Long-term outcomes of symptomatic and asymptomatic patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy in an average-volume community hospital.

BACKGROUND: Long-term benefit of carotid endarectomy has not yet been fully investigated in average volume centers. Thus our purpose is to evaluate long-term results of carotid endarterectomies at a medium-volume hospital. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of carotid artery stenosis operated between 2008 and 2017 in a community hospital was done. Demographic and postoperative outcomes were evaluated in short and long-term by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: 167 procedures in 159 patients were included. Average age was 72 years, and 65% were men. Twenty-nine percent of the patients were symptomatic and the rest asymptomatic. Median hospitalization was 3 (IQR 3-4) days and the mean follow-up was 56 months. No hospital mortality was recorded. At 120-month follow-up, freedom of stroke was 97.4%, death 97.3%, restenosis, 98.7% and all combined events 92.9% (log rank p = .042) Combined event-free survival was 84.4% in symptomatic patients, and 96.1% in asymptomatic patients (log rank p = .025). CONCLUSIONS: In a medium-volume hospital combined event-free survival was 84.4% in symptomatic patients and 96.1% in asymptomatic at a 10-year follow-up.

What patients consider to be a 'good' doctor, and what doctors consider to be a 'good' patient.

BACKGROUND: From a patient's point of view, an 'ideal' doctor could be defined as one having personal qualities for interpersonal relationships, technical skills and good intentions. However, doctors' opinions about what it means to be a 'good' patient have not been systematically investigated. AIM: To explore how patients define the characteristics of a 'good' and a 'bad' doctor, and how doctors define a 'good' and a 'bad' patient. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We surveyed a cohort of 107 consecutive patients attending a community teaching hospital in February 2019, who were asked to define the desirable characteristics of a good/bad doctor. Additionally, a cohort of 115 physicians working at the same hospital was asked to define the desirable characteristics of a good/bad patient. Responses were subjected to content analysis. Simultaneously, an algorithm in Python was used to automatically categorize responses throughout text-mining. RESULTS: The predominant patients' perspective alluded to desirable personal qualities more importantly than proficiency in knowledge and technical skills. Doctors would be satisfied if patients manifested positive personality characteristics, were prone to avoid decisional and personal conflicts, had a high adherence to treatment, and trusted the doctor. The text-mining algorithm was accurate to classify individuals' opinions. CONCLUSIONS: Ideally, fusing the skills of the scientist to the reflective capabilities of the medical humanist will fulfill the archetype of what patients consider to be a 'good' doctor. Doctors' preferences reveal a "paternalistic" style, and his/her opinions should be managed carefully to avoid stigmatizing certain patients' behaviors.

Transient acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery does not independently affect postoperative outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to assess the incidence of in-hospital acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery by comparing preoperative baseline renal function with renal function during the postoperative period and at discharge, and to relate these indices with in-hospital postoperative outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed over a 4-year period from a series of 426 adult patients. Kidney function was based on serum creatinine (SCr), Cockroft-Gault estimated creatinine clearance (eCrCl), and glomerular filtration rate estimated with the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula (eGFR). Baseline values were compared with "peak" values of altered kidney function postoperatively, and "discharge" values. In-hospital mortality and complication rates were compared between patients with transient and persistent AKI, and those without postoperative AKI. RESULTS: After surgery, AKI (Risk-Injury-Failure-Loss-Endstage [RIFLE] classes Injury and Failure) was diagnosed in 14.6-17.5% of patients based on peak values. AKI diagnosis was reduced to 3.6-4.5% when SCr, eCrCl, and eGFR were measured at discharge. In-hospital mortality of patients with transient AKI was 4% versus 26% in patients with AKI at discharge (odds ratio = 0.11, 95% confidence interval 0.02-0.62, P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of AKI based on measurements of eGFR during the postoperative period was nearly four times more frequent than the same diagnosis at discharge. Transient AKI was the predominate presentation of postoperative kidney dysfunction in this study. Transient AKI did not affect in-hospital outcomes compared with patients without AKI. Patients with persistent AKI at discharge had the highest mortality.

