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Objective@#To construct Bayes discriminant function for clinical classification of common and severe Japanese encephalitis (JE) cases, and to identify cases accurately with quantitative indicators.@*Methods@#Samples of confirmed common and severe JE cases reported by the epidemic surveillance system of Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2005 to 2017 were collected. Non-conditional logistic regression analysis and Bayes stepwise discriminant analysis were used to screen meaningful clinical indicators, so as to construct and evaluate Bayes discriminant function.@*Results@#There were 256 common JE cases and 257 severe JE cases. There were no significant differences in sex, age and occupation distributions between the two groups (P>0.05) and there was significant difference in case fatality rate (P<0.05). Non-conditional logistic regression analysis and Bayes stepwise discriminant analysis, combined with using related literature, to screen 11 clinical indicators for the construction of Bayes discriminant function. Interactive validation showed that the sensitivity of discriminant function was 71.48% (95%CI: 65.53%-76.93%) and the specificity was 73.93% (95%CI: 68.11%-79.19%). The area under ROC curve was 0.761 (95%CI: 0.720-0.803) and the total accuracy rate was 72.71%.@*Conclusion@#Bayes discriminant function can be used to identify common and severe JE cases more accurately, which is helpful for the reasonable treatment and good prognosis of JE patients.
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Objective To understand the risk factors of measles among babies under 8-months-old and people ≥15 years old,in Gansu province. Methods Laboratory-confirmed measles cases were divided into two groups among children below 8-months-old and those≥15 year olds. Descriptive epidemiology and 1∶3 case control study were conducted to find out those related risk factors as:hospital exposure,contact with measles cases,vaccination,history of measles etc. so as to determine the risk factors and appropriate control measures. Results Histories of hospital exposure,contact with measles cases and travelling to other cities were risk factors for measles among babies younger than 8-months and people≥15 year olds. Vaccination appeared a protective factor for people ≥15 years of age. From 42 cases and 126 controls,through multivariate analysis,results showed that hospital exposure was the only significant factor(OR=29.23,95%CI:2.82-302.89)for those babies younger than 8-months. Factors as hospital exposure and travelling among cities for 7-21 days before being infected,were with significant importance(OR=5.15,95%CI:2.28-11.63;OR=5.48,95%CI:1.38-21.69)for people ≥15 years of age,according to the observation from 74 cases and 222 controls. Conclusion In order to reduce the incidence of measles among babies under 8-month-old and people ≥15 years old, efforts on control of nosocomial infection should be strengthened,while the routine immunization coverage need to be increased for the children at higher risks,to reduce the source of infection.
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Objective To understand the risk factors of measles among babies under 8-months-old and people ≥15 years old,in Gansu province. Methods Laboratory-confirmed measles cases were divided into two groups among children below 8-months-old and those≥15 year olds. Descriptive epidemiology and 1∶3 case control study were conducted to find out those related risk factors as:hospital exposure,contact with measles cases,vaccination,history of measles etc. so as to determine the risk factors and appropriate control measures. Results Histories of hospital exposure,contact with measles cases and travelling to other cities were risk factors for measles among babies younger than 8-months and people≥15 year olds. Vaccination appeared a protective factor for people ≥15 years of age. From 42 cases and 126 controls,through multivariate analysis,results showed that hospital exposure was the only significant factor(OR=29.23,95%CI:2.82-302.89)for those babies younger than 8-months. Factors as hospital exposure and travelling among cities for 7-21 days before being infected,were with significant importance(OR=5.15,95%CI:2.28-11.63;OR=5.48,95%CI:1.38-21.69)for people ≥15 years of age,according to the observation from 74 cases and 222 controls. Conclusion In order to reduce the incidence of measles among babies under 8-month-old and people ≥15 years old, efforts on control of nosocomial infection should be strengthened,while the routine immunization coverage need to be increased for the children at higher risks,to reduce the source of infection.
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ABSTRACT:The seasonal characteristics of Japanese encephalitis (JE) in Gansu Province in 1962-2010 were analyzed in order to provide reference for making strategies of disease control and prevention .The JE data is the Epidemic Data between 1962 and 2003 from Gansu CDC ,and National Notifiable Diseases Registry System (NNDRS ,2004-2010) .Concentration ra‐tio and circular distribution method were used in this study .Results showed that the M‐value of the seasonal distribution of JE in 1962-2010 was 0 .825 9 .The corresponding peak date of JE was the 30th August (95% CI:22 July to 7 October) .The Z value of Rayleigh test was 3 506 .092 5 (P<0 .01) .In conclusion ,the concentration and circular distribution method helps us to grasp the JE epidemic peak season more accurately .There were significant seasona1 characteristics for JE in Gansu Province and the epidemic peak was from late July to early October .
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To understand the risk factors of measles among babies under 8-months-old and people ≥15 years old, in Gansu province.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Laboratory-confirmed measles cases were divided into two groups among children below 8-months-old and those ≥15 year olds. Descriptive epidemiology and 1:3 case control study were conducted to find out those related risk factors as:hospital exposure, contact with measles cases, vaccination, history of measles etc. so as to determine the risk factors and appropriate control measures.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>Histories of hospital exposure, contact with measles cases and travelling to other cities were risk factors for measles among babies younger than 8-months and people ≥15 year olds. Vaccination appeared a protective factor for people ≥15 years of age. From 42 cases and 126 controls, through multivariate analysis, results showed that hospital exposure was the only significant factor ( OR = 29.23, 95%CI:2.82-302.89)for those babies younger than 8-months. Factors as hospital exposure and travelling among cities for 7-21 days before being infected, were with significant importance ( OR = 5.15, 95% CI:2.28-11.63; OR = 5.48, 95%CI:1.38-21.69)for people ≥15 years of age, according to the observation from 74 cases and 222 controls.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>In order to reduce the incidence of measles among babies under 8-month-old and people ≥15 years old, efforts on control of nosocomial infection should be strengthened, while the routine immunization coverage need to be increased for the children at higher risks, to reduce the source of infection.</p>
Subject(s)
Adolescent , Humans , Infant , Case-Control Studies , China , Epidemiology , Cross Infection , Incidence , Measles , Diagnosis , Epidemiology , Measles Vaccine , Risk Factors , VaccinationABSTRACT
8 patients, 6 males and 2 females, aged 26-56 years, with delayed neurologic sequelae following CO intoxication, were treated. The lucid intervals before the appearance of neurological sequelae varied from 5 days to 3 months, and the course of disease lasted for 7 days to 2.3 years. The clinical manifestations were mainly dementia, mutism, urinary or fecal incontinence, and gait disturbance. Among the 8 patients, clinical cure was obtained in 5 and improved in 3 after intrathecal oxygen administration.