Treatment patterns in patients with newly diagnosed COPD in the USA.

BACKGROUND: Prompt and effective management with maintenance therapy (single or dual bronchodilator therapy) is recommended after the initial diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) to maintain lung function and prevent exacerbations. Contrary to guideline-based recommendations, most patients are not prescribed maintenance treatment at initial diagnosis. The current study assessed the pharmacologic treatment patterns and outcomes of newly diagnosed patients with COPD in the USA. METHODS: This retrospective, noninterventional study used de-identified data from the Inovalon Insights' database (Commercial, Medicaid Managed Care, and Medicare Advantage-insured individuals) between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2021. The "patient journey" from initial diagnosis was followed over a 4-year period. The primary outcome measure was the number of moderate or severe exacerbations. Secondary outcome measures included the cumulative incidence of exacerbations, mean cumulative count of moderate and severe exacerbations, rates of moderate and severe exacerbations in patients who remained untreated after diagnosis in 12-month time periods for 4 years, sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, and pharmacologic treatment patterns. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 238,158 newly diagnosed patients with COPD (female [52.9%]; mean age 63.8 years). The majority of patients with COPD had Medicaid as their primary insurance (46.2%). Overall, during the 4-year follow-up period, 32.9% of the patients had at least one moderate or severe exacerbation, and 25.8% and 13.8% experienced moderate and severe exacerbations, respectively. At diagnosis, 86.2% of the patients were untreated and most remained untreated by the end of the follow-up (63.8%). Most patients (62.0%) received long-acting beta-agonist (LABA)/inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) as their initial treatment at diagnosis, and LABA/ICS continued to be the most common initial treatment during the 4-year period (64.0% at year 1; 58.0% at year 4). CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with COPD were not treated at initial diagnosis and remained untreated during follow-up. Our data highlight a lack of adherence to recommendations for clinical practice.

Expression of human Interferon Regulatory Factor 3 (IRF-3) in alveolar macrophages relates to clinical and functional traits in COPD.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a frequent cause of morbidity and mortality. Dysregulated and enhanced immune-inflammatory responses have been described in COPD. Recent data showed impaired immune responses and, in particular, of interferon (IFNs) signaling pathway in these patients. AIM: To evaluate in peripheral lung of COPD patients, the expression of some of the less investigated key components of the innate immune responses leading to IFN productions including: IFN-receptors (IFNAR1/IFNAR2), IRF-3 and MDA-5. Correlations with clinical traits and with the inflammatory cell profile have been assessed. METHODS: Lung specimens were collected from 58 subjects undergoing thoracic surgery: 22 COPD patients, 21 smokers with normal lung function (SC) and 15 non-smoker controls (nSC). The expression of IFNAR1, IFNAR2, IRF-3 and MDA-5, of eosinophils and activated NK cells (NKp46+) were quantified in the peripheral lung by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: A significant increase of IRF-3 + alveolar macrophages were observed in COPD and SC compared with nSC subjects. However, in COPD patients, the lower the levels of IRF-3 + alveolar macrophages the lower the FEV1 and the higher the exacerbation rate. The presence of chronic bronchitis (CB) was also associated with low levels of IRF-3 + alveolar macrophages. NKp46 + cells, but not eosinophils, were increased in COPD patients compared to nSC patients (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Smoking is associated with higher levels of innate immune response as showed by higher levels of IRF-3 + alveolar macrophages and NKp46 + cells. In COPD, exacerbation rates, severe airflow obstruction and CB were associated with lower levels of IRF-3 expression, suggesting that innate immune responses characterize specific clinical traits of the disease.

Small airway dysfunction links asthma exacerbations with asthma control and health-related quality of life.

