Comparable prognostic impact of BNP levels among HFpEF, Borderline HFpEF and HFrEF: a report from the CHART-2 Study.

We aimed to compare the usefulness of plasma levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) for long-term risk stratification among patients with heart failure (HF) with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HFpEF), borderline HFpEF, and HF with reduced LVEF (HFrEF) in the same HF cohort. In the CHART-2 Study (N = 10,219), we categorized 4301 consecutive Stage C/D HF patients (mean age 68.7 years, female 32.4%) into 3 groups: HFpEF (LVEF ≥ 50%, N = 2893), borderline HFpEF (LVEF 40-50%, N = 666), and HFrEF (LVEF ≤ 40%, N = 742). During the median 6.3-year follow-up, all-cause deaths occurred in 887 HFpEF, 330 borderline HFpEF, and 330 HFrEF patients. Although median BNP levels increased from HFpEF, borderline HFpEF to HFrEF (85.3, 126 and 208 pg/ml, respectively, P < 0.001), the relationship between log2 BNP levels and the mortality risk was comparable among the 3 groups. As compared with patients with BNP < 30 pg/ml, those with 30-99, 100-299 and ≥ 300 pg/ml had comparably increasing mortality risk among the 3 groups (hazard ratio 2.5, 4.7 and 7.8 in HFpEF, 2.1, 4.2 and 7.0 in borderline HFpEF, and 3.0, 4.7 and 9.5 in HFrEF, respectively, all P < 0.001). BNP levels have comparable prognostic impact among HFpEF, borderline HFpEF, and HFrEF patients.

Prognostic Impact of Atrial Fibrillation and New Risk Score of Its Onset in Patients at High Risk of Heart Failure　- A Report From the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients at high risk for heart failure (HF) remains unclear. In addition, there is no risk estimation model for AF development in these patients.Methods and Results:The present study included 5,382 consecutive patients at high risk of HF enrolled in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,217 (22.6%) had AF, and were characterized, as compared with non-AF patients, by higher age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 116 non-AF patients (2.8%) newly developed AF (new AF) during the median 3.1-year follow-up. AF at enrollment was associated with worse prognosis for both all-cause death and HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.31, P=0.027 and aHR 1.74, P=0.001, for all-cause death and HF hospitalization, respectively) and new AF was associated with HF hospitalization (aHR 4.54, P<0.001). We developed a risk score with higher age, smoking, pulse pressure, lower eGFR, higher BNP, aortic valvular regurgitation, LV hypertrophy, and left atrial and ventricular dilatation on echocardiography, which effectively stratified the risk of AF development with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.76). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicated that AF is associated with worse prognosis in patients at high risk of HF, and our new risk score may be useful to identify patients at high risk for AF onset.

Prognostic Impact of Loop Diuretics in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure　- Effects of Addition of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and ß-Blockers.

BACKGROUND: It remains to be elucidated whether addition of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors and/or ß-blockers to loop diuretics has a beneficial prognostic impact on chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the Chronic Heart failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku district 2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219), we enrolled 4,134 consecutive patients with symptomatic stage C/D CHF (mean age, 69.3 years, 67.7% male). We constructed Cox models for composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke and HF admission. On multivariate inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) Cox modeling, loop diuretics use was associated with worse prognosis with hazard ratio (HR) 1.28 (P<0001). Furthermore, on IPTW multivariate Cox modeling for multiple treatments, both low-dose (<40 mg/day) and high-dose (≥40 mg/day) loop diuretics were associated with worse prognosis with HR 1.32 and 1.56, respectively (both P<0.001). Triple blockade with RAS inhibitor(s), mineral corticoid (aldosterone) receptor antagonist(s) (MRA), and ß-blocker(s) was significantly associated with better prognosis in those on low-dose but not on high-dose loop diuretics. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic use of loop diuretics is significantly associated with worse prognosis in CHF patients in a dose-dependent manner, whereas the triple combination of RAAS inhibitor(s), MRA, and ß-blocker(s) is associated with better prognosis when combined with low-dose loop diuretics. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1396-1403).

