First-Ever Ischemic Stroke and Incident Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in 93 627 Older Women and Men.

Background and Purpose- Stroke risk is sex-specific, but little is known about sex differences of poststroke major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Stroke-related brain damage causes autonomic dysfunction and inflammation, sometimes resulting in cardiac complications. Sex-specific cardiovascular susceptibility to stroke without the confounding effect of preexisting heart disease constitutes an unexplored field because previous studies focusing on sex differences in poststroke MACE have not excluded patients with known cardiovascular comorbidities. We therefore investigated sex-specific risks of incident MACE in a heart disease-free population-based cohort of patients with first-ever ischemic stroke and propensity-matched individuals without stroke. Methods- We included Ontario residents ≥66 years, without known cardiovascular comorbidities, with first-ever ischemic stroke between 2002 and 2012 and propensity-matched individuals without stroke. We investigated the 1-year risk of incident MACE (acute coronary syndrome, myocardial infarction, incident coronary artery disease, coronary revascularization procedures, incident heart failure, or cardiovascular death) separately for females and males. For estimating cause-specific adjusted hazard ratios, we adjusted Cox models for variables with weighted standardized differences >0.10 or those known to influence MACE risk. Results- We included 93 627 subjects without known cardiovascular comorbidities; 21 931 with first-ever ischemic stroke and 71 696 propensity-matched subjects without stroke. Groups were well-balanced on propensity-matching variables. There were 53 476 women (12 421 with and 41 055 without ischemic stroke) and 40 151 men (9510 with and 30 641 without ischemic stroke). First-ever ischemic stroke was associated with increased risk of incident MACE in both sexes. The risk was time-dependent, highest within 30 days (women: adjusted hazard ratio, 25.1 [95% CI, 19.3-32.6]; men: aHR, 23.4 [95% CI, 17.2-31.9]) and decreasing but remaining significant between 31 and 90 days (women: aHR, 4.8 [95% CI, 3.8-6.0]; men: aHR, 4.2 [95% CI, 3.3-5.4]), and 91 to 365 days (aHR, 2.1 [95% CI, 1.8-2.3]; men: aHR, 2.0 [95% CI, 1.7-2.3]). Conclusions- In this large population-based study, ischemic stroke was independently associated with increased risk of incident MACE in both sexes.

Factors associated with endocrine therapy adherence among post-menopausal women treated for early-stage breast cancer in Ontario, Canada.

PURPOSE: Adherence to adjuvant endocrine therapy among post-menopausal breast cancer patients is an important survivorship care issue. We explored factors associated with endocrine therapy adherence and survival in a large real-world population-based study. METHODS: We used health administrative databases to follow women (aged ≥ 66 years) who were diagnosed with breast cancer and started on adjuvant endocrine therapy from 2005 to 2010. Adherence was measured by medical possession ratio (MPR) and characterized as low (< 39% MPR), intermediate (40-79% MPR), or high (≥ 80% MPR) over a 5-year period. We investigated factors associated with adherence using a multinomial logistic regression model. Factors associated with all-cause mortality (5 years after starting endocrine therapy) were investigated using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: We identified 5692 eligible patients starting adjuvant endocrine therapy who had low, intermediate, and high adherence rates of 13% (n = 749), 13% (n = 733), and 74% (n = 4210), respectively. Lower rates of adherence were associated with increased age [low vs. high adherence: odds ratio (OR) 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.05 (per year); intermediate vs. high adherence: OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.04 (per year)]. High adherence was associated with previous use of adjuvant chemotherapy (low versus high adherence OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.30-0.59) and short-term follow-up with a medical oncologist within 4 months of starting endocrine therapy (low versus high adherence OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.69-0.99). Unadjusted analysis showed increased survival among patients with high endocrine therapy adherence. However, an independent association was no longer clearly detected after controlling for confounders. CONCLUSION: Interventions to improve adjuvant endocrine therapy adherence are warranted. Non-adherence may be a more significant issue among elderly patients. Short-term follow-up visit by a patient's medical oncologist after starting endocrine therapy may help to improve compliance.

