A candidate super-Earth planet orbiting near the snow line of Barnard's star.

Barnard's star is a red dwarf, and has the largest proper motion (apparent motion across the sky) of all known stars. At a distance of 1.8 parsecs1, it is the closest single star to the Sun; only the three stars in the α Centauri system are closer. Barnard's star is also among the least magnetically active red dwarfs known2,3 and has an estimated age older than the Solar System. Its properties make it a prime target for planetary searches; various techniques with different sensitivity limits have been used previously, including radial-velocity imaging4-6, astrometry7,8 and direct imaging9, but all ultimately led to negative or null results. Here we combine numerous measurements from high-precision radial-velocity instruments, revealing the presence of a low-amplitude periodic signal with a period of 233 days. Independent photometric and spectroscopic monitoring, as well as an analysis of instrumental systematic effects, suggest that this signal is best explained as arising from a planetary companion. The candidate planet around Barnard's star is a cold super-Earth, with a minimum mass of 3.2 times that of Earth, orbiting near its snow line (the minimum distance from the star at which volatile compounds could condense). The combination of all radial-velocity datasets spanning 20 years of measurements additionally reveals a long-term modulation that could arise from a stellar magnetic-activity cycle or from a more distant planetary object. Because of its proximity to the Sun, the candidate planet has a maximum angular separation of 220 milliarcseconds from Barnard's star, making it an excellent target for direct imaging and astrometric observations in the future.

A deep convolutional neural network ensemble for composite identification of pulmonary nodules and incidental findings on routine PET/CT.

AIM: To evaluate primary and secondary pathologies of interest using an artificial intelligence (AI) platform, AI-Rad Companion, on low-dose computed tomography (CT) series from integrated positron-emission tomography (PET)/CT to detect CT findings that might be overlooked. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred and eighty-nine sequential patients who had undergone PET/CT were included. Images were evaluated using an ensemble of convolutional neural networks (AI-Rad Companion, Siemens Healthineers, Erlangen, Germany). The primary outcome was detection of pulmonary nodules for which the accuracy, identity, and intra-rater reliability was calculated. For secondary outcomes (binary detection of coronary artery calcium, aortic ectasia, vertebral height loss), accuracy and diagnostic performance were calculated. RESULTS: The overall per-nodule accuracy for detection of lung nodules was 0.847. The overall sensitivity and specificity for detection of lung nodules was 0.915 and 0.781. The overall per-patient accuracy for AI detection of coronary artery calcium, aortic ectasia, and vertebral height loss was 0.979, 0.966, and 0.840, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for coronary artery calcium was 0.989 and 0.969. The sensitivity and specificity for aortic ectasia was 0.806 and 1. CONCLUSION: The neural network ensemble accurately assessed the number of pulmonary nodules and presence of coronary artery calcium and aortic ectasia on low-dose CT series of PET/CT. The neural network was highly specific for the diagnosis of vertebral height loss, but not sensitive. The use of the AI ensemble can help radiologists and nuclear medicine physicians to catch CT findings that might be overlooked.

'Unable to have a proper conversation over the phone about my concerns': a multimethods evaluation of the impact of COVID-19 on routine childhood vaccination services in London, UK.

OBJECTIVES: Investigating the completion rate of 12-month vaccinations and parental perspectives on vaccine services during COVID-19. STUDY-DESIGN: Service evaluation including parental questionnaire. METHODS: Uptake of 12-month vaccinations in three London general practices during three periods: pre-COVID (1/3/2018-28/2/2019, n = 826), during COVID (1/3/2019-28/2/2020, n = 775) and post-COVID first wave (1/8/2020-31/1/2021, n = 419). Questionnaire of parents whose children were registered at the practices (1/4/2019-1/22/2021, n = 1350). RESULTS: Comparing pre-COVID and both COVID cohorts, the completion rates of 12-month vaccines were lower. Haemophilus influenzae type B/meningococcal group C (Hib/MenC) vaccination uptake was 5.6% lower (89.0% vs 83.4%, P=<0.001), meningococcal group B (MenB) booster uptake was 4.4% lower (87.3% vs 82.9%, P = 0.006), pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) booster uptake was 6% lower (88.0% vs 82.0%, P < 0.001) and measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine uptake was 5.2% lower (89.1% vs 83.9%, P = 0.003). Black/Black-British ethnicity children had increased odds of missing their 12-month vaccinations compared to White ethnicity children (adjusted odds ratio 0.43 [95% confidence interval 0.24-0.79, P = 0.005; 0.36 [0.20-0.65], P < 0.001; 0.48 [0.27-0.87], P = 0.01; 0.40 [0.22-0.73], P = 0.002; for Hib/MenC, MenB booster, PCV booster and MMR. Comparing pre-COVID and COVID periods, vaccinations coded as not booked increased for MMR (10%), MenB (7%) and PCV booster (8%). Parents reported changes to vaccination services during COVID-19, including difficulties booking and attending appointments and lack of vaccination reminders. CONCLUSION: A sustained decrease in 12-month childhood vaccination uptake disproportionally affected Black/Black British ethnicity infants during the first wave of the pandemic. Vaccination reminders and availability of healthcare professionals to discuss parental vaccine queries are vital to maintaining uptake.

