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OBJECTIVE@#To compare the expected population impact of benefit and risk of aspirin treatment strategies for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by different guidelines in the Chinese Electronic Health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.@*METHODS@#A decision-analytic Markov model was used to simulate and compare different strategies of aspirin treatment, including: Strategy ①: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases; Strategy ②: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-59 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2022 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Aspirin Use to Prevent Cardiovascular Disease; Strategy ③: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk and blood pressure well-controlled (< 150/90 mmHg), recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the Assessment and Management of Cardio-vascular Risk in China. The high 10-year cardiovascular risk was defined as the 10-year predicted risk over 10% based on the 2019 World Health Organization non-laboratory model. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and the number needed to treat (NNT) for each ischemic event (including myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) were calculated to assess the effectiveness of the different strategies. The number needed to harm (NNH) for each bleeding event (including hemorrhagic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding) was calculated to assess the safety. The NNT for each net benefit (i.e., the difference of the number of ischemic events could be prevented and the number of bleeding events would be added) was also calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of the incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.@*RESULTS@#A total of 212 153 Chinese adults, were included in this study. The number of people who were recommended for aspirin treatment Strategies ①-③ was 34 235, 2 813, and 25 111, respectively. The Strategy ③ could gain the most QALY of 403 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 222-511] years. Compared with Strategy ①, Strategy ③ had similar efficiency but better safety, with the extra NNT of 4 (95%UI: 3-4) and NNH of 39 (95%UI: 19-132). The NNT per net benefit was 131 (95%UI: 102-239) for Strategy ①, 256 (95%UI: 181-737) for Strategy ②, and 132 (95%UI: 104-232) for Strategy ③, making Strategy ③ the most favorable option with a better QALY and safety, along with similar efficiency in terms of net benefit. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.@*CONCLUSION@#The aspirin treatment strategies recommended by the updated guidelines on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases showed a net benefit for high-risk Chinese adults from developed areas. However, to balance effectiveness and safety, aspirin is suggested to be used for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases with consideration for blood pressure control, resulting in better intervention efficiency.
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Adult , Humans , Middle Aged , Aged , Aspirin/therapeutic use , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Primary Prevention/methodsABSTRACT
Discrete event simulation (DES) model is based on individual data, by which discrete events over time are simulated to reflect disease progression. The effects of individual characteristics on disease progression could be considered in the DES model. Moreover, unlike state-transition models, DES model without setting of fixed cycle can contribute to more accurate estimation of event time, especially in the evaluation of the long-term effectiveness of screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. This article introduces the general principles, construction steps, analytic methods and other relevant issues of the DES model. Based on a research case of estimating the cost-effectiveness of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in women aged 65 years and above in the United Kingdom, key points in applications of the DES model in analysis on effectiveness of complex disease screening are discussed in detail, including model construction and analysis and interpretation of the results. DES model can predict occurring time of discrete events accurately by establishing the distribution function of their occurring time and is increasingly used to evaluate the screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. In the construction of DES model, it is necessary to pay close attention to the clear presentation of model structure and simulation process and follow the relevant reporting specification to conduct cost-effectiveness analysis to ensure the transparency and repeatability of the research.
