From stable disease to acute-on-chronic liver failure: Circulating cytokines are related to prognosis in different stages of cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Although both pro- and anti-inflammatory circulating cytokines are known to be elevated in liver cirrhosis, its clinical significance is not completely recognized. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic significance of circulating cytokines interleukin (IL)-6, IL-17 and IL-10 in different stages of cirrhosis. METHODS: This prospective study included two cohorts: (1) stable cirrhosis attended in the Outpatient Clinic (n=118), and (2) subjects hospitalized for acute decompensation (AD) (n=130). Thirty healthy subjects served as control group. RESULTS: Patients with cirrhosis exhibited higher levels of cytokines as compared to controls. In stable cirrhosis, during a median follow-up of 17months, liver-related events occurred in 26 patients. Higher IL-10 levels and Child-Pugh B/C were independently associated with reduced event-free survival. In AD cohort, death after 90days of follow-up occurred in 39 patients and was independently associated with ascites, higher IL-6 and model for end-stage liver disease. IL-6 levels also showed higher AUROC than CRP for predicting bacterial infection in the AD cohort (0.831±0.043vs. 0.763±0.048, respectively). IL-17 decreased at third day of hospitalization only in patients who progressed to death. Higher IL-6 levels were observed in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients even in the absence of bacterial infection whereas IL-10 was higher only in subjects with infection-related ACLF. Higher IL-10 and IL-17 levels were associated with progression to death in ACLF. CONCLUSIONS: The pattern of immune response seems to vary according to the phase of cirrhosis and is related to prognosis, from stable disease to ACLF.

Prognostic significance of insulin-like growth factor-I serum levels in acute decompensation of cirrhosis.

CONTEXT: IGF-I serum levels are suppressed in cirrhosis, but its prognostic significance is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognostic value of IGF-I in patients admitted for acute decompensation of cirrhosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cohort study that included 103 patients. IGF-I was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). RESULTS: Ninety-day mortality was 26.2% and it was independently associated with MELD, age and IGF-I. The Kaplan-Meier survival probability at 90 days was 94.3% in patients with IGF-I ≥13 ng/mL and 63.2% for patients with IGF-I <13 ng/mL (p = .001). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: IGF-I levels are independently associated with mortality in acute decompensation of cirrhosis.

Circulating insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 as prognostic biomarker in liver cirrhosis.

AIM: To investigate the prognostic significance of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 (IGFBP-3) in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Prospective study that included two cohorts: outpatients with stable cirrhosis (n = 138) and patients hospitalized for acute decompensation (n = 189). Development of complications, mortality or liver transplantation was assessed by periodical phone calls and during outpatient visits. The cohort of stable cirrhosis also underwent clinical and laboratory evaluation yearly (2013 and 2014) in predefined study visits. In patients with stable cirrhosis, IGFBP-3 levels were measured at baseline (2012) and at second re-evaluation (2014). In hospitalized subjects, IGFBP-3 levels were measured in serum samples collected in the first and in the third day after admission and stored at -80 °C. IGFBP-3 levels were measured by immunochemiluminescence. RESULTS: IGFBP-3 levels were lower in hospitalized patients as compared to outpatients (0.94 mcg/mL vs 1.69 mcg/mL, P < 0.001) and increased after liver transplantation (3.81 mcg/mL vs 1.33 mcg/mL, P = 0.008). During the follow-up of the stable cohort, 17 patients died and 11 received liver transplantation. Bivariate analysis showed that death or transplant was associated with lower IGFBP-3 levels (1.44 mcg/mL vs 1.74 mcg/mL, P = 0.027). The Kaplan-Meier transplant-free survival probability was 88.6% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 1.67 mcg/mL and 72.1% for those with IGFBP3 < 1.67 mcg/mL (P = 0.015). In the hospitalized cohort, 30-d mortality was 24.3% and was independently associated with creatinine, INR, SpO2/FiO2 ratio and IGFBP-3 levels in the logistic regression. The 90-d transplant-free survival probability was 80.4% in patients with IGFBP-3 ≥ 0.86 mcg/mL and 56.1% for those with IGFBP3 < 0.86 mcg/mL (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Lower IGFBP-3 levels were associated with worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis, and might represent a promising prognostic tool that can be incorporated in clinical practice.