Perceptions of self-rated health among stroke survivors: a qualitative study in the United Kingdom.

BACKGROUND: Self-rated health predicts health outcomes independently of levels of disability or mood. Little is known about what influences the subjective health experience of stroke survivors. Our aim was to investigate stroke survivors' perceptions of self-rated health, with the intention of informing the design of interventions that may improve their subjective health experience. METHODS: We conducted semi-structured interviews with a purposive sample of 28 stroke survivors recruited from a stroke unit and follow-up outpatient clinic, 4-6 months after stroke, to explore what factors are perceived to be part of self-rated health in the early stages of recovery. Qualitative data were analysed using a thematic analysis approach to identify underlying themes. RESULTS: Participants' accounts show that stroke survivors' perceptions of self-rated health are multifactorial, comprising physical, psychological and social components. Views on future recovery after stroke play a role in present health experience and are shaped by psychosocial resources that are influenced by past experiences of ill-health, dispositional outlook such as degree of optimism, a sense of control and views on ageing. CONCLUSIONS: Severity of physical limitations alone does not influence perceptions of self-rated health among stroke survivors. Self-rated health in stroke survivors is a multidimensional construct shaped by changes in health status occurring after the stroke, individual characteristics and social context. Understanding the factors stroke survivors themselves associate with better health will inform the development of effective approaches to improve rehabilitation and recovery after stroke.

The Patient Assessment of Chronic Illness Care produces measurements along a single dimension: results from a Mokken analysis.

BACKGROUND: As the worldwide prevalence of chronic illness increases so too does the demand for novel treatments to improve chronic illness care. Quantifying improvement in chronic illness care from the patient perspective relies on the use of validated patient-reported outcome measures. In this analysis we examine the psychometric and scaling properties of the Patient Assessment of Chronic Illness Care (PACIC) questionnaire for use in the United Kingdom by applying scale data to the non-parametric Mokken double monotonicity model. METHODS: Data from 1849 patients with long-term conditions in the UK who completed the 20-item PACIC were analysed using Mokken analysis. A three-stage analysis examined the questionnaire's scalability, monotonicity and item ordering. An automated item selection procedure was used to assess the factor structure of the scale. Analysis was conducted in an 'evaluation' dataset (n = 956) and results were confirmed using an independent 'validation' (n = 890) dataset. RESULTS: Automated item selection procedures suggested that the 20 items represented a single underlying trait representing "patient assessment of chronic illness care": this contrasts with the multiple domains originally proposed. Six items violated invariant item ordering and were removed. The final 13-item scale had no further issues in either the evaluation or validation samples, including excellent scalability (Ho = .50) and reliability (Rho = .88). CONCLUSIONS: Following some modification, the 13-items of the PACIC were successfully fitted to the non-parametric Mokken model. These items have psychometrically robust and produce a single ordinal summary score. This score will be useful for clinicians or researchers to assess the quality of chronic illness care from the patient's perspective.

Trends in incidence and average waiting time for arthroplasty from 1998-2021: an observational study of 282,367 patients from the Scottish arthroplasty project.

