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1.
Euro Surveill ; 27(22)2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35656832

RESUMEN

BackgroundIn high-income countries, hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection is mainly a zoonosis. However, it is also transfusion-transmissible and some countries, but not Italy, have introduced HEV screening for blood donations.AimWe assessed HEV infection prevalence and risk factors in a nationwide sample of Italian blood donors.MethodsWe selected 107 blood establishments (BE) distributed in the 20 Italian regions by a stratified two-stage design and invited them to participate in the study. Donors were tested for anti-HEV IgG and IgM and HEV RNA. Sociodemographic data and risk factors were collected through a questionnaire.ResultsOverall, 60 BE from 60 provinces in 19 Italian regions joined the study. We assessed HEV markers in 7,172 blood donors, of whom 6,235 completed the questionnaire. Overall crude and adjusted anti-HEV IgG prevalences were 8.3% and 5.5%, respectively. Overall anti-HEV IgM prevalence was 0.5%, while no blood donor was HEV RNA-positive. Anti-HEV IgG prevalence varied widely among regions (range: 1.3%-27.20%) and hyperendemic prevalences (> 40%) were detected in some provinces in two regions. Older age (AOR = 1.81; 95% CI: 1.36-2.41), foreign nationality (AOR = 2.77; 95% CI: 1.06-7.24), eating raw pork liver sausages (AOR = 2.23; 95% CI: 1.55-3.20) and raw homemade sausages (AOR = 3.63; 95% CI: 2.50-5.24) were independent infection predictors.ConclusionItalian blood donors showed a low to moderate HEV seroprevalence. High levels in some regions and/or provinces were mainly attributable to eating habits. Prevention should include avoiding consumption of raw or undercooked meat and safe production of commercial pork products.


Asunto(s)
Virus de la Hepatitis E , Hepatitis E , Donantes de Sangre , Anticuerpos Antihepatitis , Hepatitis E/epidemiología , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G , Inmunoglobulina M , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(1)2021 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33080168

RESUMEN

On March 11, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. We estimate that, 14 days after lockdown, the net reproduction number had dropped below 1 and remained stable at ¼0.76 (95% CI 0.67-0.85) in all regions for >3 of the following weeks.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/transmisión , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Factores de Tiempo
3.
Eur J Public Health ; 31(1): 37-44, 2021 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33416859

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: International literature suggests that disadvantaged groups are at higher risk of morbidity and mortality from SARS-CoV-2 infection due to poorer living/working conditions and barriers to healthcare access. Yet, to date, there is no evidence of this disproportionate impact on non-national individuals, including economic migrants, short-term travellers and refugees. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Italian surveillance system of all COVID-19 laboratory-confirmed cases tested positive from the beginning of the outbreak (20th of February) to the 19th of July 2020. We used multilevel negative-binomial regression models to compare the case fatality and the rate of admission to hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) between Italian and non-Italian nationals. The analysis was adjusted for differences in demographic characteristics, pre-existing comorbidities, and period of diagnosis. RESULTS: We analyzed 213 180 COVID-19 cases, including 15 974 (7.5%) non-Italian nationals. We found that, compared to Italian cases, non-Italian cases were diagnosed at a later date and were more likely to be hospitalized {[adjusted rate ratio (ARR)=1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.33-1.44]} and admitted to ICU (ARR=1.19, 95% CI: 1.07-1.32), with differences being more pronounced in those coming from countries with lower human development index (HDI). We also observed an increased risk of death in non-Italian cases from low-HDI countries (ARR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.01-1.75). CONCLUSIONS: A delayed diagnosis in non-Italian cases could explain their worse outcomes compared to Italian cases. Ensuring early access to diagnosis and treatment to non-Italians could facilitate the control of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and improve health outcomes in all people living in Italy, regardless of nationality.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud/organización & administración , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Refugiados/estadística & datos numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Migrantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Comorbilidad , Diagnóstico Tardío , Femenino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Disparidades en Atención de Salud , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Morbilidad , Pandemias , Refugiados/psicología , Migrantes/psicología
4.
Euro Surveill ; 25(49)2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33303064

