Metastability of diamond ramp-compressed to 2 terapascals.

Carbon is the fourth-most prevalent element in the Universe and essential for all known life. In the elemental form it is found in multiple allotropes, including graphite, diamond and fullerenes, and it has long been predicted that even more structures can exist at pressures greater than those at Earth's core1-3. Several phases have been predicted to exist in the multi-terapascal regime, which is important for accurate modelling of the interiors of carbon-rich exoplanets4,5. By compressing solid carbon to 2 terapascals (20 million atmospheres; more than five times the pressure at Earth's core) using ramp-shaped laser pulses and simultaneously measuring nanosecond-duration time-resolved X-ray diffraction, we found that solid carbon retains the diamond structure far beyond its regime of predicted stability. The results confirm predictions that the strength of the tetrahedral molecular orbital bonds in diamond persists under enormous pressure, resulting in large energy barriers that hinder conversion to more-stable high-pressure allotropes1,2, just as graphite formation from metastable diamond is kinetically hindered at atmospheric pressure. This work nearly doubles the highest pressure at which X-ray diffraction has been recorded on any material.

Time Trends in Causes of Death in People With HIV: Insights From the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Advancements in access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) care have led to a decline in AIDS-related deaths among people with HIV (PWH) in Switzerland. However, data on the ongoing changes in causes of death among PWH over the past 15 years are scarce. METHODS: We investigated all reported deaths in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study between 2005 and 2022. Causes of death were categorized using the Coding Causes of Death in HIV protocol. The statistical analysis included demographic stratification to identify time trends and logistic regression models to determine associated factors for the underlying cause of death. RESULTS: In total, 1630 deaths were reported, with 23.7% of individuals assigned female sex at birth. These deaths included 147 (9.0%) HIV/AIDS-related deaths, 373 (22.9%) due to non-AIDS, non-hepatic cancers, 166 (10.2%) liver-related deaths, and 158 (9.7%) cardiovascular-related deaths. The median age at death (interquartile range) increased from 45.0 (40.0-53.0) years in 2005-2007 to 61.0 (56.0-69.5) years in 2020-2022. HIV/AIDS- and liver-related deaths decreased, whereas deaths from non-AIDS, non-hepatic cancers increased and cardiovascular-related deaths remained relatively stable. CONCLUSIONS: The proportionally decreasing HIV/AIDS and liver-related deaths showcase the effectiveness of ART, comprehensive HIV patient care, and interventions targeting hepatitis C virus coinfection. Future research should focus on managing cancer and cardiovascular-related conditions as the new leading causes of death among PWH. Comprehensive healthcare strategies focusing on non-AIDS-related comorbid conditions, cancer management, and sustaining liver and cardiovascular health are needed to bridge the ongoing health disparities between PWH and the general population.

Emergent Inflation of the Efimov Spectrum under Three-Body Spin-Exchange Interactions.

We resolve the unexpected and long-standing disagreement between experiment and theory in the Efimovian three-body spectrum of ^{7}Li, commonly referred to as the lithium few-body puzzle. Our results show that the discrepancy arises out of the presence of strong nonuniversal three-body spin-exchange interactions, which enact an effective inflation of the universal Efimov spectrum. This conclusion is obtained from a thorough numerical solution of the quantum mechanical three-body problem, including precise interatomic interactions and all spin degrees of freedom for three alkali-metal atoms. Our results show excellent agreement with the experimental data regarding both the Efimov spectrum and the absolute rate constants of three-body recombination, and in addition reveal a general product propensity for such triatomic reactions in the Paschen-Back regime, stemming from Wigner's spin conservation rule.

Higgs Oscillations in a Unitary Fermi Superfluid.

