ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#The disease burdens for endometrial cancer (EC) vary across different countries and geographical regions and change every year. Herein, we reported the updated results of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 on EC with respect to age-standardized incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2019.@*METHODS@#The annual percentage change (APC) of incidence and mortality was evaluated using joinpoint regression analysis to examine the temporal trends during the same timeframe in terms of the global landscape, different sociodemographic indices (SDI), and geographic regions. The relationship between Human Development Index (HDI) and incidence and mortality was additionally explored.@*RESULTS@#The age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) revealed a significant average global elevation by 0.5% per year (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.3-0.7; P <0.001). The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs), in contrast, fell by an average of 0.8% per year (95% CI, -1.0 to -0.7; P <0.001) worldwide. The ASIRs and ASMRs for EC varied across different SDIs and geographical regions. We noted four temporal trends and a significant reduction by 0.5% per year since 2010 in the ASIR, whereas we detected six consecutively decreasing temporal trends in ASMR during the entire period. Notably, the estimated APCs were significantly positively correlated with HDIs (ρ = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.07-0.35; P = 0.003) with regard to incident cases in 2019.@*CONCLUSIONS@#Incidence rates for EC reflected a significant increase overall (although we observed a decline since 2010), and the death rates declined consecutively from 1990 to 2019. We posit that more precise strategies can be tailored and then implemented based on the distinct age-standardized incidence and mortality burden in different geographical areas.
Subject(s)
Humans , Female , Global Burden of Disease , Incidence , Endometrial Neoplasms/epidemiology , Cost of IllnessABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES@#Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is one of the 3 major eye diseases recognized by WHO to prevent blindness, and which is the main cause of irreversible visual impairment in the elderly. This study aims to analyze the disease epidemiological burden, and provide a theoretical foundation for the prevention and control of AMD in China based on the data in global burden of disease (GBD) 2019.@*METHODS@#The prevalent cases/prevalence, disability-adjusted life year (DALYs)/DALY rate of AMD and socio-demographic index (SDI) for global and China were searched from the GBD 2019 database to analyze the epidemiological trend, age-period-gender trend of AMD in China from 1990 to 2019, and to evaluate the relations between the prevalence and SDI.@*RESULTS@#In 2019, the prevalence of AMD in China was at a high level in the world, and the number of prevalent cases were 1.93 times of that in 1990. The prevalence and DALY rates continued to rise. The age trend of AMD in China was high at the middle of the age stages and low at the two ends, and which was higher in the female than in the male. With the increase of SDI, the prevalence of AMD was increased linearly.@*CONCLUSIONS@#The disease burden of AMD in China is increased significantly and is positively correlated with the social development from 1990 to 2019. It is of great significance to study the relationship between epidemilolgical data of AMD and social development level for diagnosis treatment and policy of AMD.
Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Aged , Global Burden of Disease , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Prevalence , Macular Degeneration/epidemiology , China/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Objective: The direction and intensity of population aging on the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed, and the burden of NCDs in 2050 was predicted. Methods: The disease-specific disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study.The differences in indicators from 1990 to 2019 were attributed to the contribution of age structure, population size, and all other causes. The Bayesian age-time-cohort models were used to predict DALYs from NCDs to 2050. Results: The absolute level of DALYs caused by NCDs increased by 7.460 million from 1990 to 2019, and the age structure contributed 186.0% (95% Uncertainty Intervals (UIs): 178.4%-193.6%), population size contributed 77.0% (95% UIs: 69.5%-80.8%), all other causes contributed -163.0% (95% UIs:-163.1%- -159.3%). DALYs caused by NCDs consist of 2.527 million YLLs and 4.934 million YLDs, in which the contribution of age structure to YLLs and YLDs was 414.6% (95% UIs: 396.2%-432.5%) and 69.1% (95% UIs: 66.7%-71.4%), respectively. From 2019 to 2050, the diseases with increased DALYs due to changes in age structure are cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, chronic respiratory diseases, neurological disorders, sense organ diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, musculoskeletal disorders, digestive diseases, mental disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases in descending order. Conclusions: From 1990 to 2019, except for skin and subcutaneous diseases, the burden of other NCDs attributable to population aging increased, mainly due to disability. By 2050, the burden of NCDsattributable to population aging will continue to rise.
Subject(s)
Humans , Life Expectancy , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Bayes Theorem , Global Health , China/epidemiology , Aging , Global Burden of DiseaseABSTRACT
Objective: To forecast mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes, and to simulate the impact of controlling risk factors by 2030 in China. Methods: We simulated the burden of disease from diabetes in six scenarios according to the development goals of risk factors control by the WHO and Chinese government. Based on the theory of comparative risk assessment and the estimates of the burden of disease for China from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015, we used the proportional change model to project the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes under different scenarios of risk factors control in 2030. Results: If the trends in exposures to risk factors from 1990 to 2015 continued. Mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes would increase to 32.57/100 000, 17.32/100 000, and 0.84% by 2030, respectively. During that time, mortality, age-standardized mortality and probability of premature mortality for males would all be higher than for females. If the goals of controlling risk factors were all achieved, the number of deaths from diabetes in 2030 would decrease by 62.10% compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends in exposure to risk factors, and the probability of premature mortality would drop to 0.29%. If only the exposure to a single risk factor were achieved by 2030, high fasting plasma glucose control would have the greatest impact on diabetes, resulting in a 56.00% reduction in deaths compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends, followed by high BMI (4.92%), smoking (0.65%), and low physical activity (0.53%). Conclusions: Risk factors control plays an important role in reducing the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes. We suggest taking comprehensive measures to control relevant risk factors for certain populations and regions, to achieve the goal of reducing the burden of disease from diabetes as expected.