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Humans , Female , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Cost-Effectiveness Analysis , Disease ProgressionABSTRACT
Objective:To systematically evaluate the role of air pollutants in the development and exacerbation of autoimmune rheumatic diseases.Methods:We followed PRISMA guidelines and searched EMBASE, Scopus, PubMed, and Cochrane Library databases using keywords and MeSH terms from inception to July 2019. Observational studies reporting the relationship between autoimmune rheumatic diseases and exposure to certain air pollutants were included. Screening of literature according to established inclusion and exclusion criteria. No meta-analysis but the qualitative analysis was conducted due to the high methodological heterogeneity.Results:A total of 24 studies were included. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) ( n=6), anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) ( n=1), ankylosing spondylitis (AS) ( n=1), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) ( n=3), childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) ( n=3), juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) ( n=2), Kawasaki disease (KD) ( n=4), systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARD) ( n=4). The results of the study suggested that short-term elevation in particulate matter (PM)2.5 concentration was possibly associated with an increased risk of SLE and cSLE flare-ups, disease activity of AS, JIA and SARDs exacerbation. Studies demonstrated an increased risk of RA with cumulative exposure to carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2), ozone (O 3), and sulfur dioxide (SO 2). Only one study demonstrated an increased risk of KD admission with elevated O 3 levels. No association was found between AAV and ambient air pollution. Conclusion:Air pollution is likely to be involved in the development and exacerbation of certain autoimmune diseases. At the same time, the mechanism of autoimmune diseases of ambient air pollutants should be actively studied, so as to promote the early prevention of cardiovascular diseases.
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OBJECTIVE@#To evaluate the effectiveness of different screening strategies for type 2 diabetes to prevent cardiovascular disease in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas based on the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.@*METHODS@#A Markov model was used to simulate different systematic diabetes screening strategies, including: (1) screening among Chinese adults aged 40-70 years recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline for the prevention and Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 1); (2) screening among Chinese adults aged 35 to 70 years recommended by the 2022 American Diabetes Association Standard of Medical Care in Diabetes (Strategy 2); and (3) screening among Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity recommended by the 2021 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Screening for Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were screened positively (fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L) would be introduced to intensive glycemic targets management (glycated hemoglobin < 7.0%).The Markov model simulated different screening scenarios for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Number of cardiovascular disease events or deaths could be prevented and number needed to screen (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness of the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the sensitivity of screening methods and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainties of diabetes incidence, the sensitivity of screening methods, and intensive glycemic management effects were conducted.@*RESULTS@#Totally 289 245 Chinese adults aged 35-70 years without cardiovascular diseases or diagnosed diabetes at baseline were enrolled. In terms of the number of cardiovascular disease events could be prevented, Strategy 1 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years was 222 (95%UI: 180-264), Strategy 2 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 40-70 years was 227 (95%UI: 185-271), and Strategy 3 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years with obesity or overweight (body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m2) was 131 (95%UI: 98-164), compared with opportunistic screening. NNS per cardiovascular disease event for the strategies 1, 2 and 3 were 1 184 (95%UI: 994-1 456), 1 274 (95%UI: 1 067-1 564) and 814 (95%UI: 649-1 091), respectively. Compared with Strategy 1, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 2 increased by 90 (95%UI: -197-381) with similar effectiveness of cardiovascular prevention; however, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 3 was reduced by 460 (95%UI: 185-724) in contrast to the Strategy 2, suggesting that the Strategy 3 was more efficient. The results were consistent in multiple sensitivity analyses.@*CONCLUSION@#Systematic screening for diabetes based on the latest guidelines in economically developed areas of China can reduce cardiovascular events and deaths. However, merely lowering the starting age of screening from 40 to 35 years seems ineffective for preventing cardiovascular disease, while screening strategy for Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity is recommended to improve efficiency.
