Risk factors of pathological positive resection margins in patients undergoing curative-intent resection for advanced hilar cholangiocarcinoma / 中华肝胆外科杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To study the risk factors of positive surgical margins in patients with advanced hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HCCA) undergoing curative-intent resection with the aim to provide references for clinical decision-making.Methods:The clinical pathological data of 126 patients with advanced HCCA who underwent curative-intent resection at the Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2011 to December 2014 was retrospective analyzed. There were 78 males and 48 females, with an average age of 55 years. The patients were divided into two groups the resection margin positive group (positive for residual tumor at any surgical margin, n=29) and the negative resection margin group ( n=97). Multivariate logistic regression analysis, in reference to the results of univariate analysis, was applied to the relevant variables to study independent risk factors of positive resection margin. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the independent and joint predictive values of the relevant indicators. Results:Univariate analysis showed vascular involvement, tumor diameter volume ≥20.94 cm 3, plasma fibrinogen ≥3.36 g/L, and DRR≤0.61 were associated with positive resection margins (all P<0.05). A history of cholecystectomy was potentially associated with positive resection margins ( P<0.1). These variables were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis which showed vascular involvement ( OR=4.134, 95% CI 1.545-11.060, P=0.005), tumor size ≥ 20.94 cm 3 ( OR=2.926, 95% CI 1.107-7.733, P=0.030) and DRR≤0.61 ( OR=3.170, 95% CI 1.126-8.928, P=0.029) were independent risk factors of positive margins after curative resection in patients with advanced HCCA. ROC curve analysis was used to evaluate the impact of the combination of the above variables in predicting positive surgical margins. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated to be 86.2% and 65.7% respectively, and the area under the curve was 0.771. Conclusion:Vascular involvement, tumor size ≥20.94 cm 3 and DRR≤0.61 were independent risk factors of positive surfical margins in patients with advanced HCCA undergoing curative-intent resection. The combination of the above predictive indicators provided some references for treatment decisions.