Determination of Normal Reference Values for Meniscal Extrusion Using Ultrasonography During the Different Range of Motion: A Pilot, Feasibility Study.

OBJECTIVES: It is essential to know the normal extrusion measures in order to detect pathological ones. In this study, we aimed to define some normal reference values for meniscal extrusion in the normal knees during different ranges of motion. METHODS: The amount of anterior and posterior portion of meniscal extrusion among 21 asymptomatic volunteers (42 knees) were tracked in 0, 45, and 90° of knee flexion using an ultrasound machine. The repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to show the interaction between the amounts of meniscal extrusion and the different degrees of knee flexion. RESULTS: The anterior portion of the lateral menisci at full knee extension (0.59 ± 1.40) and the posterior portion of the medial menisci during 90° flexion (3.06 ± 2.36) showed the smallest and the highest mean amount of extrusion, respectively. The normal average amounts of anterior extrusion were 1.12 ± 1.17 and 0.99 ± 1.34 mm for medial and lateral menisci, respectively. The posterior meniscal normal extrusions were significantly increasing in both medial and lateral menisci during the survey (F = 20.250 and 11.298; both P values <.001) as they were measured 2.37 ± 2.16 and 1.53 ± 2.18 mm in order. CONCLUSIONS: The medial meniscus can extrude 1.74 ± 1.84 mm normally while this amount was 1.26 ± 1.82 mm for the lateral meniscus. These measures commonly increased with the rising of knee flexion motion. Likewise, the posterior portion showed more extrusion than the anterior portion on both sides. These measures commonly increased with higher knee flexion.

Effect of nanocurcumin supplementation on the severity of symptoms and length of hospital stay in patients with COVID-19: A randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial.

It has been more than a year since the outbreak of COVID-19, and it is still the most critical issue of the healthcare system. Discovering effective strategies to treat infected patients is necessary to decrease the mortality rate. This study aimed to determine the effects of nanocurcumin on the severity of symptoms and length of hospital stay (LOS) in COVID-19 patients. Forty-eight COVID-19 patients were randomly assigned into nanocurcumin (n = 24) and placebo (n = 24) groups receiving 160 mg/day nanocurcumin or placebo capsules for 6 days. Mean differences of O2 saturation were significantly higher in patients who received nanocurcumin supplements (p = 0.02). Also, nanocurcumin treatment significantly reduced the scores of domains 3 and 4 and the total score of Wisconsin Upper Respiratory System Survey (WURSS-24), indicating milder symptoms in the treatment group (p = 0.01, 0.03, and 0.01 respectively). Besides, the LOS in curcumin groups was lower than in the placebo group, although the difference was not statistically significant (6.31 ± 5.26 vs. 8.87 ± 8.12 days; p = 0.416). CBC/differentiate, hs-CRP level and the pulmonary involvement in CT scan were not different between the two groups. As nanocurcumin can be effective in increasing O2 saturation and reducing the severity of symptoms in COVID-19 patients, it could probably be used as a complementary agent to accelerate the recovery of patients.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with systemic autoimmune diseases or vasculitis: radiologic presentation.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has transformed into a worldwide challenge, since its outbreak in December 2019. Generally, patients with underlying medical conditions are at a higher risk of complications and fatality of pneumonias. Whether patients with systemic autoimmune diseases or vasculitides, are at increased risk for serious complications associated with COVID-19, is not established yet. Computed tomography (CT) has been employed as a diagnostic tool in the evaluation of patients with clinical suspicion of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov-2) infection with a reported sensitivity of higher than reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test. Multifocal bilateral ground-glass opacities (GGOs) with peripheral and posterior distribution and subsequent superimposition of consolidations are considered the main imaging features of the disease in chest CT. However, chest CT images of underlying rheumatologic or autoimmune diseases or vasculitides, such as systemic sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, Behçet disease, and granulomatosis with polyangiitis, especially those with extensive lung involvement can overshadow or obliterate features of COVID-19. In addition, CT findings of such diseases may resemble manifestations of COVID-19 (such as ground glass opacities with or without superimposed consolidation), making the diagnosis of viral infections, more challenging on imaging. Comparing the imaging findings with prior studies (if available) for any interval change is the most helpful approach. Otherwise, the diagnosis of COVID-19 in such patients must be cautiously made according to the clinical context and laboratory results, considering a very high clinical index of suspicion on imaging.