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Adult , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , China/epidemiology , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/prevention & control , Mass Screening/methods , Obesity , Overweight , United StatesABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#To evaluate the effectiveness of statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases by the Western guidelines in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas using data from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study.@*METHODS@#A Markov model was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the following statin treatment strategies, including: (1) usual care without cardiovascular risk assessment(Strategy 0); (2) using the World Health Organization (WHO) non-laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 1); (3) using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 2); and (4) using the Prediction for Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Risk in China (China-PAR) model with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 10%, Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, adults in the medium-risk group received lifestyle intervention, and adults in the high-risk group received life-style intervention and statin treatment under these strategies. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) using parameters from the CHERRY study, published data, meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese. The number of cardiovascular events or deaths, as well as the number need to treat (NNT) with statin per cardiovascular event or death prevented, were calculated to compare the effectiveness of different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted.@*RESULTS@#Totally 225 811 Chinese adults aged 40-79 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline were enrolled. In contrast to the usual care without risk assessment-based statin treatment strategy, Strategy 1 using the WHO non-laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 482 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2 110-4 661] cardiovascular events, Strategy 2 using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 685 (95%UI: 2 255-4 912) events, and Strategy 3 using the China-PAR model could prevent 3 895 (95%UI: 2 396-5 181) events. NNTs with statin per cardiovascular event prevented were 22 (95%UI: 14-54), 21 (95%UI: 14-52), and 27 (95%UI: 17-67), respectively. Strategy 3 could prevent more cardiovascular events, while Strategies 1 and 2 required fewer numbers need to treat with statin per cardiovascular event prevented. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.@*CONCLUSION@#The statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by the Western guidelines could achieve substantive health benefits in adults from developed areas of China. Using the China-PAR model for cardiovascular risk assessment could prevent more cardiovascular diseases while using the WHO risk charts seems more efficient.
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Adult , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , China/epidemiology , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Primary PreventionABSTRACT
@#Modulating drug release from liposomes at tumor sites are important for eliciting therapeutic effects of platinum drugs considering their low permeability through liposomal membranes, here a novel secretory phospholipase A2 (sPLA2) responsive-liposome system was constructed for oxaliplatin (L-OHP).Lipid ingredients dipalmitoyl phosphatidylcholine and distearoyl phosphoethanolamine-PEG2k, together with facial amphiphiles (FAs) including lithocholic acid (LCA) or 3-keto lithocholic acid (kLCA) were used to prepare sPLA2 responsive-liposome (LCA-Lip or kLCA-Lip) by thin-film hydration method.The physicochemical properties, sPLA2-responsive drug release and anti-tumor activity were evaluated in vitro.The results indicated L-OHP loaded liposomes modified with FAs had similar particle sizes of approximately 100 nm and narrow size distributions (PDI < 0.11).Compared with non-FAs-containing liposomes (C-Lip), LCA-Lip or kLCA-Lip has a comparable entrapment efficiency and loading efficiency.LCA-Lip or kLCA-Lip didn't show significant higher drug leakage at the presence of 10% or 50% fetal bovine serum (FBS) in media than that in media without FBS.Treated with secretory phospholipase A2 from Colo205 cells culture conditioned medium (CCM sPLA2) for 24 h, FAs modified liposomes released about 70% of carboxyfluorescein (CF), while C-Lip only released 20% of CF.Compared to L-OHP loaded C-Lip, L-OHP-loaded FAs-included formulations had much greater anti-proliferative activity against sPLA2-secreting Colo205 cells.In summary, our results shows that LCA or kLCA promotes responsiveness of liposomes to tumor-related sPLA2 and points to a new way to develop platium drugs-loaded liposomal delivery systems with better release mechanisms.
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Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other aging-related diseases have become an important public health issue in China. However, current clinical drugs have failed to reverse the pathological process of AD. The holistic approach of traditional Chinese medicine offers advantages in improving cognitive function in AD through multiple molecular pathways, and may have potential for preventing AD. This paper summarizes the effects of classical traditional Chinese medicine and its active components in the improvement of AD-related cognitive dysfunction and describes the functional targets and related molecular mechanisms. This may have significance for the prevention and treatment of AD through multi-target intervention.