BACKGROUND: Small airway dysfunction not only affects asthma control, but also has adverse effects on the psychological and/or social activities of asthma patients. However, few long-term observational studies have explored the complex relationship between small airway dysfunction and asthma control and health-related quality of life in patients with asthma exacerbations. METHODS: The study recruited 223 patients with exacerbations of asthma (i.e. those with at least one asthma attack over the past year) and 228 patients without exacerbations of asthma (i.e. those without asthma attacks over the past year). We evaluated SAD in patients with asthma exacerbations using impulse oscillometry method. At each evaluation time point within one year of follow-up, the attending physician conducts a case investigation of the patients. We analyzed the correlation between SAD and general characteristics (age, obesity, smoking history), type 2 inflammation (blood eosinophils, exhaled nitric oxide), FEV1, as well as asthma control (ACT) and health-related quality of life (mini-AQLQ) in patients with asthma exacerbations, and constructed a structural equation model to evaluate the causality of these clinical variables. RESULTS: The SAD prevalence in patients with asthma exacerbation is as high as 75%. SAD is connected with poor asthma control and poor health-related quality of life. The structural equation model indicates that age, obesity, FeNO, and FEV1 are independent predictive factors of SAD. SAD is the main determinant factor of asthma control, which in turn affected health-related quality of life. FEV1 and age directly affect asthma control and affect health-related quality of life through asthma control. In addition, there is a bidirectional relationship between FEV1 and small airway dysfunction and between asthma control and health-related quality of life. CONCLUSIONS: Small airways are involved from an early stage in asthma. Abnormal function of the small airways can significantly increase airway resistance in asthma patients, while worsening their clinical symptoms. In addition, aging is also a key risk factor for asthma control. Especially, small airway dysfunction links asthma control with health-related quality of life.

Pseudomonas aeruginosa mucinous phenotypes and algUmucABD operon mutant characteristics obtained from inpatients with bronchiectasis and their correlation with acute aggravation.

Objective: Although the mechanism is unclear, Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) infection directly affects the frequency of acute exacerbations in patients with bronchiectasis. The aims of this article are to analyze the genetic mutation characteristics of the algUmucABD operon in PA, isolated from hospitalized patients with bronchiectasis, and to explore independent risk factors for frequent acute exacerbations of bronchiectasis. Methods: Based on the number of acute exacerbations that occurred in the past year, these patients with bronchiectasis were divided into those with frequent acute exacerbations (Group A) and those with non-frequent acute exacerbations (Group B). We identified the distribution of mucoid phenotypes (MPs) and alginate morphotypes (AMs) in PA, and classified them into I-IV categories based on their different AMs; otherwise, the gene mutation types (GMTs) of the algUmucABD operon were tested. Subsequently, the relationship between GMT, MP, and AM and the independent risk factors for frequent acute exacerbations in patients with bronchiectasis were explored. Results: A total of 93 patients and 75 PA strains, from January 2019 to August 2023, were included in this study. The MP and AM distributions of PA were as follows: 64 strains (85.33%) of mucoid (the AMs were 38 strains of type I, 3 strains of type II, and 23 strains of type IV) and 11 strains of non-mucoid (the AM was type III only). Mucoid PA with algU, mucA, mucB, and mucD mutations accounted for 19.61%, 74.51%, 31.37%, and 50.98%, respectively. GMT was divided into the following: mucA mutations only, mucA combined with other gene mutations, other gene mutations without mucA mutations, and without gene mutations. In 91.7% of PA with type I of AM, only mucA mutations occurred, and in both separate MP and AM, the GMT differences were statistically significant. Lastly, the number of lung lobes with bronchiectasis and the number of PA with mucA mutations only were the independent risk factors for frequent acute exacerbations. Conclusion: The mucA mutation was primarily responsible for the mucoid of MP and type I of AM in PA, and it was also an independent risk factor for frequent exacerbations of bronchiectasis.