Subject(s)
Male , Female , Humans , Risk Factors , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Mortality, Premature , Smoking , Cost of Illness , China/epidemiology , Global Burden of DiseaseABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#Epilepsy accounts for a significant portion of the global disease burden. However, little is known about the disease burden of epilepsy in China and its provinces.@*METHODS@#We assessed the burden of epilepsy in China and its provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions from 1990 to 2019. Burden was measured as incidence, prevalence, deaths, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), by age, sex, year, and province. We used the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) to determine the association between the provincial development level and age-standardized DALY rates of epilepsy from 1990 to 2019.@*RESULTS@#In 2019, epilepsy caused 1367.51 thousand (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 979.92-1837.61 thousand) DALYs, and the age-standardized DALY rate was 99.77 (95% UI: 71.33-133.52)/100,000. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates for epilepsy in China were 24.65/100,000 and 219.69/100,000, increased by 45.00% (95% UI: 8.03-98.74%) and 35.72% (95% UI: 0.47-86.19%) compared with that in 1990, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the proportion of DALY caused by epilepsy in the age group under 25 years steadily decreased. The proportion of DALYs caused by epilepsy in people aged 50 years and over increased from 9.45% and 10.22% in 1990 to 29.01% and 32.72% for male and female individuals in 2019, respectively. The highest age-standardized mortality rates were seen in Tibet (4.26 [95% UI: 1.43-5.66]/100,000), Qinghai (1.80 [95% UI: 1.15-2.36]/100,000), and Yunnan (1.30 [95% UI: 0.88-1.62]/100,000), and the lowest mortality rates were in Guangdong (0.48 [95% UI: 0.39-0.64]/100,000), Zhejiang (0.56 [95% UI: 0.44-0.70]/100,000), and Shanghai (0.57 [95% UI: 0.41-0.73]/100,000). The age-standardized DALY rates across the country and in provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions generally decreased as their SDI increased.@*CONCLUSIONS@#The disease burden of epilepsy is still heavy in China, especially in the western provinces. The incidence and prevalence of epilepsy increased between 1990 and 2019, and the burden of epilepsy in the elderly increases gradually. This study provides evidence on epilepsy prevention and care of different regions in China.
Subject(s)
Aged , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Global Burden of Disease , China/epidemiology , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Cost of Illness , Epilepsy/epidemiology , PrevalenceABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#This study aimed to estimate spatiotemporal variations of global heat-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden from 1990 to 2019.@*METHODS@#Data on the burden of heat-related CVD were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to quantify heat-induced CVD burden. We calculated the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and DALY rate (ASDR) per 100,000 population to compare this burden across regions. Generalized linear models were applied to evaluate estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) for temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. The correlation between the socio-demographic index (SDI) and age-standardized rate was measured using the Spearman rank test.@*RESULTS@#Heat-induced CVD caused approximately 90 thousand deaths worldwide in 2019. Global ASMR and ASDR of heat-related CVD in 2019 were 1.17 [95% confidence interval ( CI): 0.13-1.98] and 25.59 (95% CI: 2.07-44.17) per 100,000 population, respectively. The burden was significantly increased in middle and low-SDI regions and slightly decreased in high-SDI regions from 1990 to 2019. ASMR showed an upward trend, with the most considerable increase in low-latitude countries. We observed a negative correlation between SDI and EAPC in ASMR ( r s = -0.57, P < 0.01) and ASDR ( r s = -0.59, P < 0.01) among 204 countries.@*CONCLUSION@#Heat-attributable CVD burden substantially increased in most developing countries and tropical regions.
Subject(s)
Humans , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Hot Temperature , Temperature , Global Health , Global Burden of DiseaseABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#There is limited data to comprehensively evaluate the epidemiological characteristics of multiple myeloma (MM) in China; therefore, this study determined the characteristics of the disease burden of MM at national and provincial levels in China.@*METHODS@#The burden of MM, including incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), with a 95% uncertainty interval (UI), was determined in China following the general analytical strategy used in the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. The trends in the burden of MM from 1990 to 2019 were also evaluated.@*RESULTS@#There were an estimated 347.45 thousand DALYs with an age-standardized DALY rate of 17.05 (95% UI, 12.31-20.77) per 100,000 in 2019. The estimated number of incident case and deaths of MM were 18,793 and 13,421, with age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of 0.93 (95% UI, 0.67-1.15) and 0.67 (95% UI, 0.50-0.82) per 100,000, respectively. The age-specific DALY rates per 100,000 increased to more than 10.00 in the 40 to 44 years age group reaching a peak (93.82) in the 70 to 74 years age group. Males had a higher burden than females, with approximately 1.5- to 2.0-fold sex difference in age-specific DALY rates in all age groups. From 1990 to 2019, the DALYs of MM increased 134%, from 148,479 in 1990 to 347,453 in 2019.@*CONCLUSION@#The burden of MM has doubled over the last three decades, which highlights the need to establish effective disease prevention and control strategies at both the national and provincial levels.
Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Aged , Global Burden of Disease , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Multiple Myeloma/epidemiology , Global Health , Incidence , Prevalence , Risk Factors , China/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#Understanding the changing profiles of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and modifiable risk factors is essential for CVD prevention and control. We aimed to report the comprehensive trends in CVD and risk factors in China from 1990 to 2019.@*METHODS@#Data on the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of total CVD and its 11 subtypes for China were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The CVD burden attributable to 12 risk factors was also retrieved. A secondary analysis was conducted to summarize the leading causes of CVD burden and attributable risk factors.@*RESULTS@#From 1990 to 2019, the number of CVD incidence, death, and DALYs considerably increased by 132.8%, 89.1%, and 52.6%, respectively. Stroke, ischemic heart disease, and hypertensive heart disease accounted for over 95.0% of CVD deaths in 2019 and remained the top three causes during the past 30 years. Between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized rate of stroke decreased significantly (percentage of decreased incidence: -9.3%; death: -39.8%; DALYs: -41.6%), while the rate of ischemic heart disease increased (percentage of increased incidence: 11.5%; death: 17.6%; DALYs: 2.2%). High systolic blood pressure, unhealthy diet, tobacco, and air pollution continued to be the major contributors to CVD deaths and DALYs (attributing to over 70% of the CVD burden), and the high body mass index (BMI)-associated CVD burden had the largest increase between 1990 and 2019.@*CONCLUSIONS@#The significant increases in the number of CVD incident cases, deaths, and DALYs suggest that the CVD burden is still a concern. Intensified strategies and policies are needed to maintain promising progress in stroke and to reduce the escalating burden of ischemic heart disease. The CVD burden attributable to risk factors has not yet made adequate achievements; even worse, high BMI has contributed to the increasing CVD burden.
