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1.
Clin Pharmacol ; 14: 69-90, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35975122

ABSTRACT

Background: Serious but rare side effects associated with immunotherapy pose a difficult problem for regulators and practitioners. Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have come into widespread use in oncology in recent years and are associated with rare cardiotoxicity, including potentially fatal myocarditis. To date, no comprehensive model of myocarditis progression and outcomes integrating time-series based laboratory and clinical signals has been constructed. In this paper, we describe a time-series neural net (NN) model of ICI-related myocarditis derived using supervised machine learning. Methods: We extracted and modeled data from electronic medical records of ICI-treated patients who had an elevation in their troponin. All data collection was performed using an electronic case report form, with approximately 300 variables collected on as many occasions as available, yielding 6000 data elements per patient over their clinical course. Key variables were scored 0-5 and sequential assessments were used to construct the model. The NN model was developed in MatLab and applied to analyze the time course and outcomes of treatments. Results: We identified 23 patients who had troponin elevations related to their ICI therapy, 15 of whom had ICI-related myocarditis, while the remaining 8 patients on ICIs had other causes for troponin elevation, such as myocardial infarction. Our model showed that troponin was the most predictive biomarker of myocarditis, in line with prior studies. Our model also identified early and aggressive use of steroid treatment as a major determinant of survival for cases of grade 3 or 4 ICI-related myocarditis. Conclusion: Our study shows that a supervised learning NN can be used to model rare events such as ICI-related myocarditis and thus provide clinical insight into drivers of progression and treatment outcomes. These findings direct attention to early detection biomarkers and clinical symptoms as the best means of implementing early and potentially life-saving steroid treatment.

2.
J Immunother Cancer ; 9(6)2021 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34162715

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have emerged as a front-line therapy for a variety of solid tumors. With the widespread use of these agents, immune-associated toxicities are increasingly being recognized, including fatal myocarditis. There are limited data on the outcomes and prognostic utility of biomarkers associated with ICI-associated myocarditis. Our objective was to examine the associations between clinical biomarkers of cardiomyocyte damage and mortality in patients with cancer treated with ICIs. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 23 patients who developed symptomatic and asymptomatic troponin elevations while receiving ICI therapy at a National Cancer Institute-designated comprehensive cancer center. We obtained serial ECGs, troponin I, and creatine kinase-MD (CK-MB), in addition to other conventional clinical biomarkers, and compared covariates between survivors and non-survivors. RESULTS: Among patients with myocarditis, higher troponin I (p=0.037) and CK-MB (p=0.034) levels on presentation correlated with progression to severe myocarditis. Higher troponin I (p=0.016), CK (p=0.013), and CK-MB (p=0.034) levels were associated with increased mortality, while the presence of advanced atrioventricular block on presentation (p=0.088) trended toward increased mortality. Weekly troponin monitoring lead to earlier hospitalization for potential myocarditis (p=0.022) and was associated with decreased time to steroid initiation (p=0.053) and improved outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Routine troponin surveillance may be helpful in predicting mortality in ICI-treated patients with cancer in the early phase of ICI therapy initiation. Early detection of troponin elevation is associated with earlier intervention and improved outcomes in ICI-associated myocarditis. The recommended assessment and diagnostic studies guiding treatment decisions are presented.


Subject(s)
Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/adverse effects , Myocarditis/chemically induced , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies
3.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 33(1): 58-64, 2009 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18835762