Interleukin-1 receptor-associated kinase 4 (IRAK4) is a critical regulator of inflammatory signalling through toll-like receptors 4 and 7/8 in murine and human lungs.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Toll-like receptors 4 (TLR4) and TLR7/TLR8 play an important role in mediating the inflammatory effects of bacterial and viral pathogens. Interleukin-1 receptor-associated kinase 4 (IRAK4) is an important regulator of signalling by toll-like receptor (TLR) and hence is a potential therapeutic target in diseases characterized by increased lung inflammatory signalling. EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH: We used an established murine model of acute lung inflammation, and studied human lung tissue ex vivo, to investigate the effects of inhibiting IRAK4 on lung inflammatory pathways. KEY RESULTS: We show that TLR4 stimulation produces an inflammatory response characterized by neutrophil influx and tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) production in murine lungs and that these responses are markedly reduced in IRAK4 kinase-dead mice. In addition, we characterize a novel selective IRAK4 inhibitor, BI1543673, and show that this compound can reduce lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced airway inflammation in wild-type mice. Additionally, BI1543673 reduced inflammatory responses to both TLR4 and TLR7/8 stimulation in human lung tissue studied ex vivo. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: These data demonstrate a key role for IRAK4 signalling in lung inflammation and suggest that IRAK4 inhibition has potential utility to treat lung diseases characterized by inflammatory responses driven through TLR4 and TLR7/8.

CFTR Modulators Therapy Efficacy in Reducing Cystic Fibrosis (CF) Exacerbation and Improving Selected Spirometry Parameters: A Real-Life Study in a Single-Centre Polish Population.

Background/Objectives: Cystic fibrosis is a genetically determined disease that significantly influences and shortens life. Treatment with CFTR modulators (CFTR-T) is a new hope for patients. It can change the predictive values of a poor prognosis (e.g., exacerbation rate and FEV1 value). The aim of the study was to analyse exacerbation incidence and spirometry data before and after one year (+/- 2 weeks) of CFTR-T in 85 CF patients at the CF Centre in Poznan. To our knowledge, this is the first analysis of CFTR-T efficiency in the Central-Eastern Europe population. Methods: We retrospectively analysed the spirometry and exacerbation data of 85 CF adult patients (both men and women), who in the middle of 2022 began treatment with CFTR modulators. Results: The one-year ratio of hospitalisation caused by severe exacerbations lowered from 1.25 to 0.21 per patient per year. We also saw a 66% decline in ambulatory exacerbations. The median FEV1% increased by 9.60% in absolute values and by 460 mL. Even in the group with very severe obstruction (FEV1 < 35%), there was an increase in median FEV1% of 5.9 in absolute values. We also proved the increase in FVC% (median 17.10% in absolute value and 600 mL) in the study group. Conclusions: After one year of treatment, an impressive improvement was observed in two important predictive values of poor prognosis: exacerbation rate and FEV1 values. Further observation is needed to determine how long the improvement will be present and its influence on quality of life and life expectancy.

Exacerbation history and risk of myocardial infarction and pulmonary embolism in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPDs) are increasingly recognized as episodes of heightened risk of cardiovascular events. It is not known whether exacerbation history is differentially associated with future myocardial infarction (MI) or pulmonary embolism (PE). RESEARCH QUESTION: Is the number and severity of AECOPDs associated with increased risk of MI or PE in a real-life cohort of patients with COPD? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We identified a cohort of 66422 patients (≥30yr) with a primary diagnosis of COPD in the Swedish National Airway Register January 2014 to June 2022, with complete data on lung function. Patients were classified by moderate (prescription of oral corticosteroids) and severe (hospitalization) exacerbations the year before index date and were followed until Dec 2022 for hospitalization or death from MI or PE, corresponding to >265 000 patient-years, with a maximum follow-up time of 9 years. Competing-risk regression, according to Fine-Gray, was used to calculate subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Compared with no AECOPDs in the baseline period, AECOPD number and severity was associated with increased long term risk of both MI and PE in a gradual fashion, ranging from a SHR of 1.10 (0.97-1.24) and 1.33 (1.11-1.60), respectively, for one moderate exacerbation, to 1.82 (1.36-2.44) and 2.62 (1.77-3.89), respectively, for two or more severe exacerbations. In a time-restricted follow-up sensitivity analysis, the associations were stronger during the first year of follow up and diminished over time. INTERPRETATION: The risk of MI and PE increases with the frequency and severity of AECOPD in this large real life cohort of patients with COPD.

