Global and local evolutionary dynamics of Dengue virus serotypes 1, 3, and 4.

Evolutionary studies on Dengue virus (DENV) in endemic regions are necessary since naturally occurring mutations may lead to genotypic variations or shifts in serotypes, which may lead to future outbreaks. Our study comprehends the evolutionary dynamics of DENV, using phylogenetic, molecular clock, skyline plots, network, selection pressure, and entropy analyses based on partial CprM gene sequences. We have collected 250 samples, 161 in 2017 and 89 in 2018. Details for the 2017 samples were published in our previous article and that of 2018 are presented in this study. Further evolutionary analysis was carried out using 800 sequences, which incorporate the study and global sequences from GenBank: DENV-1 (n = 240), DENV-3 (n = 374), and DENV-4 (n = 186), identified during 1944-2020, 1956-2020, and 1956-2021, respectively. Genotypes V, III, and I were identified as the predominant genotypes of the DENV-1, DENV-3, and DENV-4 serotypes, respectively. The rate of nucleotide substitution was found highest in DENV-3 (7.90 × 10-4 s/s/y), followed by DENV-4 (6.23 × 10-4 s/s/y) and DENV-1 (5.99 × 10-4 s/s/y). The Bayesian skyline plots of the Indian strains revealed dissimilar patterns amongst the population size of the three serotypes. Network analyses showed the presence of different clusters within the prevalent genotypes. The data presented in this study will assist in supplementing the measures for vaccine development against DENV.

Vinpocetine protects against chloroquine-induced cardiotoxicity by mitigating oxidative stress.

Chloroquine (CQ) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) are classical antimalarial drugs, and recently have been used for other applications including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Although they are considered safe, cardiomyopathy may associate CQ and HCQ applications particularly at overdoses. The goal of the present study was to evaluate the potential protective effect of the nootropic agent vinpocetine against CQ and HCQ adverse effects with a specific focus on the heart. For this purpose, a mouse model of CQ (0.5 up to 2.5 g/kg)/HCQ (1 up to 2 g/kg) toxicity was used, and the effect of vinpocetine was evaluated by survival, biochemical, as well as histopathological analyses. Survival analysis revealed that CQ and HCQ caused dose-dependent lethality, which was prevented by co-treatment with vinpocetine (100 mg/kg, oral or intraperitoneal). To gain deeper understanding, a dose of 1 g/kg CQ-which did not cause death within the first 24 h after administration-was applied with and without vinpocetine administration (100 mg/kg, intraperitoneal). The CQ vehicle group showed marked cardiotoxicity as evidenced by significant alterations of blood biomarkers including troponione-1, creatine phosphokinase (CPK), creatine kinase-myocardial band (CK-MB), ferritin, and potassium levels. This was confirmed at the tissue level by massive alteration of the heart tissue morphology and coincided with massive oxidative stress. Interestingly, co-administration of vinpocetine strongly ameliorated CQ-induced alterations and restored the antioxidant-defense system of the heart. These data suggest that vinpocetine could be used as an adjuvant therapy together with CQ/HCQ applications.

Integrated Endoscopic Craniosynostosis Surgery and Cranial Orthosis Program.

INTRODUCTION: Craniosynostosis results from premature fusion of the cranial sutures. There has been a continuous evolution of surgical correction techniques from an extensive open procedure to the minimally invasive technique. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: This novel surgical technique has never been previously done in the UAE and this article documents the experience of the first team to endoscopically correct craniosynostosis with planning, surgical techniques, and customized helmet therapy. METHODS: A retrospective case series of 16 nonsyndromic craniosynostosis patients with unicoronal (6), sagittal (5), bicoronal (1), frontosphenoidal (2), and metopic craniosynostoses (2) was corrected endoscopically and followed up with customized cranial helmet. Preoperative and postoperative photography, along with anthropometric measurements were taken. RESULTS: The mean age of all patients at the time of surgery was 101 (90-117) days, mean duration of surgery was 70 minutes (38-129), mean blood loss was 120 mL (100-150), and mean duration of hospital stay 4 days (4-5). No complications and mortality were reported. Mean number of helmets was 2 (1-3). Cranial index improved in all patients with sagittal and bicoronal craniosynostosis. Close cooperation with the orthotist ensured timely helmet therapy and accurate laser scanning documentation in head molding. CONCLUSIONS: This case series has demonstrated that endoscopically craniosynostosis correction is safe, effective, and reliable and is the first reported series from the Middle East. The authors believe that every patient with nonsyndromic single­suture craniosynostosis should be offered endoscopic correction before the age of 6 months. The orthotist forms an important part of the Multi-disciplinary team, enabling successful outcomes.