BACKGROUND: Current waiting times for arthroplasty are reported as being the worst on record. This is a combination of increasing demand, the COVID-19 pandemic and longer standing shortage of capacity. The Scottish Arthroplasty Project (SAP) is a National Audit that analyses all joint replacements undertaken in the Scottish NHS and Independent Sector. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term trend in provision and waiting time for lower limb joint replacement surgery. METHODS: All total hip replacements (THR) and total knee replacements (TKR) undertaken in NHS Scotland from 1998 to 2021 were identified. Waiting times data were analysed each year to determine the minimum, maximum, median, mean and standard deviation. RESULTS: In 1998, there were 4,224 THR and 2,898 TKR with mean (range, SD) waiting time of 159.5 days (1-1,685, 119.8) and 182.9 days (1-1,946, 130.1). The minimum waiting times were both in 2013 for 7,612 THR - 78.8 days (0-539, 46) and 7,146 TKR - 79.1 days (0-489, 43.7). The maximum waiting times recorded were in 2021 with 4,070 THR waiting 283.7 days (0-945, 215) and 3,153 TKR waiting 316.8 days (4-1,064, 217). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first robust large-scale national dataset showing trends in incidence and waiting time for THR and TKR over two decades. There was an expansion of activity with a reduction in waiting time, which peaked in 2013, followed by an increase in waiting time with a plateau and modest decline in the number of procedures.

Moving orthopaedic procedures out of the operating theatre:Outpatient needle arthroscopy can reduce cost & waste, and increase inpatient capacity compared to conventional knee arthroscopy.

BACKGROUND: Needle arthroscopy (NA) is an emerging technique that could streamline pathways, facilitate timely care, and reduce service burden. The primary aim was to assess the practical and economic viability of an outpatient NA service. Secondary aims were to assess the relative costs and benefits compared to a conventional arthroscopy (CA) service. METHODS: This service feasibility study was conducted between 2021-2022 in a high-volume national treatment centre. A NA pathway was established for patients with chronic soft tissue pathology or early degenerative knee disease. The pathway was evaluated in terms of: i) cost; ii) efficiency, and iii) waste production, and an assessment was conducted of the patient-related and service-related effects. RESULTS: The cost of the NA pathway was £1555.20 per patient, compared to £2,351.53 for CA. Time to management was 45 days for NA versus 180 days for CA. The NA pathway involved two hospital attendances, whereas CA required a minimum of three. NA cases produced 1.4 kg of non-recyclable waste compared to 5.0 kg produced by CA. For every two cases managed by NA instead of CA, capacity for one additional obligate-inpatient procedure was created. CONCLUSIONS: The NA pathway offers a technically and economically viable approach for the management of refractory knee symptoms in the context of chronic soft tissue or early degenerative disease. NA placed less demand on hospital resources, produced two-thirds less non-recyclable waste, and is amenable to a one-stop clinic approach. Clinical studies focused on objective and patient-reported outcome measures are required to assess clinical efficacy.

The role of outpatient needle arthroscopy in the diagnosis and management of musculoskeletal complaints: A systematic review of the Arthrex NanoScope.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to review the literature regarding needle arthroscopy using the Arthrex NanoScope system and evaluate: (1) the diagnostic indications, utility, and efficacy compared to conventional methods, and (2) the therapeutic indications, safety, and reported outcomes. METHODS: Searches of three databases (MEDLINE, Embase and PubMed) were conducted in November 2021 using MeSH terms: 'needle arthroscopy', 'human', 'in office arthroscopy', 'needle arthroscope', 'nanoscopic', 'surgery', 'nanoscope' and 'percutaneous arthroscopy'. The included studies were catalogued, quality-assessed using Methodological Index for Non-Randomised Studies (MINORS), and analysed using the Cochrane data collection templates for randomised control trials (RCT) and non-randomised control trials (non-RCT). The majority of studies were non-numerical and were examined using qualitative analysis. RESULTS: The search yielded 314 studies, 22 of which were included for analysis. MINORS assessment was applicable to four studies. Mean MINORS was 10.7/16 with the most frequent limitations being lack of unbiased endpoint or sample size calculation. The level of evidence ranged from level IV-V. Diagnostic and therapeutic indications were described in relation to the: knee (n = 10); shoulder (n = 6); foot/ankle (n = 3); elbow (n = 2), and miscellaneous (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS: Needle arthroscopy can augment the diagnostic process in patients presenting with musculoskeletal complaints, and may provide benefits in terms of diagnostic accuracy, cost efficiency, timeliness of investigation, and a visually impactful patient-centred consultation. Therapeutic interventions are reported by a small number of pioneer groups who report some benefits over conventional arthroscopy. The available literature remains small and of low quality, and more evidence is needed with regards to patient selection, efficacy, safety, and cost. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level V (based on the weakest study included in the Systematic Review).

Parental identity influences progeny responses to incubation thermal stress in sockeye salmon Onchorhynchus nerka.