Subject(s)
Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Global Burden of Disease , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Risk Factors , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Stroke/epidemiologyABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#Atherosclerosis-related diseases represent significant health issues among adults globally. Despite their widespread impact, comprehensive data concerning the global and national burden and trends of these diseases remain sparse. Our objective is to examine the trends in the burden of atherosclerosis among adults from 1990 to 2019 at both global and national levels.@*METHODS@#We reported the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of atherosclerosis-related diseases (ischemic heart disease [IHD], ischemic stroke, and peripheral arterial disease [PAD]) at the global and national levels among individuals based on a trend analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD) 2019. We further analyzed these global trends as a function of age, gender, and the social development index. We also used joinpoint regression analysis to identify the year with the most substantial changes in global trends.@*RESULTS@#Globally, the AAPC of IHD incidence rose from 1990 to 2019 (0.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.12-0.28), with substantial surges in 1995, 2001, 2005, 2010, and 2017. Conversely, AAPC of IHD mortality rates exhibited a different trend until a rise in 2014. The AAPC of incidence rates of ischemic stroke and PAD also escalated during the same period, with respective 0.43 (95% CI, 0.39-0.48) and 0.13 (95% CI, 0.06-0.21). For ischemic stroke, both incidence and mortality soared in 2014, while PAD incidence declined in 1994 and 1998, then sharply climbed in 2016. Nationally, the Northern Mariana Islands experienced the steepest increase in IHD and PAD incidence and mortality between 1990 and 2019. China saw a significant rise in ischemic stroke incidence, whereas the highest mortality rate increase occurred in Timor-Leste. By sociodemographic index (SDI) quintile, low-middle-, middle-, and high-middle-SDI countries all showed upward trends in IHD, ischemic stroke, and PAD incidence. Simultaneously, IHD and ischemic stroke mortality rates, as well as DALYs, dropped in the low-, high-middle-, and high-SDI nations. However, PAD mortality rates and DALYs saw an uptick across all SDI quintiles. Regarding age demographics, a global decrease in the AAPC IHD incidence as noted in individuals above 55 years old, in contrast to an increase in the 20-55 age group during this period. AAPC of mortality rates for IHD, ischemic stroke, and PAD decreased across all ages. The AAPC showed an increase in IHD incidence in both genders. Conversely, IHD's DALYs saw a reduction in both males and females. Ischemic stroke patterns mirrored these trends, whereas all measures for PAD exhibited growth for both sexes.@*CONCLUSIONS@#From 1990 to 2019, there was an overall increasing trend in the global incidence of all three clinical manifestations of atherosclerosis. Between 1990 and 2019, both the mortality rate and DALYs for IHD and ischemic stroke declined across all age groups. Overall, the burden of atherosclerosis-related diseases has not significantly decreased and even shows signs of trending upward. These findings strongly suggest that despite some progress made, efforts to control atherosclerosis diseases globally need to be intensified.
Subject(s)
Adult , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Global Burden of Disease , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Atherosclerosis/epidemiology , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Incidence , Ischemic StrokeABSTRACT
BACKGROUND@#Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) poses a public health challenge, but data on its burden and trends among older adults are scarce. This study aimed to identify trends in the burden of HHD among older adults between 1990 and 2019 at the global, regional, and national levels.@*METHODS@#Using the Global Burden of Diseases study 2019 data, we assessed HHD prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates for individuals aged 60-89 years at the global, regional, and national levels and estimated their average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) between 1990 and 2019 using joinpoint regression analysis.@*RESULTS@#In 2019, there were 14.35 million HHD prevalent cases, 0.85 million deaths, and 14.56 million DALYs in older adults. Between 1990 and 2019, the prevalence of HHD increased globally {AAPC, 0.38 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36, 0.41)} with decreases observed in mortality (AAPC, -0.83 [95% CI, -0.99, -0.66]) and the DALY rate (AAPC, -1.03 [95% CI, -1.19, -0.87]). This overall global trend pattern was essentially maintained for sex, age group, and sociodemographic index (SDI) quintile except for non-significant changes in the prevalence of HHD in those aged 70-74 years and in the middle SDI quintile. Notably, males had a higher HHD prevalence rate. However, HHD-related mortality and the DALY rate were higher in females. The middle SDI quintile experienced the largest decreases in mortality and the DALY rate, with a non-significant decline in prevalence between 1990 and 2019. There were significant discrepancies in the HHD burden and its trends across regions and countries.@*CONCLUSIONS@#In the past three decades, there has been an overall increasing trend in the prevalence of HHD among older adults worldwide despite decreasing trends in mortality and the DALY rate. Better management of hypertension, and prevention and control of HHD are needed in older adults.
Subject(s)
Male , Female , Humans , Aged , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Global Burden of Disease , Prevalence , Hypertension/epidemiology , Heart Diseases , IncidenceABSTRACT
Objective: To analyze the prevalence and the trend of the disease burden of chronic respiratory diseases and relevant risk factors in Jiangsu province from 1990 to 2019 and provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of chronic respiratory diseases. Methods: The data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD2019) were used to calculate the prevalence rate, mortality rate and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate. Software Joinpoint was used to calculate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of the standardized prevalence rate, standardized mortality rate and standardized DALY rate. The population attributable fractions (PAF) were used to estimate the proportion of chronic respiratory disease caused by different risk factors. Results: In 1990 and 2019, the prevalence rates of chronic respiratory diseases were 4.83% and 5.45%. The mortality rates were 134.91/100 000 and 80.99/100 000 respectively, and the DALY rates were 2 678.52/100 000 and 1 534.31/100 000 respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized prevalence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate in Jiangsu showed a significant downward trend (AAPC values were -0.90%, -5.28% and -4.70% respectively, P<0.05). Tobacco use was the leading cause of chronic respiratory diseases, followed by air pollution, occupational exposure, suboptimal temperature and high BMI. Compared with 1990, the proportion of DALYs of chronic respiratory diseases attributable to tobacco use and high BMI increased in 2019. Conclusion: The overall burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Jiangsu shows a downward trend. Prevention and health education should be focused on the population with a smoking history and high BMI. At the same time, environmental management, attention to suboptimal temperature and control of occupational exposure factors should also be adopted as important means to prevent and control chronic respiratory diseases.
