Nutritional Intake in Dichorionic Twin Pregnancies: A Descriptive Analysis of a Multisite United States Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Twin gestations have greater nutritional demands than singleton gestations, yet dietary intakes of women with twin gestations have not been well described. METHODS: In a prospective, multi-site US study of 148 women with dichorionic twin gestations (2012-2013), we examined longitudinal changes in diet across pregnancy. Women completed a food frequency questionnaire during each trimester of pregnancy. We examined changes in means of total energy and energy-adjusted dietary components using linear mixed effects models. RESULTS: Mean energy intake (95% CI) across the three trimesters was 2010 kcal/day (1846, 2175), 2177 kcal/day (2005, 2349), 2253 kcal/day (2056, 2450), respectively (P = 0.01), whereas the Healthy Eating Index-2010 was 63.9 (62.1, 65.6), 64.5 (62.6, 66.3), 63.2 (61.1, 65.3), respectively (P = 0.53). DISCUSSION: Women with twin gestations moderately increased total energy as pregnancy progressed, though dietary composition and quality remained unchanged. These findings highlight aspects of nutritional intake that may need to be improved among women carrying twins.

Male Reproductive Disorders and Fertility Trends: Influences of Environment and Genetic Susceptibility.

It is predicted that Japan and European Union will soon experience appreciable decreases in their populations due to persistently low total fertility rates (TFR) below replacement level (2.1 child per woman). In the United States, where TFR has also declined, there are ethnic differences. Caucasians have rates below replacement, while TFRs among African-Americans and Hispanics are higher. We review possible links between TFR and trends in a range of male reproductive problems, including testicular cancer, disorders of sex development, cryptorchidism, hypospadias, low testosterone levels, poor semen quality, childlessness, changed sex ratio, and increasing demand for assisted reproductive techniques. We present evidence that several adult male reproductive problems arise in utero and are signs of testicular dysgenesis syndrome (TDS). Although TDS might result from genetic mutations, recent evidence suggests that it most often is related to environmental exposures of the fetal testis. However, environmental factors can also affect the adult endocrine system. Based on our review of genetic and environmental factors, we conclude that environmental exposures arising from modern lifestyle, rather than genetics, are the most important factors in the observed trends. These environmental factors might act either directly or via epigenetic mechanisms. In the latter case, the effects of exposures might have an impact for several generations post-exposure. In conclusion, there is an urgent need to prioritize research in reproductive physiology and pathophysiology, particularly in highly industrialized countries facing decreasing populations. We highlight a number of topics that need attention by researchers in human physiology, pathophysiology, environmental health sciences, and demography.

Sperm epigenetic clock associates with pregnancy outcomes in the general population.

STUDY QUESTION: Is sperm epigenetic aging (SEA) associated with probability of pregnancy among couples in the general population? SUMMARY ANSWER: We observed a 17% lower cumulative probability at 12 months for couples with male partners in the older compared to the younger SEA categories. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The strong relation between chronological age and DNA methylation profiles has enabled the estimation of biological age as epigenetic 'clock' metrics in most somatic tissue. Such clocks in male germ cells are less developed and lack clinical relevance in terms of their utility to predict reproductive outcomes. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This was a population-based prospective cohort study of couples discontinuing contraception to become pregnant recruited from 16 US counties from 2005 to 2009 and followed for up to 12 months. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Sperm DNA methylation from 379 semen samples was assessed via a beadchip array. A state-of-the-art ensemble machine learning algorithm was employed to predict age from the sperm DNA methylation data. SEA was estimated from clocks derived from individual CpGs (SEACpG) and differentially methylated regions (SEADMR). Probability of pregnancy within 1 year was compared by SEA, and discrete-time proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relations with time-to-pregnancy (TTP) with adjustment for covariates. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Our SEACpG clock had the highest predictive performance with correlation between chronological and predicted age (r = 0.91). In adjusted discrete Cox models, SEACpG was negatively associated with TTP (fecundability odds ratios (FORs)=0.83; 95% CI: 0.76, 0.90; P = 1.2×10-5), indicating a longer TTP with advanced SEACpG. For subsequent birth outcomes, advanced SEACpG was associated with shorter gestational age (n = 192; -2.13 days; 95% CI: -3.67, -0.59; P = 0.007). Current smokers also displayed advanced SEACpG (P < 0.05). Finally, SEACpG showed a strong performance in an independent IVF cohort (n = 173; r = 0.83). SEADMR performance was comparable to SEACpG but with attenuated effect sizes. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: This prospective cohort study consisted primarily of Caucasian men and women, and thus analysis of large diverse cohorts is necessary to confirm the associations between SEA and couple pregnancy success in other races/ethnicities. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: These data suggest that our sperm epigenetic clocks may have utility as a novel biomarker to predict TTP among couples in the general population and underscore the importance of the male partner for reproductive success. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This work was funded in part by grants the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health (R01 ES028298; PI: J.R.P. and P30 ES020957); Robert J. Sokol, MD Endowed Chair of Molecular Obstetrics and Gynecology (J.R.P.); and the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland (Contracts N01-HD-3-3355, N01-HD-3-3356 and N01-HD-3-3358). S.L.M. was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health. The authors declare no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Adipose to serum ratio and mixtures of persistent organic pollutants in relation to endometriosis: Findings from the ENDO Study.

