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1.
Int J Cancer ; 154(9): 1579-1586, 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38180239

RESUMO

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5 ) contains carcinogens similar to those generated by tobacco smoking, which may increase the risks of developing smoking-related cancers, such as upper aerodigestive track (UADT) cancers, for both smokers and never-smokers. Therefore, it is imperative to understand the relation between ambient PM2.5 exposure and risk of UADT cancers. A population-based case-control study involving 565 incident UADT cancer cases and 983 controls was conducted in Los Angeles County from 1999 to 2004. The average residential PM2.5 concentration 1 year before the diagnosis date for cases and the reference date for controls was assessed using a chemical transport model. The association between ambient PM2.5 and the UADT cancers was estimated by unconditional logistic regression, adjusting for confounders at the individual and block-group level. Stratified analyses were conducted by sex, tobacco smoking status and UADT subsites. We also assessed the interaction between PM2.5 and tobacco smoking on UADT cancers. PM2.5 concentrations were associated with an elevated odds of UADT cancers (adjusted odds ratio = 1.21 per interquartile range [4.5 µg/m3 ] increase; 95% confidence interval: 1.02, 1.44). The association between PM2.5 and UADT cancers was similar across UADT subsites, sex and tobacco smoking status. The interaction between PM2.5 and tobacco smoking on UADT cancers was approximately additive on the odds scale. The effect estimate for PM2.5 and UADT cancers was similar among never smokers. Our findings support the hypothesis that exposure to PM2.5 increases the risk of UADT cancers. Improvements in air quality may reduce the risk of UADT cancers.


Assuntos
Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço , Humanos , Los Angeles/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Fumar , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Fatores de Risco
2.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 2024 Aug 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39127399

RESUMO

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Case-mix adjusted hemodialysis mortality has decreased since 1998. Many factors that influence mortality may have contributed to this trend, and these associations may differ by continental region. We studied changes in hemodialysis facility practices over time and their potential role in mediating changes in patient survival. STUDY DESIGN: Observational prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adult hemodialysis patients treated in 500 hemodialysis facilities participating in the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) between 1999 and 2015 in the United States, Japan, and 4 European countries: Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom. PREDICTORS: Four practice measures at each facility: the percentages of patients with Kt/V≥1.2, interdialytic weight gain [IDWG]<5.7%, phosphorus<6mg/dL, and using arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs). OUTCOME: Patient survival. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Mediation analyses, adjusted for case mix, were conducted using 3-year study phase as the exposure and facility practice measures as potential mediators. RESULTS: In Europe, we observed a 13% improvement in overall case-mix adjusted survival per decade. Trends in facility practice measures, especially Kt/V and phosphorus, explained 10% improvement in case-mix survival per decade, representing 77% (10% explained of 13% improvement) of the observed improvement. In Japan, 73% of the observed 12%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially Kt/V and IDWG. In the United States, 56% of the observed 47%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially AVF use and phosphorus control. LIMITATIONS: Unmeasured changes in the characteristics of the patient population over this period may confound the observed associations. CONCLUSIONS: The improvements in adjusted hemodialysis patient survival in Europe, Japan, and the United States from 1999 to 2015 can be largely explained by improvements in specific facility practices. Future changes in patient survival may be responsive to further evolution in the implementation of common clinical practices. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Case-mix adjusted survival of patients treated with hemodialysis has improved over the last 2 decades in the United States, Japan, and Europe. Some of this improvement can be explained by region-specific changes in 4 dialysis practices, namely increases in the proportions of patients achieving (1) Kt/V≥1.2, (2) serum phosphorus levels<6mg/dL, (3) interdialytic weight gain<5.7% of body weight, and/or (4) use of arteriovenous fistulas as vascular access, with the magnitude varying according to region-specific trends in these practices. These findings suggest that further improvement in these practice measures may be attended by further reductions in mortality among patients treated with maintenance hemodialysis.