Subject(s)
Humans , Global Burden of Disease , Respiratory Tract Diseases/mortality , Risk Factors , China/epidemiology , PrevalenceABSTRACT
Objective: To analyze the prevalence and the trend of the disease burden of chronic respiratory diseases and relevant risk factors in Jiangsu province from 1990 to 2019 and provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of chronic respiratory diseases. Methods: The data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD2019) were used to calculate the prevalence rate, mortality rate and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate. Software Joinpoint was used to calculate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of the standardized prevalence rate, standardized mortality rate and standardized DALY rate. The population attributable fractions (PAF) were used to estimate the proportion of chronic respiratory disease caused by different risk factors. Results: In 1990 and 2019, the prevalence rates of chronic respiratory diseases were 4.83% and 5.45%. The mortality rates were 134.91/100 000 and 80.99/100 000 respectively, and the DALY rates were 2 678.52/100 000 and 1 534.31/100 000 respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized prevalence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate in Jiangsu showed a significant downward trend (AAPC values were -0.90%, -5.28% and -4.70% respectively, P<0.05). Tobacco use was the leading cause of chronic respiratory diseases, followed by air pollution, occupational exposure, suboptimal temperature and high BMI. Compared with 1990, the proportion of DALYs of chronic respiratory diseases attributable to tobacco use and high BMI increased in 2019. Conclusion: The overall burden of chronic respiratory diseases in Jiangsu shows a downward trend. Prevention and health education should be focused on the population with a smoking history and high BMI. At the same time, environmental management, attention to suboptimal temperature and control of occupational exposure factors should also be adopted as important means to prevent and control chronic respiratory diseases.
Subject(s)
Humans , Global Burden of Disease , Respiratory Tract Diseases/mortality , Risk Factors , China/epidemiology , PrevalenceABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES@#To examine the global, regional, and national disease burden of neonatal jaundice.@*METHODS@#The 2019 Global Burden of Disease database was searched to collect incident cases/incidence and deaths/mortality of neonatal jaundice, as well as global socio-demographic index (SDI) and universal health coverage index (UHCI). The epidemiological trend of neonatal jaundice from 1990 to 2019 was analyzed. The correlations between incidence/mortality of neonatal jaundice and SDI and UHCI were evaluated.@*RESULTS@#From 601 681 in 1990 to 626 005 in 2019, with a 4.04% increase in global incident cases of neonatal jaundice. The overall age-standardized incidence rate exhibited an increase [estimated annual percent change=0.13 (95%CI: 0.03 to 0.23)] during this period. Additionally, deaths due to neonatal jaundice decreased by 58.83%, from 128 119 in 1990 to 52 742 in 2019. The overall age-standardized mortality rate showed a decrease [estimated annual percent change=-2.78 (95%CI: -3.00 to -2.57)] over the same period. Countries with lower SDI, such as India, Pakistan, and Nigeria, reported a higher proportion of neonatal morbidity and mortality. In 2019, a negative correlation was observed between estimated annual percent change in age-standardized mortality rate and SDI (ρ=-0.320, P<0.05) or UHCI (ρ=-0.252, P<0.05).@*CONCLUSIONS@#The global incidence of neonatal jaundice is on the rise, while the mortality rate is declining. The burden of neonatal jaundice is influenced by social development, economic factors, and the level of medical care.
Subject(s)
Infant, Newborn , Humans , Global Burden of Disease , Jaundice, Neonatal/epidemiology , IncidenceABSTRACT
Introdução: O câncer de pâncreas é um tumor de alta letalidade, é o décimo segundo tipo mais comum e a sétima causa de morte, em ambos os sexos, no mundo. Estima-se que o câncer de pâncreas terá um aumento contínuo de incidência e mortalidade nos próximos 20 anos e isso causará um enorme ônus econômico para as populações em todo o mundo. Para o monitoramento e vigilância epidemiológica em câncer, pode-se apoiar em dados secundários como no Sistema de Informação em Mortalidade e dos registros de câncer (de base populacional e hospitalares) e estimativas a partir destes dados; por essa razão, investigou-se a epidemiologia do câncer de pâncreas na América Latina e no Brasil. Métodos: A tese compreende três manuscritos: (i) tendências de incidência, mortalidade e anos de vida ajustados por incapacidade (DALYs), bem como a fração de mortes por câncer de pâncreas atribuíveis a fatores de risco comportamentais e metabólicos em países da América Latina e Caribe (LAC) entre 1990 e 2019 (Global Burden Disease, 2019); (ii) mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas no Brasil e unidades da federação entre 1979 e 2019, dados do Sistema de Informação em Mortalidade (SIM); (iii) comparabilidade, validade, completude e pontualidade para cinco tumores gastrointestinais, câncer de esôfago, estômago, colorretal, fígado e pâncreas, em Registros de Câncer de Base Populacional (RCBPs) brasileiros. Resultados: Observou-se um aumento na incidência, mortalidade e DALYs para o câncer de pâncreas em ambos os sexos na maioria dos países da América Latina e Caribe; as maiores taxas de incidência e mortalidade foram observadas no Uruguai e as menores no Haiti. Redução na fração de mortes atribuíveis ao tabagismo entre 1990 e 2019, para ambos os sexos nos países da LAC; entretanto, aumento dentre os fatores metabólicos. No Brasil, entre 1979 e 2019, foram notificados um total de 209.425 óbitos por câncer de pâncreas, com tendência de aumento de 1,5% ao ano em homens e 1,9% em mulheres. Houve tendência de aumento da mortalidade na maioria dos estados brasileiros, com maiores tendências nas regiões Norte e Nordeste, e correlação positiva entre o índice de desenvolvimento humano e a tendência de aumento da mortalidade por câncer de pâncreas. Dentre os dezesseis RCBPs brasileiros estudados, todos atenderam aos critérios de comparabilidade, porém metade apresentou índices abaixo do esperado para validade e completude para tumores de fígado e pâncreas. Para pontualidade, os dezesseis registros apresentaram mais de 48 meses de atraso na divulgação dos dados em relação ao ano calendário de 2023. Considerações finais: O câncer de pâncreas representa um desafio para a saúde pública nos países da América Latina e no Brasil, diante do desafio na redução da incidência e da mortalidade, assim como na vigilância epidemiológica em câncer através dos RCBPs brasileiros que necessitam de suporte para continuidade do monitoramento da incidência do câncer.