Early Experience of Undertaking Robotic Assisted Total Mesorectal Excision in Rectal Resections, Avoiding a Diverting Stoma: Key eHancement of the Anastomosis for No Stoma Technique - A Case Series.

Background. Anastomotic leak is a feared complication in rectal cancer surgery, and a proximal diverting stoma to protect the rectal anastomosis is used to minimize its impact. We evaluated a novel technique that uses the da Vinci® robotic platform (Intuitive Surgical) to reinforce the colorectal anastomosis and rectal staple line with sutures, and rectal resection and assessment of the anastomotic perfusion, using our Portsmouth protocol. Methods. During robotic rectal cancer surgery, we used indocyanine green to determine the level of transection and check the vascularity of the circular anastomosis. The distal transverse staple line and circular staple line of the colorectal anastomosis were reinforced with absorbable interrupted stitches (KHANS technique - Key enHancement of the Anastomosis for No Stoma). The integrity of the colorectal/anal anastomosis was also checked using the underwater air-water leak test, with concomitant flexible sigmoidoscopy to visualize the circular staple line. Results. Fifty patients underwent total mesorectal excision for cancer. Using the KHANS technique, we avoided a diverting stoma in all cases. One patient had a radiological leak, leading to a pelvic abscess. In 56% of cases, the anastomosis was within 5 cm of the anal verge. Median length of stay was 5 (3-34) days, with two 30-day readmissions. No 90-day mortality or 30-day reoperations were observed. Conclusion. The KHANS technique appears feasible, successful, and safe in decreasing the incidence of diverting stomas in rectal resections.

Proportion of Navy Recruits Diagnosed With Symptomatic Stress Fractures During Training and Monetary Impact of These Injuries.