COVID-19, An early investigation from exposure to treatment outcomes in Tehran, Iran.

BACKGROUND: There is a growing need for information regarding the recent coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19). We present a comprehensive report of COVID-19 patients in Iran. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were studied. Data on potential source of exposure, demographic, clinical, and paraclinical features, therapy outcome, and postdischarge follow-up were analyzed. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 58 years, and the majority of the patients (72.7%) were above 50 years of age. Fever was present in 45.2% of the patients on admission. The most common clinical symptoms were shortness of breath (74%) and cough (68%). Most patients had elevated C-reactive protein (92.3%), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (82.9%), and lymphocytopenia (74.2%) on admission. Lower lobes of the lung were most commonly involved, and ground-glass opacity (81.8%) was the most frequent finding in computed tomography scans. The administration of hydroxychloroquine improved the clinical outcome of the patients. Lopinavir/ritonavir was efficacious at younger ages. Of the 70 discharged patients, 40% had symptom aggravation, 8.6% were readmitted to the hospital, and three patients (4.3%) died. CONCLUSION: This report demonstrates a heterogeneous nature of clinical manifestations in patients affected with COVID19. The most common presenting symptoms are nonspecific, so attention should be made on broader testing, especially in age groups with the greatest risk and younger individuals who can serve as carriers of the disease. Hydroxychloroquine and lopinavir/ritonavir (in younger age group) can be potential treatment options. Finally, patients discharged from the hospital should be followed up because of potential symptom aggravation.

Application of muscle ultrasound for the evaluation of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: An observational cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the association between muscle ultrasound, number of motor units, and clinical parameters, and assessed their utility for distinguishing amyotrophic lateral scleorisis (ALS) patients from healthy individuals. METHODS: Three muscle pairs (abductor pollicis brevis, abductor digiti minimi, and tibialis anterior) of 18 ALS patients and 18 controls underwent muscle ultrasound (echointensity and thickness) and assessment of motor unit number index (MUNIX). The clinical and functional status of participants were also assessed. RESULTS: Mean age of the patients was 53.8 ± 12.1 years, and score on the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised was 38.9 ± 4.1. Echointensity of all tested muscles of ALS participants was significantly higher than that of controls, but there was no significant difference in muscle thickness. Muscle echointensity correlated significantly with clinical and electrophysiological parameters. CONCLUSION: Echointensity of muscles was highly associated with clinical scales and MUNIX, confirming its relevance as an ancillary diagnostic test in ALS patients.

Botulinum toxin therapy for isolated first dorsal interosseous muscle pain and hypertrophy: A case report.

Botulinum toxin (BTX) injection can be an effective treatment for persistent pain and functional impairment associated with hypertrophy of the first dorsal interosseous muscle. It offers a non-surgical and minimally invasive alternative for those who have failed conservative treatment, showcasing the therapeutic promise of BTX for addressing similar musculoskeletal conditions.

Prevalence and Correlation between MRI Findings and Outcome of Conservative Treatment in Primary Idiopathic Frozen Shoulder.