Prognostic Impact of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure - A Report From the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) is not fully elucidated. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 4,818 consecutive stage C/D chronic heart failure (CHF) patients in the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,859 (38.6%) of them had AF. Compared with the 2,953 patients without AF, AF patients were characterized by higher age (71 vs. 68 years), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (58.9 vs. 61.9 ml/min/1.73 m(2)), higher brain natriuretic peptide (152 vs. 74.5 pg/ml), similar left ventricular ejection fraction (56.8 vs. 56.5%), and a similar prescription rate of ß-blockers (48.1 vs. 50.6%) and renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors (72.9 vs. 71.6%). Among the patients without AF at enrollment, 106 (3.6%) developed new AF during the median 3.2-year follow-up, which was associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.72; P=0.013). In contrast, neither paroxysmal nor chronic AF at enrollment was associated with increased mortality. The mortality rate was significantly high in the first year after the onset of new AF. On inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis using propensity score, RAS inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced incidence of new AF, and diuretics were associated with increase of new AF. CONCLUSIONS: Onset of new AF, but not a history of AF, is associated with increased mortality in CHF patients, especially in the first year.

Comprehensive Risk Stratification of Japanese Patients With Aortic Stenosis--A Proposal of a New Risk Score From the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of patients with aortic stenosis (AS) should be stratified not only by AS severity but also by comorbidities. METHODS AND RESULTS: We aimed to develop a risk score for mortality in 412 patients with AS (pressure gradient ≥30 mmHg, mean age 74.9 years, male 52.4%) in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). During a 3-year follow-up, 73 (17.7%) patients died. Crude 3-year mortality of patients in New York Heart Association (NYHA) classes I, II, and III/IV was 9.5%, 16.5%, and 49.7%, respectively (P<0.001). Stepwise Cox regression analysis showed that the combination of 7 factors was the best model to predict the mortality of AS patients, who were scored according to their hazard ratios, including NYHA class III-IV (score 6), male sex (3), serum albumin level ≤4 g/dl (2), aortic peak flow ≥4.5 m/s (2), age ≥75 years (2), chronic kidney disease (2), and anemia (1). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis showed excellent association between the sum of the scores and 3-year mortality (area under the curve, 0.78). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated that the present risk score also well stratified the mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrates that, in addition to the classical prognostic factors related to symptoms and AS severity, various comorbidities are associated with mortality. Thus, the present comprehensive risk score may be useful for risk stratification of AS patients.

Improved Long-Term Prognosis of Dilated Cardiomyopathy With Implementation of Evidenced-Based Medication - Report From the CHART Studies - .

BACKGROUND: Recent trends in the clinical characteristics, management and prognosis of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) remain to be examined in Japan. METHODS AND RESULTS: We compared 306 and 710 DCM patients in the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District (CHART)-1 (2000-2005, n=1,278) and the CHART-2 (2006-present, n=10,219) Studies, respectively. Between the 2 groups of DCM patients, there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics. The prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus were all significantly increased from the CHART-1 to the CHART-2 Study. The use of ß-blockers and aldosterone antagonists was significantly increased, while that of loop diuretics and digitalis was significantly decreased in the CHART-2 Study. The 3-year mortality rate was significantly improved from 14% in the CHART-1 to 9% in the CHART-2 Study (adjusted HR, 0.60; 95% CI: 0.49-0.81; P=0.001). In particular, 3-year incidence of cardiovascular death was significantly decreased (adjusted HR, 0.26; 95% CI: 0.14-0.50, P<0.001), while that of HF admission was not (adjusted HR, 0.90; 95% CI: 0.59-1.37, P=0.632). The prognostic improvement was noted in patients with BNP <220 pg/ml, LVEF>40%, ß-blocker use and aldosterone antagonist use. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term prognosis of DCM patients has been improved, along with the implementation of evidence-based medication in Japan.

Predictors and prognostic impact of post-traumatic stress disorder after the great East Japan earthquake in patients with cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: We examined the prevalence, predictors and prognostic impact of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) after the Great East Japan Earthquake in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the CHART-2 study. METHODS AND RESULTS: The prevalence of PTSD was 14.7% at 6 months after the Earthquake. Female sex, experiencing the Tsunami, property loss, poverty, and insomnia medication use were associated with PTSD. The patients with PTSD more frequently experienced a composite of death, acute myocardial infarction, stroke and heart failure (18.5% vs. 15.0%, P=0.035). CONCLUSIONS: PTSD was frequent in CVD patients after the Earthquake and had an adverse prognostic impact.