BACKGROUND: Endometriosis is an estrogen-dependent disease. Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and their mixtures may play an etiologic role. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated an adipose-to-serum ratio (ASR) of lipophilic EDCs and their mixtures associated with incident endometriosis. METHODS: We quantified 13 polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) congeners, 6 polybrominated diphenyl ether (PBDE) congeners, and 11 organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) in serum and omental fat among women from the ENDO Study (2007-2009) aged 18-44 years diagnosed with (n=190) or without (n=283) surgically-visualized incident endometriosis. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) between ASR and endometriosis were estimated using logistic regression models adjusted for age (years), body mass index (kg/m2), serum cotinine (ng/ml), and breastfeeding conditional on parity. Bayesian hierarchical models (BHM) compared estimated associations for adipose and ASR to serum. Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) estimated change in latent health and 95% posterior intervals (PI) between chemical mixtures and endometriosis. RESULTS: Select ASR for estrogenic PCBs and OCPs were associated with an increased odds of an endometriosis diagnosis, but not for anti-estrogenic PCBs or PBDEs. Across all chemicals, BHMs generated ORs that were on average 14% (95% PI: 6%, 22%) higher for adipose and 20% (95% PI: 12%, 29%) higher for ASR in comparison to serum. ORs from BHMs were greater for estrogenic PCBs and OCPs, with no differences for PBDEs. BKMR models comparing the 75th to 25th percentile were moderately associated with endometriosis for estrogenic PCBs [adipose 0.27 (95% PI: 0.18, 0.72) and ASR 0.37 (95% PI: 0.06, 0.80)] and OCPs [adipose 0.17 (95% PI: 0.21, 0.56) and ASR 0.26 (95% PI: 0.05, 0.57)], but not for antiestrogenic PCBs and PBDEs. DISCUSSION: ASR added little insight beyond adipose for lipophilic chemicals. BKMR results supported associations between ASR and adipose estrogenic PCB and OCP mixtures and incident endometriosis. These findings underscore the importance of choice of biospecimen and considering mixtures when assessing exposure-disease relationships.

Sperm mitochondrial DNA biomarkers and couple fecundity.

STUDY QUESTION: Do sperm mitochondrial DNA measures predict probability of pregnancy among couples in the general population? SUMMARY ANSWER: Those with high sperm mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNAcn) had as much as 50% lower odds of cycle-specific pregnancy, and 18% lower probability of pregnancy within 12 months. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Semen parameters have been found to poorly predict reproductive success yet are the most prevalent diagnostic tool for male infertility. Increased sperm mtDNAcn and mitochondrial DNA deletions (mtDNAdel) have been associated with decreased semen quality and lower odds of fertilization in men seeking fertility treatment. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A population-based prospective cohort study of couples discontinuing contraception to become pregnant recruited from 16 US counties from 2005 to 2009 followed for up to 16 months. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Sperm mtDNAcn and mtDNAdel from 384 semen samples were assessed via triplex probe-based quantitative PCR. Probability of pregnancy within 1 year was compared by mitochondrial DNA, and discrete-time proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relations with time-to-pregnancy (TTP) with adjustment for covariates. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Higher sperm mtDNAcn was associated with lower pregnancy probability within 12 months and longer TTP. In unadjusted comparisons by quartile (Q), those in Q4 had a pregnancy probability of 63.5% (95% CI: 53.1% to 73.1%) compared to 82.3% (95% CI: 73.2% to 89.9%) for Q1 (P = 0.002). Similar results were observed in survival analyses adjusting for covariates to estimate fecundability odds ratios (FORs) comparing mtDNAcn in quartiles. Relative to those in Q1 of mtDNAcn, FORs (95% CI) were for Q2 of 0.78 (0.52 to 1.16), Q3 of 0.65 (0.44 to 0.96) and Q4 of 0.55 (0.37 to 0.81), and this trend of decreasing fecundability with increasing mtDNAcn quartile was statistically significant (FOR per log mtDNAcn = 0.37; P < 0.001). Sperm mtDNAdel was not associated with TTP. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: This prospective cohort study consisted primarily of Caucasian men and women and thus large diverse cohorts are necessary to confirm the associations between sperm mtDNAcn and couple pregnancy success in other races/ethnicities. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Our results demonstrate that sperm mtDNAcn has utility as a biomarker of male reproductive health and probability of pregnancy success in the general population. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This work was funded in part by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health (R01-ES028298; PI: J.R.P.) and the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland (Contracts N01-HD-3-3355, N01-HD-3-3356 and N01-HD-3-3358). The authors declare no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Intrauterine growth discordance across gestation and birthweight discordance in dichorionic twins.

