Temporal profile of lymphocyte counts and relationship with infections with fingolimod therapy in paediatric patients with multiple sclerosis: Results from the PARADIGMS study.

BACKGROUND: Reduction in absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) is expected with fingolimod treatment. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of fingolimod 0.5 mg versus intramuscular interferon ß-1a (30 µg) on ALC and its relationship with infections in paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) up to 4 years. METHODS: We assessed ALC at baseline, monthly till 3 months, and every 3 months (core phase) and with variable periodicity (extension phase) of Phase 3 PARADIGMS study (N = 215). Incidence rates (IRs) of infection-related adverse events (infAEs)/100 patient-years were analysed by on-study nadir ALC. RESULTS: With fingolimod, ALC rapidly reduced to 29.9%-34.4% of baseline values within 2 weeks and remained stable thereafter; no relevant changes observed with interferon. IRs of infAEs were 67.6 with fingolimod and 61.8 with interferon; IR ratios with respect to interferon, overall: 1.09, by nadir ALC 0.2-0.4 × 109/L: 1.13 and >0.4 × 109/L: 0.91. Three patients had a single episode of ALC <0.2 × 109/L (core phase). No opportunistic infections were observed and infection risk did not increase during the extension phase. CONCLUSION: In paediatric patients, the overall incidence of infections was comparable between fingolimod and interferon. No association was observed between nadir ALC and infections in POMS, although sample size may have been too small to rule an association.

Effect of deferasirox + erythropoietin vs erythropoietin on erythroid response in Low/Int-1-risk MDS patients: Results of the phase II KALLISTO trial.

OBJECTIVES: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) remain first-choice to treat symptomatic anemia and delay transfusion dependence in most patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) without del(5q). Deferasirox increased erythroid responses in some lower-risk MDS patients in clinical trials, and adding low-dose deferasirox to ESA treatment may further improve erythroid response. METHODS: KALLISTO (NCT01868477) was a randomized, open-label, multicenter, phase II study. Lower-risk MDS patients received deferasirox at 10 mg/kg/d (dispersible tablets) or 7 mg/kg/d (film-coated tablets) plus erythropoietin (n = 11), or erythropoietin alone (n = 12) for 24 weeks. The primary endpoint was the between-group difference in erythroid response within 12 weeks. RESULTS: Erythroid response occurred in 27.3% of patients receiving deferasirox plus erythropoietin vs 41.7% of patients receiving erythropoietin alone within 12 weeks (difference 14.4%; 95% CI -24.0, 48.16). Within 24 weeks, the hematologic response rate was 27.3% with deferasirox plus erythropoietin vs 50% with erythropoietin alone, and hematologic improvement rates were 45.5% vs 100%. Deferasirox plus erythropoietin was generally well tolerated. CONCLUSIONS: In this small pilot study, combining low-dose deferasirox with erythropoietin did not improve erythroid response. It remains of interest to investigate early chelation approaches with even lower deferasirox doses plus erythropoietin in lower-risk MDS patients before the onset of transfusion dependence.

On the estimation of the reproduction number based on misreported epidemic data.

Epidemic data often suffer from underreporting and delay in reporting. In this paper, we investigated the impact of delays and underreporting on estimates of reproduction number. We used a thinned version of the epidemic renewal equation to describe the epidemic process while accounting for the underlying reporting system. Assuming a constant reporting parameter, we used different delay patterns to represent the delay structure in our model. Instead of assuming a fixed delay distribution, we estimated the delay parameters while assuming a smooth function for the reproduction number over time. In order to estimate the parameters, we used a Bayesian semiparametric approach with penalized splines, allowing both flexibility and exact inference provided by MCMC. To show the performance of our method, we performed different simulation studies. We conducted sensitivity analyses to investigate the impact of misspecification of the delay pattern and the impact of assuming nonconstant reporting parameters on the estimates of the reproduction numbers. We showed that, whenever available, additional information about time-dependent underreporting can be taken into account. As an application of our method, we analyzed confirmed daily A(H1N1) v2009 cases made publicly available by the World Health Organization for Mexico and the USA.

Effect of fingolimod on health-related quality of life in paediatric patients with multiple sclerosis: results from the phase 3 PARADIGMS Study.