Temporal trends in clinical characteristics, management and prognosis of patients with symptomatic heart failure in Japan -- report from the CHART Studies.

BACKGROUND: Temporal trends in clinical characteristics, management and prognosis of patients with symptomatic heart failure (HF) remain to be elucidated in Japan. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-1 (CHART-1; 2000-2005, n=1,278) and CHART-2 (2006-present, n=10,219) Studies, we enrolled 1,006 and 3,676 consecutive symptomatic stage C/D HF patients, respectively. As compared with the patients in the CHART-1 Study, those in the CHART-2 Study had similar age and sex prevalence, and were characterized by lower brain natriuretic peptide, higher prevalence of preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and ischemic heart disease (IHD), particularly IHD with LVEF ≥50%. From CHART-1 to CHART-2, use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, ß-blockers and aldosterone antagonists was significantly increased, while that of loop diuretics and digitalis was decreased. Three-year incidences of all-cause death (24 vs. 15%; adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR], 0.73; P<0.001), cardiovascular death (17 vs. 7%; adjHR, 0.38; P<0.001) and hospitalization for HF (30 vs. 17%; adjHR, 0.51; P<0.001) were all significantly decreased from CHART-1 to CHART-2. In the CHART-2 Study, use of ß-blockers was associated with improved prognosis in patients with LVEF <50%, while that of statins was associated with improved prognosis in those with LVEF ≥50%. CONCLUSIONS: Along with implementation of evidence-based medications, the prognosis of HF patients has been improved in Japan. ( TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00418041)

Prognostic Impact of Anemia in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure- With Special Reference to Clinical Background: Report From the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of anemia with special reference to the clinical background of patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 4,646 consecutive patients with Stage C/D CHF registered in the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219). Among them, 1,627 (35%) had anemia and were characterized by higher age (74 vs. 66 years), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (52.8 vs. 66.1 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) and higher B-type natriuretic peptide levels (154.5 vs. 81.8 pg/ml) (all P<0.001) but comparable left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; 57.5 vs. 56.7%). Anemic patients were more frequently treated with diuretics (55.1 vs. 42.3%) but less often treated with ß-blockers (45.4 vs. 51.1%) (both P<0.001). During a median follow-up of 3.8 years, 371 and 272 patients died with and without anemia, respectively (22.8 vs. 9.0%, adjusted hazard ratio 1.40; 95% confidence interval 1.15-1.71, P=0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that the prognostic impact of anemia was comparable in terms of age, sex, renal function and double product, but differed by LVEF level and CHF etiology (both, P for interaction <0.001). In particular, a difference in the prognostic impact of LVEF level was noted in patients with ischemic heart disease. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that the prognostic impact of anemia is evident in CHF patients with preserved EF and it differs by CHF etiology.

Prognostic Impact of Diabetes Mellitus in Chronic Heart Failure According to Presence of Ischemic Heart Disease ­ With Special Reference to Nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether the prognostic impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) in chronic heart failure (CHF) is influenced by ischemic heart disease (IHD) and/or nephropathy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled 4,065 consecutive patients with stage C/D CHF (mean age, 69.0 years; 68.7% male) in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). We defined DM as current history of DM treatment or HbA1c ≥6.5% (National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program [NGSP]), and nephropathy as urine albumin:creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g or urine dipstick test ≥(±) at enrollment. Impacts of DM and nephropathy on the composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and HF admission were examined. Among the 4,065 patients, 1,448 (35.6%) had DM, while IHD and nephropathy were also noted in 1,644 (40.4%) and in 1,549 (38.1%), respectively. During the median follow-up of 2.88 years, 1,025 (25.2%) reached the composite endpoint. On multivariate Cox regression, DM was significantly associated with the composite endpoint in all patients (HR, 1.17; P=0.02), and in those with IHD (HR, 1.38; P=0.004), but not in those without IHD (HR, 1.12; P=0.22; P for interaction=0.12). Furthermore, when the patients were stratified by nephropathy, DM was associated with worse prognosis only in the IHD patients with nephropathy. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic impact of DM was more evident in patients with IHD than in those without IHD, particularly when complicated with nephropathy.