BACKGROUND: Although intertwin size difference is an important measure of fetal growth, the appropriate cut point to define discordance is unclear. Few studies have assessed intertwin differences in estimated fetal weight longitudinally or in relation to size differences at birth. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of the study were to estimate the magnitude of percentage differences in estimated fetal weight across gestation in dichorionic twins in relation to a fixed discordance cut point and compare classification of aberrant fetal growth by different measures (estimated fetal weight differences, birthweight discordance, small for gestational age). STUDY DESIGN: Women aged 18-45 years from 8 US centers with dichorionic twin pregnancies at 8 weeks 0 days to 13 weeks 6 days gestation planning to deliver in participating hospitals were recruited into the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Fetal Growth Studies-Dichorionic Twins study and followed through delivery (n = 140; 2012-2013). Ultrasounds were conducted at 6 targeted study visits to obtain fetal biometrics and calculate estimated fetal weight. Percent estimated fetal weight and birthweight differences were calculated: ([weightlarger - weightsmaller]/weightlarger)*100; discordance was defined as ≥18% for illustration. Birth sizes for gestational age (both, 1, or neither small for gestational age) were determined; twins were categorized into combined birthweight plus small for gestational age groups: birthweight discordance ≥18% (yes, no) with both, 1, or neither small for gestational age. Linear mixed-models estimated percentiles of estimated fetal weight percent differences across gestation and compared estimated fetal weight differences between combined birthweight discordance and small for gestational age groups. A Fisher exact test compared birthweight discordance and small for gestational age classifications. RESULTS: Median estimated fetal weight percentage difference increased across gestation (5.9% at 15.0, 8.4% at 38.0 weeks), with greater disparities at higher percentiles (eg, 90th percentile: 15.6% at 15.0, 26.3% at 38.0 weeks). As gestation advanced, an increasing percentage of pregnancies were classified as discordant using a fixed cut point: 10% at 27.0, 15% at 34.0, and 20% at 38.0 weeks. Birthweight discordance and small for gestational age classifications differed (P = .002); for birthweight discordance ≥18% vs <18%: 44% vs 71% had neither small for gestational age; 56% vs 18% had 1 small for gestational age; no cases (0%) vs 11% had both small for gestational age, respectively. Estimated fetal weight percent difference varied across gestation by birthweight discordance plus small for gestational age classification (P = .040). Estimated fetal weight percentage difference increased with birthweight discordance ≥18% (neither small for gestational age: 0.46%/week [95% confidence interval, 0.08-0.84]; 1 small for gestational age: 0.57%/week [95% confidence interval, 0.25-0.90]) but less so without birthweight discordance (neither small for gestational age: 0.17%/week [95% confidence interval, 0.06-0.28]; 1 small for gestational age: 0.03%/week [95% confidence interval, -0.17 to 0.24]); both small for gestational age: 0.10%/week [95% confidence interval, -0.15 to 0.36]). CONCLUSION: The percentage of dichorionic pregnancies exceeding a fixed discordance cut point increased over gestation. A fixed cut point for defining twin discordance would identify an increasing percentage of twins as discordant as gestation advances. Small for gestational age and percentage weight differences assess distinct aspects of dichorionic twin growth. A percentile cut point may be more clinically useful for defining discordance, although further study is required to assess whether any specific percentile cut point correlates to adverse outcomes.

Patterns and Variability of Endocrine-disrupting Chemicals During Pregnancy: Implications for Understanding the Exposome of Normal Pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: The exposome is a novel research paradigm offering promise for understanding the complexity of human exposures, including endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) and pregnancy outcomes. The physiologically active state of pregnancy requires understanding temporal changes in EDCs to better inform the application of the exposome research paradigm and serve as the impetus for study. METHODS: We randomly selected 50 healthy pregnant women with uncomplicated pregnancies from a pregnancy cohort who had available serum/urine samples in each trimester for measuring 144 persistent and 48 nonpersistent EDCs. We used unsupervised machine-learning techniques capable of handling hierarchical clustering of exposures to identify EDC patterns across pregnancy, and linear mixed-effects modeling with false-discovery rate correction to identify those that change over pregnancy trimesters. We estimated the percent variation in chemical concentrations accounted for by time (pregnancy trimester) using Akaike Information Criterion-based R methods. RESULTS: Four chemical clusters comprising 80 compounds, of which six consistently increased, 63 consistently decreased, and 11 reflected inconsistent patterns over pregnancy. Overall, concentrations tended to decrease over pregnancy for persistent EDCs; a reverse pattern was seen for many nonpersistent chemicals. Explained variance was highest for five persistent chemicals: polybrominated diphenyl ethers #191 (51%) and #126 (47%), hexachlorobenzene (46%), p,p'-dichloro-diphenyl-dichloroethylene (46%), and o,p'-dichloro-diphenyl-dichloroethane (36%). CONCLUSIONS: Concentrations of many EDCs are not stable across pregnancy and reflect varying patterns depending on their persistency underscoring the importance of timed biospecimen collection. Analytic techniques are available for assessing temporal patterns of EDCs during pregnancy apart from physiologic changes.