ABSTRACT

Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may progress to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), but there has been no formal study of the factors responsible. We studied the influence of severity of underlying lung disease, pathogen characteristics and the ratio of the area under the concentration-time curve from 0-24h to minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC24/MIC), i.e. the area under the inhibitory curve (AUIC), during the progression from acute exacerbation of chronic bronchitis (AECB) in COPD to CAP. The model parameters were derived from a multinational database of 3885 patients with AECB or CAP (April 1996 to July 2006). Patients with underlying COPD were evaluated in two separate analyses: infection progression between COPD and CAP within Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD)-like grouping (GLG); and distribution of pathogen by GLG, CAP and AECB. Secondary analyses examined the impact of target AUIC attainment on progression to CAP for Streptococcus pneumoniae. The relative impact of GLG and AUIC were modelled in multivariate logistic regression for S. pneumoniae. Progression to CAP linked directly with GLG I/II, III and IV (18.3%, 31.7% and 48.9%, respectively; P < 0.001). Progression to CAP was strongly associated with S. pneumoniae (57.3%), whilst other pathogens were predominant in AECB that did not progress to CAP (61.7%) (P = 0.002). AUIC > or = 100 was associated with AECB (65.1%) and AUIC < 100 with CAP (91.7%) (P < 0.001). In conclusion, the frequency of progression to CAP increases directly with GLG. For S. pneumoniae, achieving an AUIC > or =100 can attenuate progression, regardless of GLG. Thus, AUIC > or = 100 appears to be a viable antibiotic selection strategy to protect patients with S. pneumoniae from developing CAP.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents , Community-Acquired Infections , Models, Biological , Pneumonia, Bacterial , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/physiopathology , Streptococcus pneumoniae/drug effects , Aged , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacokinetics , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Area Under Curve , Bronchitis, Chronic/drug therapy , Bronchitis, Chronic/microbiology , Bronchitis, Chronic/physiopathology , Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy , Community-Acquired Infections/microbiology , Community-Acquired Infections/physiopathology , Community-Acquired Infections/prevention & control , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Lung/microbiology , Lung Diseases/complications , Lung Diseases/drug therapy , Lung Diseases/microbiology , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Bacterial/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Bacterial/microbiology , Pneumonia, Bacterial/physiopathology , Pneumonia, Bacterial/prevention & control , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/microbiology , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/physiopathology , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/prevention & control , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/microbiology , Severity of Illness Index
4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 47 Suppl 3: S157-65, 2008 Dec 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18986283

ABSTRACT

There are no well-designed placebo-controlled clinical trials in the recent era that precisely define the magnitude of the drug effect of antimicrobial therapy for mild community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, there is evidence that ineffective therapies, selected on the basis of the ratio of 24-h area under the concentration curve to minimum inhibitory concentration, associated with a discordant (nonsusceptible in vitro) specific agent (or no therapy) for mild CAP due to Streptococcus pneumoniae are associated with increased risk of progression to serious CAP. The relatively high rate of clinical success associated with appropriate antimicrobial treatment of mild CAP renders a standard outcome measure of clinical success an unlikely way to differentiate new agents. However, there may be an advantage in composite outcome assessments for mild CAP. Composite-outcomes end points that include time to resolution of morbidity, the use of patient reported-outcomes instruments, and biomarkers are recommended for future studies. Because the composite rate of success in recent randomized clinical trials exceeds 90%, it would seem that a noninferiority margin of 10% is reasonable for trials for mild CAP.


Subject(s)
Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/drug therapy , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/methods , Research Design , Streptococcus pneumoniae/isolation & purification , Community-Acquired Infections/microbiology , Disease Progression , Humans , Pneumonia, Pneumococcal/microbiology , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
5.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 29(1): 16-24, 2008 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18171182

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the economic impact of performing rapid testing for Staphylococcus aureus colonization before admission for all inpatients who are scheduled to undergo elective surgery and providing subsequent decolonization therapy for those patients found to be colonized with S. aureus. METHODS: A budget impact model that used probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for the uncertainties in the input variables was developed. Primary input variables included the marginal effect of S. aureus infection on patient outcomes among patients who underwent elective surgery, patient demographic characteristics, the prevalence of nasal carriage of S. aureus, the sensitivity and specificity of the rapid diagnostic test for S. aureus colonization, the efficacy of decolonization therapy for nasal carriage of S. aureus, and cost data. Data sources for the input variables included the 2003 Nationwide Inpatient Sample data and the published literature. RESULTS: In 2003, there were an estimated 7,181,484 patients admitted to US hospitals for elective surgery. Our analysis indicated preadmission testing and subsequent decolonization therapy for patients colonized with S. aureus would have produced a mean annual cost savings to US hospitals of $231,538,400 (95% confidence interval [CI], -$300 million to $1.3 billion). The mean annual number of hospital-days that could have been eliminated was estimated at 364,919 days (95% CI, 67,893-926,983 days), and a mean of 935 in-hospital deaths (95% CI, 88-3,691) could have been avoided per year. Sensitivity analysis indicated a 64.5% probability that there would be cost savings to US hospitals as a result of preadmission testing and subsequent decolonization therapy. CONCLUSION: The addition of preadmission testing and decolonization therapy to standard care would result in significant cost savings, even after accounting for variations in the model input values.