Determinants of Direct Discharge Home From Critical Care Units: A Population-Based Cohort Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To describe trends and patient and system factors associated with direct discharge from critical care to home in a large health system. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study of direct discharge to home rates annually over 10 years. We used a multivariable, multilevel random-effects regression model to analyze current factors associated with direct discharge home in a subcohort from the most recent 2 years. SETTING: One hundred seventy-four ICUs in 101 hospitals in Ontario. PATIENTS: All patients discharged from an ICU between April 1, 2007, and March 31, 2017. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Overall, 237,200 patients (21.1%) were discharged directly home from an ICU. The rate of direct discharge to home increased from 18.6% in 2007 to 23.1% in 2017 (annual increase of 1.02; 95% CI, 1.02-1.03). There were marked variations in rates of direct discharge to home across all critical care units. For medical and surgical units, the median odds ratio was 1.76 (95% CI, 1.59-1.92). In these units, direct discharge to home was associated with younger age (odds ratio, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.34-0.39 for age 80-105 vs age 18-39), fewer comorbidities (odds ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.63-1.85 for Charlson comorbidity index of 0 vs 2), diagnoses of overdose/poisoning (odds ratio, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.23-1.47) and diabetic complications (odds ratio, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.2-1.51), and admission after a same-day procedure (odds ratio, 2.82; 95% CI, 2.46-3.23 compared with emergency department). ICU occupancy was inversely associated with direct discharge to home with an odds ratio of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.87-0.88) for each 10% increase. CONCLUSIONS: High rates of direct discharge to home with evidence of significant practice variation combined with identifiable patient characteristics suggest that further evaluation of this increasingly common transition in care is warranted.

Risks of preoperative anemia in women undergoing elective hysterectomy and myomectomy.

BACKGROUND: Hysterectomy is one of the most common surgeries performed worldwide. Identification of modifiable risk factors for complications or readmissions could lead to targeted interventions to improve patient care and reduce health care costs. Preoperative anemia has been identified as a risk factor for adverse postoperative outcomes following noncardiac surgery. However, studies have not focused on young and healthy surgical populations, such as women undergoing gynecologic surgery for benign indications. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether preoperative anemia in women undergoing elective hysterectomy or myomectomy for benign indications was associated with increased 30 day postoperative morbidity and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: In this retrospective, population-based cohort study, we followed up adult women (≥18 years of age) who underwent elective hysterectomy or myomectomy (laparoscopic/laparotomy) between the years 2013 and 2015 for benign indications in Ontario, Canada. We used linked administrative data from a government-administered, single-payer provincial health care system using Canadian Classification of Health Interventions intervention codes, International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision, diagnostic codes, physician billing codes, and laboratory data from both community and hospital laboratories across the province. Our exposure of interest was preoperative anemia, defined as a hemoglobin value <12 g/dL on the complete blood count measured closest to the date of surgery. Our primary outcome was the composite of 30 day postoperative morbidity and mortality. Secondary outcomes were 5 individual components of the primary outcome: death, transfusion, surgical site infection, venothromboembolism, and return to the hospital within 30 days. To adjust for confounding, we generated a propensity score using a multiple logistic regression model in which the presence of anemia was regressed on all baseline characteristics. We matched anemic to nonanemic patients on the logit of the propensity score. Using an unadjusted log-binomial model estimated using generalized estimating equations to account for the matched pairs, we calculated the relative risk, 95% confidence intervals, and P values to evaluate the effect of anemia on outcomes. RESULTS: Of the 16,218 women in the cohort, 3664 (22.6%) had anemia. After propensity matching, standardized differences in all baseline characteristics (n = 3261 per group) were <0.10. In the matched cohort, the primary outcome (death, complications, or readmission) occurred in 41.2% of anemic patients and 36.2% of nonanemic patients (relative risk, 1.14, 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.21, P < .0001; absolute risk reduction, 5.03%, 95% confidence interval, 2.70-7.36; (number needed to harm = 20). The risk of transfusion was significantly higher in anemic patients (relative risk, 3.25, 95% confidence interval, 2.67-3.95, P < .0001; absolute risk reduction, 8.34%, 95% confidence interval, 7.06-9.63; number needed to harm = 12). There was no difference in other secondary outcomes. In a subgroup analysis (women >55 years vs ≤55, n = 736), older women were at increased risk of the primary outcome (relative risk, 1.40, 95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.76, P = .004), transfusion (relative risk, 4.20, 95% confidence interval, 1.65-10.72, P = .003), surgical site infection (relative risk, 1.35, 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.81, P = .04), and return to the hospital (relative risk, 2.36, 95% confidence interval, 1.54-3.62, P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Preoperative anemia in women undergoing elective hysterectomy/myomectomy was common and is an independent risk factor for 30 day postoperative adverse outcomes, especially in older women.

Association between known or strongly suspected malignant hyperthermia susceptibility and postoperative outcomes: an observational population-based study.