Exposure to Persistent Organic Pollutants and Birth Characteristics: The Upstate KIDS Study.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal exposure to persistent organic pollutants (POPs) may be associated with obesogenic effects in offspring. Our study is the first to investigate associations between concentrations of POPs from newborn dried blood spots (DBS) and birth characteristics. METHODS: Concentrations of 10 polychlorinated biphenyl congeners (PCBs), polybrominated diphenyl ether-47 (PBDE-47), and p,p'-dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (p,p'-DDE) were measured from DBSs collected at birth from 2,065 singleton infants. DBS samples were pooled in groups of five and assayed together to reach limits of detection. Differences in risk of large for gestational age (LGA, defined as >90th percentile of birth weight for sex and gestational age), small for gestational age (SGA, <10th), and preterm birth (gestational age <37 weeks) were estimated using logistic regression per unit (ng/ml) increase in concentration of each chemical, adjusting for individual-level covariates, including maternal age, race/ethnicity, prepregnancy BMI, education, parity, smoking, and infant sex while assuming a gamma distribution and using multiple imputation to account for pools. RESULTS: There were 215 (11.3%) singletons born LGA, 158 (7.5%) born SGA, and 157 (7.6%) born preterm. Higher concentrations of POPs were positively associated with slightly higher risk of LGA and higher birth weight. CONCLUSIONS: Relationships between POPs measured in newborn DBS and birth size were mixed. Pooled analysis methods using DBS could address challenges in limits of detection and costs for population-based research.

The Relation of Birth Weight and Adiposity Across the Life Course to Semen Quality in Middle Age.

BACKGROUND: Studies of body mass index and semen quality have reported mixed results, but almost all were cross-sectional and many were conducted in selected populations. Longitudinal studies in population-based cohorts are necessary to identify how timing and duration of excess adiposity may affect semen quality. METHODS: In 193 members of the Child Health and Development Studies birth cohort, we examined associations of birth weight and adiposity at six time points spanning early childhood and adulthood with sperm concentration, motility, and morphology at mean age 44 years, as well as with corresponding 2010 World Health Organization (WHO) subfertility reference levels. RESULTS: Birth weight for gestational age percentile was positively associated with square-root sperm concentration (regression coefficient B [95% confidence interval] = 0.02 × 103 sperm/ml [0.004, 0.04]). Overweight/obesity in men's 20s was associated with lower percent progressive motility (B =-5.2 [-9.9, -0.63]), higher odds of low motility (odds ratio (OR) = 2.4 [1.3, 4.4]), and higher odds of poor morphology (OR = 1.9 [0.94, 3.8]). Those who were overweight/obese in their 20s were also more likely to meet two or three WHO subfertility criteria (OR = 3.9 [1.6, 9.4]) compared with normal-weight men. Each additional adult decade in which a participant was overweight/obese was associated with higher odds of low motility (OR = 1.3 [0.96, 1.6]) and higher odds of meeting two or three WHO subfertility criteria (OR = 1.5 [1.0, 2.2]). CONCLUSIONS: In our data, associations among adiposity and sperm concentration, motility, and morphology varied according to timing and duration of exposure, potentially reflecting different biological mechanisms that influence these semen parameters.

Advancing the Health of Populations Across the Life Course: 50 Years of Discoveries in the Division of Intramural Population Health Research.

In 2017, the Division of Intramural Population Health Research (DIPHR), within the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), reached a significant milestone: 50 years in existence. DIPHR celebrated this anniversary with a scientific program that reviewed past accomplishments and reflected on future directions in support of promoting the health of populations across the life course. Extending from the scientific program, the impetus of this article is to contribute to archiving and consolidating the legacy of intramural population health research at NICHD over the past 50 years. We present a brief history of the origin and evolution of intramural population health research at NICHD. Next, we conduct an empirical assessment of the scientific impact and evolving scope of this research over the past five decades and present specific key discoveries emerging from topics spanning the life course: (1) reproductive health, (2) the health of pregnant women and fetuses, (3) the health of children, and (4) associated methodologies. We also explore the Division's service to the profession in the form of mentorship of the next generation of scientists in population health research. Finally, we conclude with thoughts about future directions of population health research and reaffirm the DIPHR's commitment to promoting the health and well-being of the many populations we serve, both locally and globally.

A contemporary amniotic fluid volume chart for the United States: The NICHD Fetal Growth Studies-Singletons.