Symmetry-breaking phase transitions are central to our understanding of states of matter. When a continuous symmetry is spontaneously broken, new excitations appear that are tied to fluctuations of the order parameter. In superconductors and fermionic superfluids, the phase and amplitude can fluctuate independently, giving rise to two distinct collective branches. However, amplitude fluctuations are difficult to both generate and measure, as they do not couple directly to the density of fermions and have only been observed indirectly to date. Here, we excite amplitude oscillations in an atomic Fermi gas with resonant interactions by an interaction quench. Exploiting the sensitivity of Bragg spectroscopy to the amplitude of the order parameter, we measure the time-resolved response of the atom cloud, directly revealing amplitude oscillations at twice the frequency of the gap. The magnitude of the oscillatory response shows a strong temperature dependence, and the oscillations appear to decay faster than predicted by time-dependent Bardeen-Cooper-Schrieffer theory applied to our experimental setup.

Participation, retention and uptake in a multicentre pre-exposure prophylaxis cohort using online, smartphone-compatible data collection.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess the feasibility of a national pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) programme using smartphone-compatible data collection. METHODS: This was a multicentre cohort study (NCT03893188) enrolling individuals interested in PrEP in Switzerland. All centres participate in the SwissPrEPared programme, which uses smartphone-compatible data collection. Feasibility was assessed after centres had enrolled at least one participant. Participants were HIV-negative individuals presenting for PrEP counselling. Outcomes were participation (number enrolled/number eligible), enrolment rates (number enrolled per month), retention at first follow-up (number with first follow-up/number enrolled), and uptake (proportion attending first visit as scheduled). Participant characteristics were compared between those retained after baseline assessment and those who dropped out. RESULTS: Between April 2019 and January 2020, 987 individuals were assessed for eligibility, of whom 969 were enrolled (participation: 98.2%). The median enrolment rate was 86 per month [interquartile range (IQR) 52-137]. Retention at first follow-up and uptake were both 80.7% (782/969 and 532/659, respectively). At enrolment, the median age was 40 (IQR 33-47) years, 95% were men who have sex with men, 47% had a university degree, and 75.5% were already taking PrEP. Most reported multiple casual partners (89.2%), previous sexually transmitted infections (74%) and sexualized drug use (73.1%). At baseline, 25.5% tested positive for either syphilis, gonorrhoea or chlamydia. Participants who dropped out were at lower risk of HIV infection than those retained after baseline assessment. CONCLUSIONS: In a national PrEP programme using smartphone-compatible data collection, participation, retention and uptake were high. Participants retained after baseline assessment were at considerable risk of HIV infection. Younger, less educated individuals were underrepresented in the SwissPrEPared cohort.

Assessing Adverse Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low Levels of Ambient Air Pollution: Implementation of Causal Inference Methods.

