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Objective:To analyze the risk factors of acute kidney injury (AKI) in hip fracture patients with serious underlying diseases and establish a prediction nomogram.Methods:Clinical information of hip fracture patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) was analyzed using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV. Patient comorbidities, disease scores, vital signs and laboratory tests, surgical modalities, invasive procedures, and drug use were recorded. According to the diagnostic criteria of AKI in the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcome (KDIGO) guideline, the enrolled patients were randomly divided into training set and validation set. Based on logistic regression analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression algorithm was used to analyze the risk factors of AKI after admission, and the corresponding prediction model was calculated.Results:A total of 474 patients were enrolled, including 331 in the training set and 143 in the validation set. According to the diagnostic criteria of AKI of KDIGO guidelines, the patients were divided into AKI group (159 cases) and non-AKI group (172 cases). Univariate analysis showed that age ( t=2.61, P=0.009), coronary heart disease (χ 2=2.08, P=0.038), heart failure (χ 2=2.60, P=0.009), hemoglobin ( t=1.89, P=0.059), platelets ( t=1.81, P=0.070), urea nitrogen ( t=2.83, P=0.005), blood creatinine ( t=3.65, P<0.001), blood sodium ( t=2.55, P=0.011), blood glucose ( t=2.52, P=0.012), anion gap ( t=3.44, P=0.001), diastolic blood pressure ( t=2.72, P=0.007), mean arterial pressure ( t=2.16, P=0.031), SOFA score ( t=3.69, P<0.001), simplified acute physiological function score II (SAPSII) score ( t=2.95, P=0.003), as well as furosemide (χ 2=2.03, P=0.042), vancomycin (χ 2=1.70, P=0.089), vasoactive medications (χ 2=3.74, P<0.001) and use of invasive mechanical ventilation (χ 2=4.81, P<0.001) were risk factors associated with the development of AKI in hip fracture patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.03, P<0.001), coronary heart disease ( OR=2.05, P=0.069), hemoglobin ( OR=0.88, P=0.050), blood creatinine ( OR=1.37, P=0.009), blood sodium ( OR=1.07, P=0.026), anion gap ( OR=1.09, P=0.028) and vasoactive medications ( OR=3.83, P=0.018) and the use of invasive mechanical ventilation ( OR=6.56, P<0.001) were independent predictors of the development of AKI in hip fracture patients with serious underlying diseases. The area under the curve of the nomogram prediction model constructed by the above 8 predictors was 0.789, and the calibration curve of the nomogram was close to the ideal diagonal. Decision curve analysis showed that the net benefit of the model was significant. Conclusion:The incidence of AKI is high in hip fracture patients with serious underlying diseases. Age, coronary heart disease, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, serum sodium, anion gap, vasoactive drugs, and invasive mechanical ventilation can predict the occurrence of AKI to a certain extent. Combined with the risk factors, the construction of the corresponding prediction model can predict and manage the diagnosis and treatment of AKI in patients with hip fracture complicated with severe underlying diseases.
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Objective To investigate the possible risk factors for the progression of abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) in MHD patients.Methods Total of 170 patients on MHD between June 2014 and October 2014 in the dialysis center of the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University were included prospectively.Lateral lumbar radiography were applied to evaluate patients' AAC score (AACs) at baseline and after two-years of follow-up respectively.According to the change of AACs,the patients were divided into rapid AAC progression group and non-rapid AAC progression group.Multivariable Logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors for the progression of AAC in MHD patients.Results At baseline,the presence of AAC (AACs≥1) was 43.5％(74/170).The mean follow-up duration was 27.6(24.7,28.0) months.AACs were available in 111 patients,and the presence of AAC was 78.4％(87/111).During the follow up,36 patients developed new AAC;rapid AAC progression was seen in 54 patients,and non-rapid AAC progression was seen in 57 patients.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that hyperphosphatemia (OR=4.373,95％ CI 1.562-7.246,P=0.005) and high density lipoprotein (HDL) (OR=0.031,95％CI 0.003-0.338,P=0.004) were independent risk factors for AAC progression in MHD patients.Conclusions Hyperphosphatemia and low HDL may promote the progression of AAC.Well-controlled serum phosphate and lipid metabolism may slow the progression of vascular calcification,reducing cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.