Epidemiological dynamic modeling of human papillomavirus-related diseases to assess vaccination strategies in Argentina.

Our objective was to develop and test a dynamic simulation model of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related diseases to assess rational vaccination strategies in Argentina. A dynamic stochastic transmission model for hetero- and homosexual transmission of HPV oncogenic and low-risk oncogenic types among females and males was developed. The model included HPV transmission and vaccination, the natural history of HPV-related diseases, disease outcomes, and cervical cancer screening. Considering all cervical cancers, covered or not by the current quadrivalent vaccine, the existing coverage rate would lead to 60% reduction in the global incidence of cervical cancer at 25 years, and to 79% at 50 years. Isolated current female vaccination without a screening program would need around 100 years to eliminate cervical cancer from the local population. Current coverage rate would lead to 59% reduction of vulvar cancer, 76% of vaginal cancer, 85% of anal cancer, and 87% of oropharyngeal cancer, estimated over a 25-year time prospect. Female HPV vaccination within the context of current cervical cancer screening should reach a minimum long-term mean coverage of 60% of girls, receiving at least a two-dose vaccine schedule, to significantly reduce or virtually eliminate cervical cancer at 50 years. Including vaccination to boys to improve herd immunity did not influence the incidence of cervical cancer over time, as long as female coverage did not fall below 50%. Regarding vulvar, vaginal, anal, penile, and some oropharyngeal cancers, current girls-only based vaccination could virtually eliminate these cancer types after 35-40 years, both in women and men.

Association of body mass index with short-term outcomes after cardiac surgery: retrospective study and meta-analysis.

The relationship between higher body mass index (BMI), decreased morbidity and mortality is known as the "obesity paradox", and has been described in cohorts of patients with hypertension, diabetes, heart failure, coronary and peripheral artery diseases, non-cardiac surgery, and end-stage renal disease. Here we investigated the relationship between BMI and short-term outcomes after adult cardiac surgery to explore the existence of an obesity paradoxical effect. A secondary objective was to perform an updated systematic review to further analyze the association between BMI and 30-day in-hospital mortality after cardiac surgery. A retrospective analysis was performed from a consecutive series of 1823 adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery, that were assigned to five BMI groups: normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (25-29.9 kg/m2), class I obese (30-34.9 kg/m2), class II obese (35-39.9 kg/m2), and class III obese or morbidly obese (40-49.9 kg/m2). A systematic review search was performed including controlled trials and observational studies identified in MEDLINE, Embase, SCOPUS, and the Cochrane library (to the end of June 2017). In the present series, overweight and obese patients had similar or slightly lower in-hospital mortality rates after cardiac surgery compared with normal-weight individuals. Conversely, postoperative complication rates increased with higher BMI levels. Most studies included in the review showed that overweight and obese patients had at least the same mortality rate as normal-weight patients, or even a lower death risk. Pooled-data of the meta-analysis provided evidence on the association between higher BMI levels and a lower all-cause in-hospital mortality rate after cardiac surgery.

Patients' perceptions of argentine physicians' empathy based on the jefferson scale of patient's perceptions of physician empathy: Psychometric data and demographic differences.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the validity of a modified Spanish version of the Jefferson Scale of Patient's Perceptions of Physician Empathy (JSPPPE) in Argentine patients and to explore how local demographic characteristics influence patients' perceptions of their physicians' empathy. METHODS: A survey was conducted in March 2013 among 400 Spanish-speaking outpatients attending three different public or private hospitals of Buenos Aires. A principal component analysis (PCA) was used to identify the JSPPPE factor structure, and a confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was employed to evaluate its construct validity. Demographic variables including age, gender, geographic origin, education, health coverage, regular physician-established and patient-perceived health status were used to find what factors may influence empathy rating. RESULTS: The PCA yielded a one-factor model that accounted for 77.5% of the variance, and an adequate model fit was observed with CFA indices. Male and elderly patients, South American descendants, less educated people, and public hospital attendants were associated with a higher JSPPPE score. Patients perceived a lower interest of physicians in their daily problems and a poorer capacity "to stand in their shoes." DISCUSSION: The JSPPPE provides a valid score to measure patients' perceptions of physician empathy in Argentina. These findings afford insight into Argentine patients' awareness of their doctors' empathic concern; however, JSPPPE scores may be alternatively interpreted in terms of patients' satisfaction or likeability.