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OBJECTIVE@#To evaluate the potential effectiveness of different screening strategies for cardiovascular diseases prevention in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed area of China.@*METHODS@#Totally 202 179 adults aged 40 to 74 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline (January 1, 2010) were enrolled from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. Three scenarios were considered: the screening strategy based on risk charts recommended by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 1); the screening strategy based on the prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China (China-PAR) models recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 2); and the screening strategy based on the China-PAR models in Chinese adults aged 50-74 years (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were classified into medium- or high-risk groups after cardiovascular risk assessment by the corresponding strategies would be introduced to lifestyle intervention, while high-risk population would take medication in addition. Markov model was used to simulate different screening scenarios for 10 years (cycles), using parameters mainly from the CHERRY study, as well as published data, Meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese populations. The life year gained, quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, number of cardiovascular disease events/deaths could be prevented and number needed to be screened (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness between the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of cardiovascular disease incidence rate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of distributions for the hazard ratios were conducted.@*RESULTS@#Compared with non-screening strategy, QALYs gained were 1 433 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 969-1 831], 1 401 (95%UI: 936-1 807), and 716 (95%UI: 265-1 111) for the Strategies 1, 2, and 3; and the NNS per QALY in the above strategies were 141 (95%UI: 110-209), 144 (95%UI: 112-216), and 198 (95%UI: 127-529), respectively. The Strategies 1 and 2 based on different guidelines showed similar effectiveness, while more benefits were found for screening using China-PAR models in adults aged 40-74 years than those aged 50-74 years. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses.@*CONCLUSION@#Screening for cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged above 40 years seems effective in coastal developed areas of China, and the different screening strategies based on risk charts by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases or China-PAR models by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China may have similar effectiveness.
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Adult , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , China/epidemiology , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Mass Screening , Primary Prevention , Quality-Adjusted Life YearsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#To validate five-year risk prediction models for stroke in a contemporary rural Northern Chinese population.@*METHODS@#Totally 6 483 rural adults aged 40 to 79 years without cardiovascular diseases were enrolled at baseline between June and August 2010, and followed up through January 2017. Expected prediction risk using the China-PAR (prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China) stroke risk equations were compared with the new Framingham stroke risk profile (FSRP). The recalibrated models were applied by adjusting the five-year baseline survival rate and the mean score to our rural northern Chinese population, while keeping other coefficient parameters the same as the original models. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to obtain the observed event (nonfatal or fatal stroke) rate for the five years, and the expected-observed ratios were calculated to evaluate overestimation or underestimation in the cohort. The models were assessed by discrimination C statistic, calibration χ2, and calibration charts and plots for illustration as well.@*RESULTS@#Over an average of (5.83 ± 1.14) years of the follow-up in this validation cohort with 6 483 rural Chinese participants, 438 subjects deve-loped a first stroke event. Recalibrated China-PAR stroke risk equations and FSRP well-performed for predicting five-year stroke risk in men, and had C statistics of 0.709 (95%CI, 0.675 - 0.743) and 0.721 (95%CI, 0.688 - 0.754), with calibration χ2 values being 5.7 (P = 0.770) and 13.6 (P = 0.137), respectively. However, both China-PAR and FSRP overestimated stroke events by 11.6% and 30.0% in women, and had C statistics of 0.713 (95%CI, 0.684-0.743) and 0.710 (95%CI, 0.679-0.740), respectively. Calibration χ2 values in women were 12.5 (P = 0.188) for China-PAR and 24.0 (P = 0.004) for FSRP. In addition, the calibration charts and plots illustrated good agreement between the observations and the predictions only in the China-PAR stroke risk equations, especially for men.@*CONCLUSION@#In this validation cohort of rural northern Chinese adults, the China-PAR models had better performance of five-year stroke risk prediction than the FSRP, indicating that recalibrated China-PAR stroke risk equations might be appropriate tools for risk assessment and primary prevention of stroke in China.
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Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases , China , Cohort Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , StrokeABSTRACT
Oxymatrine, the main active monomer composition of Sophora flavescens and Sopkoroa alopecuroides L. , has been used in clinic in China with many pharmacological effects, such as anti-inflammation, scavenging free radicals, inhibiting tumor cell proliferation and improving insulin resistance. It may have important clinical application prospects in aging related metabol-ic and cognitive degeneration. This article reviews the current research status of oxymatrine in pharmacokinetics, toxicology and pharmacology.