Prognostic impacts of serum uric acid levels in patients with chronic heart failure: insights from the CHART-2 study.

AIMS: Prognostic impacts of serum uric acid (UA) levels in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) remain inconclusive, especially for the whole range of serum UA levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) study, we enrolled 4652 consecutive patients with CHF and classified them into four groups based on baseline serum UA levels by the Classification and Regression Tree: G1 (<3.8 mg/dL, N = 313), G2 (3.8-7.1 mg/dL, N = 3070), G3 (7.2-9.2 mg/dL, N = 1018), and G4 (>9.2 mg/dL, N = 251). Mean age was 71 ± 12, 69 ± 12, 68 ± 13, and 69 ± 15 years in G1, G2, G3, and G4, respectively (P < 0.001). During the median follow-up of 6.3 years, in G1, G2, G3, and G4, 111 (35%), 905 (29%), 370 (36%), and 139 (55%) patients died and 79 (25%), 729 (24%), 300 (29%), and 115 (46%) experienced heart failure hospitalization, respectively (both P < 0.001). G1 was characterized by a significantly high prevalence of women as compared with G2, G3, and G4 (59%, 32%, 24%, and 23%, respectively). Serum creatinine levels (0.8 ± 0.4, 0.9 ± 0.4, 1.2 ± 0.6, and 1.4 ± 0.8 mg/dL, respectively), prevalence of atrial fibrillation (34%, 39%, 45%, and 50%, respectively), and diuretics use (36%, 45%, 67%, and 89%, respectively) increased from G1, G2, G3 to G4 (all P < 0.001), while left ventricular ejection fraction decreased from G1, G2, G3 to G4 (59 ± 15, 58 ± 15, 54 ± 15, and 52 ± 17%, respectively, P < 0.001). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models showed that, as compared with G2, both G1 and G4 had increased incidence of all-cause death [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.67, P = 0.009; aHR 1.28, 95% CI 1.02-1.61, P = 0.037, respectively] and heart failure admission (aHR 1.39, 95% CI 1.09-1.78, P = 0.008 and aHR 1.35, 95% CI, 1.06-1.71, P = 0.014, respectively). This U-shaped relationship was evident in the elderly patients. Furthermore, abnormal transitions to either higher or lower levels of serum UA from G2 were associated with increased mortality (aHR 1.29, 95% CI 1.06-1.57, P = 0.012; aHR 1.57, 95% CI 1.12-2.20, P = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate that serum UA levels have the U-shaped prognostic effects and abnormal transitions to either higher or lower levels are associated with poor prognosis in the elderly patients with CHF.

Temporal changes in left ventricular ejection fraction and their prognostic impacts in patients with Stage B heart failure.

BACKGROUND: We have recently demonstrated that left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) dynamically changes over time with prognostic impacts in Stage C/D patients, namely, those who have a current or past history of heart failure (HF). However, it is unknown whether this is also the case in asymptomatic Stage B patients, namely, those who have a risk of HF, but do not have a history of HF. METHODS: In our CHART-2 Study (N = 10,219), we enrolled 4005 Stage B patients and divided them into 3 groups by LVEF; preserved EF (pEF, LVEF ≥50%, N = 3526), mid-range EF (mrEF, LVEF 41-49%, N = 302), and reduced EF (rEF, LVEF ≤40%, N = 177). We examined the prognostic impacts of LVEF transitions among the 3 groups in comparison with 4477 patients with Stage C/D HF. RESULTS: Stage B were characterized by less severe clinical status and better prognosis compared with Stage C/D. Stage B in mrEF and rEF at baseline dynamically transitioned to other groups at 1-year, whereas those in pEF unchanged; at 1-year, mrEF transitioned to pEF/rEF by 50/16%, and rEF transitioned to pEF/mrEF by 25/31%, respectively, whereas pEF transitioned to mrEF/rEF by only 3.6/0.7%, respectively, which were consistent with findings in findings with Stage C/D. Although LVEF decrease was directly associated with all-cause mortality in both the Stage B and Stage C/D with pEF, factors related to LVEF changes were different between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: In Stage B, LVEF dynamically changes with prognostic impacts as in Stage C/D, whereas different determination factors may be involved in the 2 stages. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District (CHART)-2 (NCT00418041).