BACKGROUND: Lower extremity stress fractures result in lost time from work and sport and incur costs in the military when they occur in service members. Hypovitaminosis D has been identified as key risk factor in these injuries. An estimated 33% to 90% of collegiate and professional athletes have deficient vitamin D levels. Other branches of the United States military have evaluated the risk factors for stress fractures during basic training, including vitamin D deficiency. To the best of our knowledge, a study evaluating the correlation between these injuries and vitamin D deficiency in US Navy recruits and a cost analysis of these injuries has not been performed. Cutbacks in military medical staffing mean more active-duty personnel are being deferred for care to civilian providers. Consequently, data that previously were only pertinent to military medical providers have now expanded to the nonmilitary medical community. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: We therefore asked: (1) What proportion of US Navy recruits experience symptomatic lower extremity stress fractures, and what proportion of those recruits had hypovitaminosis vitamin D on laboratory testing? (2) What are the rehabilitation costs involved in the treatment of lower extremity stress fractures, including the associated costs of lost training time? (3) Is there a cost difference in the treatment of stress fractures between recruits with lower extremity stress fractures who have vitamin D deficiency and those without vitamin D deficiency? METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the electronic medical record at Naval Recruit Training Command in Great Lakes, IL, USA, of all active-duty males and females trained from 2009 until 2015. We used ICD-9 and ICD-10 diagnosis codes to identify those diagnosed with symptomatic lower extremity stress fractures. Data collected included geographic region of birth, preexisting vitamin D deficiency, vitamin D level at the time of diagnosis, medical history, BMI, age, sex, self-reported race or ethnicity, hospitalization days, days lost from training, and the number of physical therapy, primary care, and specialty visits. To ascertain the proportion of recruits who developed symptomatic stress fractures, we divided the number of recruits who were diagnosed with a stress fracture by the total number who trained over that span of time, which was 204,774 individuals. During the span of this study, 45% (494 of 1098) of recruits diagnosed with a symptomatic stress fracture were female and 55% (604 of 1098) were male, with a mean ± SD age of 24 ± 4 years. We defined hypovitaminosis D as a vitamin D level lower than 40 ng/mL. Levels less than 40 ng/mL were defined as low normal and levels less than 30 ng/mL as deficient. Vitamin D levels were obtained at the discretion of the individual treating provider without standardization of protocol. Cost was defined as physical therapy visits, primary care visits, orthopaedic visits, diagnostic imaging costs, laboratory costs, hospitalizations, if applicable, and days lost from training. Diagnostic studies and laboratory tests were incorporated as indirect costs into initial and follow-up physical therapy visits. Evaluation and management code fee schedules for initial visits and follow-up visits were used as direct costs. We obtained these data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services website. Per capita cost was calculated by taking the total cost and dividing it by the study population. Days lost from training is based on a standardized government military salary of recruits to include room and board. RESULTS: We found that 0.5% (1098 of 204,774) of recruits developed a symptomatic lower extremity stress fracture. Of the recruits who had vitamin D levels drawn at the time of stress fracture, 95% (416 of 437 [95% confidence interval (CI) 94% to 98%]; p > 0.99) had hypovitaminosis D (≤ 40 ng/mL) and 82% (360 of 437 [95% CI 79% to 86%]; p > 0.99) had deficient levels (≤ 30 ng/mL) on laboratory testing, when evaluated. The total treatment cost was USD 9506 per recruit. Days lost in training was a median of 56 days (4 to 108) for a per capita cost of USD 5447 per recruit. Recruits with deficient vitamin D levels (levels ≤ 30 ng/mL) incurred more physical therapy treatment costs than did those with low-normal vitamin D levels (levels 31 to 40 ng/mL) (mean difference USD 965 [95% CI 2 to 1928]; p = 0.049). CONCLUSION: The cost of lost training and rehabilitation associated with symptomatic lower extremity stress fractures represents a major financial burden. Screening for and treatment of vitamin D deficiencies before recruit training could offer a cost-effective solution to decreasing the stress fracture risk. Recognition and treatment of these deficiencies has a role beyond the military, as hypovitaminosis and stress fractures are common in collegiate or professional athletes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, prognostic study.

Mutation in the CX3C Motif of G Protein Disrupts Its Interaction with Heparan Sulfate: A Calorimetric, Spectroscopic, and Molecular Docking Study.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract infection in children and infants. To date, there is no effective vaccine available against RSV. Heparan sulfate is a type of glycosaminoglycan that aids in the attachment of the RSV to the host cell membrane via the G protein. In the present study, the effect of amino acid substitution on the structure and stability of the ectodomain G protein was studied. Further, it was investigated whether mutation (K117A) in the CX3C motif of G protein alters the binding with heparan sulfate. The point mutation significantly affects the conformational stability of the G protein. The mutant protein showed a low binding affinity with heparan sulfate as compared to the wild-type G protein, as determined by fluorescence quenching, isothermal titration calorimetry (ITC), and molecular docking studies. The low binding affinity and decreased stability suggested that this mutation may play an important role in prevention of attachment of virion to the host cell receptors. Collectively, this investigation suggests that mutation in the CX3C motif of G protein may likely improve the efficacy and safety of the RSV vaccine.

Structural Characterization of Ectodomain G Protein of Respiratory Syncytial Virus and Its Interaction with Heparan Sulfate: Multi-Spectroscopic and In Silico Studies Elucidating Host-Pathogen Interactions.

The global burden of disease caused by a respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is becoming more widely recognized in young children and adults. Heparan sulfate helps in attaching the virion through G protein with the host cell membrane. In this study, we examined the structural changes of ectodomain G protein (edG) in a wide pH range. The absorbance results revealed that protein maintains its tertiary structure at physiological and highly acidic and alkaline pH. However, visible aggregation of protein was observed in mild acidic pH. The intrinsic fluorescence study shows no significant change in the λmax except at pH 12.0. The ANS fluorescence of edG at pH 2.0 and 3.0 forms an acid-induced molten globule-like state. The denaturation transition curve monitored by fluorescence spectroscopy revealed that urea and GdmCl induced denaturation native (N) ↔ denatured (D) state follows a two-state process. The fluorescence quenching, molecular docking, and 50 ns simulation measurements suggested that heparan sulfate showed excellent binding affinity to edG. Our binding study provides a preliminary insight into the interaction of edG to the host cell membrane via heparan sulfate. This binding can be inhibited using experimental approaches at the molecular level leading to the prevention of effective host-pathogen interaction.