Validation of age, creatinine and ejection fraction (ACEF) and Cockcroft-Gault ACEF scores in elective cardiac surgery.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of age, creatinine and ejection fraction (ACEF) score and the modified ACEFCG model, incorporating creatinine clearance, to predict immediate operative mortality risk of patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery. A retrospective analysis was performed of prospectively collected data between 2012 and 2015, from a series of 1190 adult patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery. Operative risk mortality was assessed with ACEF, ACEFCG and EuroSCORE II. Overall mortality rate was 4.0% (48 cases), while mean mortality rates predicted by ACEF, ACEFCG, and EuroSCORE II were 2.3% (p = 0.014), 6.4% (p = 0.010) and 2.5% (p = 0.038), respectively. Overall observed/predicted mortality ratio was 1.8 for ACEF score, 0.6 for ACEFCG score and 1.6 for EuroSCORE II. The ACEF score demonstrated an adequate overall performance for the low- and intermediate-risk groups, but underestimated mortality for the high risk group. The ACEFCG score discriminatory power systematically improved the area under the ROC curve (AUC) obtained with the ACEF score; however, EuroSCORE II showed the best AUC. Overall accuracy was 56.1% for the ACEF score, 51.2% for the ACEFCG score and 75.9% for EuroSCORE II. For clinical use, the ACEF score seems to be adequate to predict mortality in low- and intermediate-risk patients. Though the ACEFCG score had a better discriminatory power and calibration, it tended to overestimate the expected risk. Since ideally, a simpler risk stratification score should be desirable for bedside clinical use, the ACEF model reasonably met the expected performance in our population.

Survey on Ethical Conduct Thresholds in Cardiologal Medical Practice in Argentina.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the attitude of a group of cardiologists on the ethical conducts they would accept or adopt when encountered with different hypothetical situations of medical practice. Between August and September of 2011, 700 Argentine cardiologists were surveyed in situations which posed ethical dilemmas in the patient-physician relationship, among colleagues or involving financial agreements with employers or the pharmaceutical industry. Ethical conflicts were evidenced in a series of inappropriate conducts such as differential fees, trips and meals sponsored by laboratories, splitting fees, overbilling, self-referral, charging for patient referral, financial compensation for ordering medical procedures, and various situations derived from the relationship with employers. In general, financial compensation from the pharmaceutical industry was more accepted than the conflictive situations which directly involved patients, colleagues or employers. The rejection of these conducts, the physicians' deontological education and the improvement of financial and organizational conditions in medical practice will help to encourage better medical professionalism and avoid unseemly behaviors.

[Kolb's learning styles in medical students]. / Estilos de aprendizaje de Kolb en estudiantes de medicina.

The objective of this work was to study the relationship of Kolb's learning styles in academic success or failure in medical students. A prospective cohort study in 116 medical students of a private Argentine university was performed between March 2005 and March 2011. The follow-up included two cut-offs; during 2005-2006 the students' learning styles were determined and five years later, when individuals had to end their career, they were grouped into graduated, delayed or dropped status. At the end of the period, 50% of the students ended successfully, 24.1% abandoned and 25.9% was delayed. Learning styles were assimilator in 60.3% of cases, divergent in 14.7%, accommodator in 6.9%, convergent in 6.0% and undefined in 12.1%. In conclusion, the follow-up during the career demonstrated that convergent or undefined styles had a tendency to abandon the career, while delayed students had a more theoretical and reflexive style than successful individuals. The results observed in convergent students differed from other reports. This difference would be explained by a particular characteristic of the sample or by the teaching and evaluation profile of the university.