Subject(s)
Budgets , Mass Screening/economics , Staphylococcal Infections/diagnosis , Staphylococcal Infections/economics , Staphylococcus aureus/isolation & purification , Carrier State/microbiology , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Economics, Hospital , Elective Surgical Procedures/economics , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Mass Screening/methods , Middle Aged , Nose/microbiology , Sensitivity and Specificity , Staphylococcal Infections/drug therapy , Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology , Staphylococcus aureus/growth & development
6.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 31(4): 345-51, 2008 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18313273

ABSTRACT

The objective of this study was to evaluate the relationship of the predicted pharmacodynamic parameters 24-h area under the inhibitory curve (AUIC=area under the concentration-time curve for 24h of dosing/minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC0-24/MIC) and time above the minimum inhibitory concentration (T>MIC) with clinical and microbiological outcomes in patients with bacteraemia and sepsis treated with cefepime or ceftazidime. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic parameters were derived for 76 of 107 patients enrolled in two prospective, randomised, clinical trials comparing cefepime with ceftazidime for the treatment of sepsis with bacteraemia, lower respiratory tract infection or complicated urinary tract infection. The relationships between the pharmacodynamic parameters and outcomes were examined. Whilst no significant differences in clinical outcomes were observed between cefepime and ceftazidime, there were significant differences in the pharmacodynamic analysis. Patients with an AUIC> or =250 had significantly greater clinical cure (79% vs. 33%; P=0.002) and bacteriological eradication (96% vs. 44%; P<0.001) than patients with an AUIC<250. Patients with T>MIC of 100% had significantly greater clinical cure (82% vs. 33%; P=0.002) and bacteriological eradication (97% vs. 44%; P<0.001) than patients with T>MIC of <100%. Both microbiological and clinical cure rates were suboptimal in patients receiving cefepime or ceftazidime for the treatment of serious infections if the AUIC was <250 or T>MIC was <100%.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacokinetics , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Bacterial Infections/drug therapy , Ceftazidime/pharmacokinetics , Ceftazidime/therapeutic use , Cephalosporins/pharmacokinetics , Cephalosporins/therapeutic use , APACHE , Aged , Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage , Area Under Curve , Bacteremia/drug therapy , Bacteremia/microbiology , Bacterial Infections/microbiology , Cefepime , Ceftazidime/administration & dosage , Cephalosporins/administration & dosage , Endpoint Determination , Escherichia coli/drug effects , Female , Humans , Klebsiella/drug effects , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Predictive Value of Tests , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/drug effects , Renal Insufficiency/complications , Sepsis/drug therapy , Sepsis/microbiology , Treatment Outcome
7.
Clin Infect Dis ; 45(9): 1132-40, 2007 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17918074

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We evaluated historical trends in the Staphylococcus aureus infection rate, economic burden, and mortality in US hospitals from 1998 through 2003. METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was used to assess trends over time of S. aureus infection during 1998-2003. Historical trends were determined for 5 strata of hospital stays, including all inpatient stays, surgical procedure stays, invasive cardiovascular surgical stays, invasive orthopedic surgical stays, and invasive neurosurgical stays. RESULTS: During the 6-year study period from 1998 through 2003, the rate of S. aureus infection increased significantly for all inpatient stays (from 0.74% to 1.0%; annual percentage change (APC), 7.1%; P=.004), surgical stays (from 0.90% to 1.3%; APC, 7.9%; P=.001), and invasive orthopedic surgical stays (from 1.2% to 1.8%; APC, 9.3%; P<.001). For invasive neurosurgical stays, the rate of S. aureus infection did not change from 1998 to 2000 but increased at an annual rate of 11.0% from 2000 to 2003 (from 1.4% to 1.8%; P=.034). The total economic burden of S. aureus infection for hospitals also increased significantly for all stay types, with the annual percentage increase ranging from 9.2% to 17.9% (P<.05 for all). In 2003, the total economic burden of S. aureus infection was estimated to be $14.5 billion for all inpatient stays and $12.3 billion for surgical patient stays. However, there were significant decreases in the risk of S. aureus-related in-hospital mortality from 1998 to 2003 for all inpatient stays (from 7.1% to 5.6%; APC, -4.6%; P=.001) and for surgical stays (from 7.1% to 5.5%; APC, -4.6%; P=.002). CONCLUSIONS: The inpatient S. aureus infection rate and economic burden of S. aureus infections for US hospitals increased substantially from 1998 to 2003, whereas the in-hospital mortality rate decreased.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs , Staphylococcal Infections/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Staphylococcal Infections/economics , Staphylococcal Infections/mortality , United States/epidemiology
8.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 55(5): 651-7, 2007 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17493183