This report provides a final summary of the principal findings and key conclusions of a study supported by an HEI grant aimed at "Assessing Adverse Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low Levels of Ambient Air Pollution." It is the second and final report on this topic. The study was designed to advance four critical areas of inquiry and methods development. First, it focused on predicting short- and long-term exposures to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) at high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) for the continental United States over the period 2000-2016 and linking these predictions to health data. Second, it developed new causal inference methods for estimating exposure-response (ER) curves (ERCs) and adjusting for measured confounders. Third, it applied these methods to claims data from Medicare and Medicaid beneficiaries to estimate health effects associated with short- and long-term exposure to low levels of ambient air pollution. Finally, it developed pipelines for reproducible research, including approaches for data sharing, record linkage, and statistical software. Our HEI-funded work has supported an extensive portfolio of analyses and the development of statistical methods that can be used to robustly understand the health effects of short- and long-term exposure to low levels of ambient air pollution. Our Phase 1 report (Dominici et al. 2019) provided a high-level overview of our statistical methods, data analysis, and key findings, grouped into the following five areas: (1) exposure prediction, (2) epidemiological studies of ambient exposures to air pollution at low levels, (3) sensitivity analysis, (4) methodological contributions in causal inference, and (5) an open access research data platform. The current, final report includes a comprehensive overview of the entire research project.Considering our (1) massive study population, (2) numerous sensitivity analyses, and (3) transparent assessment of covariate balance indicating the quality of causal inference for simulating randomized experiments, we conclude that conditionally on the required assumptions for causal inference, our results collectively indicate that long-term PM2.5 exposure is likely to be causally related to mortality. This conclusion assumes that the causal inference assumptions hold and, more specifically, that we accounted adequately for confounding bias. We explored various modeling approaches, conducted extensive sensitivity analyses, and found that our results were robust across approaches and models. This work relied on publicly available data, and we have provided code that allows for reproducibility of our analyses.Our work provides comprehensive evidence of associations between exposures to PM2.5, NO2, and O3 and various health outcomes. In the current report, we report more specific results on the causal link between long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality, even at PM2.5 levels below or equal to 12 µg/m3, and mortality among Medicare beneficiaries (ages 65 and older). This work relies on newly developed causal inference methods for continuous exposure.For the period 2000-2016, we found that all statistical approaches led to consistent results: a 10-µg/m3 decrease in PM2.5 led to a statistically significant decrease in mortality rate ranging between 6% and 7% (= 1 - 1/hazard ratio [HR]) (HR estimates 1.06 [95% CI, 1.05 to 1.08] to 1.08 [95% CI, 1.07 to 1.09]). The estimated HRs were larger when studying the cohort of Medicare beneficiaries that were always exposed to PM2.5 levels lower than 12 µg/m3 (1.23 [95% CI, 1.18 to 1.28] to 1.37 [95% CI, 1.34 to 1.40]).Comparing the results from multiple and single pollutant models, we found that adjusting for the other two pollutants slightly attenuated the causal effects of PM2.5 and slightly elevated the causal effects of NO2 exposure on all-cause mortality. The results for O3 remained almost unchanged.We found evidence of a harmful causal relationship between mortality and long-term PM2.5 exposures adjusted for NO2 and O3 across the range of annual averages between 2.77 and 17.16 µg/m3 (included >98% of observations) in the entire cohort of Medicare beneficiaries across the continental United States from 2000 to 2016. Our results are consistent with recent epidemiological studies reporting a strong association between long-term exposure to PM2.5 and adverse health outcomes at low exposure levels. Importantly, the curve was almost linear at exposure levels lower than the current national standards, indicating aggravated harmful effects at exposure levels even below these standards.There is, in general, a harmful causal impact of long-term NO2 exposures to mortality adjusted for PM2.5 and O3 across the range of annual averages between 3.4 and 80 ppb (included >98% of observations). Yet within low levels (annual mean ≤53 ppb) below the current national standards, the causal impacts of NO2 exposures on all-cause mortality are nonlinear with statistical uncertainty.The ERCs of long-term O3 exposures on all-cause mortality adjusted for PM2.5 and NO2 are almost flat below 45 ppb, which shows no statistically significant effect. Yet we observed an increased hazard when the O3 exposures were higher than 45 ppb, and the HR was approximately 1.10 when comparing Medicare beneficiaries with annual mean O3 exposures of 50 ppb versus those with 30 ppb.institutions, including those that support the Health Effects Institute; therefore, it may not reflect the views or policies of these parties, and no endorsement by them should be inferred.A list of abbreviations and other terms appears at the end of this volume.

Cortisol awakening response in the airborne rescue service.

BACKGROUND: Work-related stress may lead to mental and physical illnesses. Emergency physicians may be particularly vulnerable to developing such diseases due to their extreme emotional working environment. AIMS: The purpose of the study was to analyse the hormonal stress burden of emergency physicians in the airborne rescue service to create an empirical basis for developing appropriate measures against chronic stress in the rescue service. METHODS: Three salivary cortisol samples were collected after awakening in 15 min intervals-each on a flight rescue day, a clinic day and a free day-to calculate the extent of the hormonal stress load of the emergency physicians. A nested linear mixed-model analysis was used in 40 cases to investigate hormonal stress. Furthermore, professional years and gender were included in the calculations. RESULTS: The mixed model showed neither a main effect for measurement time nor for day but a significant interaction effect (P = 0.002). The cortisol level rises strongly on the flight rescue and the clinic day, while on the free day it shows a moderate increase. Professional years and gender also proved to be statistically significant for the cortisol level of emergency physicians (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results show a significantly higher cortisol increase on working days compared with a free day, which indicates a stronger stress burden on working days of emergency physicians in the airborne rescue service. Future studies should examine the stress level of emergency physicians in more detail to prove whether the working conditions of emergency physicians need to be modified.