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OBJECTIVE@#To estimate the potential health benefit of screening strategies for cardiovascular diseases primary prevention in a rural northern Chinese population.@*METHODS@#A total of 6 221 adults aged 40-74 years old, from rural Beijing, China and free from cardiovascular diseases at baseline were included. The following screening strategies were compared: Strategy 1, the strategy based on numbers of risk factors recommended by the Chinese Guideline for Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases in people aged 40-74; Strategy 2, screening people aged 40-74 based on the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) risk prediction model; Strategy 3, screening people aged 50-74 using the China-PAR risk prediction model. Participates who were classified into medium- or high-risk by the corresponding strategies would be introduced to lifestyle intervention, while high risk population would take medication in addition. Markov model was used to compare the potential health benefits within 10 years in each scenario, which applied the parameters from this rural northern Chinese cohort, published literatures, meta-analyses and systematic reviews, clinical trials and other cohort studies of Chinese population. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) events/deaths could be prevented and number needed to be screened (NNS) per QALY gained/per CVD event prevented/per CVD death prevented were calculated to compare the effectiveness. One-way sensitivity analysis concerning uncertainty of cardiovascular disease incidence rate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis about the uncertainty of hazard ratios were conducted.@*RESULTS@#Compared with non-screening strategy, the potential health benefits of each strategy were: Strategy 1 would gain QALY of 498 (95%CI: 103-894) and prevent 298 (95%CI: 155-441) CVD events; Strategy 2 would gain QALY of 691 (95%CI: 233-1 149) and prevent CVD events of 374 (95%CI: 181-567); Strategy 3 would gain QALY of 654 (95%CI: 199-1 108) and prevent CVD events of 346 (95%CI: 154-538). Screening strategy based on ChinaPAR risk prediction model (strategy 2 or 3) would be generally better in terms of QALY gained, CVD events/deaths prevented and NNS than the strategy based on numbers of CVD risk factors (all P<0.05 except NNS per QALY gained and NNS per CVD event prevented in 40-74 years). Similar benefits were obtained for the strategy 2 and 3. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses on the parameters of incidence rates and hazard ratios.@*CONCLUSION@#Screening people to target increased risks of cardiovascular diseases in this rural northern Chinese population is necessary. Screening strategy based on China-PAR risk prediction model could gain more health benefits than that based on numbers of CVD risk factors.
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Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Beijing , Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control , China , Cohort Studies , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Incidence , Primary Prevention , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Risk Factors , Rural PopulationABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#To estimate the incidence rate and effects of risk factors on chronic kidney disease (CKD) in Chinese patients with diabetes, based on Electronic Health Records (EHRs) from the Chinese Electronic health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) Study.@*METHODS@#Using the CHERRY cohort study with the individual-level information on chronic disease management; and health administrative, clinical and laboratory databases, patients with diabetes without kidney disease at baseline were enrolled and followed up from January 2009 through December 2016. CKD was defined as the estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR) <60 mL/(min×1.73 m2) or urine albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR)≥3 mg/mmol. Standardized incidence rates of CKD in diabetic population were calculated according to the 2010 China census data. Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the association of risk factors on CKD in patients with diabetes.@*RESULTS@#Over a median 3.2 years of follow-up, 13 829 patients with diabetes were included in this analysis and 1 087 developed CKD. The crude and standardized incidence rate was 23.7(95%CI: 22.3-25.2) and 14.8(95%CI:12.1-17.6) per 1 000 person-years respectively. The incidence rate for developing CKD in patients with diabetes aged over 60 years was higher than those aged 60 and below (26.6 vs. 11.5 per 1 000 person-years, P<0.05). Cox proportional hazards models showed that age over 60 years(HR=1.88, 95%CI: 1.51-2.35), hypertension (HR=1.81, 95%CI: 1.56-2.10), total cholesterol (HR=1.07, 95%CI: 1.00-1.14) and duration of diabetes (HR per year increment=1.02, 95%CI: 1.00-1.03) and the level of high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC, HR=0.49, 95%CI: 0.40-0.61) were significantly associated with CKD. No statistical significance was found for sex, smoking status, alcohol use and average level of fasting glucose (All P>0.05). Subgroup analysis indicated that even when the lipid levels were well-controlled, comorbidity of hypertension was still associated with CKD in the patients with diabetes.@*CONCLUSION@#Incidence rate of chronic kidney disease in this Chinese population with diabetes was high. Age and comorbidity of hypertension were the most important risk factors for CKD, suggesting the priority for CKD screening in patients with diabetes in China. Control of blood pressure and lipid were especially crucial to prevent CKD in patients with diabetes.
