Definition, Epidemiology, and Pathogenesis of Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia.

The clinical presentation of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) can vary widely among patients. While many individuals with mild symptoms can be managed as outpatients with excellent outcomes, there is a distinct subgroup of patients who present with severe CAP. In these cases, the mortality rate can reach approximately 25% within 30 days and even up to 50% within a year. It is crucial to focus attention on these patients who are at higher risk. Among the various definitions of severe CAP found in the literature, one commonly used criterion is the requirement for admission to intensive care unit. Notable epidemiological characteristics of these patients include the impact of acute cardiovascular diseases on clinical outcomes and the enduring, independent effect of pneumonia on long-term outcomes. Factors such as pathogen virulence, the presence of comorbidities, and the host response are important contributors to the pathogenesis of severe CAP. In these patients, the host response may be dysregulated and compartmentalized. Gaining a better understanding of the epidemiology and pathogenesis of severe CAP will provide a foundation for the development of new therapies for this condition. This manuscript aims to review the definition, epidemiology, and pathogenesis of severe CAP, shedding light on important aspects that can aid in the improvement of patient care and outcomes.

Misdiagnosis of Clostridioides difficile Infections by Standard-of-Care Specimen Collection and Testing among Hospitalized Adults, Louisville, Kentucky, USA, 2019-20201.

Although Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) incidence is high in the United States, standard-of-care (SOC) stool collection and testing practices might result in incidence overestimation or underestimation. We conducted diarrhea surveillance among inpatients >50 years of age in Louisville, Kentucky, USA, during October 14, 2019-October 13, 2020; concurrent SOC stool collection and CDI testing occurred independently. A study CDI case was nucleic acid amplification test‒/cytotoxicity neutralization assay‒positive or nucleic acid amplification test‒positive stool in a patient with pseudomembranous colitis. Study incidence was adjusted for hospitalization share and specimen collection rate and, in a sensitivity analysis, for diarrhea cases without study testing. SOC hospitalized CDI incidence was 121/100,000 population/year; study incidence was 154/100,000 population/year and, in sensitivity analysis, 202/100,000 population/year. Of 75 SOC CDI cases, 12 (16.0%) were not study diagnosed; of 109 study CDI cases, 44 (40.4%) were not SOC diagnosed. CDI incidence estimates based on SOC CDI testing are probably underestimated.

Lesion-induced sprouting promotes neurophysiological integration of septal and entorhinal inputs to granule cells in the dentate gyrus of rats.

Axonal sprouting of dentate gyrus (DG) afferents after entorhinal cortex (EC) lesion is a model preparation to assess lesion-induced functional reorganization in a denervated target structure. Following a unilateral EC lesion, the surviving contralateral entorhinal projection, termed the crossed temporodentate pathway (CTD), and the heterotypic septal input to the DG, the septodentate pathway (SD), undergo extensive axonal sprouting. We explored whether EC lesion alters the capacity of the SD pathway to influence CTD-evoked granule cell excitability in the DG. We recorded extracellular field excitatory postsynaptic potentials (fEPSPs) after CTD stimulation alone and paired SD-CTD stimulation. Male rats were given unilateral EC lesions or sham operations; evoked fEPSPs in the DG were recorded at 4-, 15-, and 90-days post-entorhinal lesion to assess functional reorganization of the CTD and SD pathways. We found significantly increased fEPSP amplitudes in cases with unilateral lesions compared to sham-operates at 15- and 90-days post lesion. Within each time point, paired SD-CTD stimulation resulted in significantly depressed fEPSP amplitudes compared to amplitudes evoked after CTD stimulation alone and this effect was solely seen in cases with EC lesion. In cases where granule cell discharge was observed, SD stimulation increased discharge amplitude elicited by the CTD stimulation at 90-days postlesion. These findings demonstrate that synaptic remodeling following unilateral cortical lesion results in a synergistic interaction between two established hippocampal afferents that is not seen in uninjured brains. This work may be important for models of neurodegenerative disease and neural injury that target these structures and associated hippocampal circuitry.