3.
Oral Dis ; 29(4): 1565-1578, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35322907

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: We analyzed the pooled case-control data from the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (INHANCE) consortium to compare cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption risk factors for head and neck cancer between less developed and more developed countries. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The location of each study was categorized as either a less developed or more developed country. We compared the risk of overall head and neck cancer and cancer of specific anatomic subsites associated with cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption. Additionally, age and sex distribution between categories was compared. RESULTS: The odds ratios for head and neck cancer sites associated with smoking duration differed between less developed and more developed countries. Smoking greater than 20 years conferred a higher risk for oral cavity and laryngeal cancer in more developed countries, whereas the risk was greater for oropharynx and hypopharynx cancer in less developed countries. Alcohol consumed for more than 20 years conferred a higher risk for oropharynx, hypopharynx, and larynx cancer in less developed countries. The proportion of cases that were young (<45 years) or female differed by country type for some HNC subsites. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest the degree of industrialization and economic development affects the relationship between smoking and alcohol with head and neck cancer.


Assuntos
Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço , Neoplasias Laríngeas , Humanos , Feminino , Países em Desenvolvimento , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/epidemiologia , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias Laríngeas/epidemiologia , Etanol
4.
Am J Drug Alcohol Abuse ; 49(4): 440-449, 2023 07 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37433108

RESUMO

Background: Illicit drug use has become a global epidemic, yet it is unclear if drug smoking increases the risk of tobacco-related cancers.Objectives: We aimed to evaluate hypothesized associations between smoking three drugs - opium, phencyclidine (PCP) and crack cocaine and lung and upper aerodigestive tract (UADT) cancers.Methods: A population-based case-control study with 611 lung cancer cases (50% male), 601 UADT cancers cases (76% male), and 1,040 controls (60% male) was conducted in Los Angeles County (1999-2004). Epidemiologic data including drug smoking histories were collected in face-to-face interviews. Associations were estimated with logistic regressions.Results: Adjusting for potential confounders, ever vs. never crack smoking was positively associated with UADT cancers (aOR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.05, 2.33), and a dose-response relationship was observed for lifetime smoking frequency (p for trend = .024). Heavy (> median) vs. never crack smoking was associated with UADT cancers (aOR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.07, 3.08) and lung cancer (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 0.88, 2.83). A positive association was also observed between heavy PCP smoking and UADT cancers (aOR = 2.29, 95% CI: 0.91, 5.79). Little or no associations were found between opium smoking and lung cancer or UADT cancers.Conclusion: The positive associations between illicit drug use and lung and/or UADT cancers suggest that smoking these drugs may increase the risk of tobacco-related cancers. Despite the low frequency of drug smoking and possible residual confounding, our findings may provide additional insights on the development of lung and UADT cancers.


Assuntos
Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço , Drogas Ilícitas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Ópio , Fenciclidina , Fumar Cocaína , Los Angeles , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Pulmão , Fatores de Risco
5.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 77(3): 397-405, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32890592

RESUMO

Kidney disease is a common, complex, costly, and life-limiting condition. Most kidney disease registries or information systems have been limited to single institutions or regions. A national US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Renal Information System (VA-REINS) was recently developed. We describe its creation and present key initial findings related to chronic kidney disease (CKD) without kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Data from the VA's Corporate Data Warehouse were processed and linked with national Medicare data for patients with CKD receiving KRT. Operational definitions for VA user, CKD, acute kidney injury, and kidney failure were developed. Among 7 million VA users in fiscal year 2014, CKD was identified using either a strict or liberal operational definition in 1.1 million (16.4%) and 2.5 million (36.3%) veterans, respectively. Most were identified using an estimated glomerular filtration rate laboratory phenotype, some through proteinuria assessment, and very few through International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision coding. The VA spent ∼$18 billion for the care of patients with CKD without KRT, most of which was for CKD stage 3, with higher per-patient costs by CKD stage. VA-REINS can be leveraged for disease surveillance, population health management, and improving the quality and value of care, thereby enhancing VA's capacity as a patient-centered learning health system for US veterans.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/economia , Veteranos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Assistência Ambulatorial/economia , Custos de Medicamentos , Feminino , Hospitalização/economia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Department of Veterans Affairs , Adulto Jovem
6.
Am J Nephrol ; 52(5): 356-367, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34044392