Introduction: Pancreatic cancer is a tumor of high lethality, is the twelfth most common type and the seventh cause of death, in both sexes, in the world. It is estimated that pancreatic cancer will have a continuous increase in incidence and mortality over the next 20 years and this will cause a huge economic burden for populations around the world. For epidemiological monitoring and surveillance in cancer, it is possible to use on secondary data such as the Mortality Information System and cancer registries (population-based and hospital) and estimates from these data, for this reason the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer in Latin America and Brazil was investigated. Methods: The thesis comprises three manuscripts: (i) trends in incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) as well as the fraction of pancreatic cancer deaths attributable to behavioral and metabolic risk factors in Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries between 1990 and 2019 (Global Burden Disease, GBD 2019); (ii) mortality from pancreatic cancer in Brazil and federal units between 1979 and 2019, data from the Mortality Information System (SIM); (iii) comparability, validity, completeness and timeless for five gastrointestinal tumors, esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver and pancreatic cancers, in the Brazilian Population-Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs). Results: An increase in the incidence, mortality and DALYs of pancreatic cancer was observed in most countries in Latin America and the Caribbean, the highest incidence and mortality rates were observed in Uruguay and the lowest in Haiti. The fraction of pancreatic cancer deaths attributable to smoking reduced between 1990 and 2019 for both sexes in LAC countries, however, it increased for metabolic risk factors. In Brazil, between 1979 and 2019, a total of 209,425 deaths from pancreatic cancer were reported, with a trend of increase of 1.5% per year in men and 1.9% in women. There was an increase in mortality in most Brazilian states, higher in the North and Northeast regions with a positive correlation between the improvement of the human development index and the trend of increased mortality from pancreatic cancer. Among the sixteen Brazilian PBCRs studied, all agreement the criteria of comparability, but half have lower than expected indices for validity and completeness for liver and pancreatic tumors, and as for timeless the sixteen records are more than 48 months late in the release of data in relation to the calendar year 2023. Conclusions: Pancreatic cancer represents a challenge for public health in LAC and Brazil, given the challenge in reducing incidence and mortality, as well as in epidemiological surveillance in cancer through Brazilian PBCRs to ensure the activity and stability for continued monitoring of cancer incidence.
Subject(s)
Pancreatic Neoplasms/mortality , Pancreatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Diseases Registries , Global Burden of DiseaseABSTRACT
Pouco se sabe sobre a atuação do psicólogo no Brasil junto a pessoas com Diabetes Mellitus. O objetivo desta pesquisa foi identificar os psicólogos brasileiros que trabalham com essa população e suas ações. Foram convidados a responder a um questionário online psicólogos que atuam ou atuaram junto a pessoas com diabetes. Participaram 79 psicólogos, principalmente da região Sudeste (59,5%). Todos declararam que haviam cursado pósgraduação. Na amostra, predominou o gênero feminino (89,9%), com idade entre 26 e 40 anos (46,8%). A maioria dos que atuam com diabetes declarou-se autônoma ou voluntária, e quase metade trabalhava menos do que 10 horas semanais. Entre aqueles que deixaram de trabalhar com diabetes, apenas uma minoria tinha vínculo empregatício. Além do trabalho com pessoas com diabetes, a maior parte declarou exercer outras atividades profissionais, como atendimentos clínicos em consultórios particulares, sugerindo que esta não é a atividade principal. Majoritariamente, os respondentes declararam não ter conhecimentos suficientes para o atendimento específico às pessoas com diabetes. Discute-se a qualidade da formação profissional dos psicólogos no Brasil, a necessidade de aprimoramento em relação à atuação com pessoas com diabetes e as condições de trabalho.(AU)
Little is known about the practice of psychologists in Brazil caring for people with Diabetes Mellitus. The aim of this research was to identify the Brazilian psychologists who work with this population and describe their actions. Psychologists who work or have worked with people diagnosed with diabetes were invited to answer an online questionnaire. The 79 participants lived mainly in the Southeast Region (59.5%). All of them declared to have a graduate degree, most were female (89.9%), aged 26 to 40 years (46.8%). Most of those working with diabetes declared to be autonomous or voluntary, and almost half had a workload of less than 10 hours a week. Among those who stopped working with diabetes, only a minority had a formal employment contract. In addition, most of them stated that they had other professional activities related to clinical care in private offices, suggesting that working with diabetes is not their main activity. Mostly, respondents stated that they did not have enough knowledge to care for people with diabetes. The quality of professional education of psychologists in Brazil, the need for specific improvement in labor relations and conditions were discussed.(AU)
Son escasas las informaciones del trabajo de los psicólogos en Brasil con las personas con Diabetes Mellitus. El objetivo de este estudio fue identificar los psicólogos brasileños que trabajan con esta población y describir sus acciones. Se invitó a psicólogos que trabajan o hayan trabajado con personas con diabetes a responder un cuestionario en línea. Participaron 79 psicólogos, principalmente de la región Sureste de Brasil (59,5%). Todos declararon tener posgrado. En la muestra hubo una mayor prevalencia del género femenino (89,9%), de edades de entre 26 y 40 años (46,8%). La mayoría de los que trabajan con personas con diabetes se declararon autónomos o voluntarios, y casi la mitad trabajaba menos de 10 horas a la semana. Entre los que dejaron de trabajar con las personas con diabetes, solo una minoría tenía una relación laboral. Además de trabajar con personas con diabetes, la mayoría afirmó tener otras actividades profesionales, como la atención clínica en consultorios privados, lo que sugiere que esta no es su actividad principal. La mayoría de los encuestados afirmaron que no tenían los conocimientos suficientes para atender específicamente a las personas con diabetes. Se discuten la calidad de la formación profesional de los psicólogos en Brasil, la necesidad de mejora en relación con el trabajo con personas con diabetes y las condiciones laborales.(AU)
Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Psychology , Acting Out , Diabetes Mellitus , Professional Training , Anxiety , Pain , Patient Care Team , Primary Health Care , Public Policy , Quality of Life , Research Personnel , Self Care , Self-Care Units , Self Concept , Social Sciences , Autoimmune Diseases , Specialization , Stress, Psychological , Therapeutics , Transplantation , Volunteers , Wound Healing , Behavior , Body Composition , Adaptation, Psychological , Pharmaceutical Preparations , Exercise , Weight Loss , Family , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Blindness , Cholesterol , Mental Health , Disease Outbreaks , Episode of Care , Diabetic Ketoacidosis , Cost of Illness , Continuity of Patient Care , Counseling , Universal Access to Health Care Services , Crisis Intervention , Health Law , Death , Diabetes Complications , Depression , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetic Angiopathies , Diagnosis , Dialysis , Emergencies , Disease Prevention , Bariatric Surgery , Fear , Binge-Eating Disorder , Epidemics , Chronic Pain , Insulins , Cognitive Dysfunction , Problem Behavior , Diet, Healthy , Global Burden of Disease , Treatment Adherence and Compliance , Access to Essential Medicines and Health Technologies , Burnout, Psychological , Self-Neglect , Sadness , Diabulimia , Psychological Distress , Transtheoretical Model , Psychosocial Intervention , Glycemic Control , Sociodemographic Factors , Psychological Well-Being , Food, Processed , Health Promotion , Health Services Accessibility , Amputation, Surgical , Hospitalization , Hyperglycemia , Hypoglycemia , Kidney Failure, Chronic , Life Style , Mental Disorders , Metabolism , Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases , ObesityABSTRACT
Background and Objectives: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the main complications resulting from arterial hypertension, and a recent increase in the incidence and prevalence of the disease has been reported, which can lead to an increase in mortality and complications resulting from the disease. Thus, the objective of study is to describe the variations in mortality from CKD secondary to arterial hypertension, in Brazil, between the years 1990 to 2019. Methods: Epidemiological study, with a quantitative approach and descriptive character, which analyzed data from the "Global Burden of Disease Study" (GBD) tool. Results: In all of Brazil's federative units, the estimate of deaths from CKD secondary to hypertension increased, with the Southeast region having the highest estimates. The States of Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul, and Paraíba lead with the highest mortality rates. Regarding sex, in all years, higher rates were observed in males, however, over the years, this difference has been reduced. The age group of ≥70 years was the most affected, standing out with the highest death rates. Conclusion: the burden of CKD in Brazil has increased in the last 30 years; among the regions of the country, the Southeast recorded the highest estimates of deaths in all the years analyzed, being mainly higher among men.(AU)
Justificativa e objetivos: A doença renal crônica (DRC) é uma das principais complicações decorrentes da hipertensão arterial. Nos últimos anos, tem sido relatado um aumento na incidência e prevalência da doença, o que pode levar ao aumento da mortalidade e das complicações decorrentes da doença. Assim, o objetivo deste estudo foi descrever as variações da mortalidade por DRC secundária à hipertensão arterial no Brasil entre 1990 e 2019. Métodos: Trata-se de um estudo epidemiológico, de abordagem quantitativa e caráter descritivo, que analisou dados da ferramenta Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD). Resultados: Em todas as unidades da federação, a estimativa de mortes por DRC secundária à hipertensão apresentou aumento, a região Sudeste apresentando as maiores estimativas. Os estados do Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul e Paraíba lideram as pesquisas com as maiores taxas de mortalidade. No que diz respeito ao sexo, em todos os anos foram observadas maiores taxas de DRC em indivíduos do sexo masculino; contudo, nota-se que tem ocorrido uma redução dessa diferença. A faixa etária de ≥70 anos foi a mais acometida, destacando-se com as maiores taxas de mortes. Conclusão: a carga de DRC no Brasil aumentou nos últimos 30 anos. Entre as regiões do país, o Sudeste registrou as maiores estimativas de mortes em todos os anos analisados, principalmente de homens.(AU)
Justificación y objetivos: La enfermedad renal crónica (ERC) es una de las principales complicaciones derivadas de la hipertensión arterial, y en los últimos años se ha reportado un aumento en la incidencia y prevalencia de la enfermedad, lo que puede conducir a un aumento de la mortalidad y de las complicaciones derivadas de esta, por lo tanto, el objetivo del estudio es describir las variaciones en la mortalidad por ERC secundaria a la hipertensión arterial en Brasil entre los años 1990 a 2019. Métodos: Estudio epidemiológico, con enfoque cuantitativo y carácter descriptivo, que analizó datos de la herramienta Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD). Resultados: En todas las unidades de la federación, aumentó la estimación de muertes por ERC secundaria a la hipertensión arterial, con la región Sudeste presentando las estimaciones más altas. Los estados de Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul y Paraíba lideran con las tasas de mortalidad más altas. Con respecto al sexo, en todos los años se observaron mayores tasas en los varones, sin embargo, con el paso de los años, esta diferencia se ha ido reduciendo. El grupo de edad de ≥70 años fue el más afectado, destacándose con las tasas de mortalidad más altas. Conclusión: la carga de ERC en Brasil ha aumentado en los últimos 30 años; de las regiones del país, el Sudeste registró las mayores estimaciones de muertes en todos los años registrados entre los analizados, siendo principalmente mayor entre los hombres.(AU)
Subject(s)
Humans , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/mortality , Global Burden of Disease , Hypertension/complications , Epidemiologic Studies , EpidemiologyABSTRACT
RESUMO Objetivo: descrever a evolução temporal pela tripla carga de doenças no Brasil, comparando a mortalidade do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade (SIM) e do estudo de Carga Global de Doenças (GBD). Método: estudo descritivo e exploratório sobre a evolução temporal das taxas e a distribuição proporcional de óbitos para doenças infecciosas, crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) e causas externas, usando duas fontes de dados de 1990 a 2021. As taxas no SIM foram ajustadas pelo método direto por idade e suavizadas por média móvel. As estimativas do GBD corrigem sub registro e causas garbage. Resultados: o Brasil registrou 817.284 óbitos (1990) e 1.349.801 (2019) no SIM, corrigidos em 17,7% e 1,9% no GBD para os respectivos anos. Nesse período, as taxas de mortalidade diminuíram nas duas fontes, respectivamente: DCNT -16,8% (433,7 a 360,7) e -34% (720,5 a 474,6); infeciosas -20,2% (86 para 68,6) e -57,2% (198,5 para 84,9); causas externas -17,3% (77,4 para 64) e -27% (100,9 para 73,7). O SIM mostrou redução -79,2% (138,6 para 28,8) para as taxas de causas mal definidas (CMD). Os fatores de correção do GBD foram maiores nos anos anteriores a 2005. Após 2019, as taxas infeciosas e CMD no SIM aumentaram respectivamente 207% (68,6 para 210,7) e 30,2% (28,8 para 37,5). Conclusão: o avanço da transição epidemiológica da carga de doenças e a melhoria da qualidade do dado de óbito no Brasil foram interrompidos pela covid-19, aumentando a carga das doenças infecciosas.