Factors affecting willingness to practice medicine in underserved areas: a survey of Argentine medical students.

INTRODUCTION: Previous research has explored the effect of motivations, incentives and working conditions on willingness to accept jobs in rural and remote areas. These studies demonstrated that difficult working conditions, low job satisfaction and remuneration, and poor security, predisposed new medical graduates to select cities instead of rural districts. Since Argentina has a critical shortage of health staff in rural and low-income marginal suburban settings, and limited qualitative and quantitative local research has been done to address this issue, the present study was developed to assess the factors associated with the willingness of medical students to work in low-resource underprivileged areas of the country after graduation. METHODS: A cross-sectional descriptive design was used with data collected from a self-administered questionnaire and using quantitative analysis methods. A total of 400 eligible second-year medical students were invited to participate in a survey focused on sociodemographic characteristics, incentives and working conditions expected in deprived areas, extrinsic and intrinsic motivations, university medical education and government promotion policies. RESULTS: Twenty-one per cent of medical students showed a strong willingness to work in a deprived area, 57.3% manifested weak willingness and 21.5% unwillingness to work in a low-resource setting. Being female, of older age, not having a university-trained professional parent, previous exposure or service in a poor area, choice of pediatrics as a specialty and strong altruistic motivations were highly associated with the willingness to practice medicine in rural or underprivileged areas. Only 21.5% of respondents considered that medical schools encourage the practice of medicine in poor deprived regions. Likewise, only 6.2% of students considered that national public health authorities suitably stimulate physician distribution in poorer districts. CONCLUSIONS: One-third of students expressed high altruistic motivations and should therefore be encouraged during their careers. Better remuneration and the assurance of a position at an urban hospital in the future may tip the choice in favor of underprivileged regions. Since most respondents said that neither government nor medical schools sufficiently encourage the practice of medicine in poor deprived regions, government policy-makers should recommend changes in resource allocation to better promote official proposals and opportunities to work.

[Factors associated with academic success of medical students at Buenos Aires University]. / Factores asociados con el éxito académico de los estudiantes de medicina de la Universidad de Buenos Aires.

The aim of this study was to identify common factors relating to the academic success of medical students who were distinguished with honors at the Buenos Aires University. In 2011, 142 graduates were surveyed; the questionnaire included 59 questions on their sociodemographic environment, living conditions and social integration, motivation to study, learning capacity and health quality during their career. Compared to other students, these distinguished students more often lived in the city, far from their families; had been educated at private or universitary high schools, their economic needs were financed by their parents, who were on the whole professionals. Most of them were single and childless. The possibility of future employment oportunities (work) did not influence their choice of a medical career, academic success was important to them and they believed that success depended largely on personal effort; they knew how to handle anxiety, were sociable but independent and preferred solid experience to abstract conceptuality in order to obtain information. Our conclusion, within the current system of candidate selection, these results serve to calculate the covert self-selection mechanisms during the career, or in a more restrictive regime, to select those likely to reach academic success due to their privileged ambience. The analysis of demographic factors indicates some degree of inequality for socially disadvantaged students. Perhaps, a selection system based only on intellectual abilities would help identify and support the best candidates regardless of their social context.

Choosing surgery as a specialty: opinions of medical students about surgery and surgeons.