RESUMEN

BackgroundOn 20 February 2020, a locally acquired coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case was detected in Lombardy, Italy. This was the first signal of ongoing transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the country. The number of cases in Italy increased rapidly and the country became the first in Europe to experience a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak.AimOur aim was to describe the epidemiology and transmission dynamics of the first COVID-19 cases in Italy amid ongoing control measures.MethodsWe analysed all RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases reported to the national integrated surveillance system until 31 March 2020. We provide a descriptive epidemiological summary and estimate the basic and net reproductive numbers by region.ResultsOf the 98,716 cases of COVID-19 analysed, 9,512 were healthcare workers. Of the 10,943 reported COVID-19-associated deaths (crude case fatality ratio: 11.1%) 49.5% occurred in cases older than 80 years. Male sex and age were independent risk factors for COVID-19 death. Estimates of R0 varied between 2.50 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.18-2.83) in Tuscany and 3.00 (95% CI: 2.68-3.33) in Lazio. The net reproduction number Rt in northern regions started decreasing immediately after the first detection.ConclusionThe COVID-19 outbreak in Italy showed a clustering onset similar to the one in Wuhan, China. R0 at 2.96 in Lombardy combined with delayed detection explains the high case load and rapid geographical spread. Overall, Rt in Italian regions showed early signs of decrease, with large diversity in incidence, supporting the importance of combined non-pharmacological control measures.


Asunto(s)
Número Básico de Reproducción , COVID-19/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/transmisión , Femenino , Personal de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mortalidad , SARS-CoV-2
5.
Epidemiol Prev ; 44(5-6 Suppl 2): 70-80, 2020.
Artículo en Italiano | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33412796

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: to describe the integrated surveillance system of COVID-19 in Italy, to illustrate the outputs used to return epidemiological information on the spread of the epidemic to the competent public health bodies and to the Italian population, and to describe how the surveillance data contributes to the ongoing weekly regional monitoring and risk assessment system. METHODS: the COVID-19 integrated surveillance system is the result of a close and continuous collaboration between the Italian National Institute of Health (ISS), the Italian Ministry of Health, and the regional and local health authorities. Through a web platform, it collects individual data of laboratory confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection and gathers information on their residence, laboratory diagnosis, hospitalisation, clinical status, risk factors, and outcome. Results, for different levels of aggregation and risk categories, are published daily and weekly on the ISS website, and made available to national and regional public health authorities; these results contribute one of the information sources of the regional monitoring and risk assessment system. RESULTS: the COVID-19 integrated surveillance system monitors the space-time distribution of cases and their characteristics. Indicators used in the weekly regional monitoring and risk assessment system include process indicators on completeness and results indicators on weekly trends of newly diagnosed cases per Region. CONCLUSIONS: the outputs of the integrated surveillance system for COVID-19 provide timely information to health authorities and to the general population on the evolution of the epidemic in Italy. They also contribute to the continuous re-assessment of risk related to transmission and impact of the epidemic thus contributing to the management of COVID-19 in Italy.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , SARS-CoV-2 , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Difusión de la Información , Italia/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Informe de Investigación , Riesgo
6.
Epidemiol Prev ; 44(5-6 Suppl 2): 236-243, 2020.
Artículo en Italiano | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33412815

