The value of combined measurement of soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 protein, interleukin-6 and tumor necrosis factor-α in peripheral blood in evaluating the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of measuring soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 protein(sST2), interleukin-6(IL-6)and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNFα)as individual parameters or as a test panel in the prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure.Methods:A total of 128 elderly patients with heart failure hospitalized at the Cardiology Department of the Medical Alliance of Chest Hospital and Hexi Hospital between April 2019 and April 2020 were retrospectively selected.Based on heart failure readmissions, all-cause deaths and cardiovascular death events within a one-year follow-up, the patients were divided into a good prognosis group(n=60)and a poor prognosis group(n=68).The general condition and routine laboratory examination test results were recorded.At admission, blood samples were taken to measure sST2, IL-6 and TNFα.The individual parameters, combinations of two parameters and the combination of all three parameters were used to draw receiver operating characteristic curves(ROCs)and their value in evaluating the prognosis of heart failure patients was analyzed.Results:In the poor prognosis group, sST2, IL-6 and TNFα levels were(29.4±7.7)mg/L, (23.1±45.7)ng/L and(30.9±82.1)ng/L, respectively, higher than those in the good prognosis group[(25.0±9.1)mg/L, (22.5±49.1)ng/L, (13.5±22.3)ng/L, t=2.42, -2.32, -2.37, all P<0.05)].The area under ROC(AUC)values of sST2, IL-6 and TNFα were 0.636, 0.619 and 0.622, respectively(all P>0.05).The specificity of sST2(56.7%)was higher than that of IL-6(51.7%)and of TNFα(46.7%), and the difference was statistically significant( P<0.05).The sensitivity of TNFα(80.9%)was higher than that of sST2(64.7%)and of IL-6(79.4%), and the difference was statistically significant( P<0.05); As the combinations of two parameters, the predictive power of the sST2+ TNFα combination was higher than that of the other two combinations, based on AUC values(both P<0.05).The AUC and specificity of the sST2+ IL-6+ TNFα combination were higher than those of any two-parameter combination(both P<0.05). Conclusions:The combined detection of sST2+ IL-6+ TNFα has a good performance in predicting the one-year prognosis of elderly patients with heart failure and can be easily implemented in clinical practice.