Covert network analysis for key player detection and event prediction using a hybrid classifier.

National security has gained vital importance due to increasing number of suspicious and terrorist events across the globe. Use of different subfields of information technology has also gained much attraction of researchers and practitioners to design systems which can detect main members which are actually responsible for such kind of events. In this paper, we present a novel method to predict key players from a covert network by applying a hybrid framework. The proposed system calculates certain centrality measures for each node in the network and then applies novel hybrid classifier for detection of key players. Our system also applies anomaly detection to predict any terrorist activity in order to help law enforcement agencies to destabilize the involved network. As a proof of concept, the proposed framework has been implemented and tested using different case studies including two publicly available datasets and one local network.

An Integrated Approach for Spatio-Temporal Cholera Disease Hotspot Relation Mining for Public Health Management in Punjab, Pakistan.

Public health management can generate actionable results when diseases are studied in context with other candidate factors contributing to disease dynamics. In order to fully understand the interdependent relationships of multiple geospatial features involved in disease dynamics, it is important to construct an effective representation model that is able to reveal the relationship patterns and trends. The purpose of this work is to combine disease incidence spatio-temporal data with other features of interest in a mutlivariate spatio-temporal model for investigating characteristic disease and feature patterns over identified hotspots. We present an integrated approach in the form of a disease management model for analyzing spatio-temporal dynamics of disease in connection with other determinants. Our approach aligns spatio-temporal profiles of disease with other driving factors in public health context to identify hotspots and patterns of disease and features of interest in the identified locations. We evaluate our model against cholera disease outbreaks from 2015-2019 in Punjab province of Pakistan. The experimental results showed that the presented model effectively address the complex dynamics of disease incidences in the presence of other features of interest over a geographic area representing populations and sub populations during a given time. The presented methodology provides an effective mechanism for identifying disease hotspots in multiple dimensions and relation between the hotspots for cost-effective and optimal resource allocation as well as a sound reference for further predictive and forecasting analysis.

Multi-objective regression test suite optimization using three variants of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system.

In the process of software development, regression testing is one of the major activities that is done after making modifications in the current system or whenever a software system evolves. But, the test suite size increases with the addition of new test cases and it becomes in-efficient because of the occurrence of redundant, broken, and obsolete test cases. For that reason, it results in additional time and budget to run all these test cases. Many researchers have proposed computational intelligence and conventional approaches for dealing with this problem and they have achieved an optimized test suite by selecting, minimizing or reducing, and prioritizing test cases. Currently, most of these optimization approaches are single objective and static in nature. But, it is mandatory to use multi-objective dynamic approaches for optimization due to the advancements in information technology and associated market challenges. Therefore, we have proposed three variants of self-tunable Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System i.e. TLBO-ANFIS, FA-ANFIS, and HS-ANFIS, for multi-objective regression test suites optimization. Two benchmark test suites are used for evaluating the proposed ANFIS variants. The performance of proposed ANFIS variants is measured using Standard Deviation and Root Mean Square Error. A comparison of experimental results is also done with six existing methods i.e. GA-ANFIS, PSO-ANFIS, MOGA, NSGA-II, MOPSO, and TOPSIS and it is concluded that the proposed method effectively reduces the size of regression test suite without a reduction in the fault detection rate.

Analysis of PCG signals using quality assessment and homomorphic filters for localization and classification of heart sounds.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Accurate localization of heart beats in phonocardiogram (PCG) signal is very crucial for correct segmentation and classification of heart sounds into S1 and S2. This task becomes challenging due to inclusion of noise in acquisition process owing to number of different factors. In this paper we propose a system for heart sound localization and classification into S1 and S2. The proposed system introduces the concept of quality assessment before localization, feature extraction and classification of heart sounds. METHODS: The signal quality is assessed by predefined criteria based upon number of peaks and zero crossing of PCG signal. Once quality assessment is performed, then heart beats within PCG signal are localized, which is done by envelope extraction using homomorphic envelogram and finding prominent peaks. In order to classify localized peaks into S1 and S2, temporal and time-frequency based statistical features have been used. Support Vector Machine using radial basis function kernel is used for classification of heart beats into S1 and S2 based upon extracted features. The performance of the proposed system is evaluated using Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, F-measure and Total Error. The dataset provided by PASCAL classifying heart sound challenge is used for testing. RESULTS: Performance of system is significantly improved by quality assessment. Results shows that proposed Localization algorithm achieves accuracy up to 97% and generates smallest total average error among top 3 challenge participants. The classification algorithm achieves accuracy up to 91%. CONCLUSION: The system provides firm foundation for the detection of normal and abnormal heart sounds for cardiovascular disease detection.

Fully automated diagnosis of papilledema through robust extraction of vascular patterns and ocular pathology from fundus photographs.