The influence of individual parentage on progeny responses to early developmental temperature stress was examined in a cross-fertilization experiment using sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka. Differences in survival, hatch timing and size were examined among five paternally linked and five maternally linked offspring families (Weaver Creek population, British Columbia, Canada) incubated at 12, 14 and 16° C from just after fertilization to hatch. Mean embryonic survival was significantly lower at 14 and 16° C; however, offspring families had substantially different survival responses across the thermal gradient (crossing reaction norms). Within temperature treatments, substantial variation in embryonic survival, alevin mass, time-to-hatch and hatch duration were attributable to family identity; however, most traits were governed by significant temperature-family interactions. For embryonic survival, large differences between families at 16° C were due to both female and male spawner influence, whereas inter-family differences were obscured at 14° C (high intra-family variation), and minimal at 12° C (only maternal influence detected). Despite post-hatch rearing under a common cool thermal regime, persistent effects of both temperature and parentage were detected in alevin and 3 week-old fry. Collectively, these findings highlight the crucial role that parental influences on offspring may have in shaping future selection within salmonid populations exposed to elevated thermal regimes. An increased understanding of parental and temperature influences and their persistence in early development will be essential to developing a more comprehensive view of population spawning success and determining the adaptive capacity of O. nerka populations in the face of environmental change.

Temporal changes in blood variables during final maturation and senescence in male sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka: reduced osmoregulatory ability can predict mortality.

This study is the first to characterize temporal changes in blood chemistry of individuals from one population of male sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka during the final 6 weeks of sexual maturation and senescence in the freshwater stage of their spawning migration. Fish that died before the start of their historic mean spawning period (c. 5 November) were characterized by a 20-40% decrease in plasma osmolality, chloride and sodium, probably representing a complete loss of osmoregulatory ability. As fish became moribund, they were further characterized by elevated levels of plasma cortisol, lactate and potassium. Regressions between time to death and plasma chloride (8 October: P < 0·001; 15 October: P < 0·001) indicate that plasma chloride was a strong predictor of longevity in O. nerka. That major plasma ion levels started to decline 2-10 days (mean of 6 days) before fish became moribund, and before other stress, metabolic or reproductive hormone variables started to change, suggests that a dysfunctional osmoregulatory system may initiate rapid senescence and influence other physiological changes (i.e. elevated stress and collapsed reproductive hormones) which occur as O. nerka die on spawning grounds.

Synthesis and evaluation of coastal and marine biodiversity spatial information in the United Arab Emirates for ecosystem-based management.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) host valuable coastal and marine biodiversity that is subjected to multiple pressures under extreme conditions. To mitigate impacts on marine ecosystems, the UAE protects almost 12% of its Exclusive Economic Zone. This study mapped and validated the distribution of key coastal and marine habitats, species and critical areas for their life cycle in the Gulf area of the UAE. We identified gaps in the current protection of these ecological features and assessed the quality of the data used. The overall dataset showed good data quality, but deficiencies in information for the coastline of the north-western emirates. The existing protected areas are inadequate to safeguard key ecological features such as mangroves and coastal lagoons. This study offers a solid basis to understand the spatial distribution and protection of marine biodiversity in the UAE. This information should be considered for implementing effective conservation planning and ecosystem-based management.

Is the development of desalination compatible with sustainable development of the Arabian Gulf?

The development of desalination has been essential to the rapid economic development of the countries bordering the Arabian Gulf. The current production capacity of sea water desalination plants drawing water from Gulf is over 20 million m3 day-1, which may rise to 80 million m3 day-1 by 2050. Whilst supporting aspects of sustainable development related to water and sanitation, desalination impacts the marine environment through impingement and entrainment of organisms in intakes, and through thermal, brine and chemical discharges. This may compromise other objectives for sustainable development related to sustainable use of the oceans. Under business as usual scenarios, by 2050, the impact of individual desalination plants will combine causing a regional scale impact. Without mitigating actions to avoid the business as usual scenario, by 2050, desalination in combination with climate change, will elevate coastal water temperatures across more than 50% of the Gulf by at least 3 °C, and a volume of water equivalent to more than a third of the total volume of water between 0 and 10 m deep will pass through desalination plants each year. This will adversely impact the coastal ecosystem of the Gulf, with impacts on biodiversity, fisheries and coastal communities and may cause potential loss of species and habitats from the Gulf. Given the significant implications of these preliminary findings, and in light of the precautionary approach to management, it is recommended that mitigating options addressing behavioural, regulatory and technological change are rapidly evaluated and implemented to avoid the development of desalination in the region along a business as usual pathway, and multidisciplinary research studies should be conducted to reduce uncertainty in predictions of future impacts.