Structural Refolding and Thermal Stability of Myoglobin in the Presence of Mixture of Crowders: Importance of Various Interactions for Protein Stabilization in Crowded Conditions.

The intracellular environment is overcrowded with a range of molecules (small and large), all of which influence protein conformation. As a result, understanding how proteins fold and stay functional in such crowded conditions is essential. Several in vitro experiments have looked into the effects of macromolecular crowding on different proteins. However, there are hardly any reports regarding small molecular crowders used alone and in mixtures to observe their effects on the structure and stability of the proteins, which mimics of the cellular conditions. Here we investigate the effect of different mixtures of crowders, ethylene glycol (EG) and its polymer polyethylene glycol (PEG 400 Da) on the structural and thermal stability of myoglobin (Mb). Our results show that monomer (EG) has no significant effect on the structure of Mb, while the polymer disrupts its structure and decreases its stability. Conversely, the additive effect of crowders showed structural refolding of the protein to some extent. Moreover, the calorimetric binding studies of the protein showed very weak interactions with the mixture of crowders. Usually, we can assume that soft interactions induce structural perturbations while exclusion volume effects stabilize the protein structure; therefore, we hypothesize that under in vivo crowded conditions, both phenomena occur and maintain the stability and function of proteins.

Factors influencing occurrence of peritonitis in Saudi children on peritoneal dialysis.

BACKGROUND: The peritonitis rate among children treated with peritoneal dialysis (PD) has not been widely reported in Saudi Arabia. The study aim was to estimate the peritonitis rate per patient-year and investigate the factors associated with higher peritonitis rates in a sample of PD children at King Abdullah Specialist Children's Hospital-Riyadh (KASCH-R), Saudi Arabia. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 27 PD children treated between September 2007 and December 2017 at KASCH-R. We recorded the children's demographic and clinical data, and the frequency of peritonitis. RESULTS: The 27 PD children reviewed (63% girls; mean age = 7.32 years old; range, 1-14 years), resulted in 86 peritonitis diagnoses in which the overall recurrence rate (in at least one episode) was 58/86 (67.4%) with a 95% confidence interval (CI), 56.5 to 77.2%. The rate of peritonitis episodes per patient-year was 0.76 (1 episode per 1.31 patient-year). The generalized Poisson model identified older children (age >  10 years) (adjusted rate ratios [aRR] = 7.273, 95% CI: 1.562-33.860), congenital nephrosis (aRR = 4.677, 95% CI: 1.443-15.155), height below 3rd percentile (aRR = 4.689, 95% CI: 1.874-11.735), weight below 3rd percentile (aRR = 5.388, 95% CI: 1.678-17.302), low albumin level (aRR = 4.041, 95% CI: 2.053-7.956), two-week duration of antibiotic therapy (aRR = 2.947, 95% CI: 1.163-7.468), which were independently associated with a high peritonitis rate. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed a high peritonitis rate in our center. Older children, congenital nephrosis, height and weight below the 3rd percentile, low albumin level, and long duration of antibiotic therapy were associated with a higher rate of peritonitis. An optimal peritonitis prevention strategy or best-practice guideline is needed to reduce and prevent peritonitis occurrence in our center.