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To compare once-daily intramuscular cefepime with ceftriaxone controls. DESIGN: Double-blind study. SETTING: Six skilled nursing facilities. PARTICIPANTS: Residents aged 60 and older with nursing home-acquired pneumonia. INTERVENTION: Cultures were obtained, and patients were randomized to cefepime or ceftriaxone 1 g intramuscularly every 24 hours. MEASUREMENTS: Clinical success: cure or improvement. Cure was defined as complete resolution of all symptoms and signs of pneumonia or a return to the patient's baseline state. Improvement was defined as clear improvement but incomplete resolution of all pretherapy symptoms or signs or incomplete return to the patient's usual baseline status. Safety and pharmacoeconomics were also assessed. RESULTS: Sixty-nine patients were randomized; 61 were evaluable: (32 to cefepime, 29 ceftriaxone). Patients were predominately female (76%). They had a mean age+/-standard deviation of 85+/-6, with a mean 5.8+/-1.9 comorbidities; they had age-appropriate renal dysfunction, with a mean estimated creatinine clearance of 35+/-7 mL/min. Clinical success occurred in 78% of cefepime- and 66% of ceftriaxone-treated patients (P=.39). Fifty-seven patients (93%) were switched to oral antibiotics after 3 days. Antibiotic-related adverse events occurred in 5% of patients. Seven patients (11.5%) were hospitalized. The overall mortality rate was 8%. Mean antibiotic costs were 117+/-40 dollars for cefepime- and 215+/-68 dollars for ceftriaxone-treated patients (P<.001). Cost-effectiveness analysis of total costs showed that cefepime would cost 597 dollars and ceftriaxone 1,709 dollars per expected successfully treated patient. One- and two-way sensitivity analyses using a generic price for ceftriaxone and improving its comparative efficacy revealed that the results were robust. CONCLUSIONS: Once-daily cefepime was a cost-effective alternative to ceftriaxone for the treatment of elderly nursing home residents who developed pneumonia and did not require hospitalization.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage , Ceftriaxone/administration & dosage , Cephalosporins/administration & dosage , Cross Infection/drug therapy , Nursing Homes , Pneumonia, Bacterial/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anti-Bacterial Agents/economics , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacokinetics , Cefepime , Ceftriaxone/economics , Ceftriaxone/pharmacokinetics , Cephalosporins/economics , Cephalosporins/pharmacokinetics , Double-Blind Method , Drug Administration Schedule , Drug Costs , Female , Humans , Injections, Intramuscular , Male
9.
J Clin Pharmacol ; 47(6): 689-96, 2007 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17456583

ABSTRACT

The pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate in healthy Japanese (n = 14) and Caucasian (n = 14) males were compared. Subjects in each ethnic group were randomized to twice-daily oral oseltamivir 75 mg, 150 mg, or placebo for 13 doses. Oseltamivir was well tolerated across doses and ethnic groups. Oseltamivir was rapidly absorbed and hydrolyzed to oseltamivir carboxylate in all subjects. The mean plasma concentration-time profiles for oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate were similar in Japanese and Caucasian subjects. At steady state, there was no evidence of any ethnic difference in the individual AUC(0-12) values for oseltamivir or oseltamivir carboxylate. Despite a significant difference in group mean body weight (approximately 20 kg) between the Japanese and Caucasian subjects, there was no evidence that dose-adjusted AUC(0-12) and C(max) for oseltamivir carboxylate were affected by body weight or ethnicity. Day 7 trough concentrations (C(min)) for oseltamivir carboxylate markedly exceeded the IC(50) (50% inhibitory concentration) against influenza A and B isolates. In conclusion, the results of this study support the use of the same dose regimens of oseltamivir in both Caucasian and Japanese subjects because of similarity in pharmacokinetics.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/pharmacokinetics , Asian People , Oseltamivir/pharmacokinetics , White People , Adult , Antiviral Agents/blood , Antiviral Agents/urine , Area Under Curve , Double-Blind Method , Humans , Japan , Male , Oseltamivir/blood , Oseltamivir/urine , Prodrugs/pharmacokinetics
10.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 30(3): 264-9, 2007 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17587549

