An optimized hepatocellular carcinoma prediction model for chronic hepatitis B with well-controlled viremia.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) substantially decreased in the era of potent antiviral therapy. We developed an optimized HCC risk prediction model for CHB with well-controlled viremia by nucelos(t)ide analogs (NUCs). METHOD: We analysed those who achieved virological response (VR; serum HBV-DNA < 2000 IU/mL on two consecutive assessments) by NUCs. Liver stiffness by transient elastography, ultrasonography and laboratory tests was performed at the time of confirmed VR. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis or HCC at baseline were excluded. Multivariate Cox-regression analysis was used to determine key variables to construct a novel risk-scoring model. RESULTS: Among 1511 patients, 9.5% developed HCC. Cirrhosis on ultrasonography (adjusted HR [aHR] 2.47), age (aHR 1.04), male (aHR 1.90), platelet count <135 000/uL (aHR 1.57), albumin <4.5 g/dL (aHR 1.77) and liver stiffness ≥11 kPa (aHR 6.09) were independently associated with HCC. Using these, CAMPAS model was developed with c-index of 0.874. The predicted and observed HCC probabilities were calibrated with a reliable agreement. Such results were reproduced from internal validation and external validation among the independent cohort (n = 252). The intermediate-risk (CAMPAS model score 75 ~ 161) and high-risk (score >161) groups were more likely to develop HCC compared with the low-risk group (score ≤75) with statistical significances (HRs; 4.43 and 47.693 respectively; both P < .001). CONCLUSION: CAMPAS model derived through comprehensive clinical evaluation of liver disease allowed the more delicate HCC prediction for CHB patients with well-controlled viremia by NUCs.

Clonal evolution of multidrug resistant hepatitis B virus during entecavir rescue therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Analysing the mutation pattern of multidrug resistance (MDR) is important in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In this study, the evolutionary pattern of MDR mutations was investigated in patients receiving entecavir (ETV) rescue therapy. METHODS: Eight CHB patients with lamivudine (LAM)- and adefovir (ADV)-resistant mutations showing suboptimal response to ETV and to subsequent ETV-plus-ADV therapy were enrolled. The clonal evolution of the mutation pattern was investigated through direct sequencing, multiplex restriction fragment mass polymorphism (RFMP), and clonal analysis and the utility of these methods was compared. RESULTS: Among 160 clones at baseline, wild-type hepatitis B virus (HBV) was present in 62 (38.8%), LAM-resistant mutations in 92 (57.6%) and ADV-resistant mutations in 55 (34.4%). LAM-resistant mutations increased to 70.6% at the end of ETV therapy and increased to 74.4% at the 12th month of ETV-plus-ADV therapy. During the same time periods, ETV-resistant mutations were present in 46.3% and 38.8%, and ADV-resistant mutations were present in 3.1% and 9.4% respectively. When 256 nucleotides from 32 samples were examined for mutations, clonal analysis detected 93 mutations (36.3%), direct sequencing detected 36 mutations (14.1%) and RFMP detected 73 mutations (28.5%). The sensitivity (73.1%, 95% CI; 64.1-82.1%) and specificity (96.9%, 95% CI; 94.4-99.4%) of RFMP were high, showing a concordance rate of 88.3% with the results from clonal analysis. All mutations exceeding 40% of the total clones detected by clonal analysis were also detected by RFMP. CONCLUSIONS: The clonal evolution of the mutation pattern in MDR HBV showed the selection of LAM-resistant (±ETV-resistant) HBV during ETV rescue therapy, which may be the primary reason for patients' suboptimal response. Multiplex RFMP is a useful method for detecting MDR mutations in clinical practice.

Early on-treatment change in liver stiffness predicts development of liver-related events in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS: Monitoring fibrosis is mandatory for detailed prognostification in patients with chronic liver disease. We developed optimized cut-offs for liver stiffness (LS) values, based on the histological subclassification of cirrhosis, and investigated whether early on-treatment changes in LS values can predict long-term prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related advanced liver fibrosis receiving antiviral therapy. METHODS: Between 2005 and 2008, 103 patients with F3 or F4 fibrosis on liver biopsy were enrolled prospectively. Cirrhosis was subclassified into three groups (F4A, F4B and F4C) according to Laennec system. The primary end-point was occurrence of liver-related event (LRE), including decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related death. RESULTS: Suggested LS cut-offs for predicting F4B-FC (vs. F3-F4A) and F4C (vs. F3-F4B) were 11.6 and 18.2 kPa respectively. As proportions of patients with LRE occurrence increased according to histological subclassifications stage F3-4A vs. F4B-4C (7.4% vs. 17.1%) and stage F3-4B vs. F4C (13.8% vs. 18.8%), they also increased according to LS cut-off value of 11.6 kPa (5.9% vs. 23.1%) and 18.2 kPa (9.8% vs. 33.3%) respectively (all P < 0.05). Similarly, according to stratified LS values (<11.6, 11.6-18.2 and ≥18.2 kPa), overall incidence of LREs and each constituent event increased significantly (all P < 0.05). In addition, the observed changes in LS values between baseline and 6 months of follow-up showed significant correlations with LRE development. CONCLUSIONS: Stratified LS values based on Laennec system and dynamic changes in LS values on follow-up may be helpful in assessing risk of LREs in subjects with HBV-related advanced liver fibrosis receiving antiviral therapy.