Association of vitamin D receptor TaqI and ApaI genetic polymorphisms with nephrolithiasis and end stage renal disease: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The deficiency of vitamin D receptor (VDR) or its ligand, vitamin D3, is linked to the development of renal diseases. The TaqI (rs731236) and ApaI (rs7975232) polymorphisms of VDR gene are widely studied for their association with renal disease risk. However, studies have largely been ambiguous. METHODS: Meta-analysis was carried out to clarify the association of TaqI (2777 cases and 3522 controls) and ApaI (2440 cases and 3279 controls) polymorphisms with nephrolithiasis (NL), diabetic nephropathy (DN) and end stage renal disease (ESRD). RESULTS: The VDR TaqI C-allele under allele contrast was significantly associated with ESRD in both fixed effect and random effect models, and ApaI C-allele with ESRD only under fixed effect model. Cochrane Q-test showed no evidence of heterogeneity for TaqI polymorphism and a significant heterogeneity for Apa I polymorphism. No publication bias was observed for both the polymorphisms. CONCLUSIONS: The present meta-analysis identifies TaqI and ApaI polymorphisms of VDR gene as risk factors for renal diseases.

Tuberculosis mortality and associated factors at King Abdulaziz Medical City Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a public health challenge in Saudi Arabia, particularly for the elderly. This study was conducted to estimate mortality per 1000 person-year among TB and resistant TB cases and to identifying factors associated with mortality. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of 713 new TB cases at King Abdulaziz Medical City in Riyadh diagnosed between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2016. Patient medical records and microbiology lab databases were used to identify TB cases. Through reviews were conducted of patients' medical records, including physician notes, physical examinations, radiology (scans and imaging), laboratory tests, and follow-up notes. Collected data include demographic information, clinical features, diagnoses, comorbidities, and death rates. RESULTS: Of the 713 TB patients included in this study, 110 died, giving an average mortality rate of 22 per 1000 person-years (PY; 95% CI: 18.2-26.4). Elderly patients (≥ 60 years) had a higher mortality rate of 36.5 per 1000 PY (95% CI: 28.9-45.5). As age increases by one year, the hazard of mortality increase by 2.4% (aHR: 1.024 [95% CI: 1.009-1.039, P = 0.002]). Higher hazard of mortality was found among males (aHR: 2.014 [95% CI: 1.186-3.418, P = 0.010]). Patients with respiratory and other types of comorbidities and cancer had a higher mortality hazard (aHR: 1.898 [95% CI: 1.005-3.582, P = 0.048]; aHR: 2.346 [95% CI: 1.313-4.192, P = 0.004]; aHR: 3.292 [95% CI: 1.804-6.006, P = 0.001]), respectively. Multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) was found in 2 cases (0.28%) (95% CI: 0.08-1.02), 1.68% were resistant to only one antibiotic, 0.14% had rifampicine-resistant TB (RR-TB), 0.28% had MDR-TB, and 0.14% had extensively drug-resistant TB (XDR-TB). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate among TB patients was found to be 22 per 1000 person-year at our center. TB was associated with high mortality rates among males, the elderly, and patients with cancer, respiratory illness, and other comorbidities. Future clinical practice should include establishing an efficient TB diagnostic program and continued hazard assessment of TB treatment options.

Rate and factors for scabies recurrence in children in Saudi Arabia: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the fact that several scabies outbreaks emerged in schools in Saudi Arabia in 2018, no study has investigated the risk of scabies recurrence among children in Saudi Arabia. This study aimed to estimate the rate of scabies recurrence and identify factors that were associated with an increased risk of recurrence among children. METHODS: This is a multi-center retrospective study of children (age < 14 years) who were diagnosed between May 20, 2015 and September 12, 2018 with one or multiple recurrent scabies at the Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs (MNGHA) hospitals and clinics in Saudi Arabia. Data were obtained from an electronic health system, BestCare database. RESULTS: A sample of 264 children analyzed (mean age of 6.7 years) resulted in a cumulative number of 316 scabies diagnoses in which 86 (27.2%) experienced scabies recurrence (at least once). Independent factors associated with a high risk of scabies recurrence: older children (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.036; 95% CI, 1.002-1.072; P = 0.039), female gender (aHR, 1.734; 95% CI, 1.329-2.262; P = 0.001), Western region of Saudi Arabia (aHR, 1.548; 95% CI, 1.115-2.151; P = 0.009), and 2nd tertile season [May to August] (aHR, 2.368; 95% CI, 1.706-3.288; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrated that the recurrence rate of scabies among children is high. Older children, the female gender, the Western region of Saudi Arabia, and the seasonality were independently associated with an increased risk of scabies recurrence. High temperature and low humidity should be explored as leading factors for scabies infestations in Saudi Arabia. Findings derived from this study may be useful for clinicians and governments in optimizing clinical management of scabies cases and contacts.