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The association between fruit and vegetable (FV) intake and the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) has not been examined in the general population and fully explored in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We prospectively evaluated this relationship in US representative sample of adults and evaluated consistency by the presence or absence, and severity, of CKD. METHODS: We used data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) linked with the US Renal Data System, including 14,725 adults aged ≥20 years and with follow-up for ESKD through 2008. Daily FV intake was ascertained using a food frequency questionnaire. We examined the association between selected categories of FV intake and ESKD using a Fine Gray competing risk model adjusting for sociodemographics, lifestyle, clinical and nutritional factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and albuminuria. We evaluated whether risk varied in individuals with severe versus any CKD. RESULTS: 230 participants (1.5%) developed ESKD during follow-up. In the adjusted model, compared to highest intake, those in lowest categories of FV intake had a higher risk of ESKD, for <2 times/day (1.45 [1.24-1.68], 2 to <3 times/day (1.40 [1.18-1.61]), 3 to <4 times/day (1.25 [1.04-1.46]), and 4 to <6 times/day (1.14 [0.97-1.31]). There was suggestion of heterogeneity (p for interaction = 0.03) with possible stronger inverse association in patients with CKD than those without CKD. After stratification, we obtained similar strong inverse association when we examined ESKD incidence across intake of FVs in participants with CKD stages 1-4 (n = 5,346) and specifically in those with CKD stages 3-4 (n = 1,084). CONCLUSIONS: Low intake of FVs was associated with higher risk of ESKD in US adults with and without CKD, supporting an emerging body of literature on the potential benefits of plant-rich diets for prevention of ESKD.


Assuntos
Comportamento Alimentar , Frutas , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Nutricionais/estatística & dados numéricos , Verduras , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Incidência , Falência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Falência Renal Crônica/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Proteção , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco
7.
Am J Epidemiol ; 189(4): 330-342, 2020 04 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31781743

RESUMO

Head and neck cancer (HNC) risk prediction models based on risk factor profiles have not yet been developed. We took advantage of the large database of the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (INHANCE) Consortium, including 14 US studies from 1981-2010, to develop HNC risk prediction models. Seventy percent of the data were used to develop the risk prediction models; the remaining 30% were used to validate the models. We used competing-risk models to calculate absolute risks. The predictors included age, sex, education, race/ethnicity, alcohol drinking intensity, cigarette smoking duration and intensity, and/or family history of HNC. The 20-year absolute risk of HNC was 7.61% for a 60-year-old woman who smoked more than 20 cigarettes per day for over 20 years, consumed 3 or more alcoholic drinks per day, was a high school graduate, had a family history of HNC, and was non-Hispanic white. The 20-year risk for men with a similar profile was 6.85%. The absolute risks of oropharyngeal and hypopharyngeal cancers were generally lower than those of oral cavity and laryngeal cancers. Statistics for the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 0.70 or higher, except for oropharyngeal cancer in men. This HNC risk prediction model may be useful in promoting healthier behaviors such as smoking cessation or in aiding persons with a family history of HNC to evaluate their risks.


Assuntos
Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/epidemiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Idoso , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Br J Cancer ; 122(6): 745-748, 2020 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31929514

RESUMO

High dietary glycaemic index (GI) and glycaemic load (GL) may increase cancer risk. However, limited information was available on GI and/or GL and head and neck cancer (HNC) risk. We conducted a pooled analysis on 8 case-control studies (4081 HNC cases; 7407 controls) from the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (INHANCE) consortium. We estimated the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of HNC, and its subsites, from fixed- or mixed-effects logistic models including centre-specific quartiles of GI or GL. GI, but not GL, had a weak positive association with HNC (ORQ4 vs. Q1 = 1.16; 95% CI = 1.02-1.31). In subsites, we found a positive association between GI and laryngeal cancer (ORQ4 vs. Q1 = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.30-1.96) and an inverse association between GL and oropharyngeal cancer (ORQ4 vs. Q1 = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.63-0.97). This pooled analysis indicates a modest positive association between GI and HNC, mainly driven by laryngeal cancer.