[Tourniquet use in the Helicopter Emergency Medical Service : Analysis based on data of the DRF Luftrettung (German Air Rescue) in the period 2015-2020]. / Der Einsatz von Tourniquets im Rahmen der Luftrettung : Analyse anhand der Daten der DRF Luftrettung im Zeitraum 2015­2020.

BACKGROUND: In 2016 the first German recommendation for the preclinical use of tourniquets was published. Currently little is known of the frequency of the use of tourniquets in the prehospital setting in Germany. This study evaluated how often a tourniquet is used in a civilian German Helicopter Emergency Medical Service (HEMS). METHOD: After the approval of the scientific working group of the DRF Luftrettung HEMS, the electronic database (HEMSDER) of the DRF Luftrettung HEMS was analyzed for the period 2015-2020 under the abovementioned question. All patients with a tourniquet application were included in the study and a comparison was made with the total trauma cohort and a subgroup analysis between patients who additionally required airway management and patients without additional airway management in the cohort of tourniquet patients. The analysis was mainly descriptive. Parametric test (t-tests and χ2-tests) were used for group comparison. RESULTS: During the study period 67,321 trauma patients were treated and in 866 (1.3% of all trauma patients) a tourniquet was used. The mean age of these patients was 45.9 years (±19.5 years), 710 (84%) were male, 439 (51%) suffered a monotrauma, 296 (34%) suffered multiple trauma, 339 (38%) required a prehospital airway management and 321 (37%) of these were intubated. Significant differences between patients with tourniquet application and the rest of the trauma cohort were detected in general data (monotrauma, polytrauma and high-speed trauma, massive bleeding), vital signs at the scene of the accident (GCS, HF, SpO2) and necessary interventions, such as pressure bandages and use of hemostyptics, tranexamic acid, analgesia, the frequency of intubation and colloidal volume replacement. Due to limitations of the data set we could not obtain information regarding the limb used for the tourniquet, whether a conversion of the tourniquet was carried out and if the tourniquet was used according to the current German trauma guidelines. CONCLUSION: With a frequency of 1.3% the need for a prehospital tourniquet application is low in civilian trauma patients. Monotrauma with isolated extremity injuries represent about half of the patients treated with tourniquets. The other half is represented by multiple injuries or multiple trauma patients who require significantly more invasive measures, such as airway management and more complex on-scene interventions are needed. The available data do not allow any conclusions to be drawn about the location and the quality of the tourniquet application. Future documentation systems should incorporate data on the use of tourniquets, such as the location of use, indications (tactical use/massive bleeding), bleeding control achieved (yes/no) or second tourniquet necessary, conversion (yes/no) and any obvious complications.

Role of soluble guanylyl cyclase in renal afferent and efferent arterioles.