INTRODUCTION: Since the number of applicants to residencies in general surgery in Argentina seems to be decreasing, we designed this work with the objective of studying the factors considered undesirable by students when choosing surgery as a specialty. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between March and April 2012, one-hundred students were surveyed with a structured questionnaire with true/false binary answers in an observational case-control design. The survey contained 26 statements that made reference to characteristics of surgery as a specialty, or about the personality and lifestyle of surgeons, as they could be perceived by students. As a control group the same survey was applied to 20 surgeons who were in contact with the students and that could represent a role model for them during their rotation in surgery. RESULTS: Comparison between students and surgeons showed no difference in most answers, except in «surgery has poor reimbursement¼ (OR: 8,9; P=.0001), «there is not enough job demand¼ (OR: 8,1; P=.015), «surgery restrains intellectual development¼ (OR: 17,5; P=.014), «surgeons have too many non-scheduled activities¼ (OR: 9,36; P=.024), «they have a limited patient-physician relationship¼ (OR: 3,61; P=.009), «they have little time for family¼ (OR: 4,27; P=.036) and «they are exposed to infectious diseases¼ (OR: 5,90; P=.007). CONCLUSIONS: Women would be as interested as men in working as surgeons; a remarkable fact when considering that the surgical specialties have been predominantly filled by men. The fact that surgeons mostly coincide with the views of students means that role models should be reviewed to promote vocations.

[Diffusion and adoption of health care innovations in cardiology, in Argentina]. / Perfil de difusión y adopción de innovaciones de los cardiólogos en Argentina.

BACKGROUND: Medicine is changing rapidly and diagnostic and therapeutic innovations are common. Not all professionals adopt these innovations in the same way. AIM: To survey the physicians' opinions on adopting innovations in cardiovascular health care, to classify individuals from an innovative to a conservative behavior, and to individualize opinion leaders among them, in order to build a social network of influence. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between November and December 2008, 765 Argentine cardiologists were surveyed via e-mail in Argentina, to assess the way they adopt and disseminate innovations in cardiovascular health care. RESULTS: The survey was answered by 537 professionals (70.2%). Fifty three percent of respondents were "Early adopters". However, 63 to 79.3% of respondents preferred to wait for a full demonstration of the usefulness of innovation before adopting it. The opinion leaders' distribution adopted a scale-free network pattern, where few leaders had many connections and influence on the whole network. The giant component of the network included 41% of physicians; growth simulation of the network showed that the four most popular leaders influenced over 44% of the giant component. CONCLUSIONS: Among surveyed physicians there was an attitude towards rapid acceptance of innovations in health care. However, when analyzing the direct opinion of physicians, most cases preferred usefulness demonstrated before accepting innovations. The social network including respondents and opinion leaders showed a scale-free topology with a big influence of a few over the whole network.

[Cardiac surgery stratified by EuroSCORE. Long-term survival]. / Cirugía cardíaca estratificada por EuroSCORE. Supervivencia a largo plazo.

The objective was to explore the usefulness of the logistic EuroSCORE to stratify the long-term survival curves in a sample of patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The 8-year survival of 390 patients undergoing cardiac surgery between 2003 and 2004 was analyzed, according to the basal value of the EuroSCORE, patients were classified into three risk groups: < 5%, 5-14.9% and > 15%. Eight-years Kaplan-Meier's survival after coronary artery bypass grafting divided by the basal EuroSCORE was 83.5% for a basal risk < 5%, 65.2% for a basal risk 5 to 14.9% and 40.0% for a basal risk >15% (p = 0.000); whereas for valve or combined surgery it was 86.1%, 60.0% and 18.2% respectively (p = 0.0000). For all patients, ROC area was 0.759 (p = 0.000), for a EuroSCORE < 5% it was 0.689 (p = 0.002), between 5 and 14.9% it was 0.544 (p = 0.499) and for >15% it was 0.725 (p = 0.067). In conclusion, the logistic EuroSCORE allowed properly stratify the long-term survival curves in a sample of patients undergoing cardiac surgery, both the coronary and valve or combined surgery. Long-term results stratified by risk are a reasonable way to present late postoperative survival.

[Patients' preferences for information in health care decision-making]. / Preferencias de los pacientes sobre la información de su enfermedad.