ABSTRACT

There are few data on macrolide pharmacodynamics in pneumococcal infections. We evaluated pneumococcal area under the inhibitory concentration-time curve (AUIC) values at the point of hospital admission in 59 bacteraemic patients failing in the community and in 98 bacteraemic controls without macrolide exposure. The area under the 24-h concentration-time curve (AUC24) was calculated for each patient using age, weight and daily dose; using minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs), the values of AUIC (i.e. AUC24/MIC) were then computed. Clinical and outcome information was also collected in hospital. Five of six patients who died of pneumococcal bacteraemia in hospital received azithromycin, with a mean AUIC of 8.1 prior to hospital admission. Resistant isolates were recovered in 35 (59%) macrolide failures and in only 28 (29%) controls (P=0.001). Azithromycin AUICs averaged 10 in failure patients and 17 in controls. For clarithromycin and erythromycin, the mean AUIC values in failures were 31 and 53, respectively, and the AUIC in controls was >100. Low AUIC values against Streptococcus pneumoniae precede macrolide failures in the community. Patient factors do not predict these outcomes and thus the most likely explanation for macrolide failure in the community is inadequate macrolide activity in patients who receive these antibiotics for treatment of organisms that are not sufficiently susceptible.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Bacteremia/microbiology , Macrolides/pharmacology , Pneumococcal Infections/microbiology , Streptococcus pneumoniae/drug effects , Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacokinetics , Area Under Curve , Azithromycin/administration & dosage , Azithromycin/pharmacokinetics , Azithromycin/pharmacology , Bacteremia/drug therapy , Clarithromycin/administration & dosage , Clarithromycin/pharmacokinetics , Clarithromycin/pharmacology , Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Erythromycin/administration & dosage , Erythromycin/pharmacokinetics , Erythromycin/pharmacology , Humans , Macrolides/administration & dosage , Macrolides/pharmacokinetics , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Pneumococcal Infections/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Failure
11.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 25(8): 677-83, 2007.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17640109

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Antibacterial cost-containment programmes emphasise the use of narrow-spectrum generic agents whenever possible. The use of these agents is driven by their lower purchase prices; the consequences of treatment failure are rarely considered. This study was conducted to identify the costs of treating patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) associated with Streptococcus pneumoniae following failure to respond to outpatient treatment with macrolide antibacterials. METHODS: A multicentre, retrospective, observational study was performed in patients with CAP due to S. pneumoniae who were admitted to 31 North American hospitals following a lack of response to >or=2 days of outpatient treatment with a macrolide antibacterial. Direct medical costs (year 2004 values) of infection-related hospital resources, including antibacterials (purchase, preparation, dispensing, administration and monitoring), diagnostic tests, therapeutic procedures, treatment of adverse events and therapeutic failures, and hospitalisation per diem (ward, critical care and ventilator days), were analysed. Total hospital costs were then compared with standard diagnosis-related group (DRG) reimbursement. RESULTS: A total of 122 patients were enrolled. Patients were frequently bacteraemic (52%) and infected with macrolide-resistant strains of S. pneumoniae (71%). Initial inpatient antibacterial treatment was not successful in 17 patients (14%) and seven patients (5.7%) died. The mean length of stay was 8.7 days (SD 7) including 1.3 days (SD 2.9) in a critical care unit and 1.4 days (SD 4.4) of mechanical ventilation. The mean cost of hospitalisation was US dollars 12,678 (SD 13 346) but standard DRG reimbursement averaged only US dollars 8,634. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who do not respond to outpatient treatment with a macrolide antibacterial and who are subsequently hospitalised with CAP caused by S. pneumoniae are likely to be infected with a non-susceptible strain, are frequently bacteraemic, are at an increased risk for mortality compared with previously published estimates in patients with CAP due to S. pneumoniae, and incur hospital costs that far exceed standard DRG reimbursement for CAP.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy , Hospital Costs , Pneumonia, Bacterial/drug therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Ambulatory Care , Child , Child, Preschool , Community-Acquired Infections/economics , Erythromycin/therapeutic use , Female , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Pneumonia, Bacterial/economics , Retrospective Studies
12.
Clin Pharmacol ; 9: 55-64, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28572740

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Risk assessment tools are utilized to estimate the risk for stroke and need of anticoagulation therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). These risk stratification scores are limited by the information inputted into them and a reliance on time-independent variables. The objective of this study was to develop a time-dependent neural net model to identify AF populations at high risk of poor clinical outcomes and evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model in a managed care population. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal, cohort study within a health-maintenance organization from 1997 to 2008. Participants were identified with incident AF irrespective of warfarin status and followed through their duration within the database. Three clinical outcome measures were evaluated including stroke, myocardial infarction, and hemorrhage. A neural net model was developed to identify patients at high risk of clinical events and defined to be an "enriched" patient. The model defines the enrichment based on the top 10 minimum mean square error output parameters that describe the three clinical outcomes. Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to evaluate the outcome measures. RESULTS: Among 285 patients, the mean age was 74±12 years with a mean follow-up of 4.3±2.6 years, and 154 (54%) were treated with warfarin. After propensity score adjustment, warfarin use was associated with a slightly increased risk of adverse outcomes (including stroke, myocardial infarction, and hemorrhage), though it did not attain statistical significance (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] =1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.75-1.97; p=0.42). Within the neural net model, subjects at high risk of adverse outcomes were identified and labeled as "enriched." Following propensity score adjustment, enriched subjects were associated with an 81% higher risk of adverse outcomes as compared to nonenriched subjects (aHR=1.81; 95% CI, 1.15-2.88; p=0.01). CONCLUSION: Enrichment methodology improves the statistical discrimination of meaningful endpoints when used in a health records-based analysis.