PURPOSE: Whether current standards of care management for malignant hyperthermia (MH)-susceptible patients result in acceptable postoperative clinical outcomes at a population level is not known. Our objective was to determine if patients with susceptibility to MH experienced similar outcomes as patients without MH susceptibility after surgery under general anesthesia. METHODS: This was a retrospective, population-based cohort study from 1 April 2009 until 31 March 2016 in the Canadian province of Ontario. Participants were adults who underwent common in- or outpatient surgeries under general anesthesia. The exposure studied was either known or strongly suspected MH susceptibility as determined by usage of a specific physician billing code. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, hospital readmission, or major postoperative complications, all within 30 postoperative days. Separate analyses were employed, based on whether a patient had in- or outpatient surgery. Inverse probability of exposure weighting based on the propensity score was used to estimate adjusted exposure effects. RESULTS: The cohort included 957,876 patients (583,254 in- and 374,622 outpatients). There were 2,900 (0.3%) patients with a known or strong suspicion of MH susceptibility. For inpatients, the primary outcome occurred in 146,192 (25.1%) of the non-MH-susceptible group and in 337 (20.1%) of the MH-susceptible group (unadjusted risk difference [RD], -5.0%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -6.9 to -3.1%; P < 0.001). In outpatients, the primary outcome occurred in 9,146 (2.4%) of the non-MH-susceptible group and in 32 (2.6%) of the MH-susceptible group (RD, 0.2%; 95% CI, -0.7 to 1.1%; P = 0.72). After adjustment, MH susceptibility was not associated with the primary outcome in either the inpatients (adjusted risk difference [aRD], 1.2%; 95% CI, -1.3 to 3.6%; P = 0.35) or outpatients (aRD, -0.1%; 95% CI -1.0 to 0.9%; P = 0.90). CONCLUSIONS: Among adults in Ontario who underwent common surgeries under general anesthesia from 2009 to 2016, known or strongly suspected MH was not associated with a higher risk of adverse postoperative outcomes. These findings support the current standard of care management for MH-susceptible patients.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Nous ignorons si les normes actuelles de gestion des soins de patients susceptibles d'hyperthermie maligne (HM) aboutissent à des résultats cliniques postopératoires acceptables à l'échelle d'une population. Notre objectif a été de déterminer si des patients présentant une susceptibilité à l'HM présentaient une évolution comparable à celle des patients non connus susceptibles après chirurgie sous anesthésie générale. MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une étude de cohorte rétrospective, basée sur une population de la province canadienne de l'Ontario allant du 1er avril 2009 au 31 mars 2016. Les participants étaient des adultes, hospitalisés ou ambulatoires, ayant subi des interventions sous anesthésie générale. L'exposition étudiée était une susceptibilité à l'HM connue ou fortement suspectée, déterminée par l'utilisation d'un code de facturation spécifique des médecins. Le critère d'évaluation principal était un critère composite incluant les décès toutes causes confondues, les réadmissions hospitalières ou les complications postopératoires majeures qui étaient survenus dans un délai de 30 jours postopératoires. Des analyses séparées ont été utilisées, selon que les patients avaient été hospitalisés ou opérés en chirurgie d'un jour. La probabilité inverse de la pondération de l'exposition basée sur le score pour la propension a servi à estimer les effets ajustés de l'exposition. RéSULTATS: La cohorte a inclus 957 876 patients (583 254 patients hospitalisés et 374 622 patients ambulatoires). Parmi eux, 2 900 patients (0,3 %) avaient une susceptibilité à l'HM connue ou fortement suspectée. Pour les patients hospitalisés, le critère d'évaluation principal est survenu chez 146 192 (25,1 %) des patients du groupe non susceptible d'HM et chez 337 (20,1 %) patients du groupe susceptible d'HM (différence de risques [DR] non ajustée : −5,0 %; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 % : −6,9 % à −3,1 %; P < 0,001). Pour les patients ambulatoires, le critère d'évaluation principal est survenu chez 9 146 (2,4 %) des patients du groupe non susceptible d'HM et chez 32 (2,6 %) patients du groupe susceptible d'HM (différence de risques [DR] non ajustée : 0,2 %; IC à 95 % : −0,7 % à 1,1 %; P = 0,72). Après ajustement, la susceptibilité à l'HM ne s'est pas avérée associée au critère d'évaluation principal dans le groupe de patients hospitalisés (différence de risques ajustée [DRa], 1,2 %; IC à 95 % : −1,3 % à 3,6 %; P = 0,35) ou dans le groupe de patients ambulatoires (DRa : −0,1 %; IC à 95 % : −1,0 % à 0,9 %; P = 0,90). CONCLUSIONS: Parmi les adultes de la province de l'Ontario ayant subi des interventions chirurgicales usuelles sous anesthésie générale entre 2009 et 2016, l'HM connue ou fortement suspectée n'a pas été associée à un plus grand risque d'évolution postopératoire défavorable. Ces constatations sont en faveur du maintien des normes des soins actuels pour la gestion des patients susceptibles d'HM.