BACKGROUND: Amniotic fluid is essential to normal fetal development and is estimated clinically with ultrasound scanning to identify pregnancies that are at risk for poor perinatal outcome. OBJECTIVE: Our goal was to develop a United States standard for amniotic fluid volume that is estimated by the amniotic fluid index and single deepest pocket. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a planned secondary analysis of a multicenter observational study of 2334 low-risk women with normal singleton gestations from 1 of 4 self-reported racial/ethnic groups. Eligible women had confirmed first-trimester dating criteria with health status, lifestyles, and medical and obstetric histories that were associated with normal fetal growth. Consenting women underwent serial (up to 5) sonographic evaluations of amniotic fluid between 15 and 40 weeks of gestation after being assigned randomly to 1 of 4 gestational age observation schedules. Twelve United States perinatal centers participated, and all sonograms were performed by credentialed sonographers who used identical, high-resolution equipment; caregivers were unaware of results but were notified for oligohydramnios. Women (n=597) who were subsequently found to have clinically significant antepartum complications were excluded. Racial/ethnic-specific nomograms for amniotic fluid index and single deepest pocket across gestation were developed with the use of linear mixed models with cubic splines; racial/ethnic differences were evaluated both with global and between-group tests. Median, 3rd, 5th, 10th, 90th, 95th and 97th percentile values were also estimated. We further considered the possible confounding effects of selected maternal characteristics and the estimated fetal weight at each sonogram. RESULTS: A total of 1719 pregnant women met inclusion criteria and had available data. These included 480 non-Hispanic white women, 418 non-Hispanic black women, 485 Hispanic women, and 336 Asian women. Both the amniotic fluid index and the single deepest pocket varied across gestation with maximal values at 26 and 33 weeks of gestation, respectively. Statistically significant differences were observed by maternal race/ethnicity. The between-group differences that were observed at 17-22 and 35-40 weeks of gestation remained statistically significant after adjustment for maternal characteristics and estimated fetal weight. These between-group racial/ethnic differences were most prominent after 35 weeks of gestation and at the extremes of dispersion (3rd and 97th percentiles). All 3rd and 97th percentile amniotic fluid index values were within the range of commonly used cutoffs to define oligohydramnios (≤5 cm) and polyhydramnios (≥25 cm). However, the 3rd percentile values ranged between 5.9 cm at 40 weeks of gestation and 10.1 cm at 25-27 weeks of gestation; the 97th percentile values ranged between 24.8 cm at 38 weeks of gestation and 15.7 cm at 15 weeks of gestation. CONCLUSION: Sonographic amniotic fluid volume estimates vary by racial/ethnic group, but the absolute differences appear to be small and may not be clinically significant. Selected maternal characteristics and estimated fetal weight did not affect the racial/ethnic differences. Between-group differences are maximal after 35 weeks of gestation and at the extremes of the upper and lower dispersion estimates. Given the observed variability in extreme (3rd and 97th percentile) dispersion values over the gestation, use of single cutoffs to define out-of-range measurements may not be appropriate clinically. These data might form a contemporary United States standard for amniotic fluid estimation that uses the amniotic fluid index and the single deepest pocket.

Comparison of fetal growth by maternal prenatal acetaminophen use.

BACKGROUND: Equivocal findings exist regarding prenatal acetaminophen use and various adverse neonatal and childhood health outcomes, though with no data on fetal growth. We evaluated whether fetal growth differed by maternal acetaminophen use. METHODS: Racially diverse, healthy women with low-risk antenatal profiles from 12 US clinical centers were enrolled in a prospective cohort study and followed until delivery. Ultrasound measurements of fetal parameters and self-reported prenatal acetaminophen use were collected at enrollment and up to five follow-up visits. Prenatal acetaminophen use was dichotomized as none or any. RESULTS: Among 2291 women, 932 (41%) reported the use of acetaminophen medications during the current pregnancy. Estimated growth curves of fetal parameters did not differ between women reporting use of any medication containing acetaminophen and women with no reported use of the same. CONCLUSION: Among healthy mothers with low-risk pregnancies, maternal acetaminophen use was not associated with alterations in fetal growth.

A weighted kernel machine regression approach to environmental pollutants and infertility.

In epidemiological studies of environmental pollutants in relation to human infertility, it is common that concentrations of a large number of exposures are collected in both male and female partners. Such a couple-based study poses some new challenges in statistical analysis, especially when the effect of the totality of these chemical mixtures is of interest, because these exposures may have complex nonlinear and nonadditive relationships with the infertility outcome. Kernel machine regression, as a nonparametric regression method, can be applied to model such effects, while accounting for the highly correlated structure within and across exposures. However, it does not consider the partner-specific structure in these study data, which may lead to suboptimal estimation for the effects of environmental exposures. To overcome this limitation, we developed a weighted kernel machine regression method (wKRM) to model the joint effect of partner-specific exposures, in which a linear weight procedure is used to combine the female and male partners' exposure concentrations. The proposed wKRM is not only able to reduce the number of analyzed exposures but also provide an overall importance index of female and male partners' exposures in the risk of infertility. Simulation studies demonstrate good performance of the wKRM in both estimating the joint effects of exposures and fitting the infertility outcome. Application of the proposed method to a prospective infertility study suggests that the male partner's exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls might contribute more toward infertility than the female partner's.

A Bayesian regularized mediation analysis with multiple exposures.

Mediation analysis assesses the effect of study exposures on an outcome both through and around specific mediators. While mediation analysis involving multiple mediators has been addressed in recent literature, the case of multiple exposures has received little attention. With the presence of multiple exposures, we consider regularizations that allow simultaneous effect selection and estimation while stabilizing model fit and accounting for model selection uncertainty. In the framework of linear structural-equation models, we analytically show that a two-stage approach regularizing regression coefficients does not guarantee a unimodal posterior distribution and that a product-of-coefficient approach regularizing direct and indirect effects tends to penalize excessively. We propose a regularized difference-of-coefficient approach that bypasses these limitations. Using the connection between regularizations and Bayesian hierarchical models with Laplace prior, we develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for posterior estimation and inference. Through simulations, we show that the proposed approach has better empirical performances compared to some alternatives. The methodology is illustrated using data from two epidemiological studies in human reproduction.