Assuntos
Índice Glicêmico/fisiologia , Carga Glicêmica/fisiologia , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/diagnóstico , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/sangue , Humanos , Masculino , Inquéritos e Questionários
9.
Br J Cancer ; 123(9): 1456-1463, 2020 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32830199

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Alcohol is a well-established risk factor for head and neck cancer (HNC). This study aims to explore the effect of alcohol intensity and duration, as joint continuous exposures, on HNC risk. METHODS: Data from 26 case-control studies in the INHANCE Consortium were used, including never and current drinkers who drunk ≤10 drinks/day for ≤54 years (24234 controls, 4085 oral cavity, 3359 oropharyngeal, 983 hypopharyngeal and 3340 laryngeal cancers). The dose-response relationship between the risk and the joint exposure to drinking intensity and duration was investigated through bivariate regression spline models, adjusting for potential confounders, including tobacco smoking. RESULTS: For all subsites, cancer risk steeply increased with increasing drinks/day, with no appreciable threshold effect at lower intensities. For each intensity level, the risk of oral cavity, hypopharyngeal and laryngeal cancers did not vary according to years of drinking, suggesting no effect of duration. For oropharyngeal cancer, the risk increased with durations up to 28 years, flattening thereafter. The risk peaked at the higher levels of intensity and duration for all subsites (odds ratio = 7.95 for oral cavity, 12.86 for oropharynx, 24.96 for hypopharynx and 6.60 for larynx). CONCLUSIONS: Present results further encourage the reduction of alcohol intensity to mitigate HNC risk.


Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/epidemiologia , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/etiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/patologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Neoplasias Laríngeas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Laríngeas/etiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Bucais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Bucais/etiologia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/patologia , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
10.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 76(3): 340-349.e1, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32387021

RESUMO

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders (NHPI) have been reported to have the highest rates of incident end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) compared with other races in the United States. However, these estimates were likely biased upward due to the exclusion of nearly half the NHPI population that reports multiple races in the US Census. We sought to estimate the incidence rate of ESKD, including individuals reporting multiple races, and describe the clinical characteristics of incident cases by race and location. STUDY DESIGN: Health care database study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: US residents of the 50 states and 3 Pacific Island territories of the United States whose ESKD was recorded in the US Renal Data System (USRDS) between 2007 and 2016, as well as US residents recorded in the 2010 Census. PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, body mass index, primary cause of ESKD, comorbid conditions, estimated glomerular filtration rate, pre-ESKD nephrology care, and hemoglobin A1c level among ESKD cases. OUTCOME: Initiation of maintenance dialysis or transplantation for kidney failure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Crude ESKD incidence rates (cases/person-years) were estimated using both single- and multiple-race reporting. RESULTS: Even after inclusion of multirace reporting, NHPI had the highest ESKD incidence rate among all races in the 50 states (921 [95% CI, 904-938] per million population per year)-2.7 times greater than whites and 1.2 times greater than blacks. Also using multirace reporting, the NHPI ESKD incident rate in the US territories was 941 (95% CI, 895-987) per million population per year. Diabetes was listed as the primary cause of ESKD most frequently for NHPI and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Sensitivity analysis adjusting for age and sex demonstrated greater differences in rates between NHPI and other races. Diabetes was the primary cause of ESKD in 60% of incident NHPI cases. Patients with ESKD living in the territories had received less pre-ESKD nephrology care than had patients living in the 50 states. LIMITATIONS: Different methods of race classification in the USRDS versus the US Census. CONCLUSIONS: NHPI living in the 50 US states and Pacific territories had the highest rates of ESKD incidence compared with other races. Further research and efforts are required to understand the reasons for and define how best to address this racial disparity.