Higher surgeon annual volume, but not years of experience, is associated with reduced rates of postoperative complications and reoperations after open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVE: Volume-outcome relationships for open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair have received less attention in publicly funded health systems. Furthermore, the roles of surgeon seniority (years of experience) and composite volume (encompassing all major arterial cases) on outcomes after open AAA repair are less well known. We sought to determine the effects of surgeon volume, surgeon years of experience, and composite volume on outcomes after elective open AAA repairs performed in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: Using a population-based, prospectively collected health administrative database, all elective open AAA repairs occurring in the province of Ontario from 2005 to 2014 were identified. Surgeon annual volume was classified by quintiles, with the highest volume quintile acting as the reference category. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used, adjusting for patient factors (age, sex, comorbidities, year of procedure, income) to investigate the relationship between surgeon annual volume and 30-day mortality, 30-day major complications, 30-day reoperations, 1-year mortality, and 1-year reoperations (related to index procedure). The potential effects of annual surgeon composite volume and surgeon years of experience on postoperative outcomes were also explored. RESULTS: A total of 7211 elective open AAA repairs performed by 101 surgeons were identified between 2005 and 2014. Most of the operations were performed by vascular surgeons (81.5%), followed by cardiac (12.1%) and general surgeons (6.1%). Median number of procedures in the lowest quintile group was 3 repairs/y, whereas the highest quintile group performed 54 repairs/y. Overall 30-day mortality was 3%. No difference in mortality was detected in comparing the lowest with the highest volume groups (1.89% vs 3.01%; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.60; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27-1.33). The lowest volume group exhibited a higher 30-day complication rate (28.0% vs 20.4%; OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.15-2.06) and 30-day reoperation rate (10.53% vs 6.73%; OR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.13-2.38) compared with the highest volume group. No effect of surgeon volume on 1-year mortality or 1-year reoperation was observed. Similarly, composite volume and surgeon years of experience were not associated with postoperative outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In a single-payer system with a relatively high number of open AAA repairs/surgeon per year, surgeon annual volume had no effect on postoperative mortality but was associated with lower postoperative complication and reoperation rates.

Association Between Handover of Anesthesia Care and Adverse Postoperative Outcomes Among Patients Undergoing Major Surgery.

Importance: Handing over the care of a patient from one anesthesiologist to another occurs during some surgeries and might increase the risk of adverse outcomes. Objective: To assess whether complete handover of intraoperative anesthesia care is associated with higher likelihood of mortality or major complications compared with no handover of care. Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective population-based cohort study (April 1, 2009-March 31, 2015 set in the Canadian province of Ontario) of adult patients aged 18 years and older undergoing major surgeries expected to last at least 2 hours and requiring a hospital stay of at least 1 night. Exposure: Complete intraoperative handover of anesthesia care from one physician anesthesiologist to another compared with no handover of anesthesia care. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, hospital readmission, or major postoperative complications, all within 30 postoperative days. Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the primary outcome. Inverse probability of exposure weighting based on the propensity score was used to estimate adjusted exposure effects. Results: Of the 313 066 patients in the cohort, 56% were women; the mean (SD) age was 60 (16) years; 49% of surgeries were performed in academic centers; 72% of surgeries were elective; and the median duration of surgery was 182 minutes (interquartile [IQR] range, 124-255). A total of 5941 (1.9%) patients underwent surgery with complete handover of anesthesia care. The percentage of patients undergoing surgery with a handover of anesthesiology care progressively increased each year of the study, reaching 2.9% in 2015. In the unweighted sample, the primary outcome occurred in 44% of the complete handover group compared with 29% of the no handover group. After adjustment, complete handovers were statistically significantly associated with an increased risk of the primary outcome (adjusted risk difference [aRD], 6.8% [95% CI, 4.5% to 9.1%]; P < .001), all-cause death (aRD, 1.2% [95% CI, 0.5% to 2%]; P = .002), and major complications (aRD, 5.8% [95% CI, 3.6% to 7.9%]; P < .001), but not with hospital readmission within 30 days of surgery (aRD, 1.2% [95% CI, -0.3% to 2.7%]; P = .11). Conclusions and Relevance: Among adults undergoing major surgery, complete handover of intraoperative anesthesia care compared with no handover was associated with a higher risk of adverse postoperative outcomes. These findings may support limiting complete anesthesia handovers.

Medical use of cocaine and perioperative morbidity following sinonasal surgery-A population study.

BACKGROUND: Topical cocaine is favoured by many surgeons for sinonasal surgery due to its superior vasoconstrictive and anesthetic properties. However, historical reports suggesting cocaine is associated with an increased risk of cardiac events have led many surgeons to turn to alternative topical medications. The objective of this study was to determine whether cocaine use during sinonasal surgery is associated with an increased risk of perioperative cardiac events and death. METHODS: We conducted a population-based analysis of patients undergoing sinonasal surgery from 2009-2016 using linked administrative health care data sets in Ontario, Canada. We compared patients treated at institutions that primarily use topical cocaine (exposed group) to those treated at institutions that do not use cocaine (unexposed group). Our primary outcome was a composite of major cardiac events or all-cause mortality within 48 hours of surgery. Due to low event rates, the outcome was compared using a Fisher's exact test. RESULTS: Of 10,549 patients who were included in the study, 27.4% were treated at an institution that uses topical cocaine. The rate of the composite of perioperative major cardiac event or all-cause mortality within 48 hours of surgery in the exposed and unexposed groups was, ≤0.2% and 0 (p-value>0.05), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this large real-world cohort of patients undergoing sinonasal surgery, there does not appear to be any significant increased risk of morbidity or mortality associated with cocaine use. These findings have important implications for surgeons performing this procedure.