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Humans , Asian People , Blood Pressure , China/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Comorbidity , Diabetes Complications , Diabetes Mellitus , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Hypertension , Incidence , Proportional Hazards Models , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
Objective To evaluate the prevalence and trend of diabetes mellitus among Chinese adults during the past thirty years.Methods Papers,published before October 1,2017 and related to the prevalence of diabetes mellitus among Chinese adults,were searched through PubMed,China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database,Wanfang Digital Database and VIP Citation Databases.Stata 13.0 software was used to estimate the prevalence of diabetes mellitus,with pooled prevalence calculated based on random effects.Subgroup analysis was conducted based on time,sex,areas and body mass index groups of investigation.Continuous fractional polynomial regression model on the midpoint of each survey period,weighted by the number of participants in each study,was used to estimate and illustrate the trends of prevalence of diabetes over the years.Results In total,15 studies were included and two of them were excluded in the primary analysis with the age limitation of participants as ≥40 years old,for recruitment.The average prevalence of diabetes among Chinese adults was 6.3％ (95％CI:4.6％-8.0％),during the past thirty years.The pooled prevalence appeared higher in urban than in rural areas and higher in men than in women.Between 1980 and 2013,the increase of Chinese diabetes prevalence did not follow the linear trend.Before 2000,the average prevalence showed as 3.5％ (95％CI:2.0％-4.9％),with an annual increase rate as 0.17％.Since 2000,the average annual prevalence of diabetes mellitus had appeared around 8.0％ (95％CI:6.0％-10.1％),with an annual growth rate of 0.72％ (95％CI:0.34％-1.10％).Conclusion The prevalence of diabetes in Chinese adults had been rapidly increasing since the year 2000,indicating that efforts should be strengthened for diabetes prevention,in China.
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Family-based cohort study is a special type of study design,in which biological samples and environmental exposure information of the member in a family are collected and related follow up is conducted.Family-based cohort study can be applied to explore the effect of genetic factors,environmental factors,gene-gene interaction,and gene-environment interaction in the etiology of complex diseases.This paper summarizes the objectives,methods and results,as well as the opportunities and challenges of the family-based cohort study on common chronic non-communicable diseases in rural population in northern China.
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Objective To evaluate the prevalence and trend of diabetes mellitus among Chinese adults during the past thirty years.Methods Papers,published before October 1,2017 and related to the prevalence of diabetes mellitus among Chinese adults,were searched through PubMed,China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database,Wanfang Digital Database and VIP Citation Databases.Stata 13.0 software was used to estimate the prevalence of diabetes mellitus,with pooled prevalence calculated based on random effects.Subgroup analysis was conducted based on time,sex,areas and body mass index groups of investigation.Continuous fractional polynomial regression model on the midpoint of each survey period,weighted by the number of participants in each study,was used to estimate and illustrate the trends of prevalence of diabetes over the years.Results In total,15 studies were included and two of them were excluded in the primary analysis with the age limitation of participants as ≥40 years old,for recruitment.The average prevalence of diabetes among Chinese adults was 6.3％ (95％CI:4.6％-8.0％),during the past thirty years.The pooled prevalence appeared higher in urban than in rural areas and higher in men than in women.Between 1980 and 2013,the increase of Chinese diabetes prevalence did not follow the linear trend.Before 2000,the average prevalence showed as 3.5％ (95％CI:2.0％-4.9％),with an annual increase rate as 0.17％.Since 2000,the average annual prevalence of diabetes mellitus had appeared around 8.0％ (95％CI:6.0％-10.1％),with an annual growth rate of 0.72％ (95％CI:0.34％-1.10％).Conclusion The prevalence of diabetes in Chinese adults had been rapidly increasing since the year 2000,indicating that efforts should be strengthened for diabetes prevention,in China.