RESUMEN Objetivo: describir la evolución temporal de la triple carga de las enfermedades en Brasil, comparando la mortalidad del Sistema de Información de Mortalidad (SIM) y del estudio de la Carga Global de las Enfermedades (GBD). Método: estudio descriptivo y exploratorio sobre la evolución temporal de las tasas y la distribución proporcional de las defunciones por enfermedades infecciosas, enfermedades crónicas no transmisibles (ECNT) y causas externas, utilizando dos fuentes de datos, de 1990 a 2021. Las tasas en SIM se ajustaron por el método directo por edad y se suavizaron por media móvil. Las estimaciones de la GBD corregían el subregistro y las causas de la basura. Resultados: Brasil registró 817.284 muertes (1990) y 1.349.801 (2019) en el SIM, corregidas en 17,7% y 1,9% en el GBD para los respectivos años. En este periodo, las tasas de mortalidad disminuyeron en las dos fuentes, respectivamente: ECNT -16,8% (433,7 a 360,7) y -34% (720,5 a 474,6); infecciosas -20,2% (86 a 68,6) y -57,2% (198,5 a 84,9); causas externas -17,3% (77,4 a 64) y -27% (100,9 a 73,7). El SIM mostró una reducción del 79,2% (de 138,6 a 28,8) en las tasas de causas mal definidas (CMD). Los factores de corrección de la GBD fueron mayores en los años anteriores a 2005. Después de 2019, las tasas de infecciosas y de CMD en el SIM aumentaron respectivamente un 207% (68,6 a 210,7) y un 30,2% (28,8 a 37,5). Conclusión: el progreso de la transición epidemiológica de la carga de la enfermedad y la mejora de la calidad de los datos de mortalidad en Brasil fueron interrumpidos por COVID-19, aumentando la carga de las enfermedades infecciosas.
ABSTRACT Objective: to describe the time evolution by the triple burden of diseases in Brazil, comparing the mortality data from the Mortality Information System (Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade, SIM) and from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Method: a descriptive and exploratory study on the time evolution of the rates and the proportional distribution of deaths for infectious diseases, chronic non-communicable diseases (CNCDs) and external causes, using two data sources and encompassing the period from 1990 to 2021. The SIM rates were adjusted by means of the direct method by age and smoothed by the mobile mean. The GBD estimates correct under-recording and garbage causes. Results: Brazil recorded 817,284 (1990) and 1,349,801 (2019) deaths in the SIM, corrected by 17.7% and 1.9% in the GBD for each year. During this period, the mortality rates decreased in both sources, respectively: CNCDs -16.8% (from 433.7 to 360.7) and -34% (from 720.5 to 474.6); infectious diseases -20.2% (from 86 to 68.6) and -57.2% (from 198.5 to 84.9); external causes -17.3% (from 77.4 to 64) and -27% (from 100.9 to 73.7). The SIM showed a 79.2% reduction (from 138.6 to 28.8) for the ill-defined causes (IDCs). The GBD correction factors were higher in the years before 2015. After 2019, the rates corresponding to infectious diseases and IDCs in the SIM were increased by 207% (from 68.6 to 210.7) and by 30.2% (from 28.8 to 37.5), respectively. Conclusion: the advances in the epidemiological transition of the burden of disease and improvement in the death data in Brazil were interrupted by COVID-19, thus increasing the burden of infectious diseases.
Subject(s)
Humans , Mortality Registries , Cost of Illness , Global Burden of Disease , COVID-19 , Information Systems , Public Health Surveillance , Data AccuracyABSTRACT
Resumen Introducción: El mercurio circula por el aire; persiste en suelos, sedimentos y agua, y causa efectos en la salud humana. Las mujeres en edad fértil y los neonatos son la población más vulnerable. Objetivo: Analizar las evidencias sobre la carga de enfermedad ocasionada por la exposición a mercurio, así como el impacto económico sobre el sistema de salud. Metodología: Revisión de alcance de la literatura, de las bases de datos PUBMED y EPISTEMONIKOS, búsqueda manual de documentos técnicos de entidades oficiales de diferentes continentes. Resultados: Se identificaron 311 registros en bases de datos y 4 en búsqueda manual en entidades oficiales; 19 artículos fueron incluidos. Discusión: Predomina la afectación del desarrollo neurológico y cognitivo en niños de madres expuestas y lactantes. Los costos se midieron por la pérdida del coeficiente intelectual. Conclusión: Efectos en salud por la exposición a metilmercurio se traducen en gastos para la sociedad y los sistemas de salud.