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: to assess the temporal variation in excess total mortality and the portion of excess explained by COVID-19 deaths by geographical area, gender, and age during the COVID-19 epidemic. DESIGN: descriptive analysis of temporal variations of total excess deaths and COVID-19 deaths in the phase 1 and phase 2 of the epidemic in Italy. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 12 Northern cities and 20 Central-Southern cities from December 2019 to June 2020: daily mortality from the National Surveillance System of Daily Mortality (SiSMG) and COVID-19 deaths from the integrated COVID-19 surveillance system. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: total mortality excess and COVID-19 deaths, defined as deaths in microbiologically confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2, by gender and age groups. RESULTS: the largest excess mortality was observed in the North and during the first phase of the epidemic. The portion of excess mortality explained by COVID-19 decreases with age, decreasing to 51% among the very old (>=85 years). In phase 2 (until June 2020), the impact was more contained and totally attributable to COVID-19 deaths and this suggests an effectiveness of social distancing measures. CONCLUSIONS: mortality surveillance is a sensible information basis for the monitoring of health impact of the different phases of the epidemic and supporting decision making at the local and national level on containment measures to put in place in coming months.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , Mortalidad/tendencias , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/prevención & control , Causas de Muerte , Femenino , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de la Población , Cuarentena , Factores de Tiempo , Población Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto Joven
8.
BMC Infect Dis ; 15: 229, 2015 Jun 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26067992

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Despite the dramatically improved survival due to combination antiretroviral therapies (cART), life expectancy of people with HIV/AIDS remains lower than that of the general population. This study aimed to estimate, at a population level, the survival experience of Italian people with AIDS (PWA) and to quantify the prognostic role of selected factors at diagnosis in the risk of early mortality (i.e., within six months from AIDS diagnosis). METHODS: A population-based, retrospective-cohort study was conducted among Italian PWA diagnosed between 1999 and 2009 and recorded in the national AIDS registry. The vital status, up to December 2010, of 14,552 PWA was ascertained through a record linkage procedure with the Italian mortality database. Survival probabilities were estimated through Kaplan-Meier method. To identify risk factors for early mortality from any cause, odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for major confounders, were computed using multivariate logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 5,706 deaths registered among the 14,552 PWA included in the study, 2,757 (18.9%) occurred within six months from AIDS diagnosis. The probability of surviving six months increased from 81.2% in PWA diagnosed in 1999-2000 to 82.9% in 2009, while the 5-year survival augmented from 60.7% in PWA diagnosed in 1999-2000 to 65.4% for PWA diagnosed in 2005-2006. Elevated risks of early mortality were associated to older age (OR = 5.28; 95% CI: 4.41-6.32 for age ≥60 vs. <35 years), injecting drug use (OR = 1.71; 95% CI: 1.53-1.91 vs. heterosexual intercourse), and CD4 count <50 cells/mm(3) at AIDS diagnosis (OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.55-2.27 vs. ≥350). Elevated ORs for early mortality also emerged for PWA diagnosed with primary brain lymphoma (OR = 11.66, 95% CI: 7.32-18.57), or progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (OR = 4.21, 95% CI: 3.37-5.27). CONCLUSIONS: Our study documented, among Italian PWA, the high - though slightly decreasing - frequency of early mortality in the full cART era. These findings indicate the need for enduring and ameliorating preventive actions aimed at timely HIV testing among all individuals at risk for HIV infection and/or those who present diseases known to be related with HIV infection.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/mortalidad , Infecciones por VIH/mortalidad , Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Recuento de Linfocito CD4 , Estudios de Cohortes , Quimioterapia Combinada , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Heterosexualidad , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Sistema de Registros , Proyectos de Investigación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven
9.
J Clin Med ; 13(12)2024 Jun 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38929900

RESUMEN

Background/Objectives: Hand hygiene (HH) is pivotal in mitigating infectious disease transmission and enhancing public health outcomes. This study focuses on detailing the national surveillance system for alcohol-based hand rub (ABHR) consumption in healthcare facilities across Italy, presenting results from a comprehensive three-year evaluation period, from 2020 to 2022. It aims to delineate this surveillance system and report on ABHR consumption trends in various Regions/Autonomous Provinces (Rs/APs). Methods: ABHR consumption data, collected through the ABHR Italian national surveillance system, coordinated by the Istituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS), were analyzed. Statistical methods, e.g., the Mann-Whitney test, were used to assess trends in ABHR consumption, expressed in liters per 1000 patient days (L/1000PD). Results: The results show significant variation in ABHR consumption across Rs/APs and over the years studied. National median ABHR consumption decreased from 2020 to 2022, with a significant reduction from a median of 24.5 L/1000PD in 2020 to 20.4 L/1000PD in 2021 and 15.6 L/1000PD in 2022. Conclusions: The decline in ABHR consumption raises concerns about the ongoing adherence to HH practices in Italian healthcare settings. This underscores the essential role that systematic ABHR monitoring and improved surveillance play in enhancing HH compliance, suggesting that sustained and strategic efforts are fundamental to uphold high standards of hygiene and to effectively respond to fluctuating ABHR usage trends over time. Further research is needed to explore barriers to effective ABHR use and to develop targeted strategies to improve HH practices.

