Prediction of Milk Transfer of Drugs Using Machine Learning Methods / 医薬品情報学

ABSTRACT

Objective: Currently, limited information is available on the milk transfer properties of drugs when consumed by lactating women. Therefore, we aim to construct a prediction model of milk transfer of drugs using machine learning methods.Methods: We obtained data from Hale’s Medications & Mothers’ Milk (MMM) and SciFinder®, and then constructed the datasets. The physicochemical and pharmacokinetic data were used as feature variables with M/P ratio ≥ 1 and M/P ratio < 1 as the objective variables, classified into two groups as the classification of milk transferability. In this study, analyses were conducted using machine learning methods: logistic regression, linear support vector machine (linear SVM), kernel method support vector machine (kernel SVM), random forest, and k-nearest neighbor classification. The results were compared to those obtained with the linear regression equation of Yamauchi et al. from a previous study. The analysis was performed using scikit-learn (version 0.24.2) with python (version 3.8.10).Results: Model construction and validation were performed on the training data comprising 159 drugs. The results revealed that the random forest had the highest accuracy, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and F value. Additionally, the results with test data A and B (n = 36, 31), which were not used for training, showed that both F value and accuracy for the random forest and the kernel method SVM exceeded those with the linear regression equation of Yamauchi et al. Conclusion: We were able to construct a predictive model of milk transferability with relatively high performance using a machine learning method capable of nonlinear separation. The predictive model in this study can be applied to drugs with unknown M/P ratios for providing a new source of information on milk transfer.