Epidemiological pattern, incidence, and outcomes of COVID-19 in liver transplant patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The incidence and outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in immunocompromised patients are a matter of debate. METHODS: We performed a prospective nationwide study including a consecutive cohort of liver transplant patients with COVID-19 recruited during the Spanish outbreak from 28 February to 7 April, 2020. The primary outcome was severe COVID-19, defined as the need for mechanical ventilation, intensive care, and/or death. Age- and gender-standardised incidence and mortality ratios (SIR and SMR) were calculated using data from the Ministry of Health and the Spanish liver transplant registry. Independent predictors of severe COVID-19 among hospitalised patients were analysed using multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS: A total of 111 liver transplant patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 (SIR = 191.2 [95% CI 190.3-192.2]). The epidemiological curve and geographic distribution overlapped widely between the liver transplant and general populations. After a median follow-up of 23 days, 96 patients (86.5%) were admitted to hospital and 22 patients (19.8%) required respiratory support. A total of 12 patients were admitted to the ICU (10.8%). The mortality rate was 18%, which was lower than in the matched general population (SMR = 95.5 [95% CI 94.2-96.8]). Overall, 35 patients (31.5%) met criteria of severe COVID-19. Baseline immunosuppression containing mycophenolate was an independent predictor of severe COVID-19 (relative risk = 3.94; 95% CI 1.59-9.74; p = 0.003), particularly at doses higher than 1,000 mg/day (p = 0.003). This deleterious effect was not observed with calcineurin inhibitors or everolimus and complete immunosuppression withdrawal showed no benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Being chronically immunosuppressed, liver transplant patients have an increased risk of acquiring COVID-19 but their mortality rates are lower than the matched general population. Upon hospital admission, mycophenolate dose reduction or withdrawal could help in preventing severe COVID-19. However, complete immunosuppression withdrawal should be discouraged. LAY SUMMARY: In liver transplant patients, chronic immunosuppression increases the risk of acquiring COVID-19 but it could reduce disease severity. Complete immunosuppression withdrawal may not be justified. However, mycophenolate withdrawal or temporary conversion to calcineurin inhibitors or everolimus until disease resolution could be beneficial in hospitalised patients.

Clinical Utility of a Risk-Adapted Protocol for the Evaluation of Coronary Artery Disease in Liver Transplant Recipients.

The prevalence and management of coronary artery disease (CAD) in liver transplantation (LT) candidates are not well characterized. The aims of this study were to evaluate the impact on clinical outcomes of a specifically designed protocol for the management of asymptomatic CAD in LT candidates and to investigate noninvasive risk profiles for obstructive and nonobstructive CAD for 202 LT candidates. Those with high baseline cardiovascular risk (CVR; defined by the presence of classic CVR factors and/or decreased ejection fraction) received coronary angiography and significant arterial stenosis and were treated with percutaneous stents. Patients were followed up after LT until death or coronary event (CE). There were 78 patients who received coronary evaluation (62 direct angiography, 14 computed tomography coronary angiography, and 2 both). Of them, 39 (50%) patients had CAD of any severity, and 6 (7.7%) had significant lesions (5 were amenable to be treated with stents, whereas 1 patient had diffuse lesions which contraindicated the LT). Insulin-dependent diabetes was the only factor related to CAD of any severity (odds ratio, 3.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-11.97). A total of 69 patients (46 with coronary evaluation) received LT. The incidence of CEs and overall survival after LT were similar between patients with and without coronary evaluation. Furthermore, no differences occurred between these groups in a multivariate competing risk model (subhazard ratio, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.27-2.61; P = 0.76). In conclusion, the application of an angiographic screening protocol of CAD in a selected high-risk Mediterranean population is safe and effective. The short- and medium-term incidence rates of CEs and death after LT in this population are similar to that observed in low-risk patients.

Liver and spleen volumes are associated with prognosis of compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and parallel its natural history.

OBJECTIVE: Cirrhosis is characterized by the complex interplay among biological, histological and haemodynamic events. Liver and spleen remodelling occur throughout its natural history, but the prognostic role of these volumetric changes is unclear. We evaluated the relationship between volumetric changes assessed by multidetector computerised tomography (MDCT) and landmark features of cirrhosis. METHODS: We included consecutive cirrhotic patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection in whom dynamic MDCT was available. Different volumetric indices were calculated. Fibrosis was evaluated by the collagen proportional area and Laennec sub-stages. Correlation and logistic regression analysis were performed to explore associations of volumetric indexes and fibrosis with key prognostic features across the clinical stages of cirrhosis. RESULTS: 185 patients were included (146 LT; 39 HCC); the predominant aetiology was viral hepatitis (51.35%); 65.9% had decompensated disease and 85.08% clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). The standardised liver volume and liver-spleen volume ratio negatively correlated with Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), albumin and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and were significantly lower in decompensated patients. The liver segmental volume ratio (segments I-III/segments IV-VIII) best captured the characteristic features of the compensated phase, showing a positive correlation with HVPG and a good discrimination between patients with and without CSPH and varices. Volumetric changes and fibrosis severity were independently associated with key prognostic events, with no association between these two parameters. CONCLUSIONS: Liver and spleen volumetric indices evolve differently along the natural history of cirrhosis and are associated with key prognostic factors in each phase, regardless of fibrosis severity and portal hypertension.

Possible unrecognised liver injury is associated with mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) with acute respiratory distress syndrome is a life-threatening condition. A previous diagnosis of chronic liver disease is associated with poorer outcomes. Nevertheless, the impact of silent liver injury has not been investigated. We aimed to explore the association of pre-admission liver fibrosis indices with the prognosis of critically ill COVID-19 patients. METHODS: The work presented was an observational study in 214 patients with COVID-19 consecutively admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Pre-admission liver fibrosis indices were calculated. In-hospital mortality and predictive factors were explored with Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The mean age was 59.58 (13.79) years; 16 patients (7.48%) had previously recognised chronic liver disease. Up to 78.84% of patients according to Forns, and 45.76% according to FIB-4, had more than minimal fibrosis. Fibrosis indices were higher in non-survivors [Forns: 6.04 (1.42) versus 4.99 (1.58), p < 0.001; FIB-4: 1.77 (1.17) versus 1.41 (0.91), p = 0.020)], but no differences were found in liver biochemistry parameters. Patients with any degree of fibrosis either by Forns or FIB-4 had a higher mortality, which increased according to the severity of fibrosis (p < 0.05 for both indexes). Both Forns [HR 1.41 (1.11-1.81); p = 0.006] and FIB-4 [HR 1.31 (0.99-1.72); p = 0.051] were independently related to survival after adjusting for the Charlson comorbidity index, APACHE II, and ferritin. CONCLUSION: Unrecognised liver fibrosis, assessed by serological tests prior to admission, is independently associated with a higher risk of death in patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to the ICU.