10.
Eur J Public Health ; 23(4): 658-63, 2013 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22964002

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The co-infection of tuberculosis (TB) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) continue to be a severe problem in the European region. We estimated the extent of this phenomenon in Italy, describing and analysing the characteristics of persons with acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) and TB reported to the National AIDS Registry. METHODS: We analysed the cases of TB reported to the National AIDS Registry in Italy since 1993, the year in which TB was introduced as an AIDS-defining disease. RESULTS: From 1993 to 2010, 45,403 cases of AIDS were reported; among these, 4075 (8.9%) had TB (any location). Since 1993, there has been a progressive increase in the proportion of persons with TB, from 6.8% in 1993 to 11.0% in 2010. Men accounted for 76.3%; the median age at diagnosis was 35 years (interquartile range: 31-42 years), and 34.1% were non-nationals. Compared with AIDS cases without TB, AIDS cases with TB were significantly associated with young age (≤33 years), being non-Italian, having heterosexual contacts, living in the south of Italy, being a late tester and being alive at the time of data analysis. The proportion of non-nationals increased from 10.8% in 1993 to 64.6% in 2010. The incidence of AIDS and TB among non-nationals for the whole study period was 2.97 cases per 100,000 non-nationals, compared with 0.11 cases per 100,000 Italians. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that the occurrence of TB among persons with AIDS is also increasing in Italy, with an increasing proportion of non-nationals, and emphasize the need to undergo HIV screening for all persons diagnosed with TB.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Inmunodeficiencia Adquirida/epidemiología , Emigrantes e Inmigrantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Coinfección , Diagnóstico Tardío/tendencias , Femenino , Heterosexualidad , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sistema de Registros , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores Sexuales
11.
Microb Drug Resist ; 29(3): 85-95, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36757312

RESUMEN

The emergence of Neisseria gonorrhoeae isolates displaying resistance to antimicrobials, in particular to ceftriaxone monotherapy or ceftriaxone plus azithromycin, represents a global public health concern. This study aimed to analyze the trend of antimicrobial resistance in a 7-year isolate collection retrospective analysis in Italy. Molecular typing on a subsample of gonococci was also included. A total of 1,810 culture-positive gonorrhea cases, collected from 2013 to 2019, were investigated by antimicrobial susceptibility, using gradient diffusion method, and by the N. gonorrhoeae multiantigen sequence typing (NG-MAST). The majority of infections occurred among men with urogenital infections and 57.9% of male patients were men who have sex with men. Overall, the cefixime resistance remained stable during the time. An increase of azithromycin resistance was observed until 2018 (26.5%) with a slight decrease in the last year. In 2019, gonococci showing azithromycin minimum inhibitory concentration above the EUCAST epidemiological cutoff value (ECOFF) accounted for 9.9%. Ciprofloxacin resistance and penicillinase-producing N. gonorrhoeae (PPNG) percentages increased reaching 79.1% and 18.7% in 2019, respectively. The most common sequence types identified were 5,441, 1,407, 6,360, and 5,624. The predominant genogroup (G) was the 1,407; moreover, a new genogroup G13070 was also detected. A variation in the antimicrobial resistance rates and high genetic variability were observed in this study. The main phenotypic and genotypic characteristics of N. gonorrhoeae isolates were described to monitor the spread of drug-resistant gonorrhea.