13.
J Clin Pharmacol ; 46(9): 968-80, 2006 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16920891

ABSTRACT

The pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE) in elderly patients and patients with renal and hepatic impairment were examined, and a role for an AUC/EC50 ratio to guide dosing was evaluated. A Medline and International Pharmaceutical Abstracts search was used to identify human studies and abstracts. Relevant data were evaluated and summarized. Dosing regimens were compared using an AUC/EC50 ratio. Most studies evaluating ACE inhibitors in renal impairment report a strong linear correlation between creatine clearance and drug elimination. AUC and EC50 values for these drugs in elderly subjects appear similar to younger and hypertensive patients. There is increased AUC in some patients with hepatic impairment. Pharmacodynamic data are conflicting. Prolonged ACE inhibition is evident in renal impairment but not necessarily other disease states. ACE inhibitor dosing for hypertension is reasonable based on pharmacokinetics and EC50 values. Further individualization of therapy may improve outcomes, and using the threshold AUC/EC50 ratio may help guide appropriate dosing.


Subject(s)
Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/pharmacokinetics , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Hypertension/drug therapy , Aging/drug effects , Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/pharmacology , Humans , Kidney Transplantation , Liver/drug effects , Liver/physiology
14.
Arch Intern Med ; 165(15): 1756-61, 2005.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16087824

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have investigated the impact of Staphylococcus aureus infections on individual hospitals, but to date, no study using nationally representative data has estimated this burden. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the 2000 and 2001 editions of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality's Nationwide Inpatient Sample database, which represents a stratified 20% sample of hospitals in the United States. All inpatient discharge data from 994 hospitals in 28 states during 2000 and from 986 hospitals in 33 states during 2001, representing approximately 14 million inpatient stays, were analyzed to determine the association of S aureus infections with length of stay, total charges, and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Staphylococcus aureus infection was reported as a discharge diagnosis for 0.8% of all hospital inpatients, or 292 045 stays per year. Inpatients with S aureus infection had, on average, 3 times the length of hospital stay (14.3 vs 4.5 days; P<.001), 3 times the total charges (48,824 US dollars vs 14,141 US dollars; P<.001), and 5 times the risk of in-hospital death (11.2% vs 2.3%; P<.001) than inpatients without this infection. Even when controlling for hospital fixed effects and for patient differences in diagnosis-related groups, age, sex, race, and comorbidities, the differences in mean length of stay, total charges, and mortality were significantly higher for hospitalizations associated with S aureus. CONCLUSIONS: Staphylococcus aureus infections represent a considerable burden to US hospitals, particularly among high-risk patient populations. The potential benefits to hospitals in terms of reduced use of resources and costs as well as improved outcomes from preventing S aureus infections are significant.


Subject(s)
Cost of Illness , Hospital Charges/statistics & numerical data , Staphylococcal Infections/economics , Staphylococcal Infections/epidemiology , Age Factors , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Length of Stay , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Sensitivity and Specificity , Staphylococcal Infections/mortality , United States/epidemiology
15.
J Chemother ; 28(4): 308-13, 2016 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25976699

ABSTRACT

Levofloxacin (LVFX) has different effects depending on the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC)/minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) ratio. While AUC can be expressed as dose/clearance (CL), we measured serial concentrations of LVFX in Koreans and tried to set a Korean-specific equation, estimating the CL of the antibiotic. In total, 38 patients, aged 18-87 years, received once daily intravenous LVFX doses of 500 mg or 250 mg, depending on their renal function. Four plasma samples were obtained according to a D optimal sampling design. The population pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters of LVFX were estimated using non-linear mixed-effect modeling (NONMEM, ver. 7.2). The CL of LVFX was dependent on creatinine clearance (CLCR) as a covariate. The mean population PK parameters of LVFX in Koreans were as follows: CL (l/hour) = 6.19 × (CLCR/75)(1.32). The CL of LVFX in Koreans is expected to be lower than that in Western people.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacokinetics , Levofloxacin/pharmacokinetics , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anti-Bacterial Agents/blood , Area Under Curve , Female , Humans , Levofloxacin/blood , Male , Middle Aged , Republic of Korea , Young Adult
16.
Clin Infect Dis ; 38(12): 1700-5, 2004 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15227615

ABSTRACT

We studied methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) isolates to determine if the group II polymorphism at the accessory gene regulator (agr) locus demonstrated any relationship with the clinical efficacy of vancomycin. One hundred twenty-two MRSA isolates from 87 patients treated with vancomycin were evaluated. Forty-five of 87 patients had no clinical or bacteriological response to vancomycin. Among the 36 clinically evaluable patients with the agr group II polymorphism, 31 had an infection that failed to respond to vancomycin, whereas only 5 had an infection that responded successfully to vancomycin. This finding is of interest in light of our previous findings that glycopeptide-intermediately resistant S. aureus (GISA) and hetero-GISA clinical isolates in the United States and Japan are enriched for the agr group II polymorphism, and it suggests a possible intrinsic survival advantage of some S. aureus clones with this genetic marker under vancomycin selective pressure.