COPD Subtypes Are Differentially Associated with Cardiovascular Events and COPD Exacerbations.

BACKGROUND: The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and ratio of the pulmonary artery to aorta diameters (PA:A ratio) measured from chest CT scans have been established as predictors of cardiovascular events and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations, respectively. However, little is known about the reciprocal relationship between these predictors and outcomes. Furthermore, the prognostic implications of COPD subtypes on clinical outcomes remain insufficiently characterized. RESEARCH QUESTION: How can these two chest CT-derived parameters predict subsequent cardiovascular events and COPD exacerbations in different COPD subtypes? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Using COPDGene study data, we assessed prospective cardiovascular disease (CVD) and COPD exacerbation risk in COPD subjects (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease spirometric grades 2-4), focusing on CACS and PA:A ratio at study enrollment, with logistic regression models. These outcomes were analyzed in three COPD subtypes: 1,042 Non-emphysema-predominant COPD (NEPD; low attenuation area at -950 Hounsfield units [LAA-950]<5%), 1,324 Emphysema-predominant COPD (EPD; LAA-950≥10%), and 465 Intermediate Emphysema COPD (IE; 5≤LAA-950<10%). RESULTS: Our study indicated significantly higher overall risk for cardiovascular events in subjects with higher CACS (≥median; Odds Ratio (OR): 1.61, 95% Confidence Interval (CI)=1.30-2.00) and increased COPD exacerbations in those with higher PA:A ratios (≥1; OR: 1.80, 95% CI=1.46-2.23). Notably, NEPD subjects showed a stronger association between these indicators and clinical events compared to EPD (with CACS/CVD, NEPD vs. EPD, OR 2.02 vs. 1.41; with PA:A ratio/COPD exacerbation, NEPD vs. EPD, OR 2.50 vs. 1.65); the difference in odds ratios between COPD subtypes was statistically significant for CACS/CVD. INTERPRETATION: Two chest CT parameters, CACS and PA:A ratio, hold distinct predictive values for cardiovascular events and COPD exacerbations that are influenced by specific COPD subtypes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00608764.

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Obstructive Sleep Apnea Overlap Syndrome: An Update on the Epidemiology, Pathophysiology, and Management.

This review provides an up-to-date summary of the prevalence, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) overlap syndrome (OVS). The presence of OVS is high in patients with COPD and in patients with OSA and is associated with profound nocturnal oxygen desaturation and systemic inflammation. There is a high prevalence of cardiovascular disease among patients with OVS and this likely contributes to increased mortality. Observational studies suggest that positive airway pressure therapy improves survival and reduces COPD exacerbations; however, randomized controlled trials will be required to confirm these findings.

Ketamine as an Adjunct Therapy in Acute Severe Asthma: An In-Depth Review of Efficacy and Clinical Implications.

Acute severe asthma, formerly named status asthmaticus, is defined as a life-threatening asthma exacerbation that is refractory to the current standards of treatment such as the use of beta-agonists and epinephrine. This complication of asthma affects up to 15% of individuals with asthma and despite critical care treatment and hospitalization, there remains a staggeringly high 10-18% mortality rate in an intensive care unit setting. The addition of ketamine to the arsenal of acute severe asthma treatment due to its rapid onset, variable routes of administration, and overall improved clinical efficacy in treatment-refractory cases has been well investigated and documented. Ketamine's anti-inflammatory properties, bronchodilatory effects, and well-documented history contribute to its ability to provide a significant clinical asthma score (CAS) reduction and improvement on pulmonary readings, such as peak expiratory flow (PEF), while providing a well-researched adverse effect profile. This article serves to analyze and review the benefits and risks of incorporating ketamine into the standard treatment regimen for patients suffering from acute severe asthma and discusses the implications of such implementation.