Asunto(s)
Gonorrea , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Neisseria gonorrhoeae , Gonorrea/tratamiento farmacológico , Gonorrea/epidemiología , Ceftriaxona/farmacología , Ceftriaxona/uso terapéutico , Azitromicina/farmacología , Epidemiología Molecular , Estudios Retrospectivos , Homosexualidad Masculina , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana/genética , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana
12.
J Antimicrob Chemother ; 67(12): 2932-8, 2012 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22915460

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the correlations of the combination of undetectable HIV-DNA (<10 copies/10(6) peripheral blood mononuclear cells) and HIV-RNA (<1 copy/mL of plasma) levels and a CD4 cell count of >500 cells/mm(3) (defined as the treatment goal) in a group of 420 antiretroviral treatment (ART) responder patients. METHODS: A cross-sectional, open-label, multicentre trial was conducted in a cohort of 420 HIV-infected ART-treated subjects with viral loads persistently <50 copies/mL for a median observation time of 28.8 months. HIV-DNA and residual viraemia values and demographic, virological and immunological data were collected for each subject. RESULTS: Undetectable HIV-DNA was found in 16.6% (70/420) of patients and was significantly correlated with undetectable (<1 copy/mL) plasma viraemia (P = 0.0001). Higher CD4 cell count nadir (P < 0.001), a lower HIV-RNA viraemia at the start of treatment (P = 0.0016) and nevirapine use (P < 0.001) were correlated with an undetectable value of HIV-RNA. Twenty-six out of 420 patients (6.2%) reached the treatment goal. In multivariate analysis, higher nadir CD4 cell count (OR 3.86, 95% CI 1.47-10.16, P = 0.006), the duration of therapy (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12, P = 0.004) and the use of nevirapine (OR 2.59, 95% CI 1.07-6.28, P = 0.034) were independently related to this condition. CONCLUSIONS: Only 6.2% of ART-responder patients presented the combination of three laboratory markers that identified them as full responders. These results indicate the high variability of the ART-responding population and lead us to suggest caution in the selection of patients for possible simplification regimens.


Asunto(s)
Fármacos Anti-VIH/administración & dosificación , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Nevirapina/administración & dosificación , Carga Viral , Adulto , Terapia Antirretroviral Altamente Activa/métodos , Recuento de Linfocito CD4 , Estudios Transversales , ADN Viral/sangre , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/inmunología , Infecciones por VIH/virología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , ARN Viral/sangre , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos
13.
Ann Ist Super Sanita ; 58(1): 25-33, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35324471

RESUMEN

AIMS: To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in Italy during the first wave of the epidemic, taking into consideration the geographical heterogeneity of the spread of COVID-19. METHODS: This study is a retrospective, population-based cohort study using national statistics throughout Italy. Survival analysis was applied to data aggregated by day of death, age groups, sex, and Italian administrative units (107 provinces). We applied Cox models to estimate the relative hazards (RH) of excess mortality, comparing all-cause deaths in 2020 with the expected deaths from all causes in the same time period. The RH of excess deaths was estimated in areas with a high, moderate, and low spread of COVID-19. We reported the estimate also restricting the analysis to the period of March-April 2020 (first peak of the epidemic). RESULTS: The study population consisted of 57,204,501 individuals living in Italy as of January 1, 2020. The number of excess deaths was 36,445, which accounts for 13.4% of excess mortalities from all causes during January-May 2020 (i.e., RH = 1.134; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.129-1.140). In the macro-area with a relatively higher spread of COVID-19 (i.e., incidence rate, IR): 450-1,610 cases per 100,000 residents), the RH of excess deaths was 1.375 (95% CI: 1.364-1.386). In the area with a relatively moderate spread of COVID-19 (i.e., IR: 150-449 cases) it was 1.049 (95% CI: 1.038-1.060). In the area with a relatively lower spread of COVID-19 (i.e., IR: 30-149 cases), it was 0.967 (95% CI: 0.959-0.976). Between March and April (peak months of the first wave of the epidemic in Italy), we estimated an excess mortality from all causes of 43.5%. The RH of all-cause mortality for increments of 500 cases per 100,000 residents was 1.352 (95% CI: 1.346-1.359), corresponding to an increase of about 35%. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis, making use of a population-based cohort model, estimated all-cause excess mortality in Italy taking account of both time period and of COVID-19 geographical spread. The study highlights the importance of a temporal/geographic framework in analyzing the risk of COVID-19-epidemy related mortality.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos
14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36554878