Confounders contributing to explain the association between sex and disease impact in patients with recent-onset psoriatic arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effect of potential confounders on the association between sex and disease impact in recent-onset psoriatic arthritis. METHODS: We performed a multicentre observational prospective study (2-year follow-up, regular annual visits). The study population comprised patients aged ≥18 years who fulfilled the CASPAR criteria and less than 2 years since the onset of symptoms. The dataset was generated using data for each patient at the 3 visits (baseline, first year, and second year of follow-up) matched with the PsAID values at each of the 3 visits. Once variables associated with both PsAID ≥4 and sex were selected, those that led to a difference of >10% between the adjusted and crude estimations were identified as potential confounders in the association between sex and PsAID. Lastly, the final multivariate logistic regression model estimating the association between sex and PsAID was defined. RESULTS: The dataset contained 418 observations (158 at baseline, 135 at the first follow-up visit, and 125 at the second visit). The confounders identified in the multivariate model were HAQ, global pain, level of physical activity, and joint pattern at diagnosis. After adjustment for these variables, no statistically significant association was observed between female sex and PsAID ≥4. CONCLUSIONS: The association between female sex and greater disease impact could be explained by the influence of other variables, specifically higher HAQ score, greater intensity of pain, differences in the level of physical activity and in the joint pattern at diagnosis (lower frequency of the spondylitis pattern in women).

Severity of Illness Scores and Biomarkers for Prognosis of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019.

The spectrum of disease severity and the insidiousness of clinical presentation make it difficult to recognize patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at higher risk of worse outcomes or death when they are seen in the early phases of the disease. There are now well-established risk factors for worse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. These should be factored in when assessing the prognosis of these patients. However, a more precise prognostic assessment in an individual patient may warrant the use of predictive tools. In this manuscript, we conduct a literature review on the severity of illness scores and biomarkers for the prognosis of patients with COVID-19. Several COVID-19-specific scores have been developed since the onset of the pandemic. Some of them are promising and can be integrated into the assessment of these patients. We also found that the well-known pneumonia severity index (PSI) and CURB-65 (confusion, uremia, respiratory rate, BP, age ≥ 65 years) are good predictors of mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. While neither the PSI nor the CURB-65 should be used for the triage of outpatient versus inpatient treatment, they can be integrated by a clinician into the assessment of disease severity and can be used in epidemiological studies to determine the severity of illness in patient populations. Biomarkers also provide valuable prognostic information and, importantly, may depict the main physiological derangements in severe disease. We, however, do not advocate the isolated use of severity of illness scores or biomarkers for decision-making in an individual patient. Instead, we suggest the use of these tools on a case-by-case basis with the goal of enhancing clinician judgment.

Machine-Aided Bridge Deck Crack Condition State Assessment Using Artificial Intelligence.

The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) mandates biannual bridge inspections to assess the condition of all bridges in the United States. These inspections are recorded in the National Bridge Inventory (NBI) and the respective state's databases to manage, study, and analyze the data. As FHWA specifications become more complex, inspections require more training and field time. Recently, element-level inspections were added, assigning a condition state to each minor element in the bridge. To address this new requirement, a machine-aided bridge inspection method was developed using artificial intelligence (AI) to assist inspectors. The proposed method focuses on the condition state assessment of cracking in reinforced concrete bridge deck elements. The deep learning-based workflow integrated with image classification and semantic segmentation methods is utilized to extract information from images and evaluate the condition state of cracks according to FHWA specifications. The new workflow uses a deep neural network to extract information required by the bridge inspection manual, enabling the determination of the condition state of cracks in the deck. The results of experimentation demonstrate the effectiveness of this workflow for this application. The method also balances the costs and risks associated with increasing levels of AI involvement, enabling inspectors to better manage their resources. This AI-based method can be implemented by asset owners, such as Departments of Transportation, to better serve communities.

Psoriatic Arthritis: Pathogenesis and Targeted Therapies.