Renal arteriolar tone depends considerably on the dilatory action of nitric oxide (NO) via activation of soluble guanylyl cyclase (sGC) and cGMP action. NO deficiency and hypoxia/reoxygenation are important pathophysiological factors in the development of acute kidney injury. It was hypothesized that the NO-sGC-cGMP system functions differently in renal afferent arterioles (AA) compared with efferent arterioles (EA) and that the sGC activator cinaciguat differentially dilates these arterioles. Experiments were performed in isolated, perfused mouse glomerular arterioles. Hypoxia (0.1% oxygen) was achieved by using a hypoxia chamber. Phosphodiesterase 5 (PDE5) and sGC subunits were considerably expressed on the mRNA level in AA. PDE5 inhibition with sildenafil, which blocks cGMP degradation, diminished the responses to ANG II bolus application in AA, but not significantly in EA. Vasodilation induced by sildenafil in ANG II-preconstricted vessels was stronger in EA than AA. Cinaciguat, an NO- and heme-independent sGC activator, dilated EA more strongly than AA after NG-nitro-l-arginine methyl ester (l-NAME; NO synthase inhibitor) treatment and preconstriction with ANG II. Cinaciguat-induced dilatation of l-NAME-pretreated and ANG II-preconstricted arterioles was similar to controls without l-NAME treatment. Cinaciguat also induced dilatation in iodinated contrast medium treated AA. Furthermore, it dilated EA, but not AA, after hypoxia/reoxygenation. The results reveal an important role of the NO-sGC-cGMP system for renal dilatation and that EA have a more potent sGC activated dilatory system. Furthermore, AA seem to be more sensitive to hypoxia/reoxygenation than EA under these experimental conditions.

Untargeted and targeted analysis of sarin poisoning biomarkers in rat urine by liquid chromatography and tandem mass spectrometry.

Chemical warfare agents continue to pose a real threat to humanity, despite their prohibition under the Chemical Weapons Convention. Sarin is one of the most toxic and lethal representatives of nerve agents. The methodology for the targeted analysis of known sarin metabolites has reached great heights, but little attention has been paid to the untargeted analysis of biological samples of victims exposed to this deadly poisonous substance. At present, the development of computational and statistical methods of analysis offers great opportunities for finding new metabolites or understanding the mechanisms of action or effect of toxic substances on the organism. This study presents the targeted LC-MS/MS determination of methylphosphonic acid and isopropyl methylphosphonic acid in the urine of rats exposed to a non-lethal dose of sarin, as well as the untarget urine analysis by LC-HRMS. Targeted analysis of polar acidic sarin metabolites was performed on a mixed-mode reversed-phase anion-exchange column, and untargeted analysis on a conventional reversed-phase C18 column. Isopropyl methylphosphonic acid was detected and quantified within 5 days after subcutaneous injection of sarin at a dose of 1/4 LD50. A combination of generalized additive mixed models and dose-response analysis with database searches using accurate mass of precursor ions and corresponding MS/MS spectra enabled us to propose new six potential biomarkers of biological response to exposure. The results confirm the well-known fact that sarin poisoning has a significant impact on the victims' metabolome, with inhibition of acetylcholinesterase being just the first step and trigger of the complex toxicodynamic response.

Chemsex drugs on the rise: a longitudinal analysis of the Swiss HIV Cohort Study from 2007 to 2017.

OBJECTIVES: Chemsex refers to the use of sex-enhancing drugs among men who have sex with men (MSM) in combination with specific sexual and social behaviours. Longitudinal data on this development and the associated health risks are scarce. METHODS: Data on all recreational drugs reported in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) from 2007 to 2017 were collected. Drug use was analysed longitudinally for all drug classes. In addition, potential associations between patient characteristics and the consumption of methamphetamine, γ-hydroxybutric acid/γ-butyrolactone (GHB/GBL), 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA/XTC), cocaine and amphetamine were analysed. RESULTS: We analysed 166 167 follow-up entries for 12 527 SHCS participants, including 7101 free text field entries containing information about recreational drugs other than cannabis, cocaine and heroin. Overall, we observed a stable percentage (9.0%) of recreational drug use (excluding cannabis, amyl nitrite and prescription drugs). For MSM, however, there was an increase in overall drug use from 8.8% in 2007 to 13.8% in 2017, with particularly large increases for methamphetamine (from 0.2 to 2.4%; P < 0.001) and GHB/GBL (from 1.0 to 3.4%; P < 0.001). The use of each of the potentially sex-enhancing drugs methamphetamine, GHB/GBL, cocaine, XTC/MDMA and amphetamine was significantly associated with condomless sex with nonsteady partners, and higher prevalences of depression, syphilis and hepatitis C. CONCLUSIONS: The significant increase in the use of chemsex drugs among MSM in the SHCS and the strong association with coinfections and depression highlights the need for harm reduction programmes tailored to MSM. According to our results, improving knowledge about recreational drugs is important for all health care professionals working with people living with HIV.