Subject(s)
Bacterial Proteins/genetics , Methicillin Resistance/genetics , Polymorphism, Genetic , Staphylococcus aureus/genetics , Trans-Activators/genetics , Vancomycin Resistance/genetics , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Middle Aged , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Staphylococcal Infections/drug therapy , Staphylococcal Infections/microbiology , Vancomycin/therapeutic use
17.
Clin Infect Dis ; 36(2): 159-68, 2003 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12522747

ABSTRACT

Linezolid was provided for treatment of multidrug-resistant, gram-positive infections through a compassionate-use program. Patients (n=796) received 600 mg of linezolid intravenously or orally every 12 h (828 treatment courses). Bacteremia was present in 46% of infections, endocarditis was present in 10.6%, and line-related infections were present in 31.1%. Other infections included intraabdominal infections (15.1%), complicated skin and skin-structure infections (13.3%), and osteomyelitis (10.7%). Causative pathogens included vancomycin-resistant enterococci (66.3%) and methicillin-resistant staphylococci (22.1%). Clinical intent-to-treat (ITT) outcomes in the evaluable population were as follows: cure, 73.3%; failure, 6.8%; and indeterminate, 19.9%. Microbiological ITT outcomes in evaluable patients were as follows: cure, 82.4%; failure, 14.1%; and indeterminate, 3.5%. At the test of cure assessment, the clinical cure and microbiological success rates were 91.5% and 85.8%, respectively. The most common adverse events possibly related to linezolid use were gastrointestinal disturbances (9.8% of cases), thrombocytopenia (7.4% of cases), decreased hemoglobin/hematocrit levels (4.1% of cases), and cutaneous reactions (4.0% of cases). Linezolid provided high rates of clinical cure and microbiological success in this complicated patient population, with very good overall tolerance.


Subject(s)
Acetamides/therapeutic use , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections/drug therapy , Oxazolidinones/therapeutic use , Acetamides/adverse effects , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Anti-Infective Agents/adverse effects , Drug Interactions , Drug Resistance, Bacterial , Drug Resistance, Multiple , Female , Humans , Linezolid , Male , Middle Aged , Oxazolidinones/adverse effects , Treatment Outcome
18.
Clin Infect Dis ; 36(3): 313-8, 2003 Feb 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12539073

ABSTRACT

Linezolid is an oxazolidinone that has activity against most gram-positive bacteria, including in vitro activity against all Nocardia species and strains. We describe 6 clinical cases of nocardiosis that were successfully treated with linezolid. Two patients had underlying X-linked chronic granulomatous disease, and 2 patients were receiving chronic corticosteroid therapy. Four of 6 patients had disseminated disease, and 2 of these 4 patients had multiple brain abscesses. Four patients primarily received monotherapy; for the fifth patient, linezolid was added to a failing multiple-drug regimen, and, for the sixth patient, it was used as part of combination therapy. All 6 patients were successfully treated, although 1 patient had a presumed relapse of central nervous system infection after premature discontinuation of the drug. Linezolid appears to be an effective alternative for the treatment of nocardiosis.


Subject(s)
Acetamides/therapeutic use , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Nocardia Infections/drug therapy , Nocardia , Oxazolidinones/therapeutic use , Child , Female , Humans , Linezolid , Male , Middle Aged , Nocardia/drug effects , Treatment Outcome
19.
Clin Pharmacokinet ; 43(13): 925-42, 2004.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15509186