Assuntos
Falência Renal Crônica/etnologia , Havaiano Nativo ou Outro Ilhéu do Pacífico/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Índice de Massa Corporal , Comorbidade , Nefropatias Diabéticas/etnologia , Feminino , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Havaí/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ilhas do Pacífico/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
11.
CMAJ ; 192(35): E995-E1002, 2020 Aug 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32868271

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Decisions about dialysis for advanced kidney disease are often strongly shaped by sociocultural and system-level factors rather than the priorities and values of individual patients. We examined international variation in the uptake of conservative approaches to the care of patients with advanced kidney disease, in particular discontinuation of dialysis. METHODS: We employed an observational cohort study design using data collected from patients maintained on long-term hemodialysis between 1996 and 2015 in facilities across 12 developed countries participating in the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS). The main outcome was discontinuation of dialysis therapy. We analyzed the association between several patient characteristics and time to dialysis discontinuation by country and phase of study entry. RESULTS: A total of 259 343 DOPPS patients contributed data to the study, of whom 48 519 (18.7%) died during the study period. Of the decedents, 5808 (12.0%) discontinued dialysis before death. Rates of discontinuation were higher within the first few months after initiation of dialysis, among older adults, among those with a greater number of comorbidities and among those living in an institution. After adjustment for age, sex, dialysis duration, diabetes and dialysis era, rates of discontinuation were highest in Canada, the United States and Australia/New Zealand (33.8, 31.4 and 21.5 per 1000/yr, respectively) and lowest in Japan and Italy (< 0.1 per 1000/yr). Crude discontinuation rates were highest in dialysis facilities that were more likely to offer comprehensive conservative renal care to older adults. INTERPRETATION: We found persistent international variation in average rates of dialysis discontinuation not explained by differences in patient case-mix. These differences may reflect physician-, facility- and society-level differences in clinical practice. There may be opportunities for international cross-collaboration to improve support for patients with end-stage renal disease who prefer a more conservative approach.


Assuntos
Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Padrões de Prática Médica , Diálise Renal/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Estudos de Coortes , Tratamento Conservador/psicologia , Tratamento Conservador/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Diálise Renal/métodos
12.
Clin Nephrol ; 93(1): 113-119, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31496516

RESUMO

We hypothesized that high incidence rates of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in certain counties of the U.S. are partly due to patients with a type of ESRD resembling chronic kidney disease of uncertain etiology (CKDu), which has been observed in Central America and other countries. Using data on 338,126 incident ESRD patients from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) (2011 - 2013) and the Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Supplement on county-level variables (2006), we describe both patient-level and county-level characteristics in counties with the highest quartile of ESRD incidence rate standardized for age, sex, and race (> 420 cases/million population/year) compared to the rest of the U.S. and two specific "hotspots" of ESRD: the San Joaquin Valley and the Rio Grande Valley. Logistic regression was used to examine characteristics associated with patients who had either missing cause of ESRD or "unknown" listed as the primary cause of ESRD. High incidence rates of ESRD were observed in southern Texas, the Southeast and parts of California (including the San Joaquin valley area), while low rates were seen in the Northwest and the Mountain Regions. The median crude incidence rate of ESRD was 335 (range 0 - 2,341) new cases per million population per year among counties. Significant predictors of missing/unknown primary cause of ESRD included: older age, white or unknown race, non-Hispanic ethnicity, lack of comorbidities at ESRD onset, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at initiation, and lack of pre-dialysis care. Large areas of the U.S. have very high rates of ESRD incidence. We cannot confirm that CKDu is present in the U.S. based on this preliminary work. This topic therefore requires further investigation, as many of these patients may well be undocumented aliens working as farm laborers and therefore not registered in the USRDS.
.


Assuntos
Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
J Am Soc Nephrol ; 30(1): 127-135, 2019 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30559143

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Population rates of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, age, and race can be used in simulation models to develop projections of ESRD incidence and prevalence. Such projections can inform long-range planning for ESRD resources needs. METHODS: We used an open compartmental simulation model to estimate the incidence and prevalence of ESRD in the United States through 2030 on the basis of wide-ranging projections of population obesity and ESRD death rates. Population trends in age, race, hypertension, and diabetes were on the basis of data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the US Census. RESULTS: The increase in ESRD incidence rates within age and race groups has leveled off and/or declined in recent years, but our model indicates that population changes in age and race distribution, obesity and diabetes prevalence, and ESRD survival will result in a 11%-18% increase in the crude incidence rate from 2015 to 2030. This incidence trend along with reductions in ESRD mortality will increase the number of patients with ESRD by 29%-68% during the same period to between 971,000 and 1,259,000 in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of ESRD will increase in the United States population through 2030 due to demographic, clinical, and lifestyle shifts in the population and improvements in RRT. Planning for ESRD resource allocation should allow for substantial continued growth in the population of patients with ESRD. Future interventions should be directed to preventing the progression of CKD to kidney failure.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Comorbidade , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/diagnóstico , Incidência , Falência Renal Crônica/fisiopatologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevalência , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
14.
BMC Nephrol ; 20(1): 169, 2019 05 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31088377