Differences in the effectiveness of single, dual, and triple inhaled corticosteroid therapy for reducing future risk of severe asthma exacerbation: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Importance: The effectiveness of different combinations of inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) therapies in reducing severe exacerbations of adult asthma remains unclear. Objective: This network meta-analysis (NMA) extensively evaluated the treatment effects of single ICS; dual ICS i.e., ICS/long-acting ß2-adrenergic agonists (LABA); ICS/LABA as single maintenance and reliever therapy (SMART); and triple ICS, i.e., ICS/LABA/long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMA) in preventing severe asthma exacerbations. Data sources: A systematic search of English databases, including PubMed and Web of Science, was conducted until December 31, 2022, using PRISMA-NMA. Study selection: Using the PICOS criteria, the questions for this study were carefully selected so that the correct keywords could be identified. Data extraction and synthesis: A pairwise meta-analysis was used to select trials based on the criteria for minimizing heterogeneity (I2). Subsequently, the "BUGSnet" package of R software was used to perform a Bayesian network meta-analysis. Main outcome measures: The main outcome measures were risk rate and annualized rate ratio of severe asthma exacerbations. Results: This review included 56 randomized control trials (RCTs; n = 78,171 patients). As the pairwise meta-analysis demonstrated that the annualized rate ratio of severe asthma exacerbation had moderate heterogeneity, we analyzed the risk rate of severe asthma exacerbation using a network meta-analysis. In terms of direct/indirect comparisons with non-ICS, single ICS, dual ICS, SMART, and triple ICS reduced severe asthma exacerbations by 34 %, 47 %, 58 %, and 57 %, respectively. SMART and triple ICS showed high effectiveness in reducing severe exacerbations. Conclusion: AND RELEVANCE: SMART and triple ICS were ranked higher in effectiveness in reducing severe asthma exacerbations in comparison with other therapies, indicating that these are the most effective treatments for reducing the future risk of severe asthma exacerbations.

Dupilumab 200 mg was efficacious in children (6-11 years) with moderate-to-severe asthma for up to 2 years: EXCURSION open-label extension study.

BACKGROUND: The phase 3 VOYAGE (NCT02948959) and open-label extension EXCURSION (NCT03560466) studies evaluated dupilumab in children (6-11 years) with uncontrolled moderate-to-severe asthma. This post hoc analysis assessed the efficacy and safety of add-on dupilumab 200 mg every 2 weeks (q2w), the largest dose cohort in both studies, in children from VOYAGE who participated in EXCURSION. METHODS: Annualized rate of severe asthma exacerbations (AERs), change in prebronchodilator percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (ppFEV1), and treatment-emergent adverse events were assessed in children with moderate-to-severe asthma who received dupilumab 200 mg q2w in VOYAGE and EXCURSION (dupilumab/dupilumab arm) and those who received placebo in VOYAGE and dupilumab 200 mg q2w in EXCURSION (placebo/dupilumab arm). These endpoints were also assessed in children with moderate-to-severe type 2 asthma (defined as blood eosinophil count ≥150 cells/µL or FeNO ≥20 ppb at the parent study baseline [PSBL]). RESULTS: In the overall population, dupilumab reduced AER and improved prebronchodilator ppFEV1 in the dupilumab/dupilumab arm (n = 158) for up to 2 years. Children receiving placebo/dupilumab (n = 85) showed similar reductions after initiation of dupilumab 200 mg q2w in EXCURSION. Similar results were observed for children with type 2 asthma at PSBL. The safety profile was consistent with the known safety profile of dupilumab. CONCLUSION: In children (6-11 years) with uncontrolled moderate-to-severe type 2 asthma, dupilumab 200 mg reduced exacerbation rates and improved lung function for up to 2 years and showed safety consistent with the known dupilumab safety profile.