Motives for - and prevalence of - cesarean delivery on maternal request: A survey in Saudi Arabia.

Background: Although cesarean delivery on maternal request (CDMR) has been associated with an increase in the frequency of cesarean sections (CSs), there is a lack of studies reporting the frequency of CDMR in Saudi Arabia. This study was conducted to estimate the prevalence of and the motives for CDMR and identify its associated factors. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted between March and June 2017 on 364 pregnant women who planned a CS at King Abdulaziz Medical City in Riyadh. The characteristics of the women and their motives for undergoing a CS for the current pregnancy term were collected. Results: The prevalence of CDMR was found to be 13.7% (50/364) [95% confidence interval (CI): 10.370%-17.706%]. Older maternal age ( ≥ 40 years) [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 3.9; p = 0.019], family history of CS (aOR = 2.9; p = 0.038), non-Saudi nationality (aOR = 5.0; p = 0.050), and receiving education or medical information about the possibility of delivering by CS (aOR = 13.7; p = 0.030) were significantly associated with a higher prevalence of CDMR. As the number of previous CSs increased by one (aOR = 0.6; p = 0.011), the odds of CDMR decreased by 40%. The most common motives for demanding a CS in the absence of medical indications were avoiding labor or possible complications from vaginal birth (60%) and fear of pain on vaginal delivery (46%). Conclusions: A high prevalence of CDMR was documented at King Abdulaziz Medical City, especially among women of older maternal age, having a family history of CS, of non-Saudi nationality, and who received education or medical information about the possibility of delivering by CS. Counseling programs might be helpful for pregnant women who fear pain in vaginal delivery or have had a previous traumatic birth experience.

Impact of age on postoperative complications following bariatric surgery.

Background: The impact of age on complications following bariatric surgery remains unclear. Research is therefore warranted among previously unstudied populations of bariatric surgery patients. The aim of the current study was to assess the impact of age on postoperative complications following bariatric surgery in Saudi Arabia. Methods: This retrospective study included 301 patients who underwent bariatric surgery between January 2011 and July 2016. Patients were classified into three groups according to age: < 25 years; 25-36 years; and >36 years. Primary outcomes were determined by identifying the number of complications reported during a period of 180 days. The negative binomial model was used to assess the relationship between age and the high rate of postoperative complications following adjustment for confounding variables. Results: The incidence of overall complications was 10.1% in the < 25-year age group, 15% in the 25-36-year age group, and 24.2% in the >36-year age group. After adjusting for confounding variables, it was discovered that the risk of postoperative complications increases with age. The risk was higher in the >36-year age group than in the >25-year age group [adjusted relative rate (aRR) = 2.35; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.046-5.290; p = 0.039]. Diabetes (aRR = 3.27), adjustable gastric bands (aRR = 3.40), and a more lengthy hospital stay (aRR = 1.23) were associated with increased rates of postoperative complications. Conclusion: Age is independently associated with a high rate of postoperative complications following bariatric surgery. The results showed that patients with diabetes, those using adjustable gastric bands, and those with longer length of hospital stay had significantly higher incidence of postoperative complications. These findings indicate the need for risk stratification tools to evaluate patients as candidates for bariatric surgery and to use as a guide for identifying optimal preoperative factors.

Estimating survival rates in MERS-CoV patients 14 and 45 days after experiencing symptoms and determining the differences in survival rates by demographic data, disease characteristics and regions: a worldwide study.