Objectives: Primary idiopathic frozen shoulder (FS) causes pain and stiffness in the shoulder joint. Over time, this disease causes restriction of shoulder motion. We undertook this study to evaluate possible correlation of MRI findings with outcome of conservative management in FS. Methods: A total of 65 cases participated in prospective cohort study. The correlation of MRI findings obtained before commencing the treatment with outcome of non-operative management (Mean of ROM, VAS, SST and OSS) was evaluated. Results: Anterior extracapsular edema significantly correlated with FF, EXR, VAS (a) and OSS. The effusion in humeral side of axillary recess significantly correlated with ROM restriction in ABD, EXR. Capsular thickness of glenoid portion showed good significance with FF, ABD, VAS (a) and OSS. Increased thickness of CHL showed negative correlation with improvement of EXR (P=0.049) (r=-0.617). Thickening of IGHL showed negative correlation with improvement of ABD (p=0.005 r=-0.862) and FF (p=0.007 r=-0.831). Mean Height of Axillary recess (HAR) was 7.2mm (3.5-11mm). HAR showed negative correlation with VAS pain scale (P=0.036) (r=-0.682) and OSS (P=0.038) (r=-0.668). Conclusion: Thickness of the joint capsule and effusion at the axillary fold are important factors for refractory frozen shoulder. We can recommend MRI for refractive cases and low threshold of expectation can be set for conservative management in patients with above findings.

Neutral lipid storage disease with myopathy: clinicopathological and genetic features of nine Iranian patients.

The rare disorder known as Neutral Lipid Storage Disease with Myopathy presents with a variety of clinical manifestations, including myopathy, cardiac dysfunction, and other organ complications. Early diagnosis is crucial due to the increased risk of cardiomyopathy. We describe the clinical, histopathological, muscle imaging, and genetic findings of nine neutral lipid storage myopathy patients. Proximal weakness and asymmetric involvement may suggest lipid storage myopathy. While skeletal muscle weakness was the main manifestation in our patients, one case presented only with hyperCKemia. Additionally, three patients had fertility issues, two suffered from diabetes mellitus, two had cardiomyopathy, and one had a history of hypothyroidism. Muscle histopathology revealed lipid depositions and rimmed vacuoles, prompting peripheral blood smears to detect Jordan Anomalies. All muscle biopsies and peripheral blood smear showed lipid droplets, rimmed vacuoles, and Jordan anomaly. Identifying PNPLA2 gene mutations is important for diagnosing neutral lipid storage myopathy; our cases showed some novel mutations. This study highlights the importance of early diagnosis and comprehensive evaluation in managing neutral lipid storage myopathy cases.

Evaluation of core decompression outcome in systemic lupus erythematosus with hip osteonecrosis: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Osteonecrosis is a major cause of morbidity for patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Although core decompression is an approved and trusted technique to prevent further joint deterioration, this surgical method seems to be less beneficial for SLE patients. We aimed to evaluate the outcomes of core decompression in SLE patients with primary stages of femoral head osteonecrosis. METHODS: In this study, 23 patients (39 affected hip joints) with osteonecrosis of the femoral head with stage II of the disease, based on the Ficat-Arlet classification system, underwent core decompression. Also, patients demographic characteristics, clinical data, medication history, comorbidities, immunological findings, hip plain radiographs, history of total hip arthroplasty after core decompression, and patients satisfaction with joint function according to the Oxford hip score questionnaire were obtained. RESULTS: In the study, 53.8% of affected joints showed signs of radiographic deterioration in follow-up imaging. Sixty-one and a half percent (61.5%) of patients had unsatisfactory joint performance. A third (33.3%) of affected hip joints underwent total hip arthroplasty up to 5 years from core decompression. SLE patients with a history of receiving bisphosphonate were 83.2% less dissatisfied with their joint function than patients without a history of bisphosphonate use (P < 0.02). Of the 23 studied cases, the mean cumulative dose of prednisolone before and after core decompression surgery was 46.41 mg and 14.74 mg respectively. Besides, one case (2.6%) that had a high anti-phospholipid antibodies level during follow-up did not have any radiographic deterioration, and 9 cases (23.1%) had some degrees of radiographic deterioration. CONCLUSIONS: The patients group that used bis-phosphonate, had a higher level of satisfaction with joint function after core decompression. Patients with high-level anti-phospholipid antibodies are related to a poor prognosis after core decompression.