Clinical benefits and risks of antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation with comorbidities - A report from the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of antithrombotic therapy (ATT) for atrial fibrillation (AF) are occasionally offset by major bleeding complications. However, the clinical benefits and risks of ATT in AF patients, with special references to comorbidities, such as heart failure (HF), coronary artery disease (CAD), and the patterns of AF, remain to be fully elucidated. METHODS: A total of 3221 consecutive AF patients from our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (N = 10,219) were divided into 4 groups based on ATT at enrollment; no-ATT, anticoagulant alone, antiplatelet alone, and both of them (AC&AP). Then, efficacy and safety outcomes including thromboembolic events, major bleeding, and mortality were evaluated among the 4 groups. RESULTS: Anticoagulant monotherapy was associated with reduced risk of ischemic stroke in patients with but not in those without HF, CAD, or non-paroxysmal AF. Although there was no significant difference in major bleeding among the 4 groups, a composite of thromboembolism and major bleeding occurred more frequently in the AC&AP group, even in combination with anticoagulants and single antiplatelet therapy, indicating that the combination therapy is more harmful than anticoagulant monotherapy for AF patients, especially for those with HF or CAD. Lastly, no-ATT group was associated with worse prognosis compared with other 3 groups. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that ATT is beneficial for AF patients particularly for those with HF, CAD, or non-paroxysmal AF and that among ATT, anticoagulant monotherapy may be most profitable for both clinical benefits and risks for AF patients.

Risk of de-novo heart failure and competing risk in asymptomatic patients with structural heart diseases.

AIMS: Asymptomatic patients with structural heart diseases are classified as a population at high risk for heart failure (HF) in Stage B. However, limited data are available regarding incidence and related factors of de-novo HF (DNHF) considering competing risk in this population. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 3362 Stage B patients (mean age 68 yrs, male 76%) from the CHART-2 Study (N = 10,219), we examined incidence of death and DNHF, defined as the first episode of either HF hospitalization or HF death, and factors related to DNHF. RESULTS: During the median 6.0-year follow-up, 627 deaths (31/1000 person-years) and 293 DNHF (15/1000 person-years) occurred. Among the 627 deaths, 212 (34%) and 325 (52%) were specified as cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths, respectively. During the follow-up of 271 DNHF hospitalizations, we observed 124 deaths, including 65 (52%) cardiovascular and 47 (40%) non-cardiovascular deaths. The competing risk model showed that age, diabetes mellitus, stroke, atrial fibrillation, diastolic blood pressure, hemoglobin levels, estimated glomerular filtration ratio and left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly associated with DNHF. Bayesian structural equation modeling showed that many of these cardiac and non-cardiac variables contribute to DNHF by affecting each other, while diabetes mellitus was independently associated with DNHF. CONCLUSIONS: Stage B patients had a high incidence of DNHF as well as that of death due to both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. Thus, management of Stage B patients should include multidisciplinary approaches considering both cardiac and non-cardiac factors, in order to prevent DNHF as well as non-HF death as a competing risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00418041.

Clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in elderly patients with chronic heart failure -A report from the CHART-2 study.

BACKGROUND: Since most of the randomized clinical trials for heart failure (HF) were designed to exclude elderly patients, limited data are available on their clinical characteristics, prognosis, and prognostic factors. METHODS: We compared clinical characteristics, prognosis, and prognostic factors among Stage C/D HF patients in our CHART-2 Study (N = 4876, mean 69 years, women 32%, 6.3-year follow-up) by age (G1, ≤64 years, N = 1521; G2, 65-74 years, N = 1510; and G3, ≥75 years, N = 1845). RESULTS: From G1 to G3, the prevalence of women, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and plasma levels of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) increased (all P < 0.001). Similarly, 5-year mortality increased (9.9, 17.3 to 39.9%, P < 0.001) along with a decrease in proportion of cardiovascular death and an increase in non-cardiovascular death in both sexes. While all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was comparable between the sexes, women had significantly lower incidence of non-cardiovascular death than men in G2 and G3, which was attributable to the higher incidence of cancer death and pneumonia death in men than in women. Although NYHA functional class III-IV, chronic kidney disease, cancer, LVEF, and BNP had significant impacts on all-cause death in all groups, their impacts were less evident in G3 as compared with G1. CONCLUSIONS: The elderly HF patients, as compared with younger HF patients, were characterized by more severe clinical background, increased proportion of non-cardiovascular death and worse prognosis with different impacts of prognostic factors across the age groups.