Although Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) has a recorded 5 years of circulation in 27 countries worldwide, there is no international study to assess whether there is variation in mortality by region. Neither has there been a comprehensive study detailing how the disease characteristics of MERS-CoV influence mortality in patients presenting symptoms. This study aimed to assess how region, patient and disease characteristics influence 14- and 45-day mortality in MERS patients. The author utilised publically available data on MERS-CoV. The study included 883 MERS patients reported between 5 January 2015 and 10 March 2017. Data on patient and disease characteristics were collected. The mean age at MERS-CoV diagnosis was 54.3 years: 69.1% were male, and 86.7% of the cases were reported from Saudi Arabia. About 40% of MERS patients studied were over the age of 60. The study estimated 14- and 45-day survival rates after initial onset of symptoms: 83.67% and 65.9%, respectively. Saudi Arabian MERS patients exhibited 4.1 and 5.0 times higher 14-day (adjusted hazard risk (aHR) = 4.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.012-16.921) and 45-day (aHR = 5.0; 95% CI 1.856-13.581) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. Similarly, Middle Eastern MERS patients showed 5.3 and 4.1 times higher 14-day (aHR = 5.3; 95% CI 1.070-25.902) and 45-day (aHR = 4.1; 95% CI 1.288-113.076) mortality risk compared with MERS patients in the Republic of Korea or other countries. The results demonstrated a link between mortality and geography, disease and patient factors such as regions, symptoms, source of infections, underlying medical conditions, modes of transmission, non-healthcare workers and those of older age. Educational programmes, access to healthcare and early diagnosis could be implemented as modifiable factors to reduce the higher mortality rates in MERS patients.

Underlying trend, seasonality, prediction, forecasting and the contribution of risk factors: an analysis of globally reported cases of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus.

This study set out to identify and analyse trends and seasonal variations of monthly global reported cases of the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). It also made a prediction based on the reported and extrapolated into the future by forecasting the trend. Finally, the study assessed contributions of various risk factors in the reported cases. The motivation for this study is that MERS-CoV remains among the list of blueprint priority and potential pandemic diseases globally. Yet, there is a paucity of empirical literature examining trends and seasonality as the available evidence is generally descriptive and anecdotal. The study is a time series analysis using monthly global reported cases of MERS-CoV by the World Health Organisation between January 2015 and January 2018. We decomposed the series into seasonal, irregular and trend components and identified patterns, smoothened series, generated predictions and employed forecasting techniques based on linear regression. We assessed contributions of various risk factors in MERS-CoV cases over time. Successive months of the MERS-CoV cases suggest a significant decreasing trend (P = 0.026 for monthly series and P = 0.047 for Quarterly series). The MERS-CoV cases are forecast to wane by end 2018. Seasonality component of the cases oscillated below or above the baseline (the centred moving average), but no association with the series over time was noted. The results revealed contributions of risk factors such as camel contact, male, old age and being from Saudi Arabia and Middle East regions to the overall reported cases of MERS-CoV. The trend component and several risk factors for global MERS-CoV cases, including camel contact, male, age and geography/region significantly affected the series. Our statistical models appear to suggest significant predictive capacity and the findings may well inform healthcare practitioners and policymakers about the underlying dynamics that produced the globally reported MERS-CoV cases.

Emergency department 72-hour revisits among children with chronic diseases: a Saudi Arabian study.

BACKGROUND: Emergency Department (ED) revisits have often been used as an indicator of medical care quality. This study aimed to quantify the frequency of ED revisits within 72 h of discharge and identify its factors among children with chronic diseases. METHODS: We designed a retrospective cohort study of children with at least one chronic disease who were also under 18 years of age and had attended and were discharged from the ED at King Abdullah Specialist Children's Hospital (KASCH-RD), Riyadh, Saudi Arabia between April 19, 2015 and July 29, 2017. The outcome measure was the frequency of ED revisits during a period of 72 h after discharge. RESULTS: The study included 11,057 ED discharges of children with at least one chronic disease. Their revisit rate was 1211 (11%), with 83 (6.9%) having had a second ED revisit within 72 h of ED discharge. According to ICD-10 codes, the most common causes of ED revisits were respiratory, digestive, genitourinary, symptoms, and external causes. Factors of frequent ED revisits within 72 h were young age, institutional health insurance coverage, year of new health information system (2015), external causes, and genitourinary. CONCLUSION: The rate of 72-h ED revisits after discharge of children with chronic diseases treated at KASCH-RD was relatively high, and was associated with young age, institutional health insurance coverage, year of a new health information system implementation, and external causes of ED visit. These study findings amplify the need for intervention to reduce the rate of early ED revisits among children with chronic diseases.