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The putative benefits of cinacalcet therapy for management of secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) are thought to be most manifested when patients are taking it consistently and as prescribed. Real-world descriptions of cinacalcet prescription discontinuation and reinitiation in European hemodialysis patients are lacking. To address this knowledge gap, we used Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) data, based on dialysis facility medical records, from seven European countries to estimate rates and predictors of cinacalcet prescription discontinuation and reinitiation in hemodialysis patients and to describe the trajectories of CKD-MBD laboratory values after discontinuation. METHODS: Cox regression analyses were used to predict (1) cinacalcet discontinuation among 613 patients with ≥3 consecutive months without cinacalcet prescription immediately prior to a new cinacalcet prescription and (2) cinacalcet reinitiation among 415 patients with a newly discontinued cinacalcet prescription immediately after ≥3 consecutive months of prescribed use. RESULTS: Cinacalcet was discontinued in 21 and 35% of new users after 6 and 12 months, respectively. Cinacalcet was reinitiated in 38 and 49% of newly-discontinued users after 6 and 12 months, respectively. Predictors of discontinuation included lower parathyroid hormone (PTH) in the previous month (< 150 pg/ml vs. 150-299, HR = 2.57 [95% CI: 1.52-4.33]) and lower serum calcium in the previous month (< 8.4 mg/dl vs. 8.4-10.19, HR = 1.67 [95% CI: 1.08-2.59]). Predictors of reinitiation included higher PTH in the previous month (300-599 pg/ml vs. 150-299, HR = 1.88 [95% CI = 1.19-2.97]; 600+ pg/ml, HR = 3.02 [95% CI = 1.92-4.76]). After cinacalcet discontinuation, mean serum PTH increased from 408 to 510 pg/ml, mean serum calcium briefly rose from 9.12 to 9.22 mg/dl before declining to 9.06 mg/dl, and mean serum phosphorus showed little change. CONCLUSIONS: Nephrologist discontinuation of cinacalcet therapy is common in European countries. Additional research is needed to identify optimal cinacalcet treatment strategies for SHPT management, including comparisons of intermittent cinacalcet therapy versus sustained treatment with reduced dose or frequency.


Assuntos
Calcimiméticos/administração & dosagem , Cinacalcete/administração & dosagem , Diálise Renal/tendências , Suspensão de Tratamento/tendências , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
15.
BMC Nephrol ; 20(1): 116, 2019 04 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30940103