Association between temporal changes in C-reactive protein levels and prognosis in patients with previous myocardial infarction - A report from the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have reported that C-reactive protein (CRP), an inflammatory biomarker, predicts cardiovascular events independently of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. However, no study examined whether temporal changes in CRP levels are associated with clinical events in patients with previous myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 2184 consecutive patients with previous MI and CRP data at baseline in the Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku district-2 (CHART-2) Study. During the median 6.4 years follow-up, 592 all-cause, 245 cardiovascular, and 273 non-cardiovascular deaths occurred. Patients with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at baseline had significantly increased incidence of all-cause (hazard ratio (HR) 1.68, P < 0.001) and non-cardiovascular death (HR 1.86, P < 0.001), compared with those with CRP < 2.0 mg/L. Temporal changes in CRP levels were associated with prognosis; among patients with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at baseline, those with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at 1-year had significantly increased incidence of all-cause (HR 2.12, P < 0.001), cardiovascular (HR 2.31, P < 0.001), and non-cardiovascular death (HR 2.29, P < 0.001). Among patients with CRP < 2.0 mg/L at baseline, those with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at 1-year had significantly increased incidence of all-cause (HR 1.76, P < 0.001) and cardiovascular death (HR 2.10, P = 0.001). These results remained significant after adjusted with the inverse probability of treatment weighted models using propensity sore. Furthermore, as compared with patients with CRP < 2.0 mg/L at both baseline and 1-year, those with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at both baseline and 1-year had increased incidence of all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide the evidence that temporal increases in CRP levels are associated with increased clinical events in patients with previous MI.

Conversion formula from B-type natriuretic peptide to N-terminal proBNP values in patients with cardiovascular diseases.

BACKGROUND: Although B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are released in equimolar proportions, their values differ depending on clinical conditions. A useful conversion formula between BNP and NT-proBNP remains to be developed for the clinical use. AIM: To develop a conversion formula from BNP to NT-proBNP. METHODS: In the derivation cohort, 923 patients with chronic heart failure, in whom both BNP and NT-proBNP values were available, were enrolled from our SUPPORT (Supplemental Benefit of ARB in Hypertensive Patients with Stable Heart Failure using Olmesartan) trial. The validation cohort included 1154 consecutive patients with or at risk of cardiovascular diseases, in whom both BNP and NT-proBNP values were measured simultaneously at Tohoku University Hospital. We regressed log10 NT-proBNP onto log10 BNP and factors influencing BNP and NT-proBNP values. RESULTS: We adopted the model with the smallest Akaike information criterion consisting of log10 BNP, age, sex, BMI, creatinine clearance (CCr), hemoglobin, and atrial fibrillation (AF). As compared with the previously reported conversion formulas, the present conversion formula utilized non-linear transformation by spline function, and exhibited the strongest correlation between actual and calculated values of NT-proBNP (r = 0.928). The root mean squared error (RMSE) of the present conversion formula was smallest compared with the previously reported conversion formulas, indicating that this formula most effectively converts BNP values to NT-proBNP values. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a useful conversion formula from BNP to NT-proBNP values, using age, sex, BMI, CCr, hemoglobin, and AF, which could be widely used in daily clinical practice.