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Excess mortality (EM) is a valid indicator of COVID-19's impact on public health. Several studies regarding the estimation of EM have been conducted in Italy, and some of them have shown conflicting values. We focused on three estimation models and compared their results with respect to the same target population, which allowed us to highlight their strengths and limitations. METHODS: We selected three estimation models: model 1 (Maruotti et al.) is a Negative-Binomial GLMM with seasonal patterns; model 2 (Dorrucci et al.) is a Negative Binomial GLM epidemiological approach; and model 3 (Scortichini et al.) is a quasi-Poisson GLM time-series approach with temperature distributions. We extended the time windows of the original models until December 2021, computing various EM estimates to allow for comparisons. RESULTS: We compared the results with our benchmark, the ISS-ISTAT official estimates. Model 1 was the most consistent, model 2 was almost identical, and model 3 differed from the two. Model 1 was the most stable towards changes in the baseline years, while model 2 had a lower cross-validation RMSE. DISCUSSION: Presently, an unambiguous explanation of EM in Italy is not possible. We provide a range that we consider sound, given the high variability associated with the use of different models. However, all three models accurately represented the spatiotemporal trends of the pandemic waves in Italy.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Italia/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo , Pandemias , Estaciones del Año , Mortalidad
15.
Ann Ist Super Sanita ; 58(4): 227-235, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36511193

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). To date, few data on clinical features and risk factors for disease severity and death by gender are available. AIM: The current study aims to describe from a sex/gender perspective the characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2 cases occurred in the Italian population from February 2020 until October 2021. METHOD AND RESULTS: We used routinely collected data retrieved from the Italian National Surveillance System. The highest number of cases occurred among women between 40 and 59 years, followed by men in the same age groups. The proportion of deaths due to COVID-19 was higher in men (56.46%) compared to women (43.54%). Most of the observed deaths occurred in the elderly. Considering the age groups, the clinical outcomes differed between women and men in particular in cases over 80 years of age; with serious or critical conditions more frequent in men than in women. CONCLUSIONS: Our data clearly demonstrate a similar number of cases in women and men, but with more severe disease and outcome in men, thus confirming the importance to analyse the impact of sex and gender in new and emerging diseases.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Anciano , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Factores de Riesgo , Italia/epidemiología
16.
Transplantation ; 105(1): 193-200, 2021 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33141807

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 infection is heterogeneous in clinical presentation and disease evolution. To investigate whether immune response to the virus can be influenced by genetic factors, we compared HLA and AB0 frequencies in organ transplant recipients and waitlisted patients according to presence or absence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on an Italian cohort composed by transplanted and waitlisted patients in a January 2002 to March 2020 time frame. Data from this cohort were merged with the Italian registry of COVID+ subjects, evaluating infection status of transplanted and waitlisted patients. A total of 56 304 cases were studied with the aim of comparing HLA and AB0 frequencies according to the presence (n = 265, COVID+) or absence (n = 56 039, COVID-) of SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence rate of COVID-19 was 0.112% in the Italian population and 0.462% in waitlisted/transplanted patients (OR = 4.2; 95% CI, 3.7-4.7; P < 0.0001). HLA-DRB1*08 was more frequent in COVID+ (9.7% and 5.2%: OR = 1.9, 95% CI, 1.2-3.1; P = 0.003; Pc = 0.036). In COVID+ patients, HLA-DRB1*08 was correlated to mortality (6.9% in living versus 17.5% in deceased: OR = 2.9, 95% CI, 1.15-7.21; P = 0.023). Peptide binding prediction analyses showed that these DRB1*08 alleles were unable to bind any of the viral peptides with high affinity. Finally, blood group A was more frequent in COVID+ (45.5%) than COVID- patients (39.0%; OR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.02-1.66; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Although preliminary, these results suggest that HLA antigens may influence SARS-CoV-2 infection and clinical evolution of COVID-19 and confirm that blood group A individuals are at greater risk of infection, providing clues on the spread of the disease and indications about infection prognosis and vaccination strategies.