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Family-based cohort study is a special type of study design,in which biological samples and environmental exposure information of the member in a family are collected and related follow up is conducted.Family-based cohort study can be applied to explore the effect of genetic factors,environmental factors,gene-gene interaction,and gene-environment interaction in the etiology of complex diseases.This paper summarizes the objectives,methods and results,as well as the opportunities and challenges of the family-based cohort study on common chronic non-communicable diseases in rural population in northern China.
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BACKGROUND: In 1990, Wolff et al. reported that DNA was examined as a gene therapy tool, and emerged as a promising therapy after observations that simple injection of naked plasmid DNA and RNA led to profound transgene expression in vivo.DNA vaccines are recognized for harboring several distinguishing characteristics and advantages (including low cost, ease and rapidity of manufacturing, and stability) making them a method for addressing global health threats in the future. OBJECTIVE: To review the status and research progress of DNA vaccines in the view of mechanism of action: innate immune signaling from bacterial DNA, transfecting somatic cell by DNA vaccines, cross-presentation and cross-activation, transfecting antigen presenting cells by DNA vaccines, and apoptosis. METHODS: The first author retrieved the databases of PubMed and CNKI for the articles concerning DNA vaccines published between January 2000 and June 2017 using the keywords of "DNA vaccine, gene vaccine, plasmid DNA, cross-presentation, transfection, apoptosis"in English and Chinese, respectively. A total of 105 literatures were searched, and 47 eligible articles were included in accordance with the inclusion criteria. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: The immunogenicity of DNA vaccines in humans has been limited by low expression levels of antigen, in comparison with the conventional protein vaccines in the past two decades. Studies on the mechanism of action of DNA vaccines in terms of antigen-presenting cell types able to cross-present DNA-encoded antigens, the activation of innate immune responses due to DNA itself and induction of cell apoptosis have suggested the opportunities to increase the immunogenicity of these vaccines.
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To evaluate the role of enhanced recovery after surgery in treating cervical spondylotic myelopathy.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>The clinical data of 55 patients with cervical spondylotic myelopathy underwent surgical treatment from January 2012 to December 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 30 males and 25 females, age from 36 to 71 years old with an average of (45.2±3.2) years, course of disease was for 1 to 12 months with an average of (4.5±1.8) months. The concept of enhanced recovery after surgery and perioperative management were applied to surgical treatment in 35 patients (study group), and the same period, 20 patients without strategy of enhanced recovery after surgery (control group). Thirty-eight patients were treated by anterior cervical discectomy decompression and fixation(ACDF), 17 patients were treated by posterior single-open door laminoplasty decompression. The activity time out of bed, hospitalization days after surgery were compared between two groups. Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) score and visual analogue score(VAS) before operation, after operation at 1, 7, 30 days and 6, 12 months was respectively used to evaluate the neurological function and pain.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>All the patients were followed up for 12 to 18 months with an average of (14.3±1.5) months. There was no significant difference in age, gender, surgical methods, preoperative VAS, JOA score between two groups (>0.05). The activity time out of bed was 3 to 8 h with an average of (5.54±1.54) h, postoperative hospitalization time was 3 to12 d with an average of (5.62±1.59) d in study group, while in control group, the activity time out of bed was 24 to 48 h with an average of (18.80±4.78) h, and postoperative hospitalization time was 7 to 17 d with an average of (9.85±1.94) d; there was significant difference between two groups (<0.01). There was significant difference in VAS and JOA scores between two groups at 1, 7, 30 d after operation (<0.01), and there was no significant difference at 6, 12 months after operation(>0.05). There were no neurologic function deterioration, hematoma, wound infection, internal fixation loosening and other complications in study group during hospitalization and following-up;there were 2 cases of superficial wound infection in the control group, who healed by dressing change for 2 weeks;there was no significant difference between two groups(>0.05).</p><p><b>CONCLUSIONS</b>The strategy of enhanced recovery after surgery in treating cervical spondylotic myelopathy can promote the early recovery, shorten the length of stay and improve the patient's degree of satisfaction.</p>