Psoriatic arthritis (PsA), a heterogeneous chronic inflammatory immune-mediated disease characterized by musculoskeletal inflammation (arthritis, enthesitis, spondylitis, and dactylitis), generally occurs in patients with psoriasis. PsA is also associated with uveitis and inflammatory bowel disease (Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis). To capture these manifestations as well as the associated comorbidities, and to recognize their underlining common pathogenesis, the name of psoriatic disease was coined. The pathogenesis of PsA is complex and multifaceted, with an interplay of genetic predisposition, triggering environmental factors, and activation of the innate and adaptive immune system, although autoinflammation has also been implicated. Research has identified several immune-inflammatory pathways defined by cytokines (IL-23/IL-17, TNF), leading to the development of efficacious therapeutic targets. However, heterogeneous responses to these drugs occur in different patients and in the different tissues involved, resulting in a challenge to the global management of the disease. Therefore, more translational research is necessary in order to identify new targets and improve current disease outcomes. Hopefully, this may become a reality through the integration of different omics technologies that allow better understanding of the relevant cellular and molecular players of the different tissues and manifestations of the disease. In this narrative review, we aim to provide an updated overview of the pathophysiology, including the latest findings from multiomics studies, and to describe current targeted therapies.

Association and predictive value of biomarkers with severe outcomes in hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

This study analyzed the levels at admission of biomarkers for their association with and ability to predict risk of severe outcomes, including admission to the ICU, need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), need for vasopressor use (VU), and in-hospital mortality (IHM) in 700 patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Biomarker data split by outcomes was compared using Mann-Whitney U tests; frequencies of biomarker values were compared using Chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to look at the impact of biomarkers by outcome. Patients that suffered IHM were more likely to have reduced platelet numbers and high blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels among patients admitted to the ICU. Risk factors for mortality were related to hyper-coagulability (low platelet count and increased D-dimer) and decreased respiratory (PaO2/FiO2 ratio) and kidney function (BUN). Association with risks of other severe outcomes were as follows: ICU with hyper-inflammation (IL-6) and decreased respiratory function; IMV with low platelet count, abnormal neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio with reduced respiratory function, VU with inflammatory markers (IL-6), and low platelet count with respiratory function. Our studies confirmed the association of biomarkers of hematological, inflammatory, coagulation, pulmonary and kidney functions with disease severity. Whether these biomarkers have any mechanistic or causal role in the disease progress requires further investigation.

Proliferative synovitis, an ultrasound pattern associated with ACPA-positive patients and erosive disease in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse ultrasound (US) differences between rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients according to autoantibody status and characterise the clinical and radiological features associated with the US pattern of seropositive patients. METHODS: We collected demographic and clinical data and bilateral hand US images of RA patients. We defined an extreme proliferative US pattern, encompassing synovial hypertrophy grade II-III with Power Doppler signal, which we called US proliferative synovitis (US PS). To better characterise US PS, MRI of the dominant hand and immunostaining of synovial biopsies were made in subgroups of 42 and 23 patients, respectively. RESULTS: We included 205 RA patients (84.8% seropositive). No significant differences in disease activity were found according to autoantibody status. US PS was found in 55.5% of seropositive and 16.1% of seronegative patients (p=0.0001). In the multivariate analysis, erosions [OR 4.90 95% CI (2.17-11.07), p=0.0001] and ACPA [OR 3.5 95% CI (1.39-10.7), p=0.009] but not RF status [OR 0.74 95% CI (0.31-1.71), p=0.483] were independently associated with US PS. After a mean follow-up of 46 months, US PS was independently associated with changes in therapy (OR 2.63, 95% CI 1.20-5.77, p=0.016). Ninety-four per cent of joints with US PS had RAMRIS synovitis sub-index grade 2-3. US PS was significantly associated with higher synovial vessel density (p=0.042). CONCLUSIONS: In RA patients, US PS was associated with ACPA status, erosive disease and an enhanced need to change disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug therapy in the long-term. At synovial level, this US pattern was characterised by higher vessel density.