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patient-reported measures are increasingly recognized as important predictors of clinical outcomes in peritoneal dialysis (PD). We sought to understand associations between patient-reported perceptions of the advantages and disadvantages of PD and clinical outcomes. METHODS: In this cohort study, 2760 PD patients in the Peritoneal Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (PDOPPS) completed a questionnaire on their PD experience, between 2014 and 2017. In this questionnaire, PDOPPS patients rated 17 aspects of their PD experience on a 5-category ordinal scale, with responses scored from - 2 (major disadvantage) to + 2 (major advantage). An advantage/disadvantage score (ADS) was computed for each patient by averaging their response scores. The ADS, along with each of these 17 aspects, were used as exposures. Outcomes included mortality, transition to hemodialysis (HD), patient-reported quality of life (QOL), and depression. Cox regression was used to estimate associations between ADS and mortality, transition to HD, and a composite of the two. Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to estimate cross-sectional associations of ADS with QOL and depression. RESULTS: While 7% of PD patients had an ADS < 0 (negative perception of PD), 59% had an ADS between 0 and < 1 (positive perception), and 34% had an ADS ≥1 (very positive perception). Minimal association was observed between mortality and the ADS. Compared with a very positive perception, patients with a negative perception had a higher transition rate to HD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21, 2.30). Among individual items, "space taken up by PD supplies" was commonly rated as a disadvantage and had the strongest association with transition to HD (HR = 1.28; 95% CI 1.07, 1.53). Lower ADS was strongly associated with worse QOL rating and greater depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Although patients reported a generally favorable perception of PD, patient-reported disadvantages were associated with transition to HD, lower QOL, and depression. Strategies addressing these disadvantages, in particular reducing solution storage space, may improve patient outcomes and the experience of PD.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Depressão , Falência Renal Crônica , Preferência do Paciente , Diálise Peritoneal , Qualidade de Vida , Atitude Frente a Saúde , Estudos de Coortes , Depressão/diagnóstico , Depressão/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Humanos , Cooperação Internacional , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/psicologia , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Preferência do Paciente/psicologia , Preferência do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Diálise Peritoneal/métodos , Diálise Peritoneal/psicologia , Diálise Peritoneal/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários
17.
Kidney Int ; 94(3): 589-598, 2018 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29908836

RESUMO

The benefits of renin angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi) are well-established in the general population, particularly among those with diabetes, congestive heart failure (CHF), or coronary artery disease (CAD). However, conflicting evidence from trials and concerns about hyperkalemia limit RAASi use in hemodialysis patients, relative to other antihypertensive agents, including beta blockers and calcium channel blockers. Therefore, we investigated prescription patterns and associations with mortality for RAASi and other antihypertensive agents using data from the international Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS). Cox regression was used to estimate the effect of the prescription of RAASi and other antihypertensive agents at study entry on mortality in 11,421 incident (120 days or less) hemodialysis and 37,124 prevalent (over 120 days) hemodialysis patients from DOPPS phases 2-5 (2002-2015). Over 95% of RAASi were angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers. RAASi prevalence was 39% and varied minimally by CHF and CAD. The adjusted hazard ratio for RAASi (vs. no RAASi) was 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.80-0.99) among incident and 0.94 (0.90-0.99) among prevalent hemodialysis patients, with no convincing evidence of interaction with diabetes, CAD or CHF. Inverse associations with mortality were also observed for beta blockers and calcium channel blockers, and were stronger for angiotensin receptor blockers than angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, but this latter finding requires further study. Thus, our observations suggest a relatively small survival benefit of RAASi and other antihypertensive agents in hemodialysis patients, though randomized prospective studies are needed to potentially change prescribing criteria.


Assuntos
Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Falência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Diálise Renal , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Comorbidade , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/tratamento farmacológico , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hiperpotassemia/induzido quimicamente , Hiperpotassemia/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Análise de Sobrevida , Resultado do Tratamento
18.
Cancer Causes Control ; 29(7): 619-630, 2018 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29761303

RESUMO

There have been few published studies on differences between Blacks and Whites in the estimated effects of alcohol and tobacco use on the incidence of head and neck cancer (HNC) in the United States. Previous studies have been limited by small numbers of Blacks. Using pooled data from 13 US case-control studies of oral, pharyngeal, and laryngeal cancers in the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology Consortium, this study comprised a large number of Black HNC cases (n = 975). Logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for several tobacco and alcohol consumption characteristics. Blacks were found to have consistently stronger associations than Whites for the majority of tobacco consumption variables. For example, compared to never smokers, Blacks who smoked cigarettes for > 30 years had an OR 4.53 (95% CI 3.22-6.39), which was larger than that observed in Whites (OR 3.01, 95% CI 2.73-3.33; pinteraction < 0.0001). The ORs for alcohol use were also larger among Blacks compared to Whites. Exclusion of oropharyngeal cases attenuated the racial differences in tobacco use associations but not alcohol use associations. These findings suggest modest racial differences exist in the association of HNC risk with tobacco and alcohol consumption.


Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/epidemiologia , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Uso de Tabaco/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 72(5): 634-643, 2018 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30146421

RESUMO

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Missed hemodialysis (HD) treatments not due to hospitalization have been associated with poor clinical outcomes and related in part to treatment nonadherence. Using data from the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) phase 5 (2012-2015), we report findings from an international investigation of missed treatments among patients prescribed thrice-weekly HD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 8,501 patients participating in DOPPS, on HD therapy for more than 120 days, from 20 countries. Longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses were performed based on the 4,493 patients from countries in which 4-month missed treatment risk was > 5%. PREDICTORS: The main predictor of patient outcomes was 1 or more missed treatments in the 4 months before DOPPS phase 5 enrollment; predictors of missed treatments included country, patient characteristics, and clinical factors. OUTCOMES: Mortality, hospitalization, laboratory measures, patient-reported outcomes, and 4-month missed treatment risk. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Outcomes were assessed using Cox proportional hazards, logistic, and linear regression, adjusting for case-mix and country. RESULTS: The 4-month missed treatment risk varied more than 50-fold across all 20 DOPPS countries, ranging from < 1% in Italy and Japan to 24% in the United States. Missed treatments were more likely with younger age, less time on dialysis therapy, shorter HD treatment time, lower Kt/V, longer travel time to HD centers, and more symptoms of depression. Missed treatments were positively associated with all-cause mortality (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.37-2.05), cardiovascular mortality, sudden death/cardiac arrest, hospitalization, serum phosphorus level > 5.5mg/dL, parathyroid hormone level > 300pg/mL, hemoglobin level < 10g/dL, higher kidney disease burden, and worse general and mental health. LIMITATIONS: Possible residual confounding; temporal ambiguity in the cross-sectional analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In the countries with a 4-month missed treatment risk > 5%, HD patients were more likely to die, be hospitalized, and have poorer patient-reported outcomes and laboratory measures when 1 or more missed treatments occurred in a 4-month period. The large variation in missed treatments across 20 nations suggests that their occurrence is potentially modifiable, especially in the United States and other countries in which missed treatment risk is high.


Assuntos
Atitude Frente a Saúde , Saúde Global , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Diálise Renal/estatística & dados numéricos , Cooperação e Adesão ao Tratamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Internacionalidade , Falência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Padrões de Prática Médica , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Diálise Renal/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento
20.
Am J Nephrol ; 47(3): 174-181, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29525790

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dietary acid load (DAL) contributes to the risk of CKD and CKD progression. We sought to determine the relation of DAL to racial/ethnic differences in the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among persons with CKD. METHODS: Among 1,123 non-Hispanic black (NHB) and non-Hispanic white (NHW) National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III participants with estimated glomerular filtration rate 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m2, DAL was estimated using the Remer and Manz net acid excretion (NAEes) formula and 24-h dietary recall. ESRD events were ascertained via linkage with Medicare. A competing risk model (accounting for death) was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for treated ESRD, comparing NHBs with NHWs, adjusting for demographic, clinical and nutritional factors (body surface area, total caloric intake, serum bicarbonate, protein intake), and NAEes. Additionally, whether the relation of NAEes with ESRD risk varied by race/ethnicity was tested. RESULTS: At baseline, NHBs had greater NAEes (50.9 vs. 44.2 mEq/day) than NHWs. It was found that 22% developed ESRD over a median of 7.5 years. The unadjusted HR comparing NHBs to NHWs was 3.35 (95% CI 2.51-4.48) and adjusted HR (for factors above) was 1.68 (95% CI 1.18-2.38). A stronger association of NAE with risk of ESRD was observed among NHBs (adjusted HR per mEq/day increase in NAE 1.21, 95% CI 1.12-1.31) than that among NHWs (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.96-1.20), p interaction for race/ethnicity × NAEes = 0.004. CONCLUSIONS: Among US adults with CKD, the association of DAL with progression to ESRD is stronger among NHBs than NHWs. DAL is worthy of further investigation for its contribution to kidney outcomes across race/ethnic groups.


Assuntos
Dieta/efeitos adversos , Falência Renal Crônica/etnologia , Adulto , Idoso , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/etiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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