Asunto(s)
Sistema del Grupo Sanguíneo ABO/genética , COVID-19/etiología , Antígenos HLA/genética , Polimorfismo Genético , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Anciano , COVID-19/genética , Femenino , Frecuencia de los Genes , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
17.
Front Public Health ; 9: 669209, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34336767

RESUMEN

COVID-19 dramatically influenced mortality worldwide, in Italy as well, the first European country to experience the Sars-Cov2 epidemic. Many countries reported a two-wave pattern of COVID-19 deaths; however, studies comparing the two waves are limited. The objective of the study was to compare all-cause excess mortality between the two waves that occurred during the year 2020 using nationwide data. All-cause excess mortalities were estimated using negative binomial models with time modeled by quadratic splines. The models were also applied to estimate all-cause excess deaths "not directly attributable to COVD-19", i.e., without a previous COVID-19 diagnosis. During the first wave (25th February-31st May), we estimated 52,437 excess deaths (95% CI: 49,213-55,863) and 50,979 (95% CI: 50,333-51,425) during the second phase (10th October-31st December), corresponding to percentage 34.8% (95% CI: 33.8%-35.8%) in the second wave and 31.0% (95%CI: 27.2%-35.4%) in the first. During both waves, all-cause excess deaths percentages were higher in northern regions (59.1% during the first and 42.2% in the second wave), with a significant increase in the rest of Italy (from 6.7% to 27.1%) during the second wave. Males and those aged 80 or over were the most hit groups with an increase in both during the second wave. Excess deaths not directly attributable to COVID-19 decreased during the second phase with respect to the first phase, from 10.8% (95% CI: 9.5%-12.4%) to 7.7% (95% CI: 7.5%-7.9%), respectively. The percentage increase in excess deaths from all causes suggests in Italy a different impact of the SARS-CoV-2 virus during the second wave in 2020. The decrease in excess deaths not directly attributable to COVID-19 may indicate an improvement in the preparedness of the Italian health care services during this second wave, in the detection of COVID-19 diagnoses and/or clinical practice toward the other severe diseases.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Prueba de COVID-19 , Europa (Continente) , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Pandemias , ARN Viral , SARS-CoV-2
18.
J Trop Pediatr ; 56(5): 317-20, 2010 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20080936

RESUMEN

Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) are among the leading causes of childhood morbidity and mortality in Africa. The effects of climatic factors on occurrence of ARIs in the tropics are not clear. During the years 2006-07, we reviewed the clinical registers of the Chantal Biya Foundation (CBF), Yaoundé, Cameroon, paediatric hospital to investigate the association between climatic factors and ARIs in children. Our findings show that rain, high relative humidity and low temperatures are directly associated with an increase in the frequency of hospitalization from ARIs. Given the high frequency of hospitalization from ARIs we suggest that influenza vaccination campaigns should be implemented taking into account the seasonality in Cameroon.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Estaciones del Año , Enfermedad Aguda , Adolescente , Camerún/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Clima , Femenino , Hospitalización/tendencias , Hospitales Pediátricos/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Humedad , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/clasificación , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/etiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Temperatura
19.
Pediatrics ; 146(4)2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32665373

