and barriers, and the multi-stakeholder features of EPI determine these barriers are not independent of one another but rather present complex interactive relationships. This paper identifies the barriers to implementing China's EPI from four aspects of environmental legal, economic, regulatory, and public participation institutions. A variable precision rough DEMATEL approach is proposed to visualize the causal relationships and intensities among barriers from the similarities and differences in perspectives of stakeholders from the government, company, and public levels. The obtained causal interactive mechanism among barriers highlights the need to prioritize the improvement of environmental policy assessment, and the concrete measures in policies or plans should be integrated into legislation to ensure they are mutually supportive early. The non-substantive contributions achieved by China's public participation in environmental protection reveal prejudices that the public is often regarded as a supporter or spectator by both government and company groups, which makes the transparent environmental information disclosure, transfer and feedback into an effective mediation among stakeholders. Comprehensive coordination and feedback mechanisms including source prevention, process control, and severe punishment for consequences while enhancing linkages among stakeholders are put forward to overcome barriers and help implement the strictest EPI.

[Chemical constituents of Artemisia lactiflora(II)].

To study the chemical constituents of Artemisia lactiflora. The compounds were isolated by column chromatography with silica gel, C18 reverse-phase silica gel, semi-preparative HPLC, and their structures were elucidated on the basis of spectral analysis. Twelve compounds were isolated from alcohol extracts of A. lactiflora and identified as 7-hydroxycoumarin (1), 7-methoxycoumarin (2), balanophonin (3), aurantiamide (4), aurantiamide acetate (5), isovitexin (6), kaempferol-3-O-beta-D-rutinoside (7), rutin (8), caffeic acid ethyl ester (9), quercetin (10), methyl 3, 5-di-O-caffeoyl quinate (11) and methyl 3, 4-di-O-caffeoyl quinate (12), respectively. Compounds 3-12 were obtained from this plant for the first time.