Utility of serum resistin in the diagnosis of neonatal sepsis and prediction of disease severity in term and late preterm infants.

Introduction Resistin is a proinflammatory hormone recently proposed as a sepsis biomarker. Our aim was to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic values of this marker in neonatal sepsis. Methods This is a prospective observational study that includes 60 term and late preterm neonates with proven and possible sepsis besides 30 healthy controls. Resistin and other biomarkers, like C-reactive protein (CRP), were measured within 2 h of neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission. Infants were monitored and the primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Results Resistin was higher among septic neonates compared with controls (P<0.001). Resistin had an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.994 for differentiating septic infants from controls. The area under the curve (AUC) for differentiating infants with culture-proven sepsis from controls was 0.999 compared with an AUC of 1 for CRP. The other markers, like platelet count, were inferior to resistin and CRP. Resistin was positively correlated with CRP [Spearman's correlation coefficient (rs)=0.55, P<0.001]. No significant differences in resistin levels were noted between survivors and non-survivors but resistin was higher among infants with severe sepsis (P=0.015) and among those who needed mechanical ventilation (P<0.001). Conclusion Resistin is useful for the diagnosis of neonatal sepsis. Resistin failed to predict mortality but was associated with indicators of disease severity.

Health-Related Predictors of Quality of Life in Cancer Patients in Saudi Arabia.

Research on Saudi Arabian cancer patients is a priority at King Abdulaziz Medical City (KAMC), Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Because there is limited research on the quality of life (QoL) of Saudi Arabian cancer patients, the aim of this study was to identify the predictors of the QoL in a sample of Saudis with cancer. In August 2016, a cross-sectional study was conducted on 438 patients with a variety of cancer types (145 breast, 109 colorectal, 38 leukemia, 45 lymphoma, and 99 other types) who attended the Oncology Outpatient Clinics at KAMC. Sociodemographics, clinical symptoms, and cancer treatments were collected for each patient. We used the SF-36 instrument to assess QoL. Of the cancer patients studied, 28.4% had a family history of cancer, and, according to subgroup analyses, the elderly, those lacking formal education, the unemployed, those diagnosed with Stage III/IV, and those with metastasis had significantly worse physical functions than the other cancer patients. According to multiple linear regression analyses, cancer patients who exercised regularly tended to have better physical function, emotional role function, vitality, social function, and general health (increase in SF-36 scores of 8.82, 9.75, 5.54, 6.66, and 4.97, respectively). Patients with first-year-after-cancer diagnosis tended to have poor emotional wellbeing, social function, and general health (decrease in SF-36 scores of 5.20, 7.34, and 6.12, respectively). Newly diagnosed cancer patients and patients who did not exercise tended to experience significantly poor QoL in several domains; thus, the effectiveness of exercise must be assessed in Saudi cancer patients as an intervention to improve QoL.

Prevalence of and attitudes to waterpipe smoking among Saudi Arabian physicians.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco smoking kills more than 5 million people annually and it is the most important cause of preventable death. Waterpipe smoking is common in the Middle East and is prevalent among young people. There is a misconception that it is less harmful than cigarette smoking. Physicians are considered role models in the community and their behaviours and attitudes towards smoking can have direct effects on cessation. AIM: The aim of this study was to estimate current prevalence, attitudes and associated factors in regard to waterpipe smoking among Saudi Arabian physicians. METHODS: Using a self-administered questionnaire, we conducted a cross-sectional study among 454 male and female physicians from 3 specialties, and of various levels of training working in 4 hospitals in Riyadh. RESULTS: The prevalence of waterpipe smoking was 45%, greater in men than in women (58% vs 18%; P ≤ 0.001) and in surgical than in medical specialists (58% vs 38%; P ≤ 0.001). More non-smokers than smokers believed that physicians should serve as role models (79% vs 60%; P ≤ 0.001). Physicians who were waterpipe non-smokers had received more formal training about cessation than smokers (50% vs 36%; P ≤ 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Waterpipe smoking among Saudi Arabian physicians is frequent and is associated with low exposure to information about the hazards and cessation during medical education.