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To describe the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pediatric patients aged <18 years in Italy. METHODS: Data from the national case-based surveillance system of confirmed COVID-19 infections until May 8, 2020, were analyzed. Demographic and clinical characteristics of subjects were summarized by age groups (0-1, 2-6, 7-12, 13-18 years), and risk factors for disease severity were evaluated by using a multilevel (clustered by region) multivariable logistic regression model. Furthermore, a comparison among children, adults, and elderly was performed. RESULTS: Pediatric patients (3836) accounted for 1.8% of total infections (216 305); the median age was 11 years, 51.4% were male, 13.3% were hospitalized, and 5.4% presented underlying medical conditions. The disease was mild in 32.4% of cases and severe in 4.3%, particularly in children ≤6 years old (10.8%); among 511 hospitalized patients, 3.5% were admitted in ICU, and 4 deaths occurred. Lower risk of disease severity was associated with increasing age and calendar time, whereas a higher risk was associated with preexisting underlying medical conditions (odds ratio = 2.80, 95% confidence interval = 1.74-4.48). Hospitalization rate, admission in ICU, disease severity, and days from symptoms onset to recovery significantly increased with age among children, adults and elderly. CONCLUSIONS: Data suggest that pediatric cases of COVID-19 are less severe than adults; however, age ≤1 year and the presence of underlying conditions represent severity risk factors. A better understanding of the infection in children may give important insights into disease pathogenesis, health care practices, and public health policies.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Adolescente , Factores de Edad , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Niño , Preescolar , Comorbilidad , Infecciones por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Coronavirus/mortalidad , Infecciones por Coronavirus/terapia , Cuidados Críticos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Italia/epidemiología , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Neumonía Viral/diagnóstico , Neumonía Viral/mortalidad , Neumonía Viral/terapia , Vigilancia de la Población , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2
20.
BMC Infect Dis ; 7: 143, 2007 Dec 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18053246

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of, and risk factors for, HHV-8 infection have yet to be definitively determined, particularly among heterosexual individuals with at-risk behavior for sexually transmitted infections (STI). The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence and determinants of HHV-8 infection among HIV-uninfected individuals repeatedly attending an urban STI clinic. METHODS: Sera from consecutive HIV-uninfected individuals repeatedly tested for HIV-1 antibodies were additionally tested for HHV-8 antibodies using an immunofluorescence assay. To identify determinants of HHV-8 infection, a nested case-control study and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: Sera from 456 HIV-uninfected individuals (224 multiple-partner heterosexuals and 232 men who have sex with men (MSM]) were identified for inclusion in the study. The HHV-8 seroprevalence at enrollment was 9.4% (21/224; 95% C.I.: 6.0-14.2%) among heterosexuals with multiple partners and 22.0% (51/232; 95% C.I.: 16.9-28.0%) among MSM. Among the 203 multiple-partner heterosexuals and 181 MSM who were initially HHV-8-negative, 17 (IR = 3.0/100 p-y, 95% C.I.: 1.9 - 4.8) and 21 (IR = 3.3/100 p-y, 95% C.I:.2.1 - 5.1) seroconversions occurred, respectively. HHV-8 seroconversion tended to be associated with a high number of sexual partners during the follow-up among MSM (> 10 partners: AOR = 3.32 95% CI:0.89-12.46) and among the multiple-partner heterosexuals (> 10 partner; AOR = 3.46, 95% CI:0.42-28.2). Moreover, among MSM, HHV-8 seroconversion tended to be associated with STI (AOR = 1.80 95%CI: 0.52-7.96). During the study period the HIV-1 incidence was lower than that of HHV-8 among both groups (0.89/100 p-y among MSM and 0.95/100 p-y among multiple-partner heterosexuals). CONCLUSION: The large difference between the incidence of HHV-8 and the incidence of HIV-1 and other STIs may suggest that the circulation of HHV-8 is sustained by practices other than classical at-risk sexual behavior.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , VIH-1 , Infecciones por Herpesviridae/epidemiología , Herpesvirus Humano 8 , Conducta Sexual , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Femenino , VIH-1/inmunología , VIH-1/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones por Herpesviridae/transmisión , Herpesvirus Humano 8/inmunología , Herpesvirus Humano 8/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Incidencia , Italia/epidemiología , Modelos Logísticos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología
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