Impact of Hyperglycemia on Cardiovascular Events and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19 Pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To study cardiovascular events and clinical outcomes in patients with elevated glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and/or admission hyperglycemia and those with type 2 diabetes hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective study of 1645 patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia required a positive reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction result for SARS-CoV-2, presence of new or worsening pulmonary infiltrates on computed tomography scan or chest x-ray, and at least one of following: (1) new or increased cough, (2) temperature of >37.8 °C, or (3) dyspnea. Outcomes included in-hospital cardiovascular events, intensive care unit admission, and mortality. Logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for association of elevated HbA1c levels and/or admission hyperglycemia and type 2 diabetes for individual outcomes. RESULTS: Among 1645 adults hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, 18 with type 1 diabetes were excluded from the analysis. Of 1627 adults, 634 (39%) had known diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, and among 993 patients with no diabetes, 107 (10.8%) patients were identified with elevated HbA1c levels and/or admission hyperglycemia. Patients with elevated HbA1c levels and/or admission hyperglycemia had increased odds of developing acute in-hospital cardiovascular events (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.07-2.80), intensive care unit admissions (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.10-2.34), and mortality (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.02-3.07) compared to patients with type 2 diabetes and no diabetes. CONCLUSION: Patients with elevated HbA1c levels and/or admission hyperglycemia hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia have increased risk of developing acute in-hospital cardiovascular complications and overall poor clinical outcomes compared with patients with type 2 diabetes and no diabetes.

Electrocardiographic Features and Outcome: Correlations in 124 Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19 and Cardiovascular Events.

OBJECTIVES: Electrocardiographic (ECG) changes have been associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity. However, the progression of ECG findings in patients with COVID-19 has not been studied. The purpose of this study was to describe ECG features at different stages of COVID-19 cardiovascular (CV) events and to examine the effects of specific ECG parameters and cardiac-related biomarkers on clinical outcomes in COVID-19. DESIGN: Retrospective, cohort study. SETTING: Major tertiary-care medical centers and community hospitals in Louisville, KY. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 124 patients with COVID-19 and CV events during hospitalization. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Twelve-lead ECG parameters, biomarkers of cardiac injuries, and clinical outcomes were analyzed with Spearman correlation coefficients and Kruskal-Wallis 1-way analysis of variance. Atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter was more frequent on the ECG obtained at the time of the CV event when compared with admission ECG (9.5% v 26.9%; p = 0.007). Sinus tachycardia was higher in the last available hospital ECG than the CV event ECG (37.5% v 20.4%; p = 0.031). Admission ECG-corrected QT interval was significantly associated with admission troponin levels (R = 0.52; p < 0.001). The last available hospital ECG showed nonsurvivors had longer QRS duration than survivors (114.6 v 91.2 ms; p = 0.026), and higher heart rate was associated with longer intensive care unit length of stay (Spearman ρ = 0.339; p = 0.032). CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and CV events, ECGs at various stages of COVID-19 hospitalization showed significantly different features with dissimilar clinical outcome correlations.

Everyday discrimination and telomere length in a multiethnic cohort of breast cancer survivors.

Objectives: Racial/ethnic minority women have disproportionately lower breast cancer survival rates compared to white women. As minorities in the US are exposed to higher levels of discrimination, and exposure to discrimination has been associated with shorter telomere lengths (TLs), we investigated the association between perceived everyday discrimination and TL in a multiethnic sample of breast cancer survivors.Design: We examined a cohort of 58 breast cancer survivors who participated in a pilot study to investigate biological stress. Participants were drawn from the Equality in Breast Cancer Care (EBCC) study and were asked to provide saliva samples for DNA extraction. Ordinary least squares linear regression was used to derive regression coefficients (ß) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).Results: Higher levels of everyday discrimination were associated with longer TLs (eß = 1.04, CI: 1.01-1.07), adjusting for age, race/ethnicity, breast cancer stage, and breast cancer subtype. Luminal B subtypes were associated with longer telomeres relative to luminal A, while African Americans were less likely than Whites to have longer telomeres.Conclusions: Further research, particularly longitudinal studies, is needed to understand how discrimination, and other social stressors, impact biological stress and health outcomes.

Lossless Medical Image Compression by Using Difference Transform.

This paper introduces a new method of compressing digital images by using the Difference Transform applied in medical imaging. The Difference Transform algorithm performs the decorrelation process of image data, and in this way improves the encoding process, achieving a file with a smaller size than the original. The proposed method proves to be competitive and in many cases better than the standards used for medical images such as TIFF or PNG. In addition, the Difference Transform can replace other transforms like Cosine or Wavelet.

Burden of Adults Hospitalized With Group B Streptococcal Infection.