Gender differences in prognostic relevance of self-care behaviors on mortality and hospitalization in patients with heart failure - A report from the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: Self-care behaviors (ScB) are associated with symptoms and outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). However, little is known about gender differences in the prognostic relevance of ScB in HF patients. METHODS: We examined gender differences in ScB of HF patients regarding its prognostic associations with mortality and HF hospitalization with a reference to ScB dimensions. The European Heart Failure Self-Care Behavior Scale (EHFScBS) was used to evaluate ScB in 2233 patients with Stage C/D HF in the CHART-2 Study. RESULTS: Male patients (n=1583) were younger (71 vs. 73 yrs) and had lower ScB (median 33 vs. 31) (all p<0.001) than females (n=650). During the median follow-up of 2.57 years, patients with high ScB (score 12-32, n=1090), as compared with low ScB patients (score 33-60, n=1143), had significantly increased all-cause mortality in males [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.44, p=0.02] but not in females (aHR 0.80, p=0.40) (p for interaction 0.02), while ScB was not significantly associated with incidence of HF hospitalization in both genders. Among the 3 dimensions in EHFScBS, complying with regimen was associated with decreased mortality in females, but not in males (p for interaction 0.003), while asking for help was related with increased incidence of HF hospitalization in males (aHR 1.34, p=0.072) but not in females (aHR 0.98, p=0.931) (p for interaction 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: There were gender differences in the prognostic relevance of self-care with mortality and incidence of HF hospitalization, suggesting that self-care should be implemented considering gender differences to improve prognosis.

Prognostic impact of residual stenosis after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with ischemic heart failure - A report from the CHART-2 study.

BACKGROUND: Complete revascularization with PCI is not always achieved in patients with ischemic HF. Therefore, this study aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of residual coronary stenosis (RS) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with ischemic heart failure (HF). METHODS: We analyzed a total of 1307 patients with symptomatic HF and a history of PCI registered in our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study. RS that was defined as the presence of ≥70% luminal stenosis in major coronary arteries at the last coronary angiography. RESULTS: Among the study population, 851 patients (65.1%) had RS. During a median follow-up period of 3.2 years, patients with RS had higher all-cause mortality than those without it even after propensity score matching (21.9 vs. 11.6%, log-rank P = 0.027). Multivariable Cox hazard analysis also showed the negative impact of RS on all-cause death in ischemic HF patients [hazard ratio (HR):1.62, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-2.46, P = 0.024]. Importantly, when divided all subjects into three subgroups by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) [LVEF < 40% (HFrEF), LVEF 40-49% (HFmrEF), and LVEF ≥ 50% (HFpEF)], inverse probability of treatment weighted method provided a similar result that RS after PCI was an independent risk factor for death in the HFpEF [HR(95%CI); 1.94(1.22-3.09), P < 0.01] and HFmrEF [4.47(1.13-14.98), P < 0.01] groups, but not in the HFrEF group [1.20(0.59-2.43), P = 0.62]. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that RS after PCI could aggravate long-term prognosis of ischemic HF patients with moderate- to well-preserved EF, but not those with reduced EF.

Increased risk of cancer death in patients with chronic heart failure with a special reference to inflammation-A report from the CHART-2 Study.

BACKGROUND: Although several factors, including heart failure (HF) and inflammation, are known to increase the incidence of cancer, it remains unknown whether HF may increase cancer mortality, especially with a reference to inflammation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 8843 consecutive cardiovascular patients without a prior history of cancer in our CHART-2 Study (mean 68 yrs., female 30.9%). As compared with patients without HF (Stage A/B, N = 4622), those with HF (Stage C/D, N = 4221) were characterized by higher prevalence of diabetes, previous myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, and stroke. During the median 6.5-year follow-up (52,675 person-years), 282 cancer deaths occurred. HF patients had significantly higher cancer mortality than those without HF in both the overall (3.7 vs, 2.8%, hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.79, P = 0.004) and the propensity score-matched cohorts (HR 1.46, 95%CI 1.10-1.93, P = 0.008), which was confirmed in the competing risk models. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model in the matched cohort showed that HF was associated with increased cancer mortality in patients with C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 2.0 mg/L (HR 1.87, 95%CI 1.18-2.96, P = 0.008) at baseline, but not in those with CRP < 2.0 mg/L (HR 0.89, 95%CI 0.54-1.45, P = 0.64) (P for interaction = 0.03). Furthermore, temporal changes in CRP levels were associated with cancer death in the overall cohort; HF patients with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at both baseline and 1-year had significantly increased cancer death, while those with CRP ≥ 2.0 mg/L at baseline and < 2.0 mg/L at 1-year not. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide the first evidence that HF is associated with increased cancer death, especially when associated with prolonged inflammation.