A survey was carried out among patients who concurred to cardiologic services to know how patients preferred to be informed about their health status, and the demographic characteristics associated to these preferences, considering the following items: knowledge about the disease, information about different therapeutic options and decision-making. From 770 people surveyed, 738 (95.8%) answered the form completely. A trend to trust only in the doctor's knowledge to obtain information (81.7%), in wanting to know the options of treatment and express one's point of view (85.9%), and to involve the family in the decisions (63.2%) was observed. 9.6% preferred to receive the minimum necessary information or "to know nothing" about an alleged serious disease. Males tended less to request options and give opinion on the subject (or: 0.64), giving less freedom to family involvement (or: 1.31). people with a lower social and economical level claim fewer options (or: 0.48) and gave less family participation (or = 1.79). Natives from other South American countries had a minor tendency to demand for options and express their thoughts (or: 0.60); and the ones with lower education level trusted less in the doctor's knowledge (or: 1.81), demanded fewer options (or: 0.45) and chose not to know the severity of the disease (or: 0.56). the analysis of the demographical variables allowed to define preferences associated to age, sex, origin, education, religion and health status. In conclusion, although it is imperative to promote the patient's autonomy, individual preferences must be taken into account before informing and compromising the patient in decision-making about his disease.

Tolerance for Uncertainty, Personality Traits and Specialty Choice Among Medical Students.

OBJECTIVE: The objective was to explore the tolerance for uncertainty in its different aspects (risk, ambiguity and complexity) in medical students at different times of their careers, and to relate these tolerance levels with their predominant personality traits and specialty choices. A secondary objective was to build a hypothetical model aimed at explaining the potential relationships of dependency between gender, personality traits, tolerance for uncertainty and specialty choice using a structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis. DESIGN/SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: A prospective cross-sectional study including two cohorts of second-year (n = 155) and sixth-year (n = 157) medical students was performed during 2017 at the Buenos Aires University School of Medicine. Both student cohorts completed instruments assessing tolerance for different types of uncertainty: (1) complexity (Tolerance for Ambiguity scale); (2) risk (Pearson Risk Attitude scale); and (3) ambiguity (Ambiguity Aversion in Medicine scale). Information on age, gender and specialty choice in sixth-year medical students was included, plus the Big Five Inventory-10 (BFI-10) personality test. RESULTS: Sixth-year students showed significantly lower scores than second-year students at tolerance for complexity (p = 0.0003) and ambiguity (p = 0.008). Sixth-year students choosing a surgical specialty were associated with low tolerance for risk and ambiguity, and moderate for complexity. Conversely, students choosing a clinical specialty were related with high tolerance for risk, moderate for ambiguity, and low for complexity. Logistic regression analysis including the uncertainty questionnaires plus BFI-10 categories demonstrated that only the "neuroticism" personality trait was independently associated with a surgical specialty choice (OR: 1.31, 95%CI: 1.03-1.67). The final SEM that best represented the data showed good fit statistics: chi-square (p = 0.108), and RMSEA (p = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: Tolerance for uncertainty in its different dimensions was associated with personality traits and specialty choice among medical students. A SEM analysis could satisfactorily explain the hypothetical relationships of dependency between gender, personality traits, tolerance for uncertainty, and specialty choice.

Treatment of individual predictors with neural network algorithms improves Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score discrimination.

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop, train, and test different neural network (NN) algorithm-based models to improve the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score performance to predict in-hospital mortality after an acute coronary syndrome. Methods: We analyzed a prospective database, including 40 admission variables of 1255 patients admitted with the acute coronary syndrome in a community hospital. Individual predictors included in GRACE score were used to train and test three NN algorithm-based models (guided models), namely: one- and two-hidden layer multilayer perceptron and a radial basis function network. Three extra NNs were built using the 40 admission variables of the entire database (unguided models). Expected mortality according to GRACE score was calculated using the logistic regression equation. Results: In terms of receiver operating characteristic area and negative predictive value (NPV), almost all NN algorithms outperformed logistic regression. Only radial basis function models obtained a better accuracy level based on NPV improvement, at the expense of positive predictive value (PPV) reduction. The independent normalized importance of variables for the best unguided NN was: creatinine 100%, Killip class 61%, ejection fraction 52%, age 44%, maximum creatine-kinase level 41%, glycemia 40%, left bundle branch block 35%, and weight 33%, among the top 8 predictors. Conclusions: Treatment of individual predictors of GRACE score with NN algorithms improved accuracy and discrimination power in all models with respect to the traditional logistic regression approach; nevertheless, PPV was only marginally enhanced. Unguided variable selection would be able to achieve better results in PPV terms.