Probing the Solid Phase of Noble Metal Copper at Terapascal Conditions.

Ramp compression along a low-temperature adiabat offers a unique avenue to explore the physical properties of materials at the highest densities of their solid form, a region inaccessible by single shock compression. Using the National Ignition Facility and OMEGA laser facilities, copper samples were ramp compressed to peak pressures of 2.30 TPa and densities of nearly 30 g/cc, providing fundamental information regarding the compressibility and phase of copper at pressures more than 5 times greater than previously explored. Through x-ray diffraction measurements, we find that the ambient face-centered-cubic structure is preserved up to 1.15 TPa. The ramp compression equation-of-state measurements shows that there are no discontinuities in sound velocities up to 2.30 TPa, suggesting this phase is likely stable up to the peak pressures measured, as predicted by first-principal calculations. The high precision of these quasiabsolute measurements enables us to provide essential benchmarks for advanced computational studies on the behavior of dense monoatomic materials under extreme conditions that constitute a stringent test for solid-state quantum theory. We find that both density-functional theory and the stabilized jellium model, which assumes that the ionic structure can be replaced by an ionic charge distribution by constant positive-charge background, reproduces our data well. Further, our data could serve to establish new international secondary scales of pressure in the terapascal range that is becoming experimentally accessible with advanced static and dynamic compression techniques.

The upper limb of Paranthropus boisei from Ileret, Kenya.

Paranthropus boisei was first described in 1959 based on fossils from the Olduvai Gorge and now includes many fossils from Ethiopia to Malawi. Knowledge about its postcranial anatomy has remained elusive because, until recently, no postcranial remains could be reliably attributed to this taxon. Here, we report the first associated hand and upper limb skeleton (KNM-ER 47000) of P. boisei from 1.51 to 1.53 Ma sediments at Ileret, Kenya. While the fossils show a combination of primitive and derived traits, the overall anatomy is characterized by primitive traits that resemble those found in Australopithecus, including an oblique scapular spine, relatively long and curved ulna, lack of third metacarpal styloid process, gracile thumb metacarpal, and curved manual phalanges. Very thick cortical bone throughout the upper limb shows that P. boisei had great upper limb strength, supporting hypotheses that this species spent time climbing trees, although probably to a lesser extent than earlier australopiths. Hand anatomy shows that P. boisei, like earlier australopiths, was capable of the manual dexterity needed to create and use stone tools, but lacked the robust thumb of Homo erectus, which arguably reflects adaptations to the intensification of precision grips and tool use. KNM-ER 47000 provides conclusive evidence that early Pleistocene hominins diverged in postcranial and craniodental anatomy, supporting hypotheses of competitive displacement among these contemporaneous hominins.

Ramp compression of diamond to five terapascals.

The recent discovery of more than a thousand planets outside our Solar System, together with the significant push to achieve inertially confined fusion in the laboratory, has prompted a renewed interest in how dense matter behaves at millions to billions of atmospheres of pressure. The theoretical description of such electron-degenerate matter has matured since the early quantum statistical model of Thomas and Fermi, and now suggests that new complexities can emerge at pressures where core electrons (not only valence electrons) influence the structure and bonding of matter. Recent developments in shock-free dynamic (ramp) compression now allow laboratory access to this dense matter regime. Here we describe ramp-compression measurements for diamond, achieving 3.7-fold compression at a peak pressure of 5 terapascals (equivalent to 50 million atmospheres). These equation-of-state data can now be compared to first-principles density functional calculations and theories long used to describe matter present in the interiors of giant planets, in stars, and in inertial-confinement fusion experiments. Our data also provide new constraints on mass-radius relationships for carbon-rich planets.

Assessing Adverse Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low Levels of Ambient Air Pollution: Phase 1.