Atypical Presentation of Amyloidosis in a Female Patient with Muscle Weakness.

Muscle involvement represents a well-recognized but rare manifestation of amyloidosis. Here, we report a 40-year-old female who presented with muscle weakness, musculoskeletal pain, and proteinuria, which was eventually diagnosed as myopathic amyloidosis based on muscle biopsy results. A multidisciplinary approach appears to be the cornerstone of the diagnostic work up for recognizing the unusual amyloid myopathy.

Who is the convict; COVID-19 or corticosteroid? Late onset avascular necrosis of hips after COVID-19. A case report with literature review.

AIM: Avascular necrosis (AVN) or osteonecrosis is characterized by death of bone tissue due to endothelial damage and vascular abnormality. Coronavirus can induce endothelial damage and abnormal blood clotting, so that COVID-19 is known as a vascular disease. We aim to evaluate the relationship between AVN and COVID-19. CASE: Here we present a 39-year old man with severe COVID-19 and corticosteroid consumption who developed late onset AVN of both hips 20 month after COVID-19. CONCLUSION: An awareness of the possible osteonecrosis for all physicians dealing with patients with musculoskeletal problems following COVID-19 is necessary.

Effect of curcumin on the expression of NOD2 receptor and pro-inflammatory cytokines in fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLSs) of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies has shown that nucleotide-binding and oligomerization domain-containing protein 2 (NOD2) is expressed in Fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLSs) of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients which is stimulated by muramyl dipeptide (MDP) present in the joint environment and induces inflammation via the NF-κB pathway. Also, other studies have shown that curcumin inhibits proliferation, migration, invasion, and Inflammation and on the other hand increases the apoptosis of RA FLSs. In this study, we aim to evaluate the effect of curcumin, a natural anti-inflammatory micronutrient, on the expression of NOD2 and inflammatory cytokines. METHODS: Synovial membranes were collected from ten patients diagnosed with RA and ten individuals with traumatic injuries scheduled for knee surgery. The FLSs were isolated and treated with 40 µM curcumin alone or in combination with 20.3 µM MDP for 24 h. mRNA was extracted, and real-time PCR was performed to quantitatively measure gene expression levels of NOD2, p65, IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-1ß. RESULTS: The study findings indicate that administering MDP alone can significantly increase the mRNA expression levels of IL-6 and IL-1ß in the trauma group and TNF-α in the RA group. Conversely, administering curcumin alone or in combination whit MDP can significantly reduce mRNA expression levels of P65 and IL-6 in FLSs of both groups. Moreover, in FLSs of RA patients, a single curcumin treatment leads to a significant reduction in NOD2 gene expression. CONCLUSION: This study provides preliminary in vitro evidence of the potential benefits of curcumin as a nutritional supplement for RA patients. Despite the limitations of the study being an investigation of the FLSs of RA patients, the results demonstrate that curcumin has an anti-inflammatory effect on NOD2 and NF-κB genes. These findings suggest that curcumin could be a promising approach to relieve symptoms of RA.

Wharton's jelly-mesenchymal stem cells treatment for severe COVID 19 patients: 1-year follow-up.

Background: Recently, attention has been focused on mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) because of their unique ability to suppress inflammation induced by cytokine storms caused by COVID-19. Several patients have been successfully treated in this manner. After one year of treatment with Wharton's jelly-derived MSC injections, this study evaluated the safety and efficacy of injecting MSCs intravenously in patients with COVID-19. Methods: This study treated four patients with severe COVID-19 with Wharton's jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells. In this study, patients were followed up for routine tests, tumor markers, and whole-body imaging (spiral neck CT scan (with contrast), spiral chest CT scan (with & without contrast), and spiral abdominopelvic CT scan (with IV & Oral contrast)) one year after cell therapy. Results: The results indicated that lymphocyte; lymph count significantly increased, and neutrophil, ESR, ferritin, and CRP significantly decreased. LDH showed a non-significant decrease (P-value<0.05). One year after the WJ-MSC injection, the tumor markers were normal, and no tumors were observed in patients after one year. Also, the CT scan result was normal. Conclusions: In patients, no serious complications were observed after a one-year follow-up. After monitoring the patient via laboratory tests, tumor markers, and whole-body imaging, we concluded that the Wharton jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells did not cause severe complications, including tumor formation, in severe COVID19 patients within a year. More clinical trials with higher sample sizes need to be performed on cell therapy with Wharton jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells in the future.