Risk factors of acute exacerbation and disease progression in young patients with COPD.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to elucidate the clinical factors associated with acute exacerbation and disease progression in young patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: This retrospective longitudinal observational study included patients with COPD aged between 20 and 50 years with post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC)<0.7. Eligible patients were followed up with ≥2 spirometry examinations at 1 year interval after COPD diagnosis. The primary outcome was moderate-to-severe acute exacerbation in young patients with COPD. Secondary outcomes were early initiation of regular inhalation therapy and accelerated annual post-bronchodilator FEV1 decline. RESULTS: A total of 342 patients were followed up during a median of 64 months. In multivariable analyses, risk factors for moderate-to-severe exacerbation were history of asthma (adjusted HR (aHR)=2.999, 95% CI=[2.074-4.335]), emphysema (aHR=1.951, 95% CI=[1.331-2.960]), blood eosinophil count >300/µL (aHR=1.469, 95% CI=[1.038-2.081]) and low FEV1 (%) (aHR=0.979, 95% CI=[0.970-0.987]). A history of asthma, sputum, blood eosinophil count >300/µL, low FEV1 (%) and low diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) (%) were identified as clinical factors associated with the early initiation of regular inhalation therapy. The risk factors associated with worsened FEV1 decline were increasing age, female sex, history of pulmonary tuberculosis, sputum, low FEV1 (%) and low DLCO (%). CONCLUSIONS: In young COPD patients, specific high-risk features of acute exacerbation and disease progression need to be identified, including a history of previous respiratory diseases, current respiratory symptoms, blood eosinophil counts, and structural or functional pulmonary impairment.

High-flow nasal oxygen therapy compared with conventional oxygen therapy in hospitalised patients with respiratory illness: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: High-flow nasal oxygen therapy (HFNO) is used in diverse hospital settings to treat patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). This systematic review aims to summarise the evidence regarding any benefits HFNO therapy has compared with conventional oxygen therapy (COT) for patients with ARF. METHODS: Three databases (Embase, Medline and CENTRAL) were searched on 22 March 2023 for studies evaluating HFNO compared with COT for the treatment of ARF, with the primary outcome being hospital mortality and secondary outcomes including (but not limited to) escalation to invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or non-invasive ventilation (NIV). Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool (randomised controlled trials (RCTs)), ROBINS-I (non-randomised trials) or Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (observational studies). RCTs and observational studies were pooled together for primary analyses, and secondary analyses used RCT data only. Treatment effects were pooled using the random effects model. RESULTS: 63 studies (26 RCTs, 13 cross-over and 24 observational studies) were included, with 10 230 participants. There was no significant difference in the primary outcome of hospital mortality (risk ratio, RR 1.08, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.26; p=0.29; 17 studies, n=5887) between HFNO and COT for all causes ARF. However, compared with COT, HFNO significantly reduced the overall need for escalation to IMV (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.95 p=0.003; 39 studies, n=8932); and overall need for escalation to NIV (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.98; p=0.04; 16 studies, n=3076). In subgroup analyses, when considering patients by illness types, those with acute-on-chronic respiratory failure who received HFNO compared with COT had a significant reduction in-hospital mortality (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.91; p=0.02). DISCUSSION: HFNO was superior to COT in reducing the need for escalation to both IMV and NIV but had no impact on the primary outcome of hospital mortality. These findings support recommendations that HFNO may be considered as first-line therapy for ARF. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021264837.