Associations between estimated foetal weight discordance and clinical characteristics within dichorionic twins: The NICHD Fetal Growth Studies.

BACKGROUND: Birthweight discordance is well studied, with less known about longitudinal inter-twin differences in foetal growth. OBJECTIVE: To examine inter-twin per cent differences in EFW (EFW% ), head (HC% ) and abdominal circumference (AC% ), and femur length (FL% ) across gestation in dichorionic twin gestations and explore associated characteristics. METHODS: Foetal biometrics were assessed by ultrasound and EFW calculated at ≤6 study visits among women with dichorionic twin pregnancies enrolled in the NICHD Fetal Growth Studies cohort (US, 2012-2013). Inter-twin per cent difference was defined: ([Sizelarger twin  - Sizesmaller twin ]/Sizelarger twin  × 100). Linear mixed models evaluated per cent differences in foetal biometrics at 15 weeks and their change per week overall and by maternal/neonatal characteristics in unadjusted and adjusted models. RESULTS: In 140 pregnancies, inter-twin per cent differences increased across gestation for EFW (0.18%/week, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.10, 0.27), HC (0.03%/week, 95% CI 0.00, 0.06), and AC (0.03%/week, 95%CI -0.01, 0.08) but decreased for FL (-0.03%/week, 95% CI -0.09, 0.02). After adjustment, change in EFW% difference across gestation differed by pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI [kg/m2 ]; underweight [<18.5]; normal weight [18.5-24.9]; overweight [25.0-29.9]; obese [≥30.0]; Pinteraction  = .022); and conception method (in vitro fertilisation [IVF], intrauterine insemination, ovulation induction medication, donor egg/embryo, none; Pinteraction  = .060). While EFW% difference increased with normal pre-pregnancy BMI (0.24%/week, 95% CI 0.12, 0.37), little change was noted with pre-pregnancy obesity (0.01%/week, 95% CI -0.15, 0.17). EFW% difference increased in conceptions without fertility treatments (0.23%/week, 95% CI 0.11, 0.34) but not IVF conceptions (-0.00%/week, 95% CI -0.16, 0.16). Similar patterns of differences across gestation were noted for HC% by conception method (Pinteraction  = .026) and AC% by pre-pregnancy BMI (Pinteraction  = .071); changes in HC% differed by parity (nulliparous, multiparous; Pinteraction  = .004). CONCLUSIONS: EFW% difference increased across gestation in dichorionic twins, but remained stable with pre-pregnancy obesity or IVF conception, patterns mirrored for HC and AC. Research is needed to understand pathologic versus physiologic differential twin growth trajectories.

Polybrominated diphenyl ethers and incident pregnancy loss: The LIFE Study.

BACKGROUND: Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) have not been studied in relation to incident pregnancy loss in human populations, despite their ubiquitous exposure and purported reproductive toxicity. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between preconception serum PBDE concentrations and incident pregnancy loss. METHODS: A preconception cohort of 501 couples was followed while trying to become pregnant, and for whom serum concentrations of 10 PBDE congeners were measured using gas chromatography-high resolution mass spectrometry. Pregnancy was prospectively identified as a positive home pregnancy test on the day of expected menstruation. Incident pregnancy loss was defined for 344 singleton pregnancies as a conversion to a negative home pregnancy test, menses, or clinical diagnosis depending upon gestational age. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for individual and summed PBDEs and incident pregnancy loss, adjusting for relevant covariates and male partners' information. In sensitivity analyses, inverse probability weighting was used to account for couples not becoming pregnant and, thereby, not at risk for loss. RESULTS: The incidence of prospectively observed pregnancy loss was 28%, and the serum concentrations of PBDE congeners in females were consistently associated with a higher hazard of incident pregnancy loss. Specifically, statistically significant hazard ratios (HRs) for incident pregnancy loss were observed for lower brominated PBDE congeners: 17 (HR 1.23; CI: 1.07-1.42), 28 (HR 1.25; CI: 1.03-1.52), 66 (HR 1.23; CI: 1.07-1.42), and homolog triBDE (HR: 1.25; CI: 1.05-1.49). Findings were robust to various model specifications explored in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal preconception serum concentrations of specific PBDE congeners may increase the hazard of incident pregnancy.

Biomarkers of preconception stress and the incidence of pregnancy loss.