First-ever ischemic stroke and increased risk of incident heart disease in older adults.

OBJECTIVE: Poststroke cardiac complications are common. It is unknown whether the reason is shared risk factors and preexisting heart disease or stroke-associated myocardial and coronary injury. We tested the hypothesis that first-ever ischemic stroke is associated with increased risk of incident cardiovascular complications in patients without known preexisting cardiac comorbid conditions. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included residents in Ontario between 2002 and 2012 who were ≥66 years of age without known cardiovascular disease. We compared the incident risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as myocardial infarction, unstable angina, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, coronary artery revascularization, or cardiovascular death, at 1 year in patients with first-ever ischemic stroke vs propensity-matched individuals without stroke (4:1 matching using 31 variables). To estimate cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs), we used Cox regression models adjusted for variables with weighted standardized differences >0.10 or known to influence the risk of MACE. RESULTS: We included 21,931 patients with first-ever ischemic stroke and 71,696 propensity-matched individuals, well balanced on all variables used for propensity matching. First-ever ischemic stroke was associated with increased unadjusted incident MACE risk (HR 4.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.3-4.8). MACE adjusted risk was highest in the first 30 days (HR 25.0, 95% CI 20.5-30.5) and declined both at 31 to 90 days (HR 4.8, 95% CI 4.1-5.7) and at 91 to 365 days (HR 2.2, 95% CI 2.0-2.4). CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based study, ischemic stroke was independently associated with increased risk of incident MACE. Whether this association is explained by stroke-associated cardiac injury, preexisting subclinical cardiovascular comorbid conditions, or both remains unknown.

Epilepsy risk among survivors of intensive care unit hospitalization for sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether survivors of intensive care unit (ICU) hospitalizations with sepsis experience higher epilepsy risk than survivors of ICU hospitalizations without sepsis, and to identify sepsis survivors at highest risk. METHODS: We used linked, administrative health care databases to conduct a population-based, retrospective matched cohort study of adult Ontario residents discharged from an ICU between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2015, identified using the Discharge Abstract Database. We used propensity scores to match patients who experienced sepsis during their index ICU hospitalization with up to 4 patients who did not experience sepsis. We applied marginal Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the risk of epilepsy within 2 years following the index ICU hospitalization. Among sepsis survivors, Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify factors associated with epilepsy. RESULTS: A total of 143,892 patients were included, 32,252 (22.4%) of whom were exposed. Sepsis survivors were at significantly higher epilepsy risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.80). The risk of epilepsy marginally decreased with increasing age (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.96-0.99); patients with chronic kidney disease (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.48-3.43) were at highest risk. CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world analysis, sepsis survivors, particularly those who are younger and have chronic kidney disease, are at significantly higher epilepsy risk. These findings indicate that sepsis may be an unrecognized epilepsy risk factor.

Impact of Deferring Critically Ill Children Away from Their Designated Pediatric Critical Care Unit: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of deferring critically ill children in referral hospitals away from their designated pediatric critical care unit (PCCU) on patients and the healthcare system is unknown. We aimed to identify factors associated with deferrals and patient outcomes and to study the impact of a referral policy implemented to balance PCCU bed capacity with regional needs. METHODS: We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of admissions to a PCCU following inter-facility transport from 2004 to 2016 in Ontario, Canada. RESULTS: Of 10,639 inter-facility transfers, 24.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 23.5-26.1%) were deferred during pre-implementation and 16.0% (95% CI: 15.1-16.9%) during post-implementation of a referral policy. Several factors, including previous intensive care unit admissions, residence location, presenting hospital factors, patient co-morbidities, specific designated PCCUs and winter (versus summer) season, were associated with deferral status. Deferrals were not associated with increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Deferral from a designated PCCU does not confer an increased risk of death. Implementation of a referral policy was associated with a consistent referral pattern in 84% of transfers.

Attained pregnancy among women with a prosthetic heart valve.