Rapid development in the field of ophthalmology has increased the demand of computer aided diagnosis of various eye diseases. Papilledema is an eye disease in which the optic disc of the eye is swelled due to an increase in intracranial pressure. This increased pressure can cause severe encephalic complications like abscess, tumors, meningitis or encephalitis, which may lead to a patient's death. Although there have been several papilledema case studies reported from a medical point of view, only a few researchers have presented automated algorithms for this problem. This paper presents a novel computer aided system which aims to automatically detect papilledema from fundus images. Firstly, the fundus images are preprocessed by going through optic disc detection and vessel segmentation. After preprocessing, a total of 26 different features are extracted to capture possible changes in the optic disc due to papilledema. These features are further divided into four categories based upon their color, textural, vascular and disc margin obscuration properties. The best features are then selected and combined to form a feature matrix that is used to distinguish between normal images and images with papilledema using the supervised support vector machine (SVM) classifier. The proposed method is tested on 160 fundus images obtained from two different data sets i.e. structured analysis of retina (STARE), which is a publicly available data set, and our local data set that has been acquired from the Armed Forces Institute of Ophthalmology (AFIO). The STARE data set contained 90 and our local data set contained 70 fundus images respectively. These annotations have been performed with the help of two ophthalmologists. We report detection accuracies of 95.6% for STARE, 87.4% for the local data set, and 85.9% for the combined STARE and local data sets. The proposed system is fast and robust in detecting papilledema from fundus images with promising results. This will aid physicians in clinical assessment of fundus images. It will not take away the role of physicians, but will rather help them in the time consuming process of screening fundus images.

Intelligent framework for diagnosis of frozen shoulder using cross sectional survey and case studies.

OBJECTIVES: Frozen shoulder is a disease in which shoulder becomes stiff. Accurate diagnosis of frozen shoulder is helpful in providing economical and effective treatment for patients. This research provides the classification of unstructured data using data mining techniques. Prediction results are validated by K-fold cross-validation method. It also provides accurate diagnosis of frozen shoulder using Naïve Bayesian and Random Forest models. At the end results are presented by performance measure techniques. METHODS: In this research, 145 respondents (patients) with a severe finding of frozen shoulder are included. They are selected on premise of (clinical) assessment confirmed after by MRI. This data is taken from the department of Orthopedics (Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences Islamabad and Railway Hospital Rawalpindi) between September 2014 to November 2015. Frozen shoulder is categorized on the basis of MRI result. The predictor variables are taken from patient survey and patient reports, which consisted of 35+ variables. The outcome variable is coded into numeric system of "intact" and "no-intact". The outcome variable is assigned into numeric code, 1 for "intact" and 0 for "no-intact". "Intact" group is used as an indication that tissue is damaged badly and "no-intact" is classified as normal. Distribution of result is 110 patients for "Intact" group and 35 patients for "No-Intact" group (false positive rate was 24 %). In this research we have utilized two methods i.e. Naive Bayes and Random Forest. A statistics regression model (Logistic regression) to categorize frozen shoulder finding into "intact" and "no-intact" classes. In the end, we validated our results by Bayesian theorem. This gives a rough estimate about the probability of frozen shoulder. RESULTS: In this research, our anticipated and predictive procedures gave better outcome as compared to statistical techniques. The specificity and sensitivity ratio of predicting a frozen shoulder are better in the Naïve Bayes as compared to Random Forest. In end the likelihood ratio results are used with Bayesian theorem for final evaluation of the results, from this we conclude predictive model is valid model for classification of frozen shoulder. CONCLUSIONS: We have used three predictive models in our study to classify frozen shoulder. Then we validated our predictive results by Bayesian theorem to give a rough estimate about the probability of occurrence of disease or not. This enhances the clinical decision making regarding frozen shoulder.

Inverse Correlation between Heart Rate Variability and Heart Rate Demonstrated by Linear and Nonlinear Analysis.

The dynamical fluctuations in the rhythms of biological systems provide valuable information about the underlying functioning of these systems. During the past few decades analysis of cardiac function based on the heart rate variability (HRV; variation in R wave to R wave intervals) has attracted great attention, resulting in more than 17000-publications (PubMed list). However, it is still controversial about the underling mechanisms of HRV. In this study, we performed both linear (time domain and frequency domain) and nonlinear analysis of HRV data acquired from humans and animals to identify the relationship between HRV and heart rate (HR). The HRV data consists of the following groups: (a) human normal sinus rhythm (n = 72); (b) human congestive heart failure (n = 44); (c) rabbit sinoatrial node cells (SANC; n = 67); (d) conscious rat (n = 11). In both human and animal data at variant pathological conditions, both linear and nonlinear analysis techniques showed an inverse correlation between HRV and HR, supporting the concept that HRV is dependent on HR, and therefore, HRV cannot be used in an ordinary manner to analyse autonomic nerve activity of a heart.