Fish communities on the world's warmest reefs: what can they tell us about the effects of climate change in the future?

To examine the role of climatic extremes in structuring reef fish communities in the Arabian region, reef fish communities were visually surveyed at four sites within the southern Persian Gulf (also known as the Arabian Gulf and The Gulf), where sea-surface temperatures are extreme (range: 12-35° C annually), and these were compared with communities at four latitudinally similar sites in the biogeographically connected Gulf of Oman, where conditions are more moderate (range: 22-31° C annually). Although sites were relatively similar in the cover and composition of coral communities, substantial differences in the structure and composition of associated fish assemblages were apparent. Fish assemblages in the southern Persian Gulf held significantly lower estimates of abundance, richness and biomass, with significantly higher abundances of smaller sized individuals than Gulf of Oman assemblages. Functionally, southern Persian Gulf sites held significantly lower abundances of nearly all the common fish trophic guilds found on Gulf of Oman sites, although higher abundances of herbivorous grazers were apparent. These results suggest the potential for substantial changes in the structure of reef-associated fish communities, independent of changes in habitat within an environment of increasing fluctuations in oceanic climate.

Phosphorylation of connexin43 on serine368 by protein kinase C regulates gap junctional communication.

Phorbol esters (e.g., TPA) activate protein kinase C (PKC), increase connexin43 (Cx43) phosphorylation, and decrease cell-cell communication via gap junctions in many cell types. We asked whether PKC directly phosphorylates and regulates Cx43. Rat epithelial T51B cells metabolically labeled with (32)P(i) yielded two-dimensional phosphotryptic maps of Cx43 with several phosphopeptides that increased in intensity upon TPA treatment. One of these peptides comigrated with the major phosphopeptide observed after PKC phosphorylation of immunoaffinity-purified Cx43. Purification of this comigrating peptide and subsequent sequencing indicated that the phosphorylated serine was residue 368. To pursue the functional importance of phosphorylation at this site, fibroblasts from Cx43(-/-) mice were transfected with either wild-type (Cx43wt) or mutant Cx43 (Cx43-S368A). Intercellular dye transfer studies revealed different responses to TPA and were followed by single channel analyses. TPA stimulation of T51B cells or Cx43wt-transfected fibroblasts caused a large increase in the relative frequency of approximately 50-pS channel events and a concomitant loss of approximately 100-pS channel events. This change to approximately 50-pS events was absent when cells transfected with Cx43-S368A were treated with TPA. These data strongly suggest that PKC directly phosphorylates Cx43 on S368 in vivo, which results in a change in single channel behavior that contributes to a decrease in intercellular communication.

Laser microsurgery in cell and developmental biology.

New applications of laser microbeam irradiation to cell and developmental biology include a new instrument with a tunable wavelength (217- to 800-nanometer) laser microbeam and a wide range of energies and exposure durations (down to 25 X 10(-12) second). Laser microbeams can be used for microirradiation of selected nucleolar genetic regions and for laser microdissection of mitotic and cytoplasmic organelles. They are also used to disrupt the developing neurosensory appendages of the cricket and the imaginal discs of Drosophila.

Disease epidemic and a marine heat wave are associated with the continental-scale collapse of a pivotal predator (Pycnopodia helianthoides).

Multihost infectious disease outbreaks have endangered wildlife, causing extinction of frogs and endemic birds, and widespread declines of bats, corals, and abalone. Since 2013, a sea star wasting disease has affected >20 sea star species from Mexico to Alaska. The common, predatory sunflower star (Pycnopodia helianthoides), shown to be highly susceptible to sea star wasting disease, has been extirpated across most of its range. Diver surveys conducted in shallow nearshore waters (n = 10,956; 2006-2017) from California to Alaska and deep offshore (55 to 1280 m) trawl surveys from California to Washington (n = 8968; 2004-2016) reveal 80 to 100% declines across a ~3000-km range. Furthermore, timing of peak declines in nearshore waters coincided with anomalously warm sea surface temperatures. The rapid, widespread decline of this pivotal subtidal predator threatens its persistence and may have large ecosystem-level consequences.

Protocols for the assurance of microarray data quality and process control.