BACKGROUND: Women with prosthetic heart valves are at higher risk for adverse outcomes during pregnancy. The rates of achieved pregnancy, regardless of the pregnancy outcome, are largely unknown in this group of women. OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of pregnancy in women with prior heart valve replacement, and compare that to women without known heart disease. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective matched population-based cohort study was done between April 1994 and March 2017, in Ontario, Canada, where universal health care is available. Administrative healthcare databases were used to identify study participants, exposures and outcomes. Each woman of child-bearing age who had a bioprosthetic or mechanical mitral or aortic valve replacement (valve replacement group) was matched to four women without heart disease (community comparison group) -- by age, year of cohort entry, any recent prior pregnancy, geographic area of residence and income level. Starting after the date of cohort entry (defined as the date valve replacement date in the valve replacement group), participants were assessed for a recognized pregnancy, namely, a livebirth, stillbirth, miscarriage or induced abortion. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were further adjusted for age, immigrant status and comorbid medical conditions. RESULTS: 1596 women with a valve replacement were matched with 6378 women in the community comparison group. After a median (interquartile range, IQR) duration of follow-up of 3.1 (1.0-5.6) and 2.7 (1.0-6.0) years, respectively, 98 women in the valve replacement group achieved a recognized pregnancy (0.63 per 100 person-years), compared to 607 women in the community comparison group (0.88 per 100 person-years) - an adjusted HR of 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.89). Within the valve replacement group, those with a mechanical valve were less likely to achieve a recognized pregnancy than those with a bioprosthetic valve (adjusted HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.38-0.87). CONCLUSION: Women who undergo aortic or mitral valve replacement are less likely to achieve a pregnancy than matched counterparts without heart disease. This information, and the reasons for why this is so, can inform decisions about the timing of valve replacement and pregnancy planning.

The risk of new-onset epilepsy and refractory epilepsy in older adult stroke survivors.

OBJECTIVE: Our study objectives were to identify factors associated with new-onset epilepsy and refractory epilepsy among older adult stroke survivors and to evaluate the receipt of diagnostic care and mortality for participants who developed epilepsy. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study using linked, administrative health care databases. The Ontario Stroke Registry was used to identify patients 67 years and older who were hospitalized for a stroke at a designated stroke center in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2003, and March 31, 2009, and were previously free of epilepsy. Multivariable Fine-Gray hazard models were used to examine risk factors of epilepsy and refractory epilepsy, accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: Among 19,138 older adults hospitalized for a stroke, 210 (1.1%) developed epilepsy and 27 (12.9%) became refractory to antiepileptic drugs. Within 1 year of epilepsy diagnosis, 24 (11.4%) patients were assessed with EEG and 19 (9.0%) with MRI. In multivariable analysis, younger age and thrombolysis receipt significantly increased epilepsy risk. Lesser stroke severity and anticoagulant medication receipt also significantly increased epilepsy risk; however, these effects decreased over time. Younger age and female sex were the only risk factors of refractory epilepsy. In the 5 years following epilepsy diagnosis, 97 (46.2%) participants died of any cause. CONCLUSIONS: Older adult stroke survivors are less likely to develop epilepsy and pharmacologically refractory epilepsy. An estimated 86.6% of deaths among older adult stroke survivors with new-onset epilepsy are attributed to causes other than stroke or epilepsy.

Declining hospitalisation and surgical intervention rates in patients with Crohn's disease: a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND: Lifetime risk of surgery in patients with Crohn's disease remains high. AIM: To assess population-level markers of Crohn's disease (CD) in the era of biological therapy. METHODS: Population-based cohort study using administrative data from Ontario, Canada including 45 235 prevalent patients in the Ontario Crohn's and Colitis Cohort (OCCC) from 1 April 2003 to 31 March 2014. RESULTS: CD-related hospitalisations declined 32.4% from 2003 to 2014 from 154/1000 (95% confidence interval (CI) [150, 159]) patients to 104/1000 (95% CI [101, 107]) (P < .001). There was a 39.6% decline in in-patient surgeries from 53/1000 (95% CI [50, 55]) to 32/1000 (95% CI [30, 34]) from 2003 to 2014 (P < .001). In-patient surgeries were mostly bowel resections. Out-patient surgeries increased from 8/1000 (95% CI [7, 9]) patients to 12/1000 (95% CI [10, 13]) (P < .001). Out-patient surgeries were largely related to fistulas and perianal disease and for stricture dilations/stricturoplasty. CD-related emergency department (ED) visits declined 28.4% from 141/1000 (95% CI [137, 146]) cases to 101/1000 (95% CI [99, 104]) from 2003 to 2014 (P < .001). Over the same time, patients receiving government drug benefits received infliximab or adalimumab at a combined rate of 2.2% in 2003 which increased to 18.8% of eligible patients by 2014. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of hospitalisations, ED visits and in-patient surgeries markedly declined in Ontario over the study period, while rates of biologic medication use increased markedly for those receiving public drug benefits.

Profile of CPAP treated patients in Ontario, Canada, 2006-2013: a population-based cohort study.