STUDY QUESTION: Are biomarkers of preconception stress associated with pregnancy loss? SUMMARY ANSWER: Preconception stress, as measured by basal salivary cortisol and alpha-amylase concentrations, is not associated with pregnancy loss. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Many studies, most of which have been retrospective, have identified an association between stressful life events and perceived stress and miscarriage. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A prospective pregnancy study with preconception enrollment was conducted between 2005 and 2009. Among the 344 women who became pregnant during the Longitudinal Investigation of Fertility and the Environment (LIFE) study, 337 (98%) had salivary biomarker data for analysis. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Couples planning pregnancy were followed for up to 12 months as they tried to become pregnant and through pregnancy if it occurred. Participating women collected a basal saliva sample on the morning following enrollment and a second on the morning following their next menses to measure cortisol and alpha-amylase, biomarkers of stress. Women used home pregnancy tests on the day of expected menses. A pregnancy loss was defined as a negative pregnancy test following a positive pregnancy test, the onset of menses, or for pregnancies that survived to clinical recognition, recognition of the loss by a healthcare provider. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Among the 337 couples, the median age of female and male partners was 29 and 31 years, respectively. Most of the women were non-Hispanic white (83%) and highly educated. There were 97 pregnancy losses reported among the 337 pregnancies. The median gestational age at loss was 6 weeks 5 days with only two losses occurring in the second trimester. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we found no clear pattern of association between two preconceptional biomarkers of stress (salivary cortisol and alpha-amylase concentrations) modeled both continuously or in tertiles and incident pregnancy loss after adjustment for confounders. LIMITATIONS REASONS FOR CAUTION: Our prior work suggests that women enrolled in the LIFE Study had lower stress levels than women in the general population. Owing to concerns regarding participant burden, we were unable to collect serial saliva measurements, which would have allowed us to examine the association between stress in early pregnancy and pregnancy loss. Further, with regard to the measurement of perceived stress, the Cohen's Perceived Stress Scale was only administered at baseline. While every attempt was made to ensure diversity in the cohort, non-Hispanic white women were over-represented, therefore it is possible that the results might not be generalizable to all women. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: In one of the largest studies in the USA to prospectively capture data on the incidence of early pregnancy loss, we found no clear association between two biomarkers of preconception stress (measured in saliva) and pregnancy loss. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (contracts #N01-HD-3-3355, N01-HD-3-3356, N01-HD-3358). There are no conflicts of interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Not applicable.

Time-varying cycle average and daily variation in ambient air pollution and fecundability.

STUDY QUESTION: Does ambient air pollution affect fecundability? SUMMARY ANSWER: While cycle-average air pollution exposure was not associated with fecundability, we observed some associations for acute exposure around ovulation and implantation with fecundability. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Ambient air pollution exposure has been associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and decrements in semen quality. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: The LIFE study (2005-2009), a prospective time-to-pregnancy study, enrolled 501 couples who were followed for up to one year of attempting pregnancy. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Average air pollutant exposure was assessed for the menstrual cycle before and during the proliferative phase of each observed cycle (n = 500 couples; n = 2360 cycles) and daily acute exposure was assessed for sensitive windows of each observed cycle (n = 440 couples; n = 1897 cycles). Discrete-time survival analysis modeled the association between fecundability and an interquartile range increase in each pollutant, adjusting for co-pollutants, site, age, race/ethnicity, parity, body mass index, smoking, income and education. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Cycle-average air pollutant exposure was not associated with fecundability. In acute models, fecundability was diminished with exposure to ozone the day before ovulation and nitrogen oxides 8 days post ovulation (fecundability odds ratio [FOR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.72, 0.96 and FOR 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71, 0.99, respectively). However, particulate matter ≤10 microns 6 days post ovulation was associated with greater fecundability (FOR 1.25, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.54). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Although our study was unlikely to be biased due to confounding, misclassification of air pollution exposure and the moderate study size may have limited our ability to detect an association between ambient air pollution and fecundability. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: While no associations were observed for cycle-average ambient air pollution exposure, consistent with past research in the United States, exposure during critical windows of hormonal variability was associated with prospectively measured couple fecundability, warranting further investigation. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (Longitudinal Investigation of Fertility and the Environment study contract nos. #N01-HD-3-3355, NO1-HD-#-3356, N01-HD-3-3358 and the Air Quality and Reproductive Health Study Contract No. HHSN275200800002I, Task Order No. HHSN27500008). We declare no conflict of interest.

Fetal growth standards: the NICHD fetal growth study approach in context with INTERGROWTH-21st and the World Health Organization Multicentre Growth Reference Study.