Objetivo: El objetivo fue desarrollar, entrenar y probar diferentes modelos basados en algoritmos de redes neuronales (RN) para mejorar el rendimiento del score del Registro Global de Eventos Coronarios Agudos (GRACE) para predecir la mortalidad hospitalaria después de un síndrome coronario agudo. Métodos: Analizamos una base de datos prospectiva que incluía 40 variables de ingreso de 1255 pacientes con síndrome coronario agudo en un hospital comunitario. Las variables incluidas en la puntuación GRACE se usaron para entrenar y probar tres algoritmos basados en RN (modelos guiados), a saber: perceptrones multicapa de una y dos capas ocultas y una red de función de base radial. Se construyeron tres RN adicionales utilizando las 40 variables de admisión de toda la base de datos (modelos no guiados). La mortalidad esperada según el GRACE se calculó usando la ecuación de regresión logística. Resultados: En términos del área ROC y valor predictivo negativo (VPN), casi todos los algoritmos RN superaron la regresión logística. Solo los modelos de función de base radial obtuvieron un mejor nivel de precisión basado en la mejora del VPN, pero a expensas de la reducción del valor predictivo positivo (VPP). La importancia normalizada de las variables incluidas en la mejor RN no guiada fue: creatinina 100%, clase Killip 61%, fracción de eyección 52%, edad 44%, nivel máximo de creatina quinasa 41%, glucemia 40%, bloqueo de rama izquierda 35%, y peso 33%, entre los 8 predictores principales. Conclusiones: El tratamiento de las variables del score GRACE mediante algoritmos de RN mejoró la precisión y la discriminación en todos los modelos con respecto al enfoque tradicional de regresión logística; sin embargo, el VPP solo mejoró marginalmente. La selección no guiada de variables podría mejorar los resultados en términos de PPV.

Remote ischaemic conditioning in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction treated with percutaneous coronary intervention: an updated meta-analysis of clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: All previous meta-analyses including clinical outcomes after remote ischaemic conditioning (RIC) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) demonstrated that RIC significantly reduced all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Following the publication of these meta-analyses, three new randomised controlled clinical trials (RCT) including 5712 patients were reported. The objective of this study was to perform an updated meta-analysis about the effectiveness of RIC in reducing MACE in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI. METHODS: The search strategy included only RCT identified in MEDLINE, Embase, SCOPUS, and Cochrane (up to February 2020). Eligible studies included any type of RIC. The study adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement. The studies quality was evaluated with Cochrane Risk of Bias tool and Jadad score. RESULTS: Twelve RCT were included in the analysis (Q = 18.8, p = 0.065, I2 = 41.5%, 95%CI 0.0-70.3). Globally, 8239 STEMI patients with 816 MACE were reported with follow-ups between 1 and 45 months. Random effects model showed no significant effect of RIC on composite clinical endpoints (OR = 0.77, 95%CI 0.59-1.01, p = 0.105). Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that only the exclusion of CONDI-2/ERIC PPCI trial modified the significance of the global effect (OR 0.66, 95%CI 0.47-0.93), favouring RIC intervention. CONCLUSIONS: The current updated meta-analysis showed that use of RIC around the time of PCI for STEMI treatment added no significant benefit for clinical outcomes assessed between 6 and 45 months after the procedure. These conclusions are in direct contrast to previously published meta-analyses.