RATIONALE: Many studies have demonstrated the benefits of treating obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP). However, both recognition of OSA and acceptance of treatment are suboptimal. Current data on CPAP initiation at a population level is lacking. OBJECTIVES: The objectives were to determine the rate of CPAP initiations in Ontario, Canada (population ∼13,000,000), and to profile these individuals over time. METHODS: We conducted a population based cohort study between 2006 and 2013. All adults who initiated CPAP for OSA were included. Patient characteristics, comorbidities and health care utilization at the time of CPAP initiation were derived from provincial health administrative data. Changes in patient characteristics over time were assessed. RESULTS: Over eight years, 216,514 individuals initiated CPAP therapy in comparison to 802,188 individuals who underwent diagnostic polysomnography (PSG) during that time. The rate of new CPAP initiations increased from 18.6/10,000 in 2006 to 28.7/10,000 in 2008 and then plateaued with an annual increase of less than 1/10,000 from 2008 to 2013. More women and middle aged (50+) individuals initiated CPAP as did more low income Ontarians. Comorbidities were common and the frequency of congestive heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and cancer increased during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Over an eight year period CPAP initiation appears to have plateaued in spite of increasing PSG testing; however, those receiving treatment with CPAP are increasingly complex and a greater proportion are women.

Youth Mental Health Services Utilization Rates After a Large-Scale Social Media Campaign: Population-Based Interrupted Time-Series Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Despite the uptake of mass media campaigns, their overall impact remains unclear. Since 2011, a Canadian telecommunications company has operated an annual, large-scale mental health advocacy campaign (Bell Let's Talk) focused on mental health awareness and stigma reduction. In February 2012, the campaign began to explicitly leverage the social media platform Twitter and incented participation from the public by promising donations of Can $0.05 for each interaction with a campaign-specific username (@Bell_LetsTalk). OBJECTIVE: The intent of the study was to examine the impact of this 2012 campaign on youth outpatient mental health services in the province of Ontario, Canada. METHODS: Monthly outpatient mental health visits (primary health care and psychiatric services) were obtained for the Ontario youth aged 10 to 24 years (approximately 5.66 million visits) from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2015. Interrupted time series, autoregressive integrated moving average modeling was implemented to evaluate the impact of the campaign on rates of monthly outpatient mental health visits. A lagged intervention date of April 1, 2012 was selected to account for the delay required for a patient to schedule and attend a mental health-related physician visit. RESULTS: The inclusion of Twitter into the 2012 Bell Let's Talk campaign was temporally associated with an increase in outpatient mental health utilization for both males and females. Within primary health care environments, female adolescents aged 10 to 17 years experienced a monthly increase in the mental health visit rate from 10.2/1000 in April 2006 to 14.1/1000 in April 2015 (slope change of 0.094 following campaign, P<.001), whereas males of the same age cohort experienced a monthly increase from 9.7/1000 to 9.8/1000 (slope change of 0.052 following campaign, P<.001). Outpatient psychiatric services visit rates also increased for both male and female adolescents aged 10 to 17 years post campaign (slope change of 0.005, P=.02; slope change of 0.003, P=.005, respectively). For young adults aged 18 to 24 years, females who used primary health care experienced the most significant increases in mental health visit rates from 26.5/1000 in April 2006 to 29.2/1000 in April 2015 (slope change of 0.17 following campaign, P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: The 2012 Bell Let's Talk campaign was temporally associated with an increase in the rate of mental health visits among Ontarian youth. Furthermore, there appears to be an upward trend of youth mental health utilization in the province of Ontario, especially noticeable in females who accessed primary health care services.

Beyond the grey tsunami: a cross-sectional population-based study of multimorbidity in Ontario.

OBJECTIVES: To determine volumes and rates of multimorbidity in Ontario by age group, sex, material deprivation, and geography. METHODS: A cross-sectional population-based study was completed using linked provincial health administrative databases. Ontario residents were classified as having multimorbidity (3+ chronic conditions) or not, based on the presence of 17 chronic conditions. The volumes (number of residents) of multimorbidity were determined by age categories in addition to crude and age-sex standardized rates. RESULTS: Among the 2013 Ontario population, 15.2% had multimorbidity. Multimorbidity rates increased across successively older age groups with lowest rates observed in youngest (0-17 years, 0.2%) and highest rates in the oldest (80+ years, 73.5%). The rate of multimorbidity increased gradually from ages 0 to 44 years, with a substantial and graded increase in the rates as the population aged. The top five chronic conditions, of the 17 examined, among those with multimorbidity were mood disorders, hypertensive disorders, asthma, arthritis, and diabetes. CONCLUSION: Much of the common rhetoric around multimorbidity concerns the aging 'grey tsunami'. This study demonstrated that the volume of multimorbidity is derived from adults beginning as young as age 35 years old. A focus only on the old underestimates the absolute burden of multimorbidity on the health care system. It can mask the association of material deprivation and geography with multimorbidity which can turn our attention away from two critical issues: (1) potential inequality in health and health care in Ontario and (2) preventing younger and middle-aged people from moving into the multimorbidity category.