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Objective To evaluate the relationship between low vitamin D level and metabolic syndrome (MS) in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients.Methods A total of 143 patients who had received MHD from Jan 2016 to Jan 2017 in the dialysis center of our hospital were enrolled.Their clinical and laboratory data were collected.The serum 25(OH)D3 levels were measured by chemiluminescence instrument.According to the levels of 25(OH)D3,patients were divided into three groups:sufficient group (＞ 30 μg/L),insufficient group (15-30 μg/L) and deficient group (＜ 15 μg/L) to explore how the 25(OH)D3 were associated with MS and abnormal metabolic parameters,including central obesity,raised triglycerides (TG),reduced high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C),raised systolic blood pressure (SBP),raised diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and increased fasting blood glucose (FBG).The risk factors of MS and abnormal metabolic factors were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression model.Results Among the 143 MHD patients,the median of serum 25(OH)D3 was 24.30(12.90,29.50) μg/L and the prevalence of MS was 45.45％(65 cases).Among 3 groups the prevalence of MS,the abdominal circumference and the serum TG showed statistical differences,and they increased with the severity of 25(OH)D3 deficiency (all P ＜ 0.05).The body mass indexes of patients in the insufficient and deficient groups were elevated compared with that in the sufficient group (all P ＜ 0.05).SBP,TG and FBG in deficient group were significantly higher but HDL-C was lower than those in the other two groups (all P ＜ 0.05).The more abnormal metabolism existed,the lower 25(OH)D3 levels patients had (H=61.316,P＜0.001).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that in MHD patients low 25(OH)D3 negatively correlated with MS (OR=0.889,95％CI 0.846-0.934,P ＜ 0.001) and abnormal metabolic factors central obesity (OR=0.913,95％CI 0.874-0.953,P ＜ 0.001),raised TG (OR=0.932,95％ CI 0.894-0.971,P=0.001),reduced HDL-C (OR=0.901,95％ CI 0.845-0.959,P=0.001),raised SBP (OR=0.898,95％CI 0.847-0.953,P＜ 0.001) and raised FBG (OR=0.956,95％CI 0.920-0.994,P=0.024).Conclusions The prevalence of MS is high in MHD patients and low levels of 25(OH)D3 may be an independent risk factor for MS and abnormal metabolic factors.
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Objective To investigate the survival rate in elderly patients with long-term catheters hemodialysis.Methods A total of 127 elderly patients receiving maintained hemodialysis were included in this study.Patients were divided into two groups according to catheter location:long term indwelling internal jugular vein catheter group and long term indwelling vena iliac external catheter group.The baseline anthropometric and laboratory parameters were measured.The catheter dysfunction and catheter related complications were observed.Results The incidence of catheter dysfunction was higher in iliac vein catheter group than in internal jugular vein catheter group (51.5 ％ vs.24.5％,x2 =8.459,P=0.015),and there were no significant differences in the catheter related infection rate and cardiovascular (CVD) event rate between the two groups.Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that mean survival time was lower in vena iliac external catheter group than in internal jugular vein catheter group (1.9 years vs.2.5 years,x2 =10.847,P=0.001),and still was lower after controlling the catheter dysfunction and cardiovascular events (x2 =9.915,P=0.002;x2=4.368,P =0.037).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that levels of hemoglobin,creatinine,systolic blood pressure,parathormone and age were the independent risk factors for mortality in elderly patients with long term catheter hemodialysis.Conclusions There is a high incidence of CVD events in elderly patients with long-term catheter hemodialysis.The incidence of catheter dysfunction is higher and the survival rate is lower in elderly patients with long-term indwelling vena iliac external catheter hemodialysis.
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Objective To investigate the survival of older patients with iliac vein tunneled cuffed catheters on maintenance hemodialysis. Methods A total of 70 older patients with external iliac vein tunneled cuffed catheters on maintenace hemodialysis were included in this study, there were 94 patients with internal jugular vein tunneled cuffed catheters as control group. The baseline anthropometric and 1aboratory parameters were measured. The catheter dysfunction and catheter related complications were documented. Results There were lower survival rate and catheter survival in the external iliac vein group compared with internal jugular vein group(χ2=13.714, P<0.01; χ2=13.093, P<0.01). Compared with internal jugular vein group, there was lower rate of catheter infection in external iliac vein group(χ2=9.416, P<0.01); In addition, there were higher rate of cardiovascular disease(CVD) events and catheter dysfunction among patients in external iliac vein group (χ2=7.492, P<0.01; χ2=5.912, P<0.05). Furthermore, the incidence of catheter dysfunction and cardiovascular disease events were the independent risk factors of mortality for older patients with iliac vein tunneled cuffed catheters on maintenance hemodialysis by Cox regression model. Conclusions Patients with iliac vein tunneled cuffed catheters have a shorter survival time. Those with catheter dysfunction or cardiovascular disease events are in higher risk of mortality.