BACKGROUND: The burden of noninvasive group B Streptococcus (GBS) infections in adults is unknown. We determined population-based rates of hospitalization where invasive or noninvasive GBS infections were identified among US adults in a defined catchment area. METHODS: We identified adults with clinical and laboratory-confirmed evidence of GBS infection from January 2014 through December 2016 from 6 hospitals in Louisville, Kentucky. Invasive disease was defined as GBS isolated from a normally sterile site. RESULTS: Among 1076 adults with GBS infection, the median age was 52 years, 51% were male, and 89% had ≥1 chronic medical condition. The most prevalent infection sites were skin and soft tissue (39%), urinary tract (23%), bone and joint (16%), and bloodstream (11%). Forty percent of infections were polymicrobial. The annual incidence of GBS-associated hospitalization was 73 per 100 000 adults and 68 and 100 per 100 000 for patients aged 18-64 and ≥ 65 years, respectively. For every invasive GBS infection, 3.7 noninvasive infections occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Our population-based study outlines the full burden of GBS-associated hospitalization in adults and found incidence rates comparable to those of pneumococcal disease, where vaccines are recommended. Noninvasive disease was 3-4 times more common than invasive disease, suggesting that the GBS burden among adults is considerably greater than previously recognized.

Expanded Analysis of 20 Pneumococcal Serotypes Associated With Radiographically Confirmed Community-acquired Pneumonia in Hospitalized US Adults.

BACKGROUND: Streptococcus pneumoniae is a causative agent of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has significantly decreased the burden of PCV13-serotype pneumococcal disease; however, disease from nonvaccine serotypes remains substantial. A recent study documented the persistence of PCV13 serotypes among US adults hospitalized with radiographically confirmed CAP. The current analysis used a recently developed urinary antigen detection (UAD) assay (UAD2) to extend these results to additional serotypes included in an investigational PCV20 vaccine. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled adults aged ≥18 years hospitalized with radiographically confirmed CAP between October 2013 and September 2016. Presence of S pneumoniae was determined by blood and respiratory sample culture, BinaxNOW urine testing, and UAD. In addition to Quellung on cultured isolates when available, serotypes were identified from urine specimens using UAD1 for PCV13 serotypes and UAD2 for 7 PCV20-unique serotypes (8, 10A, 11A, 12F, 15B, 22F, and 33F) and 4 additional serotypes (2, 9N, 17F, and 20). RESULTS: Among 12 055 subjects with radiographically confirmed CAP, 1482 were positive for S pneumoniae. PCV13- and PCV20-unique serotypes were associated with 37.7% (n = 559) and 27.0% (n = 400) of cases, respectively; 288 subjects were exclusively diagnosed as positive for S pneumoniae by UAD2. Demographic and clinical disease characteristics were similar between subjects with CAP caused by PCV13 and PCV20-unique serotypes. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis using UAD2 identified a sizeable proportion of hospitalized adult CAP associated with PCV20-unique serotypes. PCV20 may therefore address the burden of CAP caused by the additional serotypes present in the vaccine.

A multidisciplinary registry of patients with autoimmune and immune-mediated diseases with symptomatic COVID-19 from a single center.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: There is increasing interest regarding SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with autoimmune and immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (AI/IMID) with some discrepancies in different cohorts about their risk and outcomes. The aim was to describe a multidisciplinary cohort of patients with AI/IMID and symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in a single tertiary center and analyze sociodemographic, clinical, and therapeutic factors associated with poor outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted from the 1st of March until May 29th, 2020 in a University tertiary hospital in Barcelona, Spain. Patients with an underlying AI/IMID and symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection were identified in our local SARS-CoV-2 infection database. Controls (2:1) were selected from the same database and matched by age and gender. The primary outcome was severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, which was a composite endpoint including admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), need for mechanical ventilation (MV), and/or death. Several covariates including age, sex, and comorbidities among others were combined into a multivariate model having severe SARS-CoV-2 as the dependent variable. Also, a sensitivity analysis was performed evaluating AID and IMID separately. RESULTS: The prevalence of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in a cohort of AI/IMID patients was 1.3%. Eighty-five patients with AI/IMID and symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 were identified, requiring hospitalization in 58 (68%) cases. A total of 175 patients admitted for SARS-CoV-2 (58 with AI/IMID and 117 matched-controls) were analyzed. In logistic regression analysis, a significant inverse association between AI/IMID group and severe SARS-CoV-2 (OR 0.28; 95% CI 0.12-0.61; p = 0.001), need of MV (OR 0.20; IC 95% 0.05-0.71; p = 0.014), and ICU admission (OR 0.25; IC 95% 0.10-0.62; p = 0.003) was found. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with AI/IMID who require admission for SARS-CoV-2 infection have a lower risk of developing severe disease, including the need to stay in the ICU and MV.