Langenskiöld classification of tibia vara: a multicenter study on interrater reliability.

Since 1952, when Langenskiöld introduced his six-stage classification on roentgenographic morphologies of tibia vara, this method has been used extensively in Orthopaedic studies. Different studies have tried to determine the reliability of this method. Although there are scarce reports of major variability in using Langenskiöld classification, but the question still remains, as to whether using expert subspecialists and MRI would improve its reliability. The aim of this study is to evaluate inter-rater reliability of Langenskiöld classification using simple radiograph and MRI, by expert raters. This is a cross-sectional multicenter study, involving patients from 4 tertiary pediatric orthopedic centers in France and Iran. Radiograph and MRI (T1, T2, fat saturation) of the affected knees were independently classified by 12 academy members from France and Iran: six pediatric fellowship orthopedic surgeons and six musculoskeletal radiologists. All data were analyzed afterwards by an independent researcher. Mean weighted kappa for agreement based on radiograph and MRI was 0.47 and 0.45, respectively. Mean percent of total agreement was 46.6 and 40.8% in the same order. Kappa statistics for the new grouping were 0.53 and 0.46 for roentgenograms and MRIs, respectively. The new regrouping was proposed so that each group would need a different treatment strategy. Fleiss kappa statistics for group B (stages 2 and 3), rose from (0.33 and 0.09) to 0.44. These values for group C (stages 4 and 5) rose from (0.42 and 0.11) to 0.54. This study concludes that Langenskiöld's classification when used by experts, still has a moderate inter-rater reliability at best. This variability is most at stages 2, 3, and 4; and can cause different treatment approaches. Use of MRI does not have a significant effect on its reliability. Regrouping the stages improved the inter-rater reliability. Level of evidence: III.

Radiomic Analysis of Multi-parametric MR Images (MRI) for Classification of Parotid Tumors.

Background: Characterization of parotid tumors before surgery using multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans can support clinical decision making about the best-suited therapeutic strategy for each patient. Objective: This study aims to differentiate benign from malignant parotid tumors through radiomics analysis of multi-parametric MR images, incorporating T2-w images with ADC-map and parametric maps generated from Dynamic Contrast Enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI). Material and Methods: MRI scans of 31 patients with histopathologically-confirmed parotid gland tumors (23 benign, 8 malignant) were included in this retrospective study. For DCE-MRI, semi-quantitative analysis, Tofts pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling, and five-parameter sigmoid modeling were performed and parametric maps were generated. For each patient, borders of the tumors were delineated on whole tumor slices of T2-w image, ADC-map, and the late-enhancement dynamic series of DCE-MRI, creating regions-of-interest (ROIs). Radiomic analysis was performed for the specified ROIs. Results: Among the DCE-MRI-derived parametric maps, wash-in rate (WIR) and PK-derived Ktrans parameters surpassed the accuracy of other parameters based on support vector machine (SVM) classifier. Radiomics analysis of ADC-map outperformed the T2-w and DCE-MRI techniques using the simpler classifier, suggestive of its inherently high sensitivity and specificity. Radiomics analysis of the combination of T2-w image, ADC-map, and DCE-MRI parametric maps resulted in accuracy of 100% with both classifiers with fewer numbers of selected texture features than individual images. Conclusion: In conclusion, radiomics analysis is a reliable quantitative approach for discrimination of parotid tumors and can be employed as a computer-aided approach for pre-operative diagnosis and treatment planning of the patients.