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Objective:To validate five-year risk prediction models for atherosclerotic cardiovascular di-sease (ASCVD) in a contemporary rural Northern Chinese population.Methods: Totally 6 489 rural adults aged 40 to 79 years without clinical ASCVD were enrolled at baseline between June and August 2010, and followed up through January 2017.Expected prediction risk using the China-PAR (prediction for ASCVD risk in China) model was compared with the pooled cohort equations (PCE) reported in the American College of Cardiology / American Heart Association guideline.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to obtain the observed ASCVD event (including nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary heart disease death, nonfatal or fatal stroke) rate at 5 years, and the expected-observed ratios were calculated to eva-luate overestimation or underestimation in the cohort.The participants in the cohort were divided into 4 categories (<5.0%, 5.0%-7.4%, 7.5%-9.9%, and ≥10.0%) for comparisons based on ASCVD prediction risk.The models were assessed by discrimination C statistic, calibration χ2, and calibration charts and plots for illustration as well.Results: Over an average 5.82 years of follow-up in this validation cohort with 6 489 rural Chinese participants, 955 subjects developed a first ASCVD event.Recalibrated China-PAR model overestimated ASCVD events by 22.2% in men and 33.1% in women, while the overestimations were much higher for recalibrated PCE as 67.3% in men and 53.1% in women.Gender-specific China-PAR model had C statistics of 0.696 (95%CI, 0.669-0.723) for men and 0.709 (95%CI, 0.690-0.728) for women, which were similar to those of 0.702 (95%CI, 0.675-0.730) for men and 0.714 (95%CI, 0.695-0.733) for women in the PCE.Calibration χ2 values in China-PAR were 17.2 and 54.2 for men and women, respectively;however, the PCE showed poorer ca-libration (χ2=192.0 for men and χ2=181.2 for women).In addition, the calibration charts and plots illustrated good agreement between the observations and the predictions only in the China-PAR model, especially for men.Conclusion: In this validation cohort of rural Northern Chinese adults, the China-PAR model had better performance of five-year ASCVD risk prediction than the PCE, indicating that recalibrated China-PAR model might be an appropriate tool for risk assessment and primary prevention of ASCVD in China.
ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the anti-HBs level in 15 years after vaccination in adults and newborns in Beijing and provide the suggestion for the adult hepatitis B (HB) immunization plan.Methods A serological survey was conducted in 6 705 subjects aged > 1 year old by multistage randomized cluster sampling in Beijing during August 2013 to February 2014.The subjects who had received a 3-dose recombination HB vaccine when they were newborns or adults aged ≥15 years old and did not undergo revaccination were selected.Antibody to hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) titers and positive rates in 15 years after vaccination were evaluated.Results A total of 129 and 463 subjects who were vaccinated in adults and newborns were enrolled in the study.Based on the self-limited rate(30%) of HBV infection among the general population aged 15 to 59 years, anti-HBs positive rates for the subjects vaccinated in adults were estimated to be 58.6%,62.5 % and 48.4% during 0-4, 5-9 and 10-15years after vaccination respectively.The corresponding median of anti-HBs titers were 288.8, 120.6 and 62.6 mIU/mL.The anti-HBs positive rates for the subjects vaccinated in newborns during 0-4, 5-9 and 10-15 years after vaccination were 83.3%, 47.3% and 43.5%, respectively.The corresponding anti-HBs titers were 71.8, 8.9 and 6.7 mIU/mL.Conclusions The protection afforded by primary immunization with recombination vaccine in adults and newborns lasts at least 15 years.