Background: In the PARADIGMS Study, fingolimod demonstrated superior efficacy versus interferon (IFN) ß-1a and comparable overall incidence of adverse events but slightly higher rate of serious adverse events in patients with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (PoMS). Here, we report the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes from PARADIGMS. Methods: Patients with PoMS (N=215; aged 10-<18 years) were randomised to once-daily oral fingolimod (N=107) or once-weekly intramuscular IFN ß-1a (N=108). HRQoL outcomes were assessed using the 23-item Pediatric Quality of Life (PedsQL) scale that comprises Physical and Psychosocial Health Summary Scores (including Emotional, Social and School Functioning). A post hoc inferential analysis evaluated changes in self-reported or parent-reported PedsQL scores from baseline up to 2 years between treatment groups using an analysis of covariance model. Results: Treatment with fingolimod showed improvements versus IFN ß-1a on the PedsQL scale in both the self-reported and parent-reported Total Scale Scores (4.66 vs -1.16, p≤0.001 and 2.71 vs -1.02, p≤0.05, respectively). The proportion of patients achieving a clinically meaningful improvement in the PedsQL Total Scale Score was two times higher with fingolimod versus IFN ß-1a per the self-reported scores (47.5% vs 24.2%, p=0.001), and fingolimod was favoured versus IFN ß-1a per the parent-reported scores (37.8% vs 24.7%, p=non-significant). Group differences in self-reported Total Scale Scores in favour of fingolimod were most pronounced among patients who had ≥2 relapses in the year prior to study entry or who showed improving or stable Expanded Disability Status Scale scores during the study. Conclusion: Fingolimod improved HRQoL compared with IFN ß-1a in patients with PoMS as evidenced by the self-reported and parent-reported PedsQL scores.

International sentinel site surveillance of patients with transfusional hemosiderosis treated with deferasirox in actual practice setting.

OBJECTIVE: The study evaluates the long-term deferasirox treatment of adult and pediatric patients with chronic transfusional iron overload in clinical practice. METHODS: In this non-interventional study, patients were observed for up to 3 years from initiation of deferasirox treatment both prospectively and retrospectively for up to 1 year prior to enrollment. The primary end points were the proportion of patients with ≥1 notable increase in serum creatinine (SCr), and ≥1 notable increase in alanine aminotransferase (ALT). RESULTS: Overall, 120 patients were enrolled and 51 completed the study, with a limited 3-year dropout rate of 12.5% due to adverse events (AEs). Increase in SCr > 33% above baseline and the age-adjusted ULN (upper limit of normal) was observed in 14 patients (95%CI, 7.1-19.2). The ALT levels >5 × ULN was observed in 1 patient. Most frequent AEs reported during treatment with deferasirox include gastrointestinal disturbances. CONCLUSIONS: The long-term treatment with deferasirox was manageable in most transfusion-dependent patients with no unexpected safety findings. Regular monitoring and an adjusted deferasirox dosing strategy per local labels allowed continued iron chelation treatment and control of transfusional iron in the majority of patients on study.

Structural differences in mixing behavior informing the role of asymptomatic infection and testing symptom heritability.

Most infectious disease data is obtained from disease surveillance which is based on observations of symptomatic cases only. However, many infectious diseases are transmitted before the onset of symptoms or without developing symptoms at all throughout the entire disease course, referred to as asymptomatic transmission. Fraser and colleagues [1] showed that this type of transmission plays a key role in assessing the feasibility of intervention measures in controlling an epidemic outbreak. To account for asymptomatic transmission in epidemic models, methods often rely on assumptions that cannot be verified given the data at hand. The present study aims at assessing the contribution of social contact data from asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals in quantifying the contribution of (a)symptomatic infections. We use a mathematical model based on ordinary differential equations (ODE) and a likelihood-based approach followed by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to estimate the model parameters and their uncertainty. Incidence data on influenza-like illness in the initial phase of the 2009 A/H1N1pdm epidemic is used to illustrate that it is possible to estimate either the proportion of asymptomatic infections or the relative infectiousness of symptomatic versus asymptomatic infectives. Further, we introduce a model in which the chance of developing symptoms depends on the disease state of the person that transmitted the infection. In conclusion, incorporating social contact data from both asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals allows inferring on parameters associated with asymptomatic infection based on disease data from symptomatic cases only.