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Vancomycin is commonly used to treat staphylococcal infections, but there has not been a definitive analysis of the pharmacokinetics of this antibacterial in relation to minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) that could be used to determine a target pharmacodynamic index for treatment optimisation. OBJECTIVE: To clarify relationships between vancomycin dosage, serum concentration, MIC and antimicrobial activity by using data gathered from a therapeutic monitoring environment that observes failures in some cases. METHODS: We investigated all patients with a Staphylococcus aureus lower respiratory tract infection at a 300-bed teaching hospital in the US during a 1-year period. Clinical and pharmacokinetic information was used to determine the following: (i) whether steady-state 24-hour area under the concentration-time curve (AUC24) divided by the MIC (AUC24/MIC) values for vancomycin could be precisely calculated with a software program; (ii) whether the percentage of time vancomycin serum concentrations were above the MIC (%Time>MIC) was an important determinant of vancomycin response; (iii) whether the time to bacterial eradication differed as the AUC24/MIC value increased; (iv) whether the time to bacterial eradication for vancomycin differed compared with other antibacterials at the same AUC24/MIC value; and (v) whether a relationship existed between time to bacterial eradication and time to significant clinical improvement of pneumonia symptoms. RESULTS: The median age of the 108 patients studied was 74 (range 32-93) years. Measured vancomycin AUC24/MIC values were precisely predicted with the A.U.I.C. calculator in a subset of our patients (r2 = 0.935). Clinical and bacteriological response to vancomycin therapy was superior in patients with higher (> or = 400) AUC24/MIC values (p = 0.0046), but no relationship was identified between vancomycin %Time>MIC and infection response. Bacterial eradication of S. aureus (both methicillin-susceptible and methicillin-resistant) occurred more rapidly (p = 0.0402) with vancomycin when a threshold AUC24/MIC value was reached. S. aureus killing rates were slower with vancomycin than with other antistaphylococcal antibacterials (p = 0.002). There was a significant relationship (p < 0.0001) between time to bacterial eradication and the time to substantial improvement in pneumonia score. CONCLUSIONS: Vancomycin AUC24/MIC values predict time-related clinical and bacteriological outcomes for patients with lower respiratory tract infections caused by methicillin-resistant S. aureus.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy , Staphylococcal Infections/drug therapy , Vancomycin/pharmacology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Area Under Curve , Female , Hospitals, Teaching , Humans , Male , Methicillin Resistance , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Middle Aged , Staphylococcus aureus/drug effects , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Vancomycin/therapeutic use
20.
Clin Pharmacokinet ; 42(15): 1411-23, 2003.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14674791

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To characterise the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships for linezolid efficacy. DESIGN AND STUDY POPULATION: Retrospective nonblinded analysis of severely debilitated adult patients with numerous comorbid conditions and complicated infections enrolled under the manufacturer's compassionate use programme. METHODS: Patients received intravenous or oral linezolid 600 mg every 12 hours. Plasma concentrations were obtained and a multicompartmental pharmacokinetic model was fitted. Numerical integration of the fitted functions provided the area under the concentration-time curve over 24 hours (AUC), the ratio of AUC to minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC/MIC) and the percentage of time that plasma concentrations exceeded the MIC (%T>MIC). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Modelled pharmacodynamic outcomes of efficacy included probabilities of eradication and clinical cure (multifactorial logistic regression, nonparametric tree-based modelling, nonlinear regression) and time to bacterial eradication (Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression). Factors considered included AUC/MIC, %T>MIC, site of infection, bacterial species and MIC, and other medical conditions. RESULTS: There were 288 cases evaluable by at least one of the efficacy outcomes. Both %T>MIC and AUC/MIC were highly correlated (Spearman r2 = 0.868). In our analyses, within specific infection sites, the probability of eradication and clinical cure appeared to be related to AUC/MIC (eradication: bacteraemia, skin and skin structure infection [SSSI], lower respiratory tract infection [LRTI], bone infection; clinical cure: bacteraemia, LRTI) and %T>MIC (eradication: bacteraemia, SSSI, LRTI; clinical cure: bacteraemia, LRTI). Time to bacterial eradication for bacteraemias appeared to be related to the AUC, %T>MIC and AUC/MIC. For most sites, AUC/MIC and %T>MIC models performed similarly. CONCLUSIONS: Higher success rates for linezolid may occur at AUC/MIC values of 80-120 for bacteraemia, LRTI and SSSI. Chance of success in bacteraemia, LRTI and SSSI also appear to be higher when concentrations remain above the MIC for the entire dosing interval.


Subject(s)
Acetamides/therapeutic use , Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections/drug therapy , Liver/drug effects , Oxazolidinones/therapeutic use , Acetamides/pharmacokinetics , Acetamides/pharmacology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Anti-Infective Agents/pharmacokinetics , Anti-Infective Agents/pharmacology , Area Under Curve , Comorbidity , Female , Gram-Positive Bacterial Infections/metabolism , Humans , Linezolid , Liver/metabolism , Logistic Models , Male , Microbial Sensitivity Tests , Middle Aged , Oxazolidinones/pharmacokinetics , Oxazolidinones/pharmacology , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome
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