INTRODUCTION: This report provides a summary of major findings and key conclusions supported by a Health Effects Institute grant aimed at "Assessing Adverse Health Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low Levels of Ambient Pollution." Our study was designed to advance four critical areas of inquiry and methods development. METHODS: First, our work focused on predicting short- and long-term exposures to ambient PM2.5 mass (particulate matter ≤ 2.5µm in aerodynamic diameter) and ozone (O3) at high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) for the continental United States during the period 2000-2012 and linking these predictions to health data. Second, we developed new causal inference methods for exposure-response (ER) that account for exposure error and adjust for measured confounders. We applied these methods to data from the New England region. Third, we applied standard regression methods using Medicare claims data to estimate health effects that are associated with short- and long-term exposure to low levels of ambient air pollution. We conducted sensitivity analyses to assess potential confounding bias due to lack of extensive information on behavioral risk factors in the Medicare population using the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) (nationally representative sample of approximately 15,000 Medicare enrollees per year), which includes abundant data on individual-level risk factors including smoking. Finally, we have begun developing tools for reproducible research - including approaches for data sharing, record linkage, and statistical software. RESULTS: Our HEI-funded work has supported an extensive portfolio of analysis and the development of statistical methods that can be used to robustly understand the health effects of long- and short-term exposure to low levels of ambient air pollution. This report provides a high-level overview of statistical methods, data analysis, and key findings, as grouped into the following four areas: (1) Exposure assessment and data access; (2) Epidemiological studies of ambient exposures to air pollution at low levels; (3) Methodological contributions in causal inference; and (4) Open science research data platform. CONCLUSION: Our body of work, advanced by HEI, lends extensive evidence that short- and long-term exposure to PM2.5 and O3 is harmful to human health, increasing the risks of hospitalization and death, even at levels that are well below the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS).

Quantifying the drivers of HIV transmission and prevention in men who have sex with men: a population model-based analysis in Switzerland.

OBJECTIVES: Despite the huge success of antiretroviral therapy (ART), there is an ongoing HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men (MSM) in resource-rich countries. Understanding the driving factors underlying this process is important for curbing the epidemic. METHODS: We simulated the HIV epidemic in MSM in Switzerland by stratifying a mathematical model by CD4 count, the care cascade and condom use. The model was parametrised with clinical, epidemiological and behavioural data from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study and surveys in the HIV-negative population. RESULTS: According to our model, 3.4% of the cases that would otherwise have occurred in 2008-2015 were prevented by early initiation of ART. Only 0.6% of the cases were attributable to a change in condom use in the HIV-positive population, as less usage is mainly seen in virally suppressed MSM. Most new infections were attributable to transmission from recently infected undiagnosed individuals. It was estimated that doubling the diagnosis rate would have resulted in 11.8% fewer cases in 2001-2015. Moreover, it was estimated that introducing pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for 50% of those MSM not using condoms with occasional partners would have resulted in 22.6% fewer cases in 2012-2015. CONCLUSIONS: By combining observational data on the relevant epidemiological and clinical processes with a mathematical model, we showed that the 'test and treat' approach is most effective in reducing the number of new cases. Only a moderate population-level effect was estimated for early initiation of ART and a weak effect for the change in condom use of diagnosed MSM. Protecting HIV-negative individuals who are not using condoms with PrEP was shown to have a major impact.

On the potential of a short-term intensive intervention to interrupt HCV transmission in HIV-positive men who have sex with men: A mathematical modelling study.