Development and Validation of Machine Learning-Based Models for Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission and In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Background: This present work focused on predicting prognostic outcome of inpatients developing acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), and enhancing patient monitoring and treatment by using objective clinical indicators. Methods: The present retrospective study enrolled 322 AECOPD patients. Registry data downloaded based on COPD Pay-for-Performance Program database from January 2012 to December 2018 were used to check whether the enrolled patients were eligible. Our primary and secondary outcomes were ICU admission and in-hospital mortality, respectively. The best feature subset was chosen by recursive feature elimination. Moreover, seven machine learning (ML) models were trained for forecasting ICU admission among AECOPD patients, and the model with the most excellent performance was used. Results: According to our findings, random forest (RF) model showed superb discrimination performance, and the values of area under curve (AUC) were 0.973 and 0.828 in training and test cohorts, separately. Additionally, according to decision curve analysis, the net benefit of RF model was higher when differentiating patients with a high risk of ICU admission at a <0.55 threshold probability. Moreover, the ML-based prediction model was also constructed to predict in-hospital mortality, and it showed excellent calibration and discrimination capacities. Conclusion: The ML model was highly accurate in assessing the ICU admission and in-hospital mortality risk for AECOPD cases. Maintenance of model interpretability helped effectively provide accurate and lucid risk prediction of different individuals.

Mortality of patients with COPD.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third most common cause of death worldwide and 24% of the patients die within 5 years of diagnosis. AREAS COVERED: The epidemiology of mortality and the interventions that reduce it are reviewed. The increasing global deaths reflect increases in population sizes, increasing life expectancy and reductions in other causes of death. Strategies to reduce mortality aim to prevent the development of COPD and improve the survival of individuals. Historic changes in mortality give insights: improvements in living conditions and nutrition, and later improvements in air quality led to a large fall in mortality in the early 20th century. The smoking epidemic temporarily reversed this trend.Older age, worse lung function and exacerbations are risk factors for death. Single inhaler triple therapy; smoking cessation; pulmonary rehabilitation; oxygen therapy; noninvasive ventilation; and surgery reduce mortality in selected patients. EXPERT OPINION: The importance of addressing the global burden of mortality from COPD must be recognized. Steps must be taken to reduce it, by reducing exposure to risk factors, assessing individual patients' risk of death and using treatments that reduce the risk of death. Mortality rates are falling in countries that have adopted a comprehensive approach to COPD prevention and treatment.

Effect of Added Inhaled Corticosteroids to Systemic Steroids on COPD Exacerbation Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: COPD exacerbations are a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Although inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) have a role as long-term treatment, their efficacy in exacerbations, particularly as an adjunct to systemic steroids, remains unclear. METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, we analyzed data from 870 subjects admitted with COPD exacerbations to a tertiary medical center in Israel from January 2018-January 2023. We investigated the impact of adding ICS to standard systemic steroid treatment on hospital length of stay, intubation rates, and 30-d mortality using propensity score matching to account for confounders. RESULTS: The cohort, after matching, included 354 subjects treated with systemic steroids and ICS and 121 treated with systemic steroids alone. All characteristics were similar between the groups. Our analysis showed no differences in 30-d mortality (7.1% vs 5.8%, P = .63) or secondary outcomes (intubation, hospital length of stay, and readmission rates) between the groups. Subgroup analyses based on different eosinophil levels did not alter these findings. In multivariate analysis among the general cohort, eosinophil count < 150 cells/µL (adjusted odds ratio 0.45 [95% CI 0.21-0.87], P = .02) and high Charlson score (adjusted odds ratio 1.19 [95% CI 1.02-1.37], P = .02) were independent predictors for 30-d mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the known benefits of ICS in managing chronic COPD, we did not find an added value of ICS to systemic steroids in exacerbations. These results underscore the necessity for individualized treatment strategies and further research into the role of ICS in COPD exacerbations.

The role of environmental pollution in the development of pulmonary exacerbations in cystic fibrosis: a narrative review.

Cystic fibrosis is the most common autosomal recessive disease in the Caucasian race. Its course is chronic and progressive, with pulmonary involvement being associated with greater morbidity and mortality. One of the factors most related to worse prognosis in these patients is respiratory exacerbations. Although limited, there is evidence demonstrating that increased exposure to environmental pollution, both acute and chronic, is associated with an increase in these exacerbations. It is crucial to fully understand this relationship in order to attempt to improve the respiratory health of these patients. That is why the available evidence is reviewed and measures are established to reduce exposure to pollutants.