Abstract Introduction: Mercury circulates through the air, persists in soils, sediments and water, and can affect human health. Women of childbearing age and newborns are the most vulnerable population. Objective: To analyze the evidence on the burden of disease caused by mercury exposure, as well as the economic impact on the health system. Methodology: Review of the literature, PUBMED and EPISTEMONIKOS databases, manual search of technical documents of official entities from different continents. Results: A total of 311 records were identified in databases and four in manual searches from official entities; 19 articles were included. Discussion: Neurological and cognitive development in children of exposed mothers and infants are more predominant. Costs were measured by IQ loss. Conclusion: Health effects of methylmercury exposure translate into costs for society and health systems.
Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Health Care Costs , Cognitive Dysfunction , Global Burden of Disease , Intellectual Disability , MercuryABSTRACT
Objective: To analyze mortality and its trend of chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) in China from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Based on the provincial results of China from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, the average annual percent change (AAPC) of standardized mortality rates of different CRDs were analyzed by using Joinpoint 4.8.0.1, and the age-standardized mortality rate of CRD was calculated by using the GBD 2019 world standard population. Based on the comparative risk assessment theory of GBD, the attributable deaths due to 12 CRD risk factors were estimated, including smoking, indoor air pollution, occupational gas exposure, particulates and smog exposure, environmental particulate pollution, low temperature, passive smoking, ozone pollution, occupational exposure to silica, occupational asthma, high body mass index, high temperature and occupational exposure to asbestos. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the number of deaths and standardized mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) showed a downward trend (P<0.001). The number of COPD deaths decreased from 1 244 000 (912 000 - 1 395 000) in 1990 to 1 037 000 (889 000 - 1 266 000) in 2019. AAPC=-0.9% (95%CI: -1.5% - -0.3%), P<0.001; The standardized mortality rate decreased from 217.9/100 000 (163.3/100 000 - 242.0/100 000) in 1990 to 65.2/100 000 (55.5/100 000 - 80.1/100 000) in 2019. AAPC= -4.2% (95%CI:-5.2% - -3.2%), P<0.001. The number of deaths from asthma decreased from 40 000 (30 000 - 58 000) in 1990 to 25 000 (20 000 - 31 000) in 2019. AAPC=-2.0% (95%CI: -2.6% - -1.4%), P<0.001; The standardized mortality rate of asthma decreased from 6.4/100 000 (4.7/100 000 - 9.5/100 000) in 1990 to 1.5/100 000 (1.2/100 000 - 1.9/100 000) in 2019. AAPC=-5.1% (95%CI: -5.8% - -4.4%), P<0.001. The number of pneumoconiosis deaths decreased from 11 000 (8 000 - 14 000) in 1990 to 10 000 (8 000 - 14 000) in 2019, AAPC=-0.2%(95%CI:-0.4% - 0.1%), P=0.200; The standardized mortality rate of pneumoconiosis decreased from 1.4/100 000 (1.0/100 000 - 1.7/100 000) in 1990 to 0.5/100 000 (0.4/100 000 - 0.7/100 000) in 2019. AAPC=-3.1% (95%CI: -3.4% - -2.8%), P<0.001. The number of deaths from pulmonary interstitial diseases and pulmonary sarcoidosis increased from 3 000 (3 000 - 6 000) in 1990 to 8 000 (6 000 - 10 000) in 2019, AAPC=3.5% (95%CI: 2.7% - 4.2%), P<0.001; The corresponding standardized mortality rate changed little from 1990 to 2019, and AAPC was not statistically significant.The age-standardized mortality rates of different CRDs were higher in men than those in women. In 1990 and 2019, the mortality rates of COPD, asthma, pneumoconiosis and interstitial pulmonary disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis increased with age. In 2019, the population attributable fractions (PAFs) for smoking, environmental particulate pollution, occupational gas exposure, particulate and smog exposure, low temperature exposure and passive smoking were 71.1% (68.0% - 74.3%), 24.7% (20.1% - 30.0%), 19.3% (13.0% - 25.4%), 15.7% (13.6% - 18.3%) and 8.8% (4.5% - 13.1%) respectively in men, and the PAFs for environmental particulate pollution, smoking, low temperature exposure, occupational gas exposure, particulate and smog exposure, and passive smoking were 24.1% (19.6% - 29.3%), 21.9% (18.7% - 25.2%), 16.4% (14.0% - 19.2%), 15.6% (10.2% - 21.1%) and 14.7% (7.9% - 21.3%) respectively in women. Conclusions: During 1990-2019, the overall death level of CRD decreased significantly in China, but it is still at high level in the world. Active prevention and control measures should be taken to reduce the death level caused by CRD.
Subject(s)
Female , Humans , Male , Asthma , China/epidemiology , Global Burden of Disease , Mortality , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Quality-Adjusted Life YearsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE@#To analyze the mortality of injuries among children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 in China from 1990 to 2019, and to provide the theoretical basis for the formulation of policies related to injury prevention.@*METHODS@#The mortality data of children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 years in China between 1990 and 2019 were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019, and the change in mortality between 1990 and 2019 was described. Age-period-cohort analysis was utilized to determine the age effect, period effect and cohort effect for road injuries, drowning and self-harm.@*RESULTS@#Injury mortality of Chinese children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 years decreased from 46.22 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 40.88-52.12] per 100 000 to 20.36 (95%UI: 17.58-23.38) per 100 000 between 1990 and 2019. Sub-group analysis revealed a pattern that was basically consistent with the overall trend. From 1990 to 2019, drowning declined from the first leading cause of injury death among children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 years in China to the second while road injuries became the one which caused the most death among them, and self-harm was the third leading cause of injury death. The top three causes of injury death in each subgroup were basically the same as the overall, but the order was different in each subgroup. Age-period-cohort analysis showed that the death risk of road injuries, drowning, and self-harm all decreased with period and cohort. Aside from that, the death risk of road injuries showed a U-shape trend, which decreased at first but increased soon afterwards, with the increase of age, while the death risk of drowning decreased with age and the death risk of self-harm increased with age.@*CONCLUSION@#In China, the injuries mortality among children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 years has decreased over the last three decades. However, specific cause-related injury deaths, manifested differently in different sub-groups. Targeted policies and intervention should be proposed to reduce the mortality of children and adolescents in accordance with the characteristics of injuries death in different genders and age groups.