Trends in Early Hospital Readmission After Kidney Transplantation, 2002 to 2014: A Population-Based Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Early hospital readmission (EHR) is associated with morbidity, mortality, and significant healthcare costs. However, trends over time in EHR events in kidney transplant recipients have not been examined. We conducted a population-based cohort study using linked healthcare databases from Ontario, Canada, to determine whether the EHR incidence has changed from 2002 to 2014 in kidney transplant recipients. METHODS: We defined EHR as an unplanned admission for any reason to an acute care hospital within 30 days of being discharged from the hospital for transplantation; admissions for elective procedures were excluded. RESULTS: We included 5437 kidney transplant recipients. More recently transplanted recipients (2011 to 2014 vs 2002 to 2004) were older and more likely to have coronary artery disease. A total of 1128 (20.7%) kidney transplant recipients experienced an EHR. There was no trend in EHR across eras with a 30-day cumulative incidence of 23.0%, 21.4%, 18.4%, and 21.0% (P for trend =0.197) for the years 2002 to 2004, 2005 to 2007, 2008 to 2010, and 2011 to 2014, respectively. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, we found no association between era of transplant and EHR. When examining variation in EHR across the 6 adult transplant centers, we found the 30-day cumulative incidence varied significantly from 15.5% to 27.1% (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: One in 5 kidney transplant recipients will experience an EHR; however, an increase in EHR over time has not been observed despite increasing recipient age and comorbidities.

Elevated Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke in Patients With Atrial Flutter-A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of stroke from atrial flutter and its relationship with progression to atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. This study describes the incidence of AF and stroke in patients with atrial flutter, and whether atrial flutter ablation attenuates the incidence of AF and stroke. METHODS: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study of adults with typical atrial flutter with no AF history. Using linked health administrative databases we defined 3 cohorts: (1) adult patients diagnosed with new isolated atrial flutter; (2) a contemporary, 1-to-1 matched cohort from the Ontario population; and (3) patients with isolated atrial flutter who underwent atrial flutter ablation. RESULTS: A total of 9339 new typical atrial flutter patients were identified and 7248 were matched to general population subjects. Over the 3-year follow-up, AF occurred in 40.4% of patients with atrial flutter, and 3.3% of the matched general population (rate ratio, 12.2; P < 0.001). Stroke occurred in 4.1% of patients with atrial flutter and 1.2% of the general population cohort (rate ratio, 3.4; P < 0.001). Among 218 patients who had an atrial flutter ablation, AF occurred in 47 (21.6%) over the following 3 years, and incidence of stroke was between 0 and 2.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with isolated atrial flutter develop AF and stroke at a higher rate than the general population. Catheter ablation reduces but does not eliminate future AF incidence and stroke risk and continued anticoagulation after successful atrial flutter ablation might therefore be warranted.

A population-based analysis of outcomes after radiotherapy in intensive care unit patients with lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: As the value of radiotherapy (RT) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with lung cancer is of uncertain efficacy, we evaluated characteristics, outcomes and RT utilization for such patients in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: Multiple administrative databases were linked deterministically using unique encoded identifiers to identify eligible patients between April 1, 2007, and March 31, 2014. Differences in patient, treatment, institution and tumor characteristics between RT and non-RT groups at the level of episode of care were compared. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method, with differences compared using the log-rank test. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard modeling were performed to assess the effect of RT on survival. RESULTS: RT was delivered in 133 episodes of care to 1.0% (n=131) of the 13,739 unique patients with lung cancer. RT delivery was associated with younger age (median 65 vs. 68, P<0.001), ventilation (79.8% vs. 38.2%, P<0.001) and longer ventilation duration (median 6 vs. 0 days, P<0.001). Pre-ICU disposition via transfer (35.3% vs. 9.7%) or the emergency room (ER) (28.6% vs. 21.9%) was more likely in the RT group (P<0.001). RT delivery varied, with half of the regions treating ≤5 patients each. ICU discharge was common in both RT (n=75, 56.4%) and non-RT (n=10,405, 71.4%) cohorts. One-year OS was poor in both groups, but most notably in the RT group (11.3% vs. 42.4%). RT was associated with inferior 1-year OS on unadjusted modeling (HR =1.99, P<0.001), with ventilation and pre-ICU disposition adjusting this finding towards the null on multivariable modeling (HR =1.17, P=0.095). CONCLUSIONS: Major geographic disparities exist in the rare use of RT for lung cancer in the ICU. A significant proportion of patients receiving RT achieve discharge and a minority achieve prolonged survival, suggesting that RT use may not be futile.