Cardiopulmonary predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19: What are the findings?

BACKGROUND: Since 2019, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been the leading cause of mortality worldwide. AIMS: To determine independent predictors of mortality in COVID-19, and identify any associations between pulmonary disease severity and cardiac involvement. METHODS: Clinical, laboratory, electrocardiography and computed tomography (CT) imaging data were collected from 389 consecutive patients with COVID-19. Patients were divided into alive and deceased groups. Independent predictors of mortality were identified. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed, based on patients having a troponin concentration>99th percentile (cardiac injury) and a CT severity score ≥18. RESULTS: The mortality rate was 29.3%. Cardiac injury (odds ratio [OR] 2.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14-4.18; P=0.018), CT score ≥18 (OR 2.24, 95% CI 1.15-4.34; P=0.017), localized ST depression (OR 3.77, 95% CI 1.33-10.67; P=0.012), hemiblocks (OR 3.09, 95% CI 1.47-6.48; P=0.003) and history of leukaemia/lymphoma (OR 3.76, 95% CI 1.37-10.29; P=0.010) were identified as independent predictors of mortality. Additionally, patients with cardiac injury and CT score ≥ 18 were identified to have a significantly shorter survival time (mean 14.21 days, 95% CI 10.45-17.98 days) than all other subgroups. There were no associations between CT severity score and electrocardiogram or cardiac injury in our results. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that using CT imaging and electrocardiogram characteristics together can provide a better means of predicting mortality in patients with COVID-19. We identified cardiac injury, CT score ≥18, presence of left or right hemiblocks on initial electrocardiogram, localized ST depression and history of haematological malignancies as independent predictors of mortality in patients with COVID-19.

An unusual case of chest wall glomus tumor presenting with axillary pain: a case report and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Glomus tumor is an uncommon soft tissue tumor. However, as the tumor causes significant disability, its early diagnosis is essential. It involves subungual areas of fingers and toes in most cases, and its extra-digital involvement is rarely seen. To the best of the authors' knowledge, only a few chest wall involvement cases have been reported in the literature. CASE PRESENTATION: In this paper, we describe a 63-year-old patient with a chest wall glomus tumor presenting with axillary paroxysmal pain and limitation in his shoulder range of motion that had been missed for nearly 15 years. His symptoms were relieved immediately following surgical excision. CONCLUSION: Glomus tumors may involve any part of the human body. It is curable with surgical excision in most cases. Therefore, a correct early diagnosis has paramount importance. A high index of suspicion is needed for early diagnosis, especially when the tumor involves uncommon anatomic areas.

Cell therapy in patients with COVID-19 using Wharton's jelly mesenchymal stem cells: a phase 1 clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) have received particular attention because of their ability to modulate the immune system and inhibit inflammation caused by cytokine storms due to SARS-CoV-2. New alternative therapies may reduce mortality rates in patients with COVID19. This study aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of injecting intravenous Wharton's jelly-derived MSCs in patients with COVID-19 as a treatment. METHODS: In this study, five patients with severe COVID-19 were treated with Wharton's jelly-derived mesenchymal stem cells (150 × 106 cells per injection). These patients were subject to three intravenous injections 3 days apart, and monitoring was done on days 0, 3, 6, and 14 in routine tests, inflammatory cytokines, and flow cytometry of CD4 and CD8 markers. A lung CT scan was performed on base and days 14 and 28. In addition, IgM and IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 were measured before and after treatment. RESULTS: The results showed that IL-10 and SDF-1 increased after cell therapy, but VEGF, TGF-ß, IFN-γ, IL-6, and TNFα decreased. Routine hematology tests, myocardial enzyme tests, biochemical tests, and inflammation tests were performed for all patients before and after cell therapy on base and days 3, 6, and 14, which indicated the improvement of test results over time. COVID-19 antibody tests rose in 14 days after WJ-MSC injection. The total score of zonal involvement in both lungs was improved. CONCLUSIONS: In patients, the trend of tests was generally improving, and we experienced a reduction in inflammation. No serious complications were observed in patients except the headache in one of them, which was resolved without medication. In this study, we found that patients with severe COVID-19 in the inflammatory phase respond better to cell therapy. More extensive clinical trials should be performed in this regard. TRIAL REGISTRATION: IRCT, IRCT20190717044241N2 . Registered April 22, 2020.