Microarrays represent a powerful technology that provides the ability to simultaneously measure the expression of thousands of genes. However, it is a multi-step process with numerous potential sources of variation that can compromise data analysis and interpretation if left uncontrolled, necessitating the development of quality control protocols to ensure assay consistency and high-quality data. In response to emerging standards, such as the minimum information about a microarray experiment standard, tools are required to ascertain the quality and reproducibility of results within and across studies. To this end, an intralaboratory quality control protocol for two color, spotted microarrays was developed using cDNA microarrays from in vivo and in vitro dose-response and time-course studies. The protocol combines: (i) diagnostic plots monitoring the degree of feature saturation, global feature and background intensities, and feature misalignments with (ii) plots monitoring the intensity distributions within arrays with (iii) a support vector machine (SVM) model. The protocol is applicable to any laboratory with sufficient datasets to establish historical high- and low-quality data.

Assessing the impact of nutrient enrichment in estuaries: susceptibility to eutrophication.

The main aim of this study was to develop a generic tool for assessing risks and impacts of nutrient enrichment in estuaries. A simple model was developed to predict the magnitude of primary production by phytoplankton in different estuaries from nutrient input (total available nitrogen and/or phosphorus) and to determine likely trophic status. In the model, primary production is strongly influenced by water residence times and relative light regimes. The model indicates that estuaries with low and moderate light levels are the least likely to show a biological response to nutrient inputs. Estuaries with a good light regime are likely to be sensitive to nutrient enrichment, and to show similar responses, mediated only by site-specific geomorphological features. Nixon's scale was used to describe the relative trophic status of estuaries, and to set nutrient and chlorophyll thresholds for assessing trophic status. Estuaries identified as being eutrophic may not show any signs of eutrophication. Additional attributes need to be considered to assess negative impacts. Here, likely detriment to the oxygen regime was considered, but is most applicable to areas of restricted exchange. Factors which limit phytoplankton growth under high nutrient conditions (water residence times and/or light availability) may favour the growth of other primary producers, such as macrophytes, which may have a negative impact on other biological communities. The assessment tool was developed for estuaries in England and Wales, based on a simple 3-category typology determined by geomorphology and relative light levels. Nixon's scale needs to be validated for estuaries in England and Wales, once more data are available on light levels and primary production.

A comparison of once versus twice per week training on leg press strength in women.

AIM: The purpose of this study was to compare strength differences between 2 groups of untrained women, who performed a single set of the leg press exercise once or twice per week. METHODS: Twenty-one women were divided randomly into 2 groups: Group 1 (n=10) performed a single set of the leg press exercise once per week, while Group 2 (n=11) performed a single set of the leg press exercise twice per week for a period of 8 weeks. Throughout the duration of the study, an amount of resistance was utilized that allowed for a single set of 6 to 10 repetitions to muscular failure. At the conclusion of the study, subjects were tested for their 6-RM strength. A 2x2 ANOVA was used to compare strength differences. The a level was set at 0.05 in order for differences to be considered significant. RESULTS: The 2x2 ANOVA demonstrated that strength increases were significant between tests (P=0.0001), but not significant between groups (P=0.757). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that performing a single set of the leg press once or twice per week results in statistically similar strength gains in untrained women.

Symbiont community stability through severe coral bleaching in a thermally extreme lagoon.

Coral reefs are threatened by climate change as coral-algal symbioses are currently living close to their upper thermal limits. The resilience of the algal partner plays a key role in determining the thermal tolerance of the coral holobiont and therefore, understanding the acclimatory limits of present day coral-algal symbioses is fundamental to forecasting corals' responses to climate change. This study characterised the symbiont community in a highly variable and thermally extreme (Max = 37.5 °C, Min = 16.8 °C) lagoon located in the southern Persian/Arabian Gulf using next generation sequencing of ITS2 amplicons. Despite experiencing extreme temperatures, severe bleaching and many factors that would be expected to promote the presence of, or transition to clade D dominance, the symbiont communities of the lagoon remain dominated by the C3 variant, Symbiodinium thermophilum. The stability of this symbiosis across multiple genera with different means of symbiont transmission highlights the importance of Symbiodinium thermophilum for corals living at the acclimatory limits of modern day corals. Corals in this extreme environment did not undergo adaptive bleaching, suggesting they are living at the edge of their acclimatory potential and that this valuable source of thermally tolerant genotypes may be lost in the near future under climate change.