Predictive factors for long-term survival in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not currently recommended for patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (PHT); however, recent studies have shown similar post-operative outcomes between patients with and without clinically significant PHT. AIM: To clarify the post-operative prognostic relevance of clinically significant PHT in Child-Pugh A cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A total of 100 Child-Pugh A cirrhotic patients who underwent curative resection of HCC were eligible for this analysis. Patients were divided into two groups: PHT group (n=47) and non-PHT group (n=53). RESULTS: Clinicopathological variables showed no significant differences except for prothrombine time. Liver-related complications were significantly higher in the PHT group (P=0.015), and the 5-year overall survival rate was significantly higher in the non-PHT group (78.7 vs. 37.9%, P<0.001). The proportion of patients who died because of complications of cirrhosis was significantly higher in the PHT group (P=0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that the presence of clinically significant PHT was the most powerful adverse prognostic factor for overall survival. Multivariate analysis of the 47 patients with clinically significant PHT indicated that gross vascular invasion and non-single nodular type were poor prognostic factors. The 5-year survival rate of patients with single nodular type and without gross vascular invasion (n=17) was 78.4%. CONCLUSIONS: In Child-Pugh A cirrhotic patients, the presence of clinically significant PHT was significantly associated with post-operative hepatic decompensation and poor prognosis after resection of HCC. However, in patients with clinically significant PHT, those with single nodular tumours lacking gross vascular invasion may be good surgical candidates.

Clinical stage drugs targeting inhibitor of apoptosis proteins purge episomal Hepatitis B viral genome in preclinical models.

A major unmet clinical need is a therapeutic capable of removing hepatitis B virus (HBV) genome from the liver of infected individuals to reduce their risk of developing liver cancer. A strategy to deliver such a therapy could utilize the ability to target and promote apoptosis of infected hepatocytes. Presently there is no clinically relevant strategy that has been shown to effectively remove persistent episomal covalently closed circular HBV DNA (cccDNA) from the nucleus of hepatocytes. We used linearized single genome length HBV DNA of various genotypes to establish a cccDNA-like reservoir in immunocompetent mice and showed that clinical-stage orally administered drugs that antagonize the function of cellular inhibitor of apoptosis proteins can eliminate HBV replication and episomal HBV genome in the liver. Primary human liver organoid models were used to confirm the clinical relevance of these results. This study underscores a clinically tenable strategy for the potential elimination of chronic HBV reservoirs in patients.

Radiation-induced hepatic toxicity after radiotherapy combined with chemotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: The purpose of the present study was to analyze hepatic toxicity following radiotherapy combined with regional chemotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: From 2001 to 2003, a total of 132 patients with HCC received 3-D conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) combined with chemotherapy. Patients were divided into two groups based on drug localization: the transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) group, where the chemotherapeutic drug (adriamycin) was localized within the tumor, and the non-TACE group, where the drugs (adriamycin, cisplatin, 5-fluorouracil) were diffusely spread over the entire liver. RESULTS: Patients were evaluated by biochemical parameters for any hepatic toxicity prior to, during, and until 12 months after 3D-CRT. Hepatic toxicity was defined as radiation-induced liver disease (RILD) or combined modality-induced liver disease (CMILD), which is defined as RILD with abnormal elevation of total bilirubin levels. In the TACE group, three patients developed RILD (5.6%) and none developed CMILD. In the non-TACE group, three patients (3.7%) and seven patients (8.8%) developed RILD and CMILD, respectively. CONCLUSION: Hepatic toxicity following radiotherapy combined with regional chemotherapy for HCC might be influenced by the distribution of the chemotherapeutic drugs. A more precise understanding of hepatic toxicity from chemoradiotherapy will help design optimal treatments for HCC.