Three recently completed longitudinal cohort studies have developed intrauterine fetal growth charts, one in the United States and two international. This expert review compares and contrasts the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Fetal Growth Studies, INTERGROWTH-21st and World Health Organization Multicentre Growth Reference Study conclusions in light of differences in aims, sampling frames, and analytical approaches. An area of controversy is whether a single growth reference is representative of growth, regardless of ethnic or country origin. The INTERGROWTH and World Health Organization Fetal studies used a similar approach as the World Health Organization Multicentre Growth Reference Study for infants and children, the aim of which was to create a single international reference for the best physiological growth for children aged 0-5 years. INTERGROWTH made the same assumption (ie, that there would be no differences internationally among countries or racial/ethnic groups in fetal growth when conditions were optimal). INTERGROWTH found differences in crown-rump length and head circumference among countries but interpreted the differences as not meaningful and presented a pooled standard. The World Health Organization Multicentre Growth Reference Study was designed to create a pooled reference, although they evaluated for and presented country differences, along with discussion of the implications. The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Study was designed to assess whether racial/ethnic-specific fetal growth standards were needed, in recognition of the fact that fetal size is commonly estimated from dimensions (head circumference, abdominal circumference, and femur length) in which there are known differences in children and adults of differing racial/ethnic groups. A pooled standard would be derived if no racial/ethnic differences were found. Highly statistically significant racial/ethnic differences in fetal growth were found resulting in the publication of racial/ethnic-specific derived standards. Despite all 3 studies including low-risk status women, the percentiles for fetal dimensions and estimated fetal weight varied among the studies. Specifically, at 39 weeks, the 50th percentile for estimated fetal weight was 3502 g for whites, 3330 g for Hispanics, 3263 g for Asians, and 3256 for blacks in the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Study, compared with 3186 g for INTERGROWTH and 3403 g for World Health Organization Multicentre Growth Reference Study. When applying these standards to a clinical population, it is important to be aware that different percentages of small- and large-for-gestational-age fetuses will be identified. Also, it may be necessary to use more restrictive cut points, such as the 2.5th or 97.5th, for small-for-gestational-age or large-for-gestational-age fetuses, respectively. Ideally, a comparison of diagnostic accuracy, or misclassification rates, of small-for-gestational-age and large-for-gestational-age fetuses in relation to morbidity and mortality using different criteria is necessary to make recommendations and remains an important data gap. Identification of the appropriate percentile cutoffs in relation to neonatal morbidity and mortality is needed in local populations, depending on which fetal growth chart is used. On a final point, assessment of fetal growth with a one-time measurement remains standard clinical practice, despite recognition that a single measurement can indicate only size. Ultimately, it is knowledge about fetal growth in addition to other factors and clinical judgment that should trigger intervention.

Fetal growth velocity: the NICHD fetal growth studies.

BACKGROUND: Accurately identifying pregnancies with accelerated or diminished fetal growth is challenging and generally based on cross-sectional percentile estimates of fetal weight. Longitudinal growth velocity might improve identification of abnormally grown fetuses. OBJECTIVE: We sought to complement fetal size standards with fetal growth velocity, develop a model to compute fetal growth velocity percentiles for any given set of gestational week intervals, and determine association between fetal growth velocity and birthweight. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective cohort study with data collected at 12 US sites (2009 through 2013) from 1733 nonobese, low-risk pregnancies included in the singleton standard. Following a standardized sonogram at 10w0d-13w6d, each woman was randomized to 1 of 4 follow-up visit schedules with 5 additional study sonograms (targeted ranges: 16-22, 24-29, 30-33, 34-37, and 38-41 weeks). Study visits could occur ± 1 week from the targeted GA. Ultrasound biometric measurements included biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference, and femur length, and estimated fetal weight was calculated. We used linear mixed models with cubic splines for the fixed effects and random effects to flexibly model ultrasound trajectories. We computed velocity percentiles in 2 ways: (1) difference between 2 consecutive weekly measurements (ie, weekly velocity), and (2) difference between any 2 ultrasounds at a clinically reasonable difference between 2 gestational ages (ie, velocity calculator). We compared correlation between fetal growth velocity percentiles and estimated fetal weight percentiles at 4-week intervals, with 32 (±1) weeks' gestation for illustration. Growth velocity was computed as estimated fetal growth rate (g/wk) between ultrasound at that gestational age and from prior visit [ie, for 28-32 weeks' gestational age: velocity = (estimated fetal weight 32-28)/(gestational age 32-28)]. We examined differences in birthweight by whether or not estimated fetal weight and estimated fetal weight velocity were <5th or ≥5th percentiles using χ2. RESULTS: Fetal growth velocity was nonmonotonic, with acceleration early in pregnancy, peaking at 13, 14, 15, and 16 weeks for biparietal diameter, head circumference, femur length, and abdominal circumference, respectively. Biparietal diameter, head circumference, and abdominal circumference had a second acceleration at 19-22, 19-21, and 27-31 weeks, respectively. Estimated fetal weight velocity peaked around 35 weeks. Fetal growth velocity varied slightly by race/ethnicity although comparisons reflected differences for parameters at various gestational ages. Estimated fetal weight velocity percentiles were not highly correlated with fetal size percentiles (Pearson r = 0.40-0.41, P < .001), suggesting that these measurements reflect different aspects of fetal growth and velocity may add additional information to a single measure of estimated fetal weight. At 32 (SD ± 1) weeks, if both estimated fetal weight velocity and size were <5th percentile, mean birthweight was 2550 g; however, even when size remained <5th percentile but velocity was ≥5th percentile, birthweight increased to 2867 g, reflecting the important contribution of higher growth velocities. For estimated fetal weight ≥5th percentile, but growth velocity <5th, birthweight was smaller (3208 vs 3357 g, respectively, P < .001). CONCLUSION: We provide fetal growth velocity data to complement our previous work on fetal growth size standards, and have developed a calculator to compute fetal growth velocity. Preliminary findings suggest that growth velocity adds additional information over knowing fetal size alone.