Machine learning-based prognostic modeling using clinical data and quantitative radiomic features from chest CT images in COVID-19 patients.

OBJECTIVE: To develop prognostic models for survival (alive or deceased status) prediction of COVID-19 patients using clinical data (demographics and history, laboratory tests, visual scoring by radiologists) and lung/lesion radiomic features extracted from chest CT images. METHODS: Overall, 152 patients were enrolled in this study protocol. These were divided into 106 training/validation and 46 test datasets (untouched during training), respectively. Radiomic features were extracted from the segmented lungs and infectious lesions separately from chest CT images. Clinical data, including patients' history and demographics, laboratory tests and radiological scores were also collected. Univariate analysis was first performed (q-value reported after false discovery rate (FDR) correction) to determine the most predictive features among all imaging and clinical data. Prognostic modeling of survival was performed using radiomic features and clinical data, separately or in combination. Maximum relevance minimum redundancy (MRMR) and XGBoost were used for feature selection and classification. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were used to assess the prognostic performance of the models on the test datasets. RESULTS: For clinical data, cancer comorbidity (q-value < 0.01), consciousness level (q-value < 0.05) and radiological score involved zone (q-value < 0.02) were found to have high correlated features with outcome. Oxygen saturation (AUC = 0.73, q-value < 0.01) and Blood Urea Nitrogen (AUC = 0.72, q-value = 0.72) were identified as high clinical features. For lung radiomic features, SAHGLE (AUC = 0.70) and HGLZE (AUC = 0.67) from GLSZM were identified as most prognostic features. Amongst lesion radiomic features, RLNU from GLRLM (AUC = 0.73), HGLZE from GLSZM (AUC = 0.73) had the highest performance. In multivariate analysis, combining lung, lesion and clinical features was determined to provide the most accurate prognostic model (AUC = 0.95 ± 0.029 (95%CI: 0.95-0.96), accuracy = 0.88 ± 0.046 (95% CI: 0.88-0.89), sensitivity = 0.88 ± 0.066 (95% CI = 0.87-0.9) and specificity = 0.89 ± 0.07 (95% CI = 0.87-0.9)). CONCLUSION: Combination of radiomic features and clinical data can effectively predict outcome in COVID-19 patients. The developed model has significant potential for improved management of COVID-19 patients.

Predictive value of initial CT scan for various adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Chest computed tomography (CT) scan is frequently used in the diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia. OBJECTIVES: This study investigates the predictive value of CT severity score (CSS) for length-of-stay (LOS) in hospital, initial disease severity, ICU admission, intubation, and mortality. METHODS: In this retrospective study, initial CT scans of consecutively admitted patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were reviewed in a tertiary hospital. The association of CSS with the severity of disease upon admission and the final adverse outcomes was assessed using Pearson's correlation test and logistic regression, respectively. RESULTS: Total of 121 patients (60±16 years), including 54 women and 67 men, with positive RT-PCR tests were enrolled. We found a significant but weak correlation between CSS and qSOFA, as a measure of disease severity (r: 0.261, p = 0.003). No significant association was demonstrated between CSS and LOS. Patients with CSS>8 had at least three-fold higher risk of ICU admission, intubation, and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: CSS in baseline CT scan of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia can predict adverse outcomes and is weakly correlated with initial disease severity.