Biomarkers for treatment change and radiographic progression in patients with rheumatoid arthritis in remission: a 5 year follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify biomarkers of treatment change and radiographic progression in patients with RA under remission. PATIENTS AND METHODS: RA patients in remission (DAS28-ESR <2.6) were selected and followed up for 5 years. An MRI of the dominant hand and an US assessment of knees/hands and serum levels of inflammation/angiogenesis biomarkers were performed at baseline and at 12th month. Synovial biopsies were obtained in patients with Power Doppler signal. Conventional radiographies of hands/feet were taken at baseline and after 5 years. Radiographic progression was defined as the change in the modified Sharp van der Heijde Score at 5 years >10.47 (small detectable change). RESULTS: Sixty patients were included, 81.6% were ACPA+ and 45% were taking biological DMARDs. At baseline, 66.6% had Power Doppler signal. After 5 years, 73.3% of patients remained in remission. Change of therapy was performed in 20 patients (33.3%) and was associated with BMI [odds ratio (OR) 1.3, 95% CI: 1, 1.7], lack of biological DMARD therapy (OR 24.7, 95% CI: 2.3, 257.2), first-year progression of MRI erosions (OR 1.2, 95% CI: 1, 1.3) and calprotectin serum levels (OR 2.8, 95% CI: 1, 8.2). Radiographic progression occurred in six (10%) patients. These patients had higher first-year progression of MRI erosions (P = 0.03) and bone oedema (P = 0.04). Among 23 patients undergoing synovial biopsy, mast cell density was independently associated with clinical flares. CONCLUSIONS: One-third of RA patients lost clinical remission and changed therapy throughout the 5 years of follow-up, which was independently associated with BMI, lack of biological DMARDs therapy and first-year progression of MRI erosion score and calprotectin serum levels. Significant radiographic progression was uncommon.

Effectiveness of oseltamivir treatment on clinical failure in hospitalized patients with lower respiratory tract infection.

BACKGROUND: Influenza is associated with excess morbidity and mortality of individuals each year. Few therapies exist for treatment of influenza infection, and each require initiation as early as possible in the course of infection, making efficacy difficult to estimate in the hospitalized patient with lower respiratory tract infection. Using causal machine learning methods, we re-analyze data from a randomized trial of oseltamivir versus standard of care aimed at reducing clinical failure in hospitalized patients with lower respiratory tract infection during the influenza season. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the Rapid Empiric Treatment with Oseltamivir Study (RETOS). Conditional average treatment effects (CATE) and 95% confidence intervals were computed from causal forest including 85 clinical and demographic variables. RETOS was a multicenter, randomized, unblinded, trial of adult patients hospitalized with lower respiratory tract infections in Kentucky from 2009 through 2012. Adult hospitalized patients with lower respiratory tract infection were randomized to standard of care or standard of care plus oseltamivir as early as possible after hospital admission but within 24 h of enrollment. After randomization, oseltamivir was initiated in the treatment arm per package insert. The primary outcome was clinical failure, a composite measure including failure to reach clinical improvement within 7 days, transfer to intensive care 24 h after admission, or rehospitalization or death within 30 days. RESULTS: A total of 691 hospitalized patients with lower respiratory tract infections were included in the study. The only subgroup of patients with a statistically significant CATE was those with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection with a 26% lower risk of clinical failure when treated with oseltamivir (95% CI 3.2-48.0%). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that addition of oseltamivir to standard of care may decrease clinical failure in hospitalized patients with influenza-associated lower respiratory tract infection versus standard of care alone. These results are supportive of current recommendations to initiate antiviral treatment in hospitalized patients with confirmed or suspected influenza as soon as possible after admission. Trial registration Original trial: Clinical Trials.Gov; Rapid Empiric Treatment With Oseltamivir Study (RETOS) (RETOS); ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01248715 https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01248715.