Increasing access to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and decelerating the rise in high-risk behaviour over the next decade could curb the HCV epidemic among HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM). We investigated if similar outcomes would be achieved by short-term intensive interventions like the Swiss-HCVree-trial. We used a HCV transmission model emulating two 12-months intensive interventions combining risk counselling with (i) universal DAA treatment (pangenotypic intervention) and (ii) DAA treatment for HCV genotypes 1 and 4 (replicating the Swiss-HCVree-trial). To capture potential changes outside intensive interventions, we varied time from HCV infection to treatment in clinical routine and overall high-risk behaviour among HIV-positive MSM. Simulated prevalence dropped from 5.5% in 2016 to ≤2.0% over the intervention period (June/2016-May/2017) with the pangenotypic intervention, and to ≤3.6% with the Swiss-HCVree-trial. Assuming time to treatment in clinical routine reflected reimbursement restrictions (METAVIR ≥F2, 16.9 years) and stable high-risk behaviour in the overall MSM population, prevalence in 2025 reached 13.1% without intensive intervention, 11.1% with the pangenotypic intervention and 11.8% with the Swiss-HCVree-trial. If time to treatment in clinical routine was 2 years, prevalence in 2025 declined to 4.8% without intensive intervention, to 2.8% with the pangenotypic intervention, and to 3.5% with the Swiss-HCVree-trial. In this scenario, the pangenotypic intervention and the Swiss-HCVree-trial reduced cumulative (2016-2025) treatment episodes by 36% and 24%, respectively. Therefore, intensive interventions could reduce future HCV treatment costs and boost the benefits of long-term efforts to prevent high-risk behaviour and to reduce treatment delay. But if after intensive interventions treatment is deferred until F2, short-term benefits of intensive interventions would dissipate in the long term.

Assessing the need for a pre-exposure prophylaxis programme using the social media app Grindr®.

OBJECTIVES: HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is not approved in Switzerland and therefore must be paid for by the users themselves. We conducted a survey to find out whether men who have sex with men (MSM) in Switzerland are already taking PrEP, or are considering using it, and whether it is being taken under medical supervision or not. METHODS: Grindr® is a geosocial networking app for MSM. Between 5 and 24 January 2017, users of the app who were located in Switzerland by a global positioning system (GPS) were asked to participate in a ten-question survey on PrEP use. RESULTS: Of the 2455 people who took part in the survey, 1893 were included in the analysis. Eighty-two participants (4.3%) reported that they were currently taking PrEP, 64 of whom (78%) said that they were under medical supervision. Seven PrEP users (9%) declared that they had not taken an HIV test within the previous 12 months. Nine hundred and forty-four (49.9%) were considering taking PrEP in the next 6 months, and 1474 (77.9%) were considering taking it at some point in the future. CONCLUSIONS: In an online survey carried out among sexually active MSM in Switzerland, only a minority of the individuals approached responded that they were currently using PrEP. However, the majority of participants were considering taking PrEP in the future. We identified a substantial proportion of PrEP users taking PrEP outside a medical setting. Hence, a national programme facilitating access to medical care and providing PrEP is urgently needed.

Landscape scale heterogeneity in the East Turkana ecosystem during the Okote Member (1.56-1.38 Ma).

Placing the biological adaptations of Pleistocene hominins within a well-resolved ecological framework has been a longstanding goal of paleoanthropology. This effort, however, has been challenging due to the discontinuous nature of paleoecological data spanning many important periods in hominin evolution. Sediments from the Upper Burgi (1.98-1.87 Ma), KBS (1.87-1.56 Ma) and Okote (1.56-1.38 Ma) members of the Koobi Fora Formation at East Turkana in northern Kenya document an important time interval in the evolutionary history of the hominin genera Homo and Paranthropus. Although much attention has been paid to Upper Burgi and KBS member deposits, far less is known regarding the East Turkana paleoecosystem during Okote Member times. This study pairs spatially-resolved faunal abundance data with stable isotope geochemistry from mammalian enamel to investigate landscape-scale ecosystem variability during Okote Member times. We find that during this period 1) taxa within the East Turkana large mammal community were distributed heterogeneously across space, 2) the abundance of C3 and C4 vegetation varied between East Turkana subregions, and 3) the Karari subregion, an area with abundant evidence of hominin stone tool manufacture, had significantly more C3 vegetation than regions closer to the central axis of the Turkana Basin (i.e., Ileret and Koobi Fora). These findings indicate that the East Turkana paleoecosystem during the Okote Member was highly variable across space and provided